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Skydancer
#美国10年期国债收益率11月10日收4.983%,一天升11.9个基点;黄金期货较11月9日收盘跌约1.7%,比特币较11月9日日线收盘跌约2.1%(截至日本时间11日上午)。
巴菲特2018年股东大会谈黄金:“It was never going to produce anything.”
我的推论:比特币和黄金都不产生现金流,持有回报只能来自下一位买家出价。无风险收益率越接近5%,“拿着等”的机会成本越高。这不代表会继续跌,只说明门槛抬高了。
比下一根K线更值得看的,是12月议息后利率往哪走。
来源:Yahoo Finance,2026-11-11统计
按巴菲特框架分析,不构成投资建议

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