比特帝老默pro
比特帝老默pro
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The promised 1500 followers' short positions have been distributed. Continuing to the next round. 2000 followers will continue to arrange short positions. Comments will be drawn from the comment section! Thank you all for your continuous support! Wishing everyone daily profits in U, long for rise, short for fall, and no action means sideways! $BTC $ETH $SOL #交易之声：你的经验值得被听到
BTC surged to 87239 then pulled back, entering a short-term low-volume tug-of-war — Lao Mo tells you not to recklessly catch the falling knife
Brothers, look at the market. After the non-farm payrolls last night, BTC surged to 87,239, then fell all the way back to 84,830, down 0.54% in 24 hours. This roller coaster taught a lesson to both the bulls chasing highs and the bears chasing shorts. From a technical perspective, bulls and bears are at a stalemate. The 1-hour MACD shows a golden cross below the zero line, with an energy bar at 78.6, indicating that the short-term bearish momentum from the recent dump has exhausted, and there is capital supporting the price. But the SuperTrend at 85,421 is pressing overhead, and the price is trading below it, so the short-term remains under pressure. The Bollinger middle band around 84,551 is currently the dividing line between bulls and bears. RSI6 has surged to 69.85, showing the short-term rebound is a bit overheated, so chasing longs risks being hit by a pullback. On the macro side, the cooling non-farm data lowered the probability of a rate hike in October, but long-term US Treasury yields remain above 5.3%, exerting pressure. Under this macro suppression, BTC finds it hard to make a sharp one-sided rally. For operations, Lao Mo gives straightforward advice: For those with positions, set stop loss below 83,800 and hold steady to watch 85,400. For those without positions, don’t heavily bet at the indecisive 84,800 level. Either wait for a pullback to 84,000-84,300 to stabilize and buy with stop loss at 83,500; or wait for a volume breakout above 85,500 to chase from the right side. In this low-volume tug-of-war, controlling your hands is better than anything. Before the direction emerges, preserving capital is the priority. What do you think about this tug-of-war? Let’s chat in the comments. If you think Lao Mo’s analysis makes sense, give a like and follow; I’ll alert you first at key levels. $BTC $ET
#Nonfarm Cooling Fails to Suppress US Treasury Yields, Long-Term Rate Pressure Remains
Nonfarm cooling fails to suppress US Treasury yields, long-term rate pressure remains
On October 2, September nonfarm payrolls increased by only 29,000, far below the expected 90,000, and the unemployment rate rose to 4.2%. After the data release, the 2-year US Treasury yield dropped 10 basis points in a single day to 4.69%, and the 10-year yield briefly dipped to 5.16%.
But the V-shaped reversal came quickly. The 10-year yield rebounded to 5.30% by midday, rising about 12 basis points for the week, marking the fifth consecutive week of increase; the 30-year yield remained above 5.60%, reaching the highest level since 2002 this week. The 2-year yield fell 3 basis points for the week, showing a complete divergence between the short and long ends.
Behind this divergence lies structural issues. Weak nonfarm data lowered short-term rate hike expectations, but inflation, fiscal supply, and term premiums firmly support the long end. The US fiscal deficit continues to widen, AI infrastructure brings massive private sector financing demand, and Middle East conflicts push up energy inflation—these factors do not disappear because of one employment report.
BTC is currently priced around 85,500, with resistance at 87,000 and support at 84,500. Positions should set stop losses below 84,000; empty positions should wait for a pullback to 84,500-85,000 to stabilize before entering. Long-term rates have not peaked, and risk appetite is hard to recover.
What do you think about this wave of long-term pressure? Let's discuss in the comments. $BTC $ETH $ZEC
+332.05%
Snapshot at Oct 03, 2026, 18:35
#SEC New Crypto Asset Custody Rules, Plans to Relax Institutional Self-Custody Restrictions
SEC's new crypto custody rules: Conditional relaxation of self-custody, significantly lowering institutional entry barriers
On October 1, the SEC released a 760-page proposal establishing a dedicated framework for crypto asset custody, allowing registered investment advisers and regulated funds to hold client crypto assets via self-custody when no qualified custodian is available, while including state-chartered trust companies as qualified custodians. SEC Chair Atkins stated this move provides institutions with a "compliance path that did not previously exist."
It is important to note that this "self-custody" is not the retail investor's understanding of holding private keys themselves. SEC Commissioner Peirce clarified that this refers to investment advisers acting as custodians of client assets, not investors directly controlling them. Advisers choosing self-custody must submit an independent internal control report within 6 months and update it annually.
Market reaction is positive. BTC briefly touched 87,000, the first time since September 23. It is currently around 85,500, with support at 84,500 and resistance between 87,000-87,400. Positions have stop-losses below 84,000; shorts wait for a pullback to 84,500-85,000 to stabilize before entering. $BTC $ETH $ZEC
+99.14%
Snapshot at Oct 03, 2026, 16:56
#The US-Iran situation remains tense, G7 to release up to 100 million barrels of reserves
The US-Iran situation remains tense, G7 to release up to 100 million barrels of reserves
Brothers, the G7 has taken emergency action. On October 2, the Group of Seven announced coordination through the International Energy Agency to release up to 100 million barrels of strategic oil reserves over the next four months, with a large amount of diesel concentrated in the first 20 days. France currently holds the rotating presidency of the G7.
Oil prices plunged in response. WTI crude oil futures fell more than 5% intraday, approaching $88 per barrel, closing with a narrowed decline of 1.73% at $91.26 per barrel; European diesel prices once plummeted over 8%. However, Brent crude futures later turned up, closing at $102.405 per barrel after an earlier drop of nearly 4%.
Why didn’t oil prices fall deeper? JPMorgan data shows that Middle East crude oil exports have recovered to 98% of pre-war levels, but refined product exports are only at 58% of pre-war levels, with a structural shortfall in diesel and jet fuel that is unresolved in the short term. The US average diesel price remains at a historic high of $6.40 per gallon.
BTC current price is about 84,500-85,000, briefly reaching 87,239 after the non-farm payrolls, then retreating, with about $445 million liquidated in 24 hours. Resistance above is 87,000, support below is 84,500. Stop loss positions below 84,000; wait for a pullback to 84,500 to stabilize before entering short positions, don’t chase highs.
What do you think about this oil reserve release? Let’s discuss in the comments. $BTC $ETH $ZEC
+87.24%
Snapshot at Oct 03, 2026, 11:38
#美伊升级风险再升，布油重回100美元
The risk of escalation between the US and Iran rises again, Brent crude returns to $100
On October 1, Brent crude surged 4.37% to close at $102.31 per barrel, WTI rose 2.71% to $92.87. Three overlapping factors: a tanker in the Strait of Hormuz was hit and caught fire by an unidentified flying object, at least three tankers were attacked this week; the Pentagon is deploying a third carrier strike group and nearly 10,000 troops to the Middle East, expected to arrive before the end of November; Trump said in an interview with Time magazine that after the midterm elections, there is a "possibility" of increasing strikes against Iran.
But the real contradiction behind the oil price rise is a structural gap. JPMorgan data shows that Middle East crude oil exports have recovered to 98% of pre-war levels, but refined product exports are only 58% of pre-war levels, with diesel and aviation fuel supply tightness unresolved in the short term. The US diesel average price remains at a historic high of $6.40 per gallon.
BTC is currently around 85,500, resistance above at 87,000, support below at 84,500. Positions should set stop-loss below 84,000; empty positions wait for a pullback to 84,500-85,000 to stabilize before entering. Geopolitical risk heating up combined with renewed inflation expectations makes chasing high prices less cost-effective.
What do you think about this wave of oil prices? Let's chat in the comments. $BTC $ETH $ZEC
+306.94%
Snapshot at Oct 03, 2026, 00:39