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诸葛投研✊
诸葛投研✊
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$xCRCL 的主网如期上线,但股票昨天就开始下跌了,看来我清仓的策略是对的: 1. 昨天 $CRCL 跌了11.41%,比Coinbase 的10%、Bitmine 的8%、Strategy的 5%跌的都多。#CLARITY法案投票受阻引争议 2. 原因除了主网的利好落地,也有清晰法案的问题。砸得最狠的恰恰是"最吃美国合规红利"的CRCL。 3. 值得留个心眼的是 $ARC,市场给的预售估值约 30 亿美元。对 Circle 来说这是未来的融资工具,对生态参与者来说是一份还没发的空投悬念。 我的思路:我现在已经空仓,等这波"卖事实"杀完,看 80能不能横住再接。股票的问题不是产品,是监管真空把整条赛道的估值往下压——这不是一天能修好的。
诸葛投研✊
诸葛投研✊
Tomorrow, the Arc mainnet of $CRCL is going live, so today I liquidated all my $xCRCL. Three reasons: 1. The hype around the ARC chain mainnet is overheated, as you can see from the 80% premium over USDC. At this price, it's basically the eve of the positive news landing. With the mainnet launching tomorrow, it’s expected to pull back for a while. 2. Last time when it broke 100u, I didn’t sell, but it was clear that the sentiment had peaked. The result was a nearly 20% correction, and I suspect this scenario will replay starting tomorrow, so doing a swing trade and waiting for a lower entry point isn’t a bad idea. 3. The most important reason is that the market isn’t lacking assets with better cost-performance than CRCL right now, like $BTC and SOL. So even if I miss out on this rally, it’s a profitable miss, and focusing on other assets is also a good strategy.

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