Post
Signalosy
The biggest trap in backtesting
Everyone can make a backtest look perfect. But in live trading, most fail. Why?
1. Overlapping samples: Data points are not independent. The t-stat looks amazing, but it's an illusion.
2. Ignoring slippage: Real order execution can wipe out your edge.
3. Correlation breakdown: Pairs don't always revert.
I fixed these 3 things before my Z-score bot started working.
Result: +21% base asset accumulation in 1 month (DOT/XCH). No trend guessing, just math.
DYOR.
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