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ETH 夜盘+周五非农行情分析
ETH在2620–2730箱体已经震荡一周,期间两次向上假突破,但下方始终没有有效跌破箱体,这个结构说明多头的上攻意愿并不弱,只是被周五非农数据压制,资金不敢直接放量拉出单边行情,属于大涨前的震荡蓄力。
周五交易思路
重点等待下插机会:2580–2600区间,出现快速下探插针、随即收回的止跌信号,可以考虑接针博弈反弹。
前提:只是短暂插针,没有实体有效跌破2580;一旦放量跌破2580,接针思路直接放弃,不要硬扛抄底。
后市大方向,继续以置顶帖子的结构作为观测基准,结合之前江恩压力2716–2756、波段分水岭2536一起跟踪:
• 向上:若反弹重回2730上方,需要放量实体站稳2756,才代表本轮调整结束,打开上行空间;反复冲高不破2756依旧是区间震荡。
• 向下:短线生命线2580,更深一级波段分水岭2536,若非农直接砸破2536,则回调级别放大,转为深度回撤结构。
$ETH Gann Structure Analysis
As shown in the chart, 2716–2756 is the core resistance range for this round, which has been tested multiple times and is a concentrated supply zone.
• If the price cannot break above and hold firmly above 2756 with volume, the correction that started from 2807 will continue;
• Only by effectively holding above the 2716–2756 resistance zone can the correction end and the upward wave restart.
Key dynamic support below: the green Gann 2×1 angle line, corresponding to the price level 2536, which is the dividing line for the correction levels:
1. Holding 2536: The pullback from 2807 is only considered a minor correction within the red wave (2359–2907), the larger bullish structure remains intact, representing a pullback and accumulation within a bull market;
2. Effectively breaking below 2536: The correction level upgrades, no longer just a correction of 2359–2907, but a deep retracement of the larger wave 1505–2807, opening further downside space, shifting the outlook from buying on dips to a more oscillating bearish stance.
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