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$BTC 这张图怎么读 主图看,9/28 一根大阴砸到 82,500 周内低点,成交量 13.1 亿 U 全周最高,恐慌盘全出来了。9/29-30 弹起来摸 85,633 又被砸回 83,577,长上影说明 85,633 上面堆了一片供给,多头冲上去就被拍。10/1 收 84,830 往上蹭,离 85,633 还差 800 点。 划线看:下降压力线连 9/30 峰 85,633 到 10/01 次高 85,265,斜率近乎平但向下,头顶压着;预测反弹 T1 约 85,231(现价与阻力中位),T2 约 84,776(阻力下方 1%),反弹空间被压得很扁;备选回踩 80,850(支撑 82,500 下方 2%)。MA3 在 9/30 下穿 MA5 后 10/1 又勾头,均线纠缠没方向。 资金费率从 9/26 的 0.0017% 爬到 10/1 的 0.0065%,多头在加杠杆但远没到极端(极端通常 0.03% 以上)。结论:85,633 不破就空,破了再翻多。
colword.std
colword.std
Main focus $BTC | Strategy: Short by unloading the position first $BTC current price 84,830, trading back and forth within the 82,500-85,633 range this week, the ceiling at 85,633 was pressed down twice — on 9/27 it touched 85,146 then pulled back quickly, on 9/30 it surged to 85,633 then closed with a long upper shadow and dropped back to 83,577. The market makers are very slick with their "flash steps" above, whoever chases longs ends up taking the hit. Direction: short between 85,400-85,633, stop loss at 86,400 (about 0.9% above the 9/30 high of 85,633), first target 83,500, second target 82,500 weekly low, 5x leverage. Reason in one sentence: two attempts to break the top were rejected twice, OI has been flowing out for four days about 270 million U, only replenished 240 million on 10/1 — some money returned but still short of full strength, resistance level shorting has a favorable risk-reward ratio.

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