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汤姆☜
非农情形对二饼的影响
1）软数据：新增 7万–10万，失业率 4.1%，时薪不爆
市场解读：就业降温但没衰退 → 10月加息概率继续降
美债收益率回落、美元走弱 → 风险资产反弹
ETH：先插针后走强，回踩 2670–2700 不破 → 冲 2760 / 2820 / 2900
ETH ETF：后面几个交易日有望重新净流入，但力度要看 BTC 是否带量突破
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