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taishiro
5. Friday: Bank of Japan Decision
The BOJ is expected to hold rates at 1.25%. However, any unexpected move or shift in guidance could strengthen the yen and trigger volatility across global markets, especially through the yen carry trade.
The U.S. midterms are also approaching, adding another layer of uncertainty.
My take: This week is about how several major forces interact. Monetary policy, inflation, economic growth, and AI earnings will all influence how investors position themselves.
taishiro
4. Thursday: U.S. Inflation and GDP Data
PCE inflation and Q3 GDP will help shape expectations for the Fed's next move.
If inflation comes in hotter than expected, rate hike concerns could return and put pressure on stocks.
Cooler inflation, alongside solid economic growth, would give markets a more supportive backdrop.
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