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理智分析的牛
比特币跌了1.1%,我盯的是这个细节。先想最坏情况:我推测,如果美股继续回落,$BTC仍跟跌,靠股市回暖缓冲风险的预期就可能落空。
Killa说,美股反弹时它几乎没反应。我担心两点:反弹不跟、下跌跟随的不对称,以及把短期联动当成稳定规律,低估独立波动。
我会先写清单笔最多承受多少亏损,再核对总敞口,不把相关性当保险。
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