#9月非农今晚公布,加息预期成焦点
Tonight's nonfarm payrolls are released, with the market expecting an increase of 90,000 jobs. I expect the announced figure to focus on 80,000–100,000.
Reuters survey expects 90,000, Dow Jones survey 84,000, and this week's ADP also 90,000. Compared to last month's 162,000, I lean towards a cooling in employment, but not to the point of a sharp slowdown.
However, a decline does not equal a positive signal; the market was already anticipating a decline.
To add fuel to the rebound of BTC and ETH, if expectations are met, we still need to watch wages: if hourly wages month-over-month drop to 0.2% and the unemployment rate remains steady at 4.1%, I would take a bullish view on this combination.
Therefore, if the employment numbers meet expectations, wages might be the key to tonight's surprise.
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