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ARRIWYKS
#AmazonQ3AWSOutlook
Oct 29 AMC — Est: $202B Rev | $1.96 EPS | AWS 35%
Guide: $197-202B Rev (+9-12%), OpInc $22.5-26.5B vs $17.4B YoY — Street at top end. Q2 BEAT: $200.6B Rev, OpInc $27.5B +43%, AWS $42.2B +36.7% fastest in 18Qs, margin 39.4%.
Why YES:
AWS accelerating 5 Qs: 19%→22%→30%→36.7%→35% est. Backlog $496B. AI + chips run-rate $25B each, capacity short till 2027. 65% beat odds.
Risk: Capex $220B, FCF -$7.6B TTM. If capex raised again without AWS >35% = selloff.
Call: 65% BEAT

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