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小桃子子
我看币圈预测市场,总会多瞧两眼那些离谱的目标价。普通交易还能等、能调整,这里到期就得认结果。小概率选项容易被买贵,我琢磨是故事太好听,花点小钱就能盼个大动静,容易让人忘了它有多难发生。赔率折出来的是场内人的出价,不等于真实概率。我明明觉得那目标够悬,看到讨论里有人把理由讲得头头是道,居然也忍不住往下读。
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