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K线忠实陪跑员~
K线忠实陪跑员~
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16日凌晨CLARITY法案失败了,46票赞成、43票反对。这场折腾了几个月、号称要给加密行业建立“首个联邦监管框架”的法案,就这么倒在了程序性投票上。 那么法案被搁置后,真正的风险是什么?一定不是价格,美国参议院今年只剩不到36个工作日,新一届国会要等到11月中期选举后宣誓就职,法案基本确定不会在年内再被推进。这意味着之前市场定价逻辑里的“加密特有催化剂”正式消失了。BTC被迫退回“纯宏观交易”模式,接下来只能跟着FOMC走。而FOMC就在明天。 市场当前预期加息25个基点的概率约为86%。法案失败叠加鹰派FOMC,才是真正需要警惕的组合。走势可能先扫低近期低位再回升,形态类似8月底的“拉锯整固—扫低—再上”节奏。 我个人的想法很简单:不抄底,不加仓,等FOMC落地再说。75500-76000美元是短线重要支撑区,80000-80500是即市阻力。法案失败拿走了今年最重要的一张牌,接下来几个月,市场要习惯一个没有监管催化剂、只有宏观博弈的BTC。$BTC $ETH $XAUT #本周FOMC揭晓,加息能否落地?
OKX星球
OKX星球
The eleventh issue of Planet·Good Articles Selection has been announced In this issue, we've selected 30 high-quality posts to read together~ 🎁 Selected creators will receive a random "Best Articles Selection" reward, and opinions and comments are ongoing! Looking forward to seeing you 👀 in the next issue ➤ How to participate: [Citation] This article ➕ shares your views on any hot topic of the day; ➤ Participation period: [September 9 - September 22] ➤ 🎁 Comment rewards: In the next issue, high-quality comments will be announced and merchandise rewards will be given. High-quality content may be recommended to 'Community Opinions' for more exposure

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