Crypto_猫哥(BTC版）
Crypto_猫哥(BTC版）
推特同名@Crypto_猫哥 币圈八年老韭菜 全世界最全的、最详细的BTC行情分析 点点关注、关注必回
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$BTC
Brothers, you can interact more under my posts
Then join the group I pinned
Those who interact will get red envelopes
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$BTC
$ETH
$SOL
Conclusion first
We are currently near the end of the bear market. Even to be cautious, you should build a position of 30%
Large funds prioritize BTC/ETH/SOL/OKB
If you don't have much capital, you can lay in some quality altcoins like ENA/AAVE/PUMP
Currently, I have opened a live contract trading on OK Planet, challenging to turn 10,000 into 100,000. Of course, I don't recommend everyone to trade contracts. My large positions are all spot. But without live trading, it's not as engaging. After all, talking is no match for actual operation
I hope brothers can help by following me, I will definitely follow back
Let's all get rich together
$Meridian
0xa50fa7c223a723a200cdb28613e29899dcb65dd1
Alright
Looks like I came too early
400k to 800k
Doubled, taking some profit
Crypto_猫哥(BTC版）
The new department Lao Ma is involved in, the next DOGE?
It seems like no one is paying attention right now
Not sure if I came too early or took a wrong turn
GjrhXcr8YzUZBbu5rifdqM5CPBS4LFJveq3ZiY2u3g5G
Buy a little to test the waters
solana:GjrhXcr8YzUZBbu5rifdqM5CPBS4LFJveq3ZiY2u3g5G
$BTC
$ETH
It's better to keep positions stable these days. You can try shorting at clear resistance levels, but don't rush to go long yet. The US Treasury yield trend is getting a bit out of control, and it might not just be simple volatility going forward.
BTC and ETH have been swinging back and forth recently, more like shaking out weak hands. This is especially obvious with ETH; in each round of ups and downs, more money is going out than coming in, which doesn't look like accumulation. I still hold the view that this round of crypto needs to drop thoroughly first before there is room to move up.
Altcoins occasionally spike, but don't mistake that for a reversal. The market structure still leans toward a pullback. BTC and ETH have repeatedly shown false breakouts these past few days; if it were just normal consolidation, there wouldn't be so much back-and-forth—it looks more like another round of shakeout downward.
For October, I lean toward a drop first, then a rise. After the pullback finishes, we can look for a new wave. Before the end of the year, BTC can still be expected around the 100,000 range, with ZEC and ETH having greater volatility.
Core PCE yesterday wasn't bad, but the market barely reacted. Interest rate hikes or cuts are no longer the main issue; US Treasury yields are. If the 10-year and 30-year yields keep surging, bond prices will continue to fall, which will be tough for institutions, banks, and leveraged funds.
The wind hasn't come yet, so don't stand at the forefront of it.
$BTC
$ETH
Yesterday saw a false breakout. Taking advantage of the dovish data in the evening and the market interpreting it as a positive sign of no rate hike for now, the price quickly surged past 85000 and 85200, reaching a high near 85600. The bulls failed to hold between 85400—85600, not even maintaining the one-minute level, then immediately reversed and fell back, successively losing 84800 and 84400, with the lowest point probing down again to 83223
The 84400 area was supported twice and has not been effectively broken down yet; below, the 83200—83000 range is still holding. Liquidity in the Asian session today is weak, with the price hovering around 83400, first looking up to 83800 and 84000, and only then to 84400, the level that was just broken down
In the short term, the price is mainly oscillating within the large range of 82505—85262. The key positions in the middle are roughly: below, 83000 and 82500, then further down to around 82000; above, 83800, 84400, 84800, and 85200. If it can't reclaim these levels, it remains a rebound. The range swings over two thousand points, with easy sweeps both up and down
If the data disappoints, once 83200 and 83000 are lost, it is likely to test near 82500 again, with downside risk still present; if the data is good and the price can reclaim and hold above 84400, then there is a chance to look again at 84800—85200
$BTC
Many people may not know that when the last Bitcoin bull market started
The interest rate at that time: 4.0
The unemployment rate at that time: 3.6
The CPI at that time: 7.1
The 2023 Bitcoin bull market has completely risen despite the interest rate hikes. When the bull market was halfway through, the interest rate peaked at 5.5, and at the end of the bull market, the interest rate was still at 4.5. The CPI data from the last round was not much lower than it is now.
So, to put it simply
Will there be another wave of bull market driven by interest rate hikes?
$BTC
BTC has been in a correction for a week now.
Focus on 86380; if it can break through and hold above this level without falling below 85000 afterward, then the 87395-82563 range represents the entire adjustment, which targets the red upward segment shown in the chart. Under this scenario, a new high above 87395 is expected soon.
If it fails to break through 86380 for a long time, then the movement starting from 82563 is only a rebound against the 87395-82563 decline. In this case, Bitcoin remains in an adjustment phase.
The reaction at the lower observation point between 79800-80000 is key to determining whether the correction targets the red segment or the entire 57800-87395 range.
$BTC
From the perspective of the major trend, BTC has a clear support level at 72-74k, another support at 76k, and a support zone at 79-82k.
The 72-74k range has historically been a point where the major trend has repeatedly fallen to, serving as a pivot for declines or rallies.
The 76k level has been tested multiple times during this rally, so the buying pressure here is strong.
The 79-82k range has also been tested many times in the past.
More specifically, the top of this rally is at 87k. If it falls to the following three levels, the respective drawdowns are:
- 72-74k: a drop to 72k represents an 18% decline, to 74k a 15% decline
- 76k: a 13% decline
- 79-82k: a drop to 79k is a 9.5% decline, to 82k a 6% decline
Learning from history, let's look at the drawdowns during previous bull market beginnings:
In February, April, and July 2023, there were pullbacks of around 20%
Chicken cutting is still the same
Old projects can't get going, just mapping
Mapping, then digging a bit more and playing dead
JK
If Binance Square and @fomo display tipping rankings, it would be more interesting than @XMoney, and the recipients of donations should be people in the trenches, not world-renowned celebrities who will never acknowledge the source of funds.
I think @mamebnb can do something about this, saving the injured in the trenches is the way to Save Meme Culture.
What do you think?
$BTC
From the perspective of chip structure, the range with the most significant changes in the past week is $83,000 - $84,000. From 9/22 to 9/29, in just 7 days, nearly 400,000 BTC were accumulated.
Such a large concentration of chip turnover in such a short time indicates that this is the area with the most severe market divergence in the short term.
Interestingly, the chips accumulated at $62,000 - $63,000 initially barely participated in this long-short game, only decreasing by a mere 30,000.
This shows that the main force that spent a full 6 months accumulating here is truly not playing short-term.
In other words, out of the 400,000 newly added in the 83k-84k range, 370,000 came from other price ranges. This frames my two expectations for the future:
1. Don’t fantasize about the former 62-63 range; it’s very likely not coming back.
2. There is divergence at 83-84, but there is also support.
Even if it eventually breaks through, as long as it doesn’t fall sharply, a large amount of liquidity is effectively locked here in the short term, creating a strong "gravity" that will "pull" the price back.
$BTC
$ETH
ETH is still leaning bullish at the moment.
Since the start from 2380–2400, the price has been moving within an ascending channel. Although there was obvious selling pressure when it surged to 2760–2780, the pullback near 2640 was quickly supported, and the structure of higher lows remains intact.
So, I tend to believe:
This is a high-level digestion after the rise, not the end of the trend.
Next, focus on two key levels.
2640–2660: Short-term defense
This is close to the 4H ascending trendline. If it holds, we continue to watch 2720 and 2775–2800; if it breaks down effectively and fails to recover on a rebound, I will lower my short-term bullish expectations.
2775–2800: The real breakout zone
Previous highs, the upper channel boundary, and the supply zone basically overlap here.
If it doesn’t break through here, ETH will likely continue to oscillate within the channel; once it breaks out with volume and holds, it means the upside space is further opened.
As for 2380–2400, it is the core support of this 4H upward structure and the level where I judge whether the trend is truly broken.
My offensive strategy is simple:
The trend is bullish, so I don’t chase in the middle.
Look for confirmation on the pullback at 2640–2660, and take the right side on a breakout above 2800.
As long as the lows keep rising, there’s no need to guess the top prematurely.
If 2800 doesn’t break, continue to consolidate;
If 2800 holds, then look for the next move.