Post
Yuvi.
$TLT
非农偏弱，长债一定是最直接的受益者吗？
今晚就业数据会影响增长和政策路径预期。长期美债还承受通胀、财政供给和期限溢价影响。短端利率预期下降，并不保证长端收益率同步下降。
若长端对弱数据反应有限，我会检查通胀和供给因素；若实际利率与期限溢价一起回落，长久期债券的支撑才更完整。
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