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37度-流动性猎人
37度-流动性猎人
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$BTC 这个帖又验证了,震荡完,向下! 连时间和方向都对,就差破822,再往下一波了 不过这个贴,竟然没啥人看,如果把剩下的下区间822吃了,山寨季第一季可能就结束了 回顾这波小牛市,从高位87k左右,喊大饼可能万刀回调,fangshouyibo,减仓/清仓山寨、平仓合约,到预判BTC在84-86k震荡,到震荡结束向下,全中! 最近是有点运气好了,好像摸到了判断方向的方法,不过我还在迭代,不知道后面会不会均值回归,希望不会
37度-流动性猎人
37度-流动性猎人
$BTC 854 and 829 hit 123 times✅
$BTC 854 and 829 hit 123 times ✅. This prediction was confirmed again: 829 was almost precise, 854 was just over 100 yuan short, and the main players gave face. Looking back at this period, it was an ETF-driven mini bull market. Wall Street entered the market, and BTC quickly broke through multiple option resistance levels while rushing toward 90k. It was extremely strong. Being too rigid only made it more fragile. The toughness of Iran and the sudden surge in US Treasury yields worsened the macro situation, and it was suddenly suppressed at a high level. We're back to being suppressed by option positions, plus options delivery at the end of the month. So, as I mentioned in the quote, 'The main players will try to keep the price between 84-86k in these days, taking liquidity from both sides.' In fact, that's the case. The earliest possible breakthrough is tomorrow, Monday, and the reasonable time is around October 1. Breaking the deadlock means we'll have to go back to another pointless place. After this round of options delivery and this fluctuation, the main players will have to choose their direction again. I've been thinking these past two days—are you idiots going up, or are you idiots going down? What do you think? I'd like to hear everyone's opinions. Let me share my thoughts first: If it goes up, it breaks through the 90k gamma wall, opening up the upward space. If it goes down, it means entering the negative gamma zone, accelerating the decline, with volatility rapidly amplifying, plunging straight to 80k or even 75k. I'm not sure, but I judge that the upward fool is most likely. BTC has risen 51% from its highest point from the bottom. If this month's moving average closes higher, then it will be the third consecutive month of gains. The probability of another sharp rally in the fourth month is a bit smaller

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