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CLARITY参议院程序性投票进入倒计时,市场现在赌的不是“过不过”,而是会不会拿到60票进入下一阶段。最新版本已经加入大量妥协条款和道德约束,但最终结果仍有不确定性
短线交易,不建议赌消息方向,重点盯价格
日内箱体思路,在压力支撑操作,美盘观望等结果落地
• $BTC :当前核心区间仍是 77100-78000。只要守住 77100,消息落地后有机会继续冲击 78300,进一步看 79200-80000。若投票受挫且跌破 76400,短线情绪可能快速转弱
• $ETH :关键支撑 2465-2500。法案推进有利于资金风险偏好回升,2530是第一压力,站稳后看 2580。若失守 2465,容易回踩 2460-2430 一带
• $SOL :近期明显强于多数山寨,101-102 是多头防守位。消息偏利好时先看 105,进一步看 108;若跌破 100,则说明资金开始撤离
操作思路:不提前重仓赌结果。利好落地,等突破追随;利空落地,等支撑确认。超级周里最容易亏钱的不是看错方向,而是在消息出来前押上仓位
今晚先看投票,再看价格是否真正站上关键位。#CLARITY投票前分歧未解
CLARITY Senate procedural vote is entering the countdown. The market is now betting not on whether it will pass, but on whether it will get 60 votes to move to the next stage. The latest version has incorporated many compromise clauses and ethical constraints, but the final outcome remains uncertain.
For short-term trading, it is not recommended to bet on the news direction; focus on watching the price.
Intraday box range strategy: operate around resistance and support, and observe the US market for results.
• $BTC: The current core range remains 77100-78000. As long as 77100 holds, there is a chance to continue pushing to 78300 after the news lands, with further targets at 79200-80000. If the vote fails and it falls below 76400, short-term sentiment may quickly weaken.
• $ETH: Key support is 2465-2500. The bill's progress is favorable for risk appetite recovery; 2530 is the first resistance, and if it holds, look to 2580. If 2465 breaks, a retest of 2460-2430 is likely.
• $SOL: Recently clearly stronger than most altcoins, 101-102 is the bulls' defense line. When news is positive, first look at 105, then 108; if it breaks below 100, it indicates funds are starting to withdraw.
Trading approach: Do not heavily position ahead of the result. If positive news lands, wait for a breakout to follow; if negative, wait for support confirmation. The easiest way to lose money during a super week is not by choosing the wrong direction, but by committing positions before the news is out.
Tonight, first watch the vote, then see if the price truly stands above key levels. #CLARITY投票前分歧未解
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