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李松耀
BTC跌、OI升、费率正:最脆弱的多头结构
盘面情况:
$BTC 79200—80600弱势,1H均线下方
$ETH 2280—2350,RSI约40,动能弱
现货:BTC
ETF周净流入3.01亿,但周四流出6.36亿、周五1.38亿;ETH周流出2.21亿,连续四周失血。
合约:BTC
OI升2.05%至77.2亿,费率+0.0031%,多头扛单;ETH OI降2.9%至53.7亿,多空比2.6—2.7,仍拥挤。24h多单爆仓4.43亿:BTC1.54亿,ETH1.36亿。
我的视角:
BTC跌、OI升、费率正,下方停损堆积。先看79,200,失守看78,000。ETH关键在2,181:巨鲸2.72亿多单清算价刚被追加保证金压到此,距现价不足5%,是被动卖压触发器。
我的观察:BTC费率转负比破位更有底部意义;ETH看OI是否继续收缩。不追空,不接飞刀。
#10月FOMC临近,美联储暂停加息还有哪些变数?
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