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taishiro
On the upside, reclaiming $78.5K would be an early sign of improving momentum, while a move above $80K would put the bearish short-term structure under serious pressure.
I'd also separate a relief bounce from an actual trend reversal. A short squeeze can push price higher quickly, but sustained spot demand and stronger follow-through are what would make that recovery more convincing.
For now, capital preservation matters more than forcing entries.
taishiro
The Fed holding rates at 3.75%–4.00% was largely expected, but the hawkish tone is keeping risk appetite under pressure.
BTC slipping towards $77,500 despite some ETF inflows is worth paying attention to. It suggests institutional demand alone isn't enough to absorb the current selling pressure.
The $77K level is now particularly important. Losing it convincingly could expose the $76K region and potentially trigger further liquidations as leveraged positions get squeezed.
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