毓鑫YuXin

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☯️ 11.13｜BTC dropped to around 71,000, ETH is contesting 2000, gold fell below 3900, and the 10-year US Treasury yield rose to 5.10%. PPI is also due tonight. Today, focus on defense first; no rush to catch the first dip. After the start of winter, I remind myself with the traditional five elements concept of "concealing the blade and gathering strength": the more continuous the decline, the more you shouldn't reach out just because it seems cheap. is about 71,000 USD, having broken below the previously observed 72,000–73,000 range. The biggest change here is that the former support has now turned into resistance for a rebound. Below, first watch 70,600–71,000, then the key round number 70,000; if 70,000 is effectively lost and the rebound cannot recover it, continue to observe downward without prematurely assuming a bottom. Above, first watch 72,000–72,500, then 73,000–73,500, with more significant resistance still at 74,500–75,000. If 72,000 is reclaimed and the pullback holds, a technical repair phase can be considered; but until 73,000 is regained, I won’t conclude the correction is over just because of a few hundred dollar rebound. is about 2009 USD, still contesting around 2000. Earlier 24-hour market snapshots show the low has already touched near 1982, so it can no longer be said that "2000 has not been tested." Below, first watch 1980–2000, then 1950, and further down 1900; above, first watch 2030–2050, then 2100–2150. If 2000 holds and breaks above 2050 again, the short-term recovery outlook improves; if 1980 is lost and the rebound fails to recover, be cautious of further decline toward 1950 for support. BTC has not yet stopped falling, ETH is still struggling near 2000, so there’s no rush to discuss altcoin catch-up rallies. US stocks last night: S&P 7592.40, down 0.35%; Nasdaq 25366.09, down 0.39%; Dow 52297.09, down 0.36%. The index declines are not large, but tech stocks remain internally divergent, so don’t assume risks are fully priced in just by looking at the indices. Tonight, Nasdaq first watches around 25200, then 24800–25000 below; above 25800–26000. S&P below 7550–7600, above 7650–7700. Crypto’s decline is significantly larger, indicating its own support needs separate confirmation. Gold’s reference price during the US trading session last night was about 3881 USD, down 2.7%, which is not the same as today’s spot price. Below, watch 3850–3880, then 3800–3820; above, first reclaim 3900, then 3950 and 4000. After continuous declines, a rebound is needed, but before firmly standing above 3900, watch if the fall can be stopped. Macro pressures remain. The official daily data for the US 10-year Treasury yield on November 12 rose to 5.10%, up 12 basis points from 4.98% on November 10. Brent crude settled at 95.82 USD last night, up 3.3%; WTI settled at 88.74 USD, up about 2.6%. Oil price rebound and long-term rate rises both pose resistance to market recovery. However, oil prices are still below previous highs, so don’t conclude energy inflation will accelerate just because of a single day’s rise. Tonight at 21:30 Beijing time, US October PPI will be released. If data is below expectations, watch if the dollar and US bonds fall back and if BTC can reclaim 72,000; if data is above expectations, also watch if 70,000 and ETH near 2000 have support—don’t short just because of the first red candle. Key levels to watch today: BTC 70,000 / 72,000, ETH 2000 / 2050, Gold 3850 / 3900. My approach remains to wait for position first, then look at volume and capital, and finally consider position size. A big drop is not a buying reason; only if a breakout holds and pullbacks find buyers is it worth raising the rebound outlook. After tonight’s data and heading into the weekend, be aware of liquidity drops causing spikes and false breakouts. Do you think BTC can hold 70,000 this time, or does it need to continue looking for support lower? Technical levels are for observation only and do not constitute investment advice. Pay attention to position size, leverage, and stop-loss. #BTC #ETH #Bitcoin #Gold #CryptoNews

☯️ 11.12｜The Nasdaq rebounded 1.60%, BTC returned near 74,100, ETH around 2058, gold fell below 4000. US stocks have some recovery, but Crypto has not yet formed a synchronized breakout; today we first watch for support, no rush to chase. After the start of winter, I remind myself with the traditional five elements imagery of "concealing the blade and gathering strength": the more the market fluctuates, the more you need to control your hands. is about 74,120 USD, already back above 74,000. Today we can no longer say "always below 74,000" but need to see if it can hold here. On the downside, first watch 73,500–74,000, then 72,700–73,000; if broken, look at 72,000. On the upside, first watch 74,500–75,000, then 76,000–77,000. If it breaks 75,000 and can hold near 74,000 on a pullback, the recovery can be rated higher. But if it quickly falls back below 73,500, especially if 73,000 cannot hold, be cautious of retesting 72,000. The most important now is whether 75,000 can be reclaimed. Just touching resistance and having buyers after a breakout are two different things. is about 2058 USD, still hasn't reclaimed 2100; the recovery strength is insufficient. On the downside, watch 2030–2050, then 1980–2000; on the upside, first watch 2100–2150, then 2200–2250. If it stabilizes above 2100 and breaks 2150, the rebound will be more convincing; if 2030 breaks, watch if there is support near 2000. BTC rising alone is not enough for me to raise expectations for altcoin catch-up; ETH also needs to follow. US stocks last night: S&P 7619.38, up 1.31%; Nasdaq 25466.19, up 1.60%; Dow 52486.49, up 0.49%. Tech stocks saw capital inflows, but after close, Nvidia weakened noticeably; we cannot only look at regular trading session gains. Tonight, Nasdaq downside watch 25200–25400, then 24800–25000; upside 25800–26000. S&P downside 7550–7600, upside 7650–7700. Whether the recovery continues depends on support after tonight's open. Gold uses last night’s US trading session reference price, about 3987 USD, not today’s synchronous spot price. Downside watch 3950–3980, then 3900–3920; upside first reclaim 4000–4030, then 4080–4100. Before 4000 is firmly held, observe as weak oscillation. Don’t mix US Treasury yield data: the 10-year yield previously broke 5% intraday; official daily data on November 10 was 4.98%. The US Treasury bond cash market was closed yesterday; do not treat numbers on the page as continuously updated real-time quotes. Crude oil last night: Brent settled at 92.76 USD, WTI at 86.53 USD. Although rebounding somewhat, prices are clearly below previous highs. Falling oil prices help ease energy pressure; core inflation and high interest rate expectations still need monitoring. Tomorrow night at 21:30 Beijing time, US PPI will be released. Today, first watch how US Treasury trading resumes, then see if tech stocks can absorb after-hours pressure, and whether BTC and ETH can both reclaim key levels. Key focus today: BTC 75,000, ETH 2100, gold 4000. My approach is still to wait for levels first, then look at volume and capital, and finally consider position size. The US stock rebound is a positive change, but whether Crypto has active buying must be proven by its own price. Do you think BTC can reclaim 75,000 this time, or will it need to retest 73,000 to confirm support? Technical levels are for observation only, not investment advice; pay attention to position size, leverage, and stop loss. #BTC #ETH #Bitcoin #Gold #crypto

11.11｜CPI higher than expected, BTC back near 73,800, ETH around 2065, gold sharply dropped then slightly rebounded. Today, first watch for support, don’t rush to mistake the rebound for a reversal. Yesterday, the overall US October CPI rose 0.4% month-on-month, core up 0.3%, both exceeding market expectations. However, the overall increase is already lower than September’s 0.6%, and the core has remained at 0.3% for three consecutive months. The problem is that the pace of inflation cooling has not met market expectations, and the pressure from high interest rates remains. After the start of winter, traditional five elements theory emphasizes storing strength. Use this as a reminder: the more volatile the market, the more you need to control your actions. is about $73,800, slightly recovered from the original 73,000 area, but 75,000 has not been reclaimed yet; repair can only be considered step by step. On the downside, first watch 72,700–73,000, then 72,000; strong support observed at 70,000–71,000. On the upside, first watch 74,000–75,000; after reclaiming, look at 76,000–77,000. If it breaks through 75,000 and the pullback holds, the rebound can be rated higher; if 72,000 breaks, and the rebound cannot recover, be cautious of further downside seeking support. is about $2,065, still below 2,100. On the downside, watch 2,000–2,030, then 1,950–1,980; on the upside, watch 2,100–2,150, then 2,200–2,250. Holding 2,000 is just the first step; reclaiming 2,100–2,150 makes the repair more convincing. If 2,000 is effectively broken, continue watching 1,950 or even 1,900. ETH has not turned strong yet, no rush to call for altcoin catch-up. US stocks last night: S&P 7,520.93, down 0.38%; Nasdaq 25,065.87, down 0.74%; Dow 52,231.89, down 0.30%. Nasdaq has not fully given back the previous day’s rebound, but the 25,000 area still needs confirmation. On the downside, watch 24,800–25,000; on the upside, 25,300–25,500, then 25,800–26,000. Gold update: after yesterday’s sharp drop, today’s Asian session reference price has returned near $4,045; do not continue to treat 4,028 as today’s current price. On the downside, watch 4,000–4,020; on the upside, 4,050–4,080, then 4,100. There is a temporary rebound, but it still needs to be seen if there is support on the pullback. US 10-year Treasury yield briefly broke 5% intraday yesterday; the US Treasury daily figure is 4.98%, these are not from the same statistical time point. Today is US Veterans Day; the US Treasury bond market is closed, but US stocks trade as usual. Do not treat the yield displayed on the page as a continuously updated real-time signal. Friday at 21:30 Beijing time, US PPI will be released. CPI has already disrupted the rebound rhythm; next, watch both inflation and whether prices continue to fall after bad news. Today focus on three levels: BTC 75,000, ETH 2,100, Gold 4,000. My approach is still to wait for levels first, then look at volume and capital, and finally consider position size. BTC and ETH reclaiming pressure together is more important than a sudden intraday spike. Technical levels are for observation only and do not constitute investment advice; pay attention to position size, leverage, and stop loss. #BTC #ETH #Bitcoin #Gold #Crypto

11.10｜The Nasdaq surged 2.74%, gold held above 4100, but BTC is still battling below 75,000. Tonight's CPI, first see if prices can keep up, don't rush to bet on direction. After the start of winter, traditional imagery emphasizes gathering strength and hiding the edge. Use this as a reminder: the external market has already rebounded, but that doesn't mean the assets in hand should immediately rise. is around 74,700–74,800 USD, still fighting below 75,000. Last night, US stocks rose significantly, but BTC did not simultaneously reclaim key resistance; this relative weakness needs attention. On the downside, first watch 74,000–74,500, then 73,000–73,500, with strong support near 72,000; on the upside, first watch 75,000–75,500, then 76,000–77,000, and 78,000–78,500 is a further recovery zone. If around 74,000 holds and reclaims 75,500, then breaks through 76,000 and retests without breaking, 77,000 can be observed. But if 74,000 breaks and the rebound fails to recover, continue watching 73,000–72,000; don't rush to guess the bottom just because the price has fallen a lot. What is most needed now is not a sudden surge, but to first reclaim 75,000. is around 2,120–2,126 USD, still hovering near 2,100, with 2,200 becoming resistance above. Compared to the external rebound, ETH's recovery strength is still insufficient. On the downside, first watch 2,080–2,100, then 2,050, with strong support near 2,000; on the upside, first watch 2,150–2,180, then 2,200–2,230, and 2,250–2,300 is a more distant recovery zone. If support appears near 2,100, reclaiming 2,180 and then 2,200, the rebound can be rated higher. But if 2,080 is lost and the rebound fails to hold, be cautious of continued tests at 2,050 and 2,000. BTC holding steady does not mean altcoins can catch up. Before ETH reclaims 2,200, I prefer to control risk. US stocks showed clear recovery last night. S&P 7549.94, up 2.35%; Nasdaq 25253.14, up 2.74%; Dow 52389.75, up 2.15%. The semiconductor index rebounded 6.9%, but Nvidia fell about 4.27% against the trend, indicating internal sector divergence. Tonight, Nasdaq downside watch 24,800–25,000, upside 25,500–25,800, then 26,000; S&P downside 7,450–7,500, upside 7,600–7,650. Strong gains yesterday are good, but whether it can hold after CPI release is the next test. Gold's reference price in the Asian session today is about 4,115 USD, already above the previous battle zone near 4,000. On the downside, first watch 4,100, then 4,050–4,080; on the upside, 4,150–4,180, then 4,200–4,220. If 4,100 holds on a pullback, recovery can continue to be observed; if it falls below 4,080, watch for 4,050 to be tested again. Crude oil continued to fall last night. Brent settled at 92.57 USD, down 5.85%; WTI settled at 86.85 USD, down 4.38%. Energy pressure easing helps improve market sentiment, but this does not mean tonight's inflation data is definitely positive. The US 10-year Treasury yield was about 4.87% last night. The yield did not fall significantly with oil prices, indicating funds are still waiting for CPI to provide the next clue. Tonight at 21:30 Beijing time, the US will release October CPI. Current Reuters survey expectations are overall CPI month-over-month growth of 0.3%, core CPI month-over-month growth of 0.2%. These are expectations, not confirmed results. If the core is below expectations, watch if the dollar and US bonds can retreat, and if BTC can reclaim 75,500–76,000; if the core is above expectations, first guard against key supports being hit. If data meets expectations, it depends on whether the market has priced it in and if buyers are willing to continue. Especially watch for this scenario: good data, US stocks and gold rise, but BTC and ETH still can't break resistance. Then continue to respect Crypto's own weakness, and don't force external bullish logic. Today's key levels: BTC 74,000 / 76,000, ETH 2,100 / 2,200, Gold 4,100 / 4,180. Wait for the data first, then watch the levels. If positive news lands but prices don't rise, don't chase; if negative news lands but support holds, don't rush to short. Do you think CPI can drive BTC to reclaim 76,000, or will the external market continue to rebound while Crypto still lags? The above is personal opinion only, not investment advice. Control position size, leverage, and stop loss. #BTC #ETH #Bitcoin #Gold #crypto

11.09｜BTC fights for 75,000, ETH falls below 2200. For the new week, first watch for support; don’t mistake sideways movement for a bottom. CPI is coming tomorrow night. The start of winter has passed; traditional symbolism emphasizes hiding the blade and gathering strength. Use this as a reminder: after continuous adjustments, what’s most needed is patience, not rushing to recover losses. Metaphysics is just for fun; trading depends on price, volume, and capital. is around $75,000, indicating ongoing contention here; we can’t say it’s firmly held yet. On the downside, first watch 74,500–75,000, then 73,000–73,500, with strong support near 72,000; on the upside, first watch 75,500–76,000, then 76,500–77,000, and 78,000–78,500 as further recovery levels. If support appears near 75,000, reclaiming 76,000 and then breaking through 77,000 with a successful retest, the rebound can be rated higher. But if 74,500 breaks and the rebound fails to recover, continue watching around 73,000; don’t assume it’s cheap just because the price has dropped a lot. Right now, it’s more important to see if 75,000 can hold than to guess when it will return to 80,000. is around $2,135; 2,200 has already been lost, clearly weaker than the original 2,228 mentioned. Since the previous support didn’t hold, we need to readjust and observe new levels. On the downside, first watch 2,100–2,120, then 2,050, with strong support near 2,000; on the upside, first watch 2,150–2,180, then 2,200–2,230, and 2,250–2,300 as more distant recovery zones. If it stabilizes near 2,100, reclaims 2,180, and recovers 2,200, we can observe if buying interest improves. But if it breaks 2,100 and the rebound fails, be prepared for tests at 2,050 and 2,000. BTC holding sideways doesn’t mean altcoins can catch up. Before ETH recovers 2,200, I prefer to control risk first. US stocks partially recovered last Friday. S&P 7376.86, up about 0.31%; Nasdaq 24579.42, up 1.09%; Dow 51285.73, down 0.46%. But Nasdaq had dropped 5.52% the day before, so this rebound only recouped part of the losses. Tonight, Nasdaq support is 24,000–24,300, resistance 24,800–25,000, then 25,500; S&P support 7,300–7,350, resistance 7,450–7,500. Whether US stocks can continue to recover is important, but it also depends on whether BTC and ETH are willing to follow. Pay special attention: when US stocks rebound but Crypto can’t keep up, and when US stocks fall and Crypto follows. If this relative weakness continues, you can’t just comfort yourself with external market gains. Gold’s early Asian session quote with a timestamp is about $4,075, not the current real-time transaction price. On the downside, watch 4,030–4,050, then 3,980–4,000; on the upside, watch 4,080–4,100, then 4,140–4,150. A break above 4,100 and a successful retest would make the recovery more convincing. This week’s macro focus is on inflation. Last week’s nonfarm payrolls added 165,000 jobs, average hourly wages rose 0.4% month-over-month, and market concerns about tight policy remain. Tomorrow night at 21:30 Beijing time, US October CPI will be released; Friday at 21:30, PPI will be released. So today, don’t rush to bet on inflation definitely cooling. If data is below expectations, watch if prices can break through; if data is hot, watch if key supports have buying interest. Today’s key levels to watch: BTC 74,500 / 76,000, ETH 2,100 / 2,200, Gold 4,050 / 4,100. My approach is still defensive. BTC must first reclaim 76,000, ETH must first reclaim 2,200, then we can talk about recovery quality. The biggest fear now is mistaking a single rebound candle for a trend reversal, only to be taken down by the next round of declines. Wait for position, then volume, and finally consider position size. Do you think BTC can hold 75,000 this time, or will it continue to seek support lower before CPI? The above content represents only personal views and is not investment advice. #BTC #ETH #Bitcoin #CryptoNews

The market has been quite volatile recently. Besides watching the charts, I've also been checking if there are other opportunities to earn coins with my BTC and ETH. Coincidentally, the new round of the @okxchinese Flash Earn event just launched, offering a 1,000,000 USDT reward pool. By subscribing with BTC or ETH, you have a chance to earn an extra USDT airdrop reward on top of the simple coin-earning interest. I checked the event page, and the rules aren't complicated. Here's a simple summary. 1. How is the 1,000,000 USDT reward distributed? There are mainly two subscription pools this time: BTC Subscription Pool: 410,000 USDT ETH Subscription Pool: 590,000 USDT The minimum to participate is 0.001 BTC or 0.01 ETH, so the threshold isn't high. For regular users, the subscription limits are 1 BTC and 100 ETH respectively, with higher tiers having increased limits. 2. What are the highlights of this event? I think there are two main points. First, you don't need to sell your BTC or ETH to participate in the USDT reward distribution. Second, the earnings are split into two parts: simple coin-earning interest + event USDT airdrop rewards. Also, this is a flexible product; after subscribing, you can redeem anytime without locking until the event ends. However, note that rewards are calculated hourly, not granted immediately upon subscription. Actual distribution depends on subscription amount, participation time, and total subscription volume in the reward pool. 3. How to participate specifically? Open the OKX App, go to the "Earn" section, and find "Flash Earn." Enter "Stake to Earn," locate this USDT event. Choose the BTC or ETH subscription pool. Check the reference annualized rate, subscription limits, and event rules. Enter the subscription amount, confirm, and wait for rewards to accumulate. You can later check and claim rewards on the event page or under "Assets → Earn." Event period: November 3, 15:00 to November 8, 15:00 (Beijing Time). 4. A few more details to note. Rewards start accumulating from the next full hourly cycle after subscription confirmation, usually distributed in the following hour. If you redeem within an hour, the corresponding funds won't earn rewards for that hour. After the event ends, unclaimed rewards will be automatically distributed according to the rules. BTC, ETH, and other assets will continue into the simple coin-earning product as per applicable rules. Also, the displayed reference annualized rate is not a fixed income guarantee. The price volatility risk of BTC and ETH does not disappear by participating in Flash Earn. For me, this kind of event suits those who already plan to hold BTC and ETH and don't want to frequently adjust their positions. But there's no need to chase price increases just for event rewards. After all, earning coins is to improve capital utilization, not to amplify principal risk for a bit more reward. The event is ending soon; interested friends can check the rules themselves. When you usually hold BTC and ETH, do you put them into coin-earning products or prefer to keep them directly in your spot account? #OKX达人 #OKX #BTC #ETH

11.07｜Nonfarm payrolls significantly stronger than expected, Nasdaq rebounds, but BTC remains near 76,000, and ETH hasn't reclaimed 2300. Over the weekend, first watch for follow-through; don't rush to declare the correction over just because US stocks rose for a day. Today, Yi Wood sits with You Metal; according to traditional Five Elements imagery, Metal overcomes Wood. Use this as a reminder: recovery has shown signs, but still needs to withstand stress tests. around $76,182. Yesterday we were watching for support near 75,000; now the price has risen somewhat, but the resistance at 76,500–77,000 still needs to be reclaimed. On the downside, first watch 75,000–75,500, then 74,500; strong support at 73,000–73,500. On the upside, first watch 76,500–77,000, then 78,000–78,500; 80,000 is a more distant structural recovery level. If 75,000–75,500 holds and then breaks through 77,000 with a retest that holds, the rebound can be rated higher. But if 75,000 fails again and the bounce cannot be sustained, continue to watch for support below; don't assume it's cheap just because it fell a lot earlier. Today, I care more about whether 77,000 can be reclaimed than guessing prematurely when it will return to 80,000. around $2,250, slightly recovered from about 2,220 yesterday, but 2,300 has not been reclaimed; 2,400 cannot yet be considered a current support. On the downside, first watch 2,220–2,240, then 2,200; strong support at 2,150–2,180. On the upside, first watch 2,280–2,320, then 2,350–2,400. If it breaks through 2,320 and retests 2,300 successfully, continue to watch 2,350–2,400. If around 2,230 does not hold, be cautious of previous lows near 2,200 and 2,170 being tested again. BTC stabilizing does not mean altcoins are broadly strengthening; ETH still needs to prove its buying power. Last night’s nonfarm payrolls were indeed strong: October added 165,000 jobs, exceeding market expectations of 65,000; unemployment rate at 4.1%, average hourly earnings up 0.4% month-over-month. Additionally, August and September employment were revised up by a total of 84,000. This report gave the market reason to reprice tighter interest rate expectations. Interestingly, tech stocks did not continue to plunge. Nasdaq rebounded about 1.09%, S&P rose about 0.31%, Dow fell about 0.46%. This is a positive change, but Nasdaq still fell about 3.4% for the week; a one-day rebound is not enough to absorb prior selling pressure. Next week, Nasdaq support is first at 24,000–24,300, resistance at 24,800–25,000, then 25,500; S&P support at 7,300–7,350, resistance at 7,450–7,500. Whether key levels hold is more important than single-day gains. Gold also needs clarity on the data. Friday’s gold futures closed near $4,064.50, which is not the real-time spot price on Saturday. Gold recovered somewhat this week, but after strong nonfarm data, interest rate pressure remains. For futures, watch support at 4,030–4,050, then 3,980–4,000; resistance at 4,080–4,100, then 4,140–4,150. If 4,100 cannot be reclaimed, treat it as a pullback after the rise and do not chase resistance. Crude oil Friday Brent settled at $98.32, WTI at $90.83. Compared to the previous week, under the same contract terms, oil prices have clearly fallen, easing energy pressure, but supply risks remain; do not assume a continuous decline. My approach today is simple: BTC watches 75,000 and 77,000; ETH watches 2,200 and 2,320. Confirm support first, then observe resistance breaks; do not rush to treat small rebounds as reversals. US markets are closed over the weekend, but Crypto is still trading; news may trigger rapid volatility, especially with low liquidity prone to spikes. Don’t rush on breakouts; wait for retests to confirm support. Holding ground is more important than just touching levels; opportunities are unlimited, capital is limited. Less leverage, more patience. Do you think BTC can reclaim 77,000 this time, or will it test 75,000 again over the weekend? Technical levels are for observation only and do not constitute investment advice; control position size, leverage, and stop losses. #BTC #ETH #Bitcoin #Gold #CryptoNews

11.06｜The Nasdaq plunged 5.52%, BTC fell back near 75,600, ETH returned to 2,220, and gold also retreated below 4,100. Tonight is the non-farm payrolls report; first, defend positions, no rush to catch the first drop. Today, Jia Wood sits on Shen Metal; according to traditional Five Elements imagery, metal overcomes wood, like just starting to grow upward but encountering external resistance. Use this as a reminder: if the rebound fails, adjust your judgment and don’t comfort yourself with yesterday’s bullish script. is around $75,600, it’s no longer about defending 80,000 but first seeing if there is support near 75,000. The previously reclaimed 78,000 and 80,000 have become levels that need to be retaken above. On the downside, first watch 75,000–75,500, then 74,500; strong support is around 73,000–73,500. On the upside, first watch 76,500–77,000, then 78,000–78,500, with 80,000 being a more significant structural resistance. If 75,000 holds and then recovers 76,500–77,000 without breaking on the pullback, a technical rebound can be observed. But if 75,000 breaks and the rebound fails to recover, look further down; don’t assume cheap just because the price has dropped a lot. is around $2,220; 2,400 has already been lost, now retesting 2,200. The previous recovery didn’t hold, so short-term support needs to be found again. On the downside, first watch 2,200, then 2,150–2,180; strong support is near 2,100. On the upside, first watch 2,250–2,280, then 2,300–2,320; 2,400 has become a more distant recovery target. If 2,200 holds and recovers 2,280–2,300, observe if support improves. If 2,200 breaks and the rebound fails to hold, watch the previous lows near 2,170 and 2,150. No rush to talk about altcoin catch-ups now; first see if core assets can stop falling. The U.S. stock sell-off last night was indeed heavy. S&P 7,353.73, down 4.36%; Nasdaq 24,315, down 5.52%; Dow 51,523.06, down 3.44%. Nvidia dropped over 9%, semiconductor index over 12%, AI-related assets were the focus of the sell-off. The market is worried whether AI regulation and data center construction restrictions will affect growth already priced in. Expectations haven’t fully materialized, but funds are already reducing risk. Tonight, Nasdaq downside is 24,000–24,300, then 23,500–23,800; upside 24,800–25,000. S&P downside 7,300–7,350, upside 7,500–7,550. First stop the decline, then talk about reclaiming lost ground. Gold also needs updating. It once surged to around 4,146 yesterday; today’s latest report shows it back near $4,044, so we can’t say 4,100 is firmly supported. Downside first watch 4,020–4,050, then 3,980–4,000; upside 4,080–4,100, after recovering then watch 4,140–4,150. Gold was relatively strong yesterday but also retreated today, indicating safe-haven assets don’t only rise without falling; during sharp drops, they may be affected by cash and margin demands. According to the daily data on November 5, U.S. 10-year Treasury yield is 4.84%, 2-year is 4.46%. Rates fell but U.S. stocks plunged, indicating yield declines can’t be directly taken as a bullish signal; we must see why funds buy bonds and whether risk assets have support. Crude oil rebounded the previous trading day; Brent settled at $98.29, up 3.88%; WTI settled at $90.52, up 2.72%. Energy transport risks are still fluctuating; the recent oil price decline easing can’t be taken as a sustained positive. Tonight at 21:30 Beijing time, the U.S. releases October non-farm payrolls. Current market expectations are 65,000 new jobs, 4.2% unemployment rate, and 0.3% month-over-month average wage growth. Besides new jobs, watch wages and previous data revisions. My thinking is simple: moderate employment and cooling wages, observe if BTC and Nasdaq can recover; strong employment and wages, beware of renewed tightening in rate expectations; significantly weak employment, also beware the market turning to growth concerns. If data is positive but price can’t break resistance, don’t chase; if data is negative but key support holds, don’t rush to short. First watch if after the initial move, there is support on the pullback. Key levels today: BTC 75,000 / 77,000, ETH 2,200 / 2,300, Gold 4,000 / 4,100. Today is Friday, non-farm tonight, then the weekend follows. My choice is still to reduce leverage and wait for confirmation. Missing the first move is okay; don’t max out positions before data comes out. Holding steady is more important than touching key levels; opportunities are infinite, capital is limited. Do you think BTC can hold 75,000 this time, or will it need to look for support further down after non-farm? Technical levels are for observation only, not investment advice; control position size, leverage, and stop loss. #BTC #ETH #Bitcoin #Gold #CryptoNews