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$ETH 的 V 型逆袭剧本 上周一是至暗时刻:一根大阴线把 $ETH 砸到 $2,357,谁摊上谁倒霉,妥妥「扫把星男主」。结果人家只是虐完观众开始发糖:上周四放量长阳从 $2,446 一路拉到 $2,611,单日 7 个点,随后小步爬升,今天盘中摸高 $2,708 刷新本轮高点,均线也被掰成了多头排列。 图上看:脚下第一支撑踩在 $2,600 整数关口,真正的防线是 $2,562(上周六低点);头顶 $2,708 是本轮天花板。预测线给的是两步走:先弹到 $2,682 中位带(T1),再贴着 $2,708 门口试探(T2)。那条回踩虚线画的 $2,311 属于极端剧本,V 型反转彻底演砸才会去——真到那一步,$2,575 的止损早就替你挡在半路了。资金费率从负值转正爬到 0.0082%,多头交着小钱但情绪远没到头铁,反而算健康。
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Focus on $ETH | Strategy: Long position, conclusion first, don't blink Last week, $ETH was still being called the "jinx male lead," but these days it has completely changed the script: from a $2,357 bottom with a V-shaped rebound and four consecutive bullish candles, it touched $2,708 intraday today. The unlucky character now falls on the shorts. Here's the strategy first——$ETH current price $2,655, go long with 3x leverage, place buy orders on pullbacks at $2,620-$2,640, stop loss at $2,575, first target to take half profit at $2,690, then hold the rest to bet on a breakout above $2,708 and look towards $2,790. The reason in one sentence: last Friday saw a net inflow of $566 million into positions, which doesn't look like retail investors, but more like a scripted reversal written in advance. Market news next door The Federal Reserve raised interest rates by 25 basis points on 9/17, the first hike since July 2023, and the dot plot still leaves room for more hikes this year. The market is playing out a "bad news is already priced in" scenario: last Friday, the Dow Jones fell 0.18%, the Nasdaq rose 0.39%, the S&P 500 rose 0.17%, Nvidia rose 1.34% leading the semiconductor sector, ARM rose over 4%. The Bank of Japan also raised rates to 1.25% the same week, the highest in 30 years, as central banks worldwide tighten their belts.

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