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太白居士🅥
太白居士🅥
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ETH现在最像一场“耐心测试”。 不是因为它跌得多,也不是因为它涨得猛,而是冲到2730美元附近之后,又重新回到了2680美元一带。 最新数据显示,ETH约2680美元,24小时区间大约在2658—2737美元,24小时成交额约144亿美元,合约未平仓量约467亿美元。 问题来了。 PCE已经低于预期,市场对10月加息的押注明显下降,但ETH并没有直接走出单边行情。 这说明资金现在更谨慎了。 因为周五还有非农。 所以接下来ETH最值得看的,不是2700美元这个整数位本身,而是价格能不能真正脱离2650—2740美元这个区间。 上方看2735—2750美元。 下方看2650美元附近。 如果突破时成交同步放大,说明市场开始重新定价;如果重新跌回区间下沿,则要观察资金是否开始撤退。 PCE已经交卷,非农还没落地。 ETH现在真正等的,可能不是一个方向,而是下一个足够让市场改变仓位的理由。 #加息预期推迟,9月非农成下一关键 #比特币ETF连续9日流入,ETH转流出 #美债收益率频创新高,长期利率压力未缓解 $ETH
太白居士🅥
太白居士🅥
PCE has already been released, but ETH hasn't rushed to react. This is actually the most interesting point to watch tonight. The latest data shows that ETH is currently around $2700, once reaching above $2720 intraday, then pulling back. In the past few days, ETH has basically been fluctuating between $2650 and $2740. Meanwhile, the macro background has also changed today. US August PCE rose 0.3% month-over-month, below the market expectation of 0.4%, and core PCE rose 0.2% month-over-month. The market's pricing for an October rate hike has clearly retreated. In theory, this should give some breathing room to risk assets. But ETH has not directly broken out yet. This is interesting. It indicates that the market may now be more concerned not about the PCE itself, but whether Friday's nonfarm payrolls will continue to change rate expectations. On the chart, the upper resistance is first seen around $2740–$2750, and support is near $2650. If ETH cannot break out of this range before the nonfarm data, it means funds are still waiting for the final confirmation signal. PCE has already been settled. Now, the real pending question is the nonfarm payrolls. #加息预期推迟,9月非农成下一关键 $ETH
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Snapshot at Sep 18, 2026, 22:42

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