Post
ARRIWYKS
#LumentumQ1OpticalGrowth
Why YES:
AI optical boom — 200G EML lasers 2x QoQ record, pump +90% YoY, OCS backlog $400M+ (was $10M Q1). Undershipping demand 30%, at capacity thru CY27. Q4 guide $960M-$1.01B vs $908M est. CPO + optical scale-up replacing copper H2 26.
Valuation: $780, $69B mcap, +335% 1Y, +111% YTD. P/E 346x scary — debt 6.4x. But OM 25%→32%→30-31% guide.
Call: 85% BEAT — needs >$1.30B + EPS >$4.50 + OCS >$500M backlog to break $900. $1.20B miss = $650 flush.
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