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$BTC $ETH $SOL #FOMC前最后一组数据：本周五非农 #财报观察员：博通业绩超预期，Snowflake上调指引 #沙特原油出口跌至9年最低，油价飙升
+44.64%
Snapshot at Sep 03, 2026, 11:01
$BTC Nonfarm payroll night, a typical case of all the good news being priced in, the market immediately reversed to harvest.
The nonfarm data came out with only 29,000 new jobs, far below the market estimate of 90,000. Last month's data was also revised downward, and the unemployment rate rose to 4.2%. Looking at the data alone, it should have been positive for the market, but the market first rallied to lure buyers, then quickly crashed.
The Nasdaq QQQ broke through 746 to reach 754, a record high, but couldn't hold the high level and fell back to test 740. If 740 doesn't hold, this strong rally will be in question; only if it holds is there a chance to push higher again.
Bitcoin followed a very familiar pattern: after the data release, it quickly rose from 86000 to 87200, many rushed to buy, but selling pressure came immediately, causing a plunge down to 85500. Short-term moving averages all turned down, showing weakness in the short term. The next key support to watch is 84200.
Ethereum slowly rose to 2777 during the day, but after all the good news was digested, a large bearish candle wiped out all gains, dropping to around 2700, with strong bearish pressure. If 2700 doesn't hold, it will test 2640. $ETH $ZEC #美国9月非农仅增2.9万，失业率升至4.2% #BTC、ETH现货ETF同步转流出，资金热度降温 #美债收益率频创新高，长期利率压力未缓解
+68.23%
Snapshot at Oct 03, 2026, 06:05
$BTC Non-farm payrolls are tonight, which is prone to triggering a major market reversal. The market looks like it's taking off across the board, but don't get impulsive and chase longs directly; it's very easy to get caught at the peak after a sudden waterfall drop.
BTC has been consolidating for a long time, and after stabilizing support, it strengthened again. This morning it surged straight from 84000 to 86800, met resistance at the high, and has now pulled back to oscillate around 86000. As long as it can hold the key support later, there is still a chance to move higher.
Compared to BTC, ETH's trend is clearly weaker. It held above 2700 this morning, only surged to 2730, then caught up later, reaching a high of 2777, but then lost momentum and pulled back. Non-farm payroll volatility is fast, chasing highs carries high risk, so don't enter blindly. $ETH $ZEC #9月非农今晚公布，加息预期成焦点 #BTC、ETH现货ETF同步转流出，资金热度降温 #美债收益率频创新高，长期利率压力未缓解
-41.76%
Snapshot at Oct 02, 2026, 20:31
$BTC surged to 87390 and then started to adjust, and today marks exactly ten days. It has been oscillating back and forth for so long without breaking out in a new direction. Based on my long-term review experience of $BTC's trend, large-scale adjustments often last for 15 days, 30 days, or 60 days.
Starting from the recent high, the critical 15-day window is approaching, which corresponds roughly to the last day of the National Day holiday. In other words, from now until this time window arrives, the market will most likely remain range-bound, making it difficult to sustain a continuous one-sided rise or fall.
In a choppy market, stop losses are easily triggered repeatedly, and frequent trading can lead to repeated losses. There's no need to rush to bet on long or short positions prematurely; patiently wait for the time window to materialize and for the market to choose a direction before taking action, which will be much safer. The cycle pattern is just a historical statistic and cannot guarantee it will definitely play out $ETH $SNDK #9月非农今晚公布，加息预期成焦点 #美伊升级风险再升，布油重回100美元 #美债收益率频创新高，长期利率压力未缓解
-52.07%
Snapshot at Oct 02, 2026, 11:21
$MU just finished summarizing the key points from Micron's latest earnings report.
In simple terms, Micron no longer relies on consumer-grade memory for profits; the consumer segment's share is almost gone, and revenue is basically supported entirely by data centers.
Major clients have directly locked in long-term supply contracts in advance, with these long-term orders accounting for about a quarter of total revenue through 2030. Clients have prepaid deposits of 32 billion, with all pending orders totaling 150 billion, roughly 17% in deposits. Clients are afraid of not getting the products, so they are prepaying to secure production capacity.
Many think the production expansion is limited by machines, but that's not the case. Equipment is not a concern; the real bottleneck is the cleanroom. Building new cleanrooms takes at least two to three years, which coincides with this storage market cycle. The shortage is in construction workers and the long construction period, which is a hard constraint and cannot be rushed.
Another crucial point: everyone talks about a shortage of computing power, but the bottleneck is not the chips themselves. The real limit is that new data centers have to queue for grid connection approvals. This is a genuine physical limit that storytelling alone cannot solve. Even if the chips are ready, if the data center can't connect to power, the computing power cannot go online $ETH $BTC #加息预期推迟，9月非农成下一关键 #美债收益率频创新高，长期利率压力未缓解 #比特币ETF连续9日流入，ETH转流出
+22.30%
Snapshot at Oct 02, 2026, 05:37
$BTC The U.S. Treasury has just repurchased $6 billion of its own debt.
Here’s the key point: it’s been less than a week since the last repurchase, and they’re acting consecutively.
This move directly signals that the depreciation of the dollar is accelerating.
A weaker dollar is a solid positive for BTC.
This is not just ordinary small news; it’s a macro-level catalyst that can easily drive the market to a major move. Be sure to closely watch the subsequent market reactions. $ETH $ZEC #加息预期推迟，9月非农成下一关键 #比特币ETF连续9日流入，ETH转流出 #美债收益率频创新高，长期利率压力未缓解
+3.11%
Snapshot at Oct 02, 2026, 04:05
$BTC is stuck oscillating around 82000, repeatedly testing but unable to hold steady.
Every time it briefly surges up, many people think it's stable and feel safe to go long.
Precisely at these moments is when it's most dangerous; this is a common tactic used by market makers, waiting for everyone to let their guard down before suddenly dumping the price.
Remember, 82000 is not a solid bottom; it's a psychological trap.
The situation with ETH is similarly weak; it has already broken below 2650 before, hitting a low of 2626. If it breaks through 2580 tonight, the downward space will continue to open.
The previously released PCE inflation data barely moved the market.
The rate hike expectations have long been priced in; what truly determines the market direction now is Micron's after-hours earnings report at 4 AM.
Whether AI chip demand is strong or not, this earnings report is more influential than any macro data.
If the performance falls short of expectations, tech stocks will come under pressure, and the crypto market will also experience volatility!$BTC $ETH #10月加息预期回落，今晚PCE成关键 #财报观察员：美光财报临近，AI存储需求成焦点 #美债30年期收益率突破5.6%，创2002年来新高
-77.58%
Snapshot at Oct 01, 2026, 10:20
$BTC US August inflation data is out, with overall PCE year-over-year at 3.4%, much better than the 3.7% that everyone was worried about. Core PCE year-over-year is 3.0%, and month-over-month only rose 0.2%, showing a clear cooling of inflation.
Logically, this is definitely positive news, which should ease concerns about further tightening policies, and risk assets should naturally strengthen accordingly. But interestingly, both Bitcoin and Ethereum have not been able to sustain an upward trend.
After the announcement, BTC briefly surged, touching above 85600, but soon fell back and is now around 83800. ETH peaked at 2738, similarly surged then retreated, dropping to around 2670.
This is a typical case of positive news landing and short-term funds taking profits. This single data point alone is not enough to drive the market to break through directly. This also indicates that the current market lacks strong bullish confidence, with heavy selling pressure above. To start a new round of rally, more incremental funds need to enter the market. $BTC $ETH #10月加息预期回落，今晚PCE成关键 #财报观察员：美光财报临近，AI存储需求成焦点 #美债30年期收益率突破5.6%，创2002年来新高
-68.57%
Snapshot at Oct 01, 2026, 07:36
$SNDK Last night, SNDK fell below 1700, which was actually anticipated. It had been gradually declining before the market opened, and this trend signal indicated that it would break through the 1700 level. This drop is not an isolated weakness of SNDK; the semiconductor sector as a whole is under pressure, with Intel, Hynix, and MU all retreating simultaneously. This is a sector-wide market movement, not due to any major negative news specific to SanDisk.
The sector sentiment dragged funds to collectively exit, which pushed the price down. This kind of sector resonance decline requires distinguishing whether it is an overall industry sentiment correction or a fundamental problem with an individual stock. The key now is to continuously observe whether the semiconductor sector can stop falling and start to recover. If the sector stabilizes, SNDK has a chance to recover; if the sector continues to weaken, it will be difficult for the individual stock to have an independent rebound. In terms of trading, do not rush to bottom-fish; patiently wait for signals of market stabilization! $BTC $ETH #10月加息预期回落，今晚PCE成关键 #财报观察员：美光财报临近，AI存储需求成焦点 #美债30年期收益率突破5.6%，创2002年来新高
-50.19%
Snapshot at Sep 30, 2026, 12:08
The longer $BTC consolidates sideways, the easier it is for a big move to happen later. Now, we just need to patiently wait for the direction to be chosen! BTC, BEAT, and ZEC are all stuck at critical levels and could break out at any time.
Starting with the big coin BTC, it is currently fluctuating around 83,000. The first support below is at 80,000, with stronger support at 78,000. On the upside, keep an eye on resistance at 85,000. If it can break and hold above 85,000 with volume, there is a chance to push toward 88,000 or even reach new highs. Conversely, if 80,000 does not hold, bears will likely continue pushing down to test the 78,000 level! $ETH $SNDK #本周迎非农与PCE关键数据 #财报观察员：美光财报临近，AI存储需求成焦点
-52.31%
Snapshot at Sep 30, 2026, 09:40