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研亦有道
研亦有道
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这一次美联储加息落地,BTC和ETH为什么没怎么跌? 清晰法案没过、美联储加息25个基点,看似多重利空,其实这些其实都在预期内。市场早就提前跌过了,消息真正落地,反而没多少新增卖盘。所以一次加息没那么可怕,关键还是看下一次加息预期怎么走。 川普也不会坐看市场一直承压,马上又到中期选举,后面大概率还会想办法托经济、稳市场。 但短线我还是偏谨慎,明天还有日本央行议息,市场预期大概率继续加息。等日本这只靴子落地,再看流动性怎么走。这两天BTC想直接起飞不容易,反弹后的空头机会反而值得盯。$BTC $ETH $ZEC
研亦有道
研亦有道
As expected, no surprise with the rate hike of 25 basis points; Walsh's speech was hawkish, but the market had already priced it in early. The BTC chart also showed no major fluctuations, remaining steady within the 74,950-77,200 range, very stable. Walsh did not mention starting a long cycle of consecutive rate hikes, which itself is a bearish factor realized. Unless something unexpected happens, BTC should continue to oscillate. Regarding Federal Reserve Chair Walsh's speech, it currently appears neutral to slightly hawkish, and a bigger issue lies in the dot plot suggesting a possible rate hike in 2026, which has caused market concerns. However, Walsh did not submit his own dot plot forecast, and he also mentioned observing market prices during his speech to see what signals the market will convey? That is, current inflation, employment, and other data remain key factors in determining whether the Fed might raise rates again within the year. He also explained why the September hike occurred—due to strong data, a robust labor market, and high inflation—meaning upcoming CPI, PCE, and nonfarm payroll data remain critical points to watch. $BTC $ETH $ZEC
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Snapshot at Sep 17, 2026, 07:26

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