
37度-流动性猎人
37度-流动性猎人
BTC holder since 2013 Building @SpiderPool_com 创业老兵|币圈踩雷达人|远洋捕捞体验者|2016交易所|2017挖矿|2022暴雷破产|2026AI机房/OKX最高排行第9交易员 首创流动性交易,擅长Liquidity Hunting
1.1KFollowing
1.3Kfollowers
Feed
Feed
$HYPE 更新,90跑了,回想了下,应该反手空下🤣

$UNI 交易所余额继续创新高,大户继续往交易所充币,继续派发明显,打算开个对冲空单,直到交易所余额不再增加,然后平仓,等到余额减少,且价格到目标,建仓现货。
对冲单也还可以fangshouyibo,万一第一季山寨季结束,进入幅度/长时间震荡下行洗盘,30-50%的回调,叠加长时间,也很难受,我在《为什么我这时平仓合约,减仓山寨……》
讲过我的思考,大家可以复盘参考。
距离减半日还有1年7个月,大把建仓时间,一方面要防止踏空,一方面又要想想建仓后怎么熬过这一年多是关键,但UNI的周线和月线都是强势向上,不怕被套,拿住不被洗出去是关键,越跌越买,近期破8.4向下猎杀多头对主力,还是非常有吸引力
-1.67%
Snapshot at Sep 29, 2026, 09:23
$BTC 这个帖又验证了,震荡完,向下!
连时间和方向都对,就差破822,再往下一波了
不过这个贴,竟然没啥人看,如果把剩下的下区间822吃了,山寨季第一季可能就结束了
回顾这波小牛市,从高位87k左右,喊大饼可能万刀回调,fangshouyibo,减仓/清仓山寨、平仓合约,到预判BTC在84-86k震荡,到震荡结束向下,全中!
最近是有点运气好了,好像摸到了判断方向的方法,不过我还在迭代,不知道后面会不会均值回归,希望不会


$BTC 854和829吃了 123次命中✅
$BTC 854和829吃了 123次命中✅ 这次预判,又被验证了,829几乎精准命中,854差100多块钱,主力给脸了 回顾这段行情,这是一个ETF驱动的小牛市,华尔街进场, BTC在冲向90k的过程中,快速硬冲破了多个期权压制位置,是极其强势的,太刚反而容易脆,被伊朗的强硬和美债突然飙升的利率导致宏观恶化,在高位被一下子打压下来了,又回到了被期权仓位压制的情况,加上月底期权交割,所以,我在引文说“主力在这几天会把价格尽力维持在84-86k,两头吃流动性”,实际上也是这样的,这种情况破局最快在明天周一,合理时间是在10月1日左右 破局意味着,又要到互道傻逼的地方,这波期权交割完,在这震荡,主力又要选择方向了。这2天我都在思考,是向上的傻逼,还是向下的傻逼?你认为呢?我想听听大家观点,先说下我的: 如果向上就是冲90k的gamma墙,把向上空间打开 如果向下就是进入负gamma区,加速下跌,波动率快速放大,直插80k,甚至75k 我拿不准,但我判断是向上的傻逼是大概率 BTC从底部上来最高点已经有51%的涨幅,如果这个月线收涨,那么就连续第三个月涨了,第四个月再猛拉的概率小了一些,季
做个对冲,BTC进入负Gamma区,具体看我昨天发的最新区间帖子
+2.08%
Snapshot at Sep 28, 2026, 18:01
Hello Brother Du, I officially entered the crypto circle on September 15th...
Hello Du Ge, I officially started trading in the crypto space on September 15. I had some basic experience with fund and stock trading before, but it was very shallow. By luck, I grew 20u to 160u. However, around 1 PM today, I saw that Mars coin mar on X, and I went long on a 20× contract. The total amount at that time was 185u, with an unrealized loss of about 24u. At the same time, I also went long on mubarak, which had an unrealized profit of several tens of u, but I didn’t take profits in time. As a result, both of these positions dropped a lot this afternoon and were forcibly liquidated, bringing me back to 20u. I feel a bit lost and empty inside. Could you please give me some advice? Sorry to bother you. -- Spend one year focusing solely on BTC, knowing all its candlestick charts inside and out, ideally memorizing them. Spend 8 hours a day studying candlesticks and position management, repeatedly opening small trades and constantly verifying what you’ve learned, reviewing your trades countless times. Combining this with AI will speed up mastering a single asset thoroughly. After that, you can use what you learned for the rest of your life and expand it to other assets. After this year, BTC will become your cash machine, and trading will be your cash machine. More importantly, you will understand yourself better and find your niche in the industry’s ecosystem. Trading is one of the best training grounds; here you can see the world, see people, and most importantly, see yourself. If you enter the space just to chase quick opportunities, grabbing this and that, five years, or even eight to ten years later, you will find you have achieved nothing. You will be little different from when you first entered, only having lost more money and not found the reasons, blaming everything on manipulative whales.
$UNI 在这波BTC回调里,最低只到了8.7,刚好是我的第一批建仓成本价,然后再也没下过9,表现还是非常强势,很显然,有人在这波回调里扫货,有人扫货,自然就有人出货,UNI目前也吸引了过量关注了,大量博主在聊,所以,我反而要谨慎些
看了下UNI交易所存量,已经到了历史最高水平,最近一个月,大量UNI冲进交易所,很显然获利盘要出一波,我担心主力会在这里浇给一波,fangshouyibo
UNI可能两个剧本:
A剧本:向上,脱离9刀成本区
B剧本:大饼回调(如有),有机会接到7或者6字头货
第一批仓位,已经在8.7建立,并且9.2做了减仓
第二批仓位,我要么A剧本追10,要么B接7/6,这要看大饼脸色了 如果拉太快,就不建仓,还是怕主力浇给,如果大饼20-30%回调,山寨崩,上车,这波建仓会作为核心仓位
第三批仓位,如果继续跌破6,越跌越买
建仓后,最核心的是能在UNI后续30-50%回调(可能更高)当中能拿住,因为距离减半还有7个月,这期间会很曲折,很多人会被洗下车,希望后面如果UNI大暴跌,建仓的不要骂我
你要拿不住,可以至少拿到20,就下车,如果拿的住,拿到历史新高



Is ledger safe
Established and open-source, it's reliable. Cold wallets (hardware wallets) carry almost only personal risk, while exchange risks are nearly global. Hackers worldwide target the funds on exchanges, and with AI support, exchanges manage vast hot and cold wallet systems, extensive products, and user bases, which have many vulnerabilities. This is a long-term battle of offense and defense. Funds stored in cold wallets can at least ensure survival in the worst-case scenario. Ideally, you avoid suffering major setbacks or returning to square one due to force majeure or black swan risks. This portion of funds does not seek high returns; safety comes first, and once deposited, it should be moved as little as possible. The primary role of exchanges is trading, matching orders, and providing liquidity, not custody. My principle is to build positions at the bottom and immediately transfer to cold wallets, only moving funds when selling at high points. After selling, I immediately transfer the USDT back to cold wallets and diversify profits into cash, stocks, gold, etc. Besides keeping some cash myself, it's best to transfer more funds to a few trustworthy relatives as a fallback. In case of operational mistakes, relatives, especially parents, can safeguard the funds (assuming they are reliable and not susceptible to scams). In the previous cycle, my biggest concern was exchanges suddenly halting withdrawals or collapsing, so I bought and sold in batches, never exceeding $100,000 per transaction, executing market orders and withdrawing immediately. When I cleared my Ethereum at the top, I didn't even want the coins to leave my wallet; I directly swapped them for USDT within the wallet's aggregated DEX. I was willing to accept higher slippage for safety, considering it a worthwhile cost. At least half of my Ethereum position never left the hardware wallet.

