Post
W3C
Show original
不是跟涨 BTC 的小弹性，是独立主升。
$ZEC 都涨到1600了，空头还不肯认输
9月15日ZEC还在1110美元附近，现在已经冲到1550上方，7天涨幅超过35%；
我目前空仓，虽然我还是继续看涨，但是现在这个价位不太适合追涨。
目前来看，基本面有催化剂，盘面又有逼空燃料。
1️⃣ZEC叙事还在加强。
Paradigm公开表达对Zcash的支持，NU7升级也已经确定路线：10月6日上测试网，目标11月5日主网上线，出块时间从75秒缩短到25秒。
2️⃣空头太拥挤。
现在ZEC合约持仓约32.8亿美元，24小时合约成交超过100亿美元，远高于现货；
对于接下来的走势，我认为：
1600会有压力，但如果一口气站稳，我看1800美元，
再强一点直接看2000美元。
短线如果冲1600失败，先看1500能不能守住；
只要1500不破，我不会因为涨得多就轻易看空。#BTC重返8万美元，资金面出现修复 $BTC
W3C
Knowing $ZEC would reach 1500, but I really didn't expect it to come so fast.
This sharp surge hits the shorts the hardest.
ZEC touching 1500 looks lively, but it's actually at a rather awkward position.
Because 1500 is technically the first major resistance level.
The chips trapped earlier, the early low-level profit-taking, plus a batch of funds ready to cash out, basically all converge at this point.
So breaking through 1500 isn't hard; the real challenge is to hold above it.
Today it surged up then fell back, which I actually see more as a test of the market.
If around 1500 it starts to trade back and forth, gradually eating away the selling pressure above, then that's when it really gets interesting.
In Grayscale's previous model,
if ZEC can capture about 2% of Bitcoin's market cap, the corresponding price would be just over 1600.
If market sentiment continues to ferment, looking toward 2000 isn't completely illogical:
ETF opening capital inflows + privacy narrative repricing + upgrade expectations + short covering.
Once these factors stack up, ZEC's resilience definitely shouldn't be underestimated.
But 2000 isn't a number shouted out of thin air; it's the next target based on market cap share assumptions.
$If it repeatedly fails to break through near 1500 and volume doesn't keep up, then don't rush to treat 2000 as the next stop.
First, see if 1500 can turn from a "resistance" into a "support" level.
#ZEC刷新历史新高，NU7升级预期受关注 #美联储10月再加息概率破55%
Disclaimer: OKX Orbit content is provided for informational purposes only. Learn more
Replies
No comments yet. Be the first to reply!
Trending crypto
BTC/USDTBitcoin
$84,932.7+0.00%
ETH/USDTEthereum
$2,695.02+0.00%
ZEC/USDTZcash
$1,331.32+0.02%
Today’s market buzz
1#FedECBMeetingMinutes
2#BTCETHETFFlowsDiverge
3#BessentTreasuryYields
