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#US30YYieldBreaks5.6% The Fed isn't hiking, but the bond market is tightening anyway 👀
October hike odds have cooled toward 50%, yet the 30-year yield still broke 5.6%, its highest since 2002.
What caught my attention is the leverage underneath. Hedge funds held about $2T in cash Treasuries, with some tied to basis trades.
If volatility forces those positions to unwind, rising yields stop being just a bond problem. They become a liquidity problem for stocks, gold and BTC.
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