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$AKE Long position review: Entered at 0.04131, 20x leverage, mark price 0.05446, unrealized profit +636.64%.
From a technical perspective, the hourly chart shows a double bottom structure near 0.04, with volume moderately increasing before a volume breakout above the neckline. MACD shows a golden cross diverging upwards, and the moving average system is in a bullish alignment. The market movement is very steady, without violent shakeouts, representing a typical trending market with perfect volume-price coordination.
In terms of operation, the trailing stop has been moved up to the cost line to secure breakeven first. The resistance above is at the 0.06 whole number level; a breakout would open space towards 0.08. If pressured and falling back, take profits in batches and exit without stubbornness.
20x leverage carries extremely high risk; be cautious of extreme market spikes and control your trades. #BTC冲高$87000，加密总市值重返3万亿 $BTC $ETH Overseas KOLs are bullish on $CORE against the trend? Bull market target still looks at $0.5
Despite the global high interest rate expectations heating up again, many crypto influencers on X and Twitter still include CORE in the BTC-Fi key watchlist and set a target price of $0.5 for this bull market cycle. The overseas discussion focus is not on short-term price fluctuations but on whether its Bitcoin financial narrative can truly take root.
🔥 Three new bullish logics from overseas
1. Hashrate is not just packaging but bound to the consensus layer
Most BTC-Fi projects remain at cross-chain mapping and asset wrapping. CORE’s difference lies in introducing Bitcoin miners’ hashrate into network security and consensus, making hashrate expansion and halving cycles endogenous variables of the network rather than external concepts. This structure is harder to simply replicate.
2. From hoarding BTC to a yield closed loop using BTC
The overseas community focuses not on single staking but on the closed loop formed by staking, AMP, LST, and SatPay: BTC can generate yield, maintain liquidity, and enter payment scenarios. If institutions accept this "Bitcoin bank" framework, CORE could become the entry point for BTC yield layers.
3. Fusion upgrade seen as a revaluation trigger
The Fusion upgrade is widely discussed overseas not just as a technical upgrade but as a potential change in how token value is captured. If the upgrade improves staking, cross-chain, and asset protocol efficiency, the market will reassess CORE’s position in the BTC-Fi track.
#全球高利率预期再升温 Sandisk's S&P 100 entry looks like a useful test of positioning versus fundamentals. Shares rose 10.99% in the final session before inclusion, then slipped about 1.4% on Sep 21 as passive allocation completed.
The stronger signal now is FY2026 data center revenue, up 437% YoY. Micron's Sep 30 earnings could help distinguish an industry-wide storage cycle from company-specific momentum.
#SandiskSP100AIFocus $ADA Key short-term levels to watch are 0.2480 and 0.2418; the former is the upper Bollinger Band, and the latter is the lower Bollinger Band combined with support near MA20.
The Fear and Greed Index reads 78, indicating an extreme greed zone. This means market sentiment is overheated with increased risk of chasing highs, but it also shows that funds are still rotating within the market. BTC's recent stabilization has provided a catch-up window for altcoins. ADA is up +5.40% in 24h with a trading volume of 77.7M USDT, representing a moderate follow-up rally rather than an emotional surge, which is healthier than a sharp spike. Technically, MA5=0.24616 is slightly above MA20=0.24491, showing a short-term bullish alignment; RSI=60.7 is in a neutral to slightly strong zone, not yet overbought; however, the MACD histogram is -0.0005508, with momentum still below the zero line, indicating that upward moves require volume confirmation. The funding rate at +0.0100% is normally slightly bullish, with no excessive crowding among longs.
Directionally, I lean bullish but only plan to buy on pullbacks, not chase highs. Entry reference is 0.2430–0.2450, near the MA20 and the middle Bollinger Band pullback zone, offering a better risk-reward. Take profit 1 is at 0.2480, corresponding to resistance at the upper Bollinger Band; take profit 2 is at 0.2530, an extension target after breaking above the upper band. Stop loss is set at 0.2395; if it breaks below the lower Bollinger Band at 0.2418 and loses MA20 support, the short-term bullish logic fails.ETF ISN’T CHASING PRICE — IT MAY BE LEADING IT
$BTC just saw nearly $1B in ETF inflows, yet price slipped to $85.12K (-1.72%). $ETH showed the same pattern: +$269.98M, while price fell 2.14% to $2.72K.
That’s the interesting part:
Red price. Green flows.
If ETF investors are buying the dip,
the question isn’t just Who is selling?
it’s Who is absorbing the selling?
#BTC87KCryptoCap3T Brothers, yesterday the "genius trader" on-chain knight completely crashed.
Yesterday, the yield once reached over 80%, but when people get cocky, their brains stop working.
Originally, the trading was going well, but I stubbornly shorted Ethereum with 10x leverage right from the start, crazily adding positions, and soon all my bullets were gone.
But Ethereum didn’t give me any face, it kept rallying and rising all the way up to 2806.96.
My short position had a floating loss of more than half, and in the end, I had to admit my mistake and stop the loss.
The most heartbreaking part is that the price dropped again the next day.
Yesterday, I kept adding to my short position while Ethereum kept surging, which completely stunned me.
This crash made me fully realize: making 80% profit doesn’t mean you’re a genius; when the market goes against you, 10x leverage can just as easily wipe out all your profits.
So from now on, I’m setting new rules: fixed principal of 100U, starting over.
Leverage controlled between 3 to 5 times, no more stubborn 10x.
Add positions in batches, with the first position only 10%, then subsequent batches laid out in a 1:3:5 ratio.
The most important rule: stop loss at 50%, admit mistakes when reached, no more holding on indefinitely.
Consider this tuition paid, starting fresh with 100U, survive first, then talk about making money.
#BTC冲高$87000，加密总市值重返3万亿 I recalculated the 10,000 U I lost.
I didn't trade these past few days after liquidation, which actually gave me time to go back and review my previous records. Overall, I lost about 10,000 U. In the past, when I lost, I just accepted it and rarely did a proper tally. This time, I reviewed each trade one by one and discovered a rather painful issue:
I wasn't losing on a single trade, but kept repeating the same mistake.
When the price rose, I was afraid of missing out, so I chased longs.
When it fell, I was afraid it would keep dropping, so I chased shorts.
When I just went long and faced a pullback, I started doubting myself and then reversed to short.
After reversing, the market would rally again, so I reversed back to long. I made quite a few trades in a day, but only a few were truly planned. Even worse, I couldn't stop after losing.
A phrase kept running through my mind:
"This trade will recover the previous losses." So I kept increasing my position size and trading more aggressively. The last 5,000 U liquidation was actually just the accumulated problems exploding all at once. Looking back at this 10,000 U loss now, I think I can't simply blame "bad market conditions." The market will always have times that don't suit you.
The real questions are: Why didn't I choose to exit when the market didn't go as I expected?
Why did I keep trading even after consecutive mistakes?
Why was my first reaction after losses not to stop, but to try to recover?
This liquidation forced me to stop.
Now I have no positions and no funds to continue trading, so I won't trade for now. I'll first understand my past mistakes. Moving forward, I will keep recording these things.
Not to predict how much I can earn next time, but to see if I can make fewer mistakes first. When that $BTC order of over twenty million on Hyperliquid was liquidated, the project team was actually looking at another chart. In four hours, long positions liquidated 41 million, while short positions only 16 million.
This difference is not a market issue but a position structure issue. When the longs get crowded to a certain extent, as soon as the price drops a bit, forced liquidations will trigger a chain reaction of further liquidations.
#BTC87KCryptoCap3T 2800 hasn't firmly held yet, there should still be a chance, right?
Right now, I'm really holding on with the profits made earlier.
It's time to cool down, hopefully it drops soon!
$ETH peaked at 2806 this wave, now it's back around 2730. I'm still holding this 2640 short position.
The 1-hour chart has already dropped below MA10 and MA20, the upward momentum is cooling off. Next, focus on 2780–2800; as long as this resistance holds, bears still have room to wait for a pullback.
Below, first watch 2700, if it breaks, then look near 2650. If 2800 is firmly reclaimed, I'll consider cutting losses and exiting.
I already reduced this short once before, pocketing 548U, plus 2411U earned from the previous long. Now I'm still using profits to withstand the pullback.
$RLS is also strong today, peaking at 0.00293, now around 0.00276.
In the short term, mainly watch if 0.00275 can hold; if it holds, there's a chance to test 0.00282–0.00293 again; once it breaks, be wary of a quick high-level retracement. I won't chase at this position.
For this position, now just watch 2800; if it holds pressure, continue waiting for a pullback; if it truly holds, consider exiting. Profits are only for trial and error, never for unlimited holding.
#BTC冲高$87000，加密总市值重返3万亿
#Strategy再度增持，财库同步加仓 Costco is about to announce its earnings report, so why is the crypto community so concerned about how many roast chickens it has sold?
It neither hoards Bitcoin nor accepts Bitcoin payments.
But it knows whether Americans' wallets are full.
Good earnings → Americans are still aggressively buying toilet paper and roast chicken→ Consumption is strong→ inflation can't be suppressed→ The Fed doesn't dare to cut rates→ The crypto sector, a risk asset supported by liquidity, is struggling.
Poor earnings reports → cooling consumption → rising expectations for rate cuts → The market is betting on the Fed's liquidity injection→ Bitcoin may actually rise first.
So crypto insiders look at Costco's earnings not by how many roast chickens it sold, but by whether Americans' wallets are still full and whether the Fed's faucet will be loosened.
$BTC
#财报观察员: Costco's Q4 earnings report is about to be released $ETH retracement is not a sign of weakness; instead, it's an opportunity for bulls to get back in!
Brothers, this ETH pullback has indeed shaken the confidence of many. When it first surged, everyone was shouting about a breakout, but with a slight retracement, doubts quickly arose about whether the rally was over.
However, from the surface, Luo Jie is not so pessimistic. The current upward structure of ETH has not been broken; the short-term pullback is more about digesting the previous gains. Luo Jie has already positioned long orders near 2729 in advance, is still holding the position, and has unrealized profits, so there is no rush to exit here.
Next, focus on the 2730 area. As long as the support holds steady and there is continued buying pressure below, bulls still have room to push further.
If it stabilizes again and breaks upward, the first target is the 2800 level, and after breaking that, higher levels will be considered. #财报观察员：好市多Q4财报即将公布 Don't just focus on hundred-bagger coins; the real hidden trend is US stocks on-chain
The SEC has granted a five-year innovation exemption for "US stocks on-chain," allowing tokenized US stocks to be traded on public blockchains if conditions are met.
Many people haven't noticed this, but it might be more practical than chasing the next hundred-bagger coin.
The last bull market relied on issuing tokens; this round relies on moving real assets onto the chain. Once the compliant channel opens, the way funds flow in will change.
Don't just watch the K-line; pay attention to where policies are heading.
$BTC $ETH
#Strategy再度增持，财库同步加仓 #财报观察员：好市多Q4财报即将公布 Last week, corporate treasuries once again engaged in intensive buying. Strategy increased its Bitcoin holdings by 950 coins after two weeks, pushing its total holdings to 846,000 coins; Strive increased its holdings by 1,355 coins during the same period, raising its total to 26,000 coins. On the Ethereum side, BitMine added 27,000 ETH, bringing its total holdings close to 5.98 million ETH, of which 5.07 million ETH have already been locked into staking pools.
Don't simply see this as a routine show of strength by the giants. A single company's purchases can't determine the overall trend, but collective action by multiple treasuries, combined with the inflow of funds from spot ETFs, is gradually draining the already limited tradable supply on exchanges.
The biggest difference between treasury buying and speculative trading is the chip sedimentation. Retail investors frequently trade, while institutions tend to lock up their purchases for the long term. Especially with BitMine staking over 80% of its ETH to earn yield, it effectively turns liquid funds into illiquid yield-generating capital, creating an invisible liquidity vacuum wall in the market.
However, the real variable comes after the price rises. The higher the coin price, the greater the barriers and resistance for companies to buy coins through bond issuance or equity financing. Going forward, two points need close attention: whether the pace of treasury accumulation slows after the price surge, and whether corporate buying can continue to flow in tandem with ETF funds.
When whales and institutions join forces to lock up chips, liquidity premiums in the secondary market could erupt at any time. Do you think this obsession of corporate treasuries buying more as prices rise is building momentum for a super bull market, or is it accumulating a valuation bubble for themselves? Oracle has turned green again, finally can frown less for a while 😮💨 Bought long at 148.28, screenshot taken at 149.34, this contract has an unrealized profit of +14.29%, still not closed. Didn’t exit at 151 earlier, then it dropped to 146, now back above cost, after all the fluctuations, my mood has moved even more than the price.
I continue to lean bullish, besides computing power, I also value its database business, an old staple. On August 13, Oracle announced an expansion of its long-term cooperation with Amazon Web Services (AWS); the related database services now cover 22 AWS regions, and some enterprises already use it to run core business. Choosing AWS as a customer doesn’t mean giving up Oracle’s database.
I find this quite interesting: it doesn’t necessarily have to take over the customer’s entire system to keep doing business with them. My understanding is, rather than forcing customers to choose sides between two clouds, it’s better to let customers use their products within their original environment. This kind of cooperation has a chance to retain customers, which is more worth my attention than simply debating "who will win the entire cloud market."
However, having an additional growth path doesn’t mean the pressure of investment disappears. In the September financial report, quarterly free cash flow is still negative, so whether the business can expand and when these expansions will truly generate cash must be viewed separately.
I won’t move the take-profit at 160 for now, first observing if it can stand back above 150. If the rebound loses momentum again, I’d rather reduce my position a bit first, not dragging risk management to the next breakeven point.$CORE late-night official project post reiterates the three security locks of core chain staking.
Three input guarantees for Core:
→1 Bitcoin miners delegate the computing power of the blocks they have mined.
→2 Bitcoin holders stake BTC without giving up custody rights.
→3 CORE holders stake CORE.
As is well known, everyone is currently waiting for the project team to release credible data on the handling of the validator reward inflation incident. However, once again, what everyone gets is not the handling data, but the project officials repeating the old so-called security narrative?
What’s laughable is that while repeatedly emphasizing the reliability of on-chain security, the validator reward inflation incident still occurred? This contradictory argument intertwines and overlaps, gradually destroying the already shaky trust crisis of the project.
So far, the project team has never provided credible data on the handling of the incident and has tried to divert public attention and opinion by posting about other matters, attempting to let the incident die down and be forgotten. But this perfunctory approach not only fails to eliminate everyone’s doubts but backfires, causing more suspicion, speculation, and complaints. Under such circumstances, it becomes even harder for the project to shift from negative public opinion to positive sentiment, making it more difficult to advance and develop healthily.
Only by achieving the scale of $BICO can recovery be possible.
The above represents personal views only and does not constitute other advice or guidance!
#BTC冲高$87000，加密总市值重返3万亿 $NES (Nesa, AI privacy reasoning L1) launched on Binance Alpha/Spot and Perpetual on 6.24. It was once maliciously minted for $50 million due to a vulnerability (actually only $60,000 was dumped, liquidity was extremely shallow). The order book shows 0.1416 long, 0.1716 current, price movement 21.2% → 20x floating profit 423.7%.
The early phase showed a sharp pull-up + mid-to-late phase oscillating upward, characterized by oversold (0.14 bottoming) + perpetual (OKX/Gate/Bybit 20x) short squeeze resonance. On-chain: circulating supply 142 million (14.2%), total supply 1 billion, FDV about 155 million, MC about 24 million, PancakeSwap initial liquidity only 1.7 million, holdings were once highly concentrated (77.7%).
At 20x leverage, a pullback of 4.3% (around 0.164 liquidation) is expected, actual tolerance about 3.8% (including fees); 0.1716 currently faces resistance at 0.17-0.18, failure to hold leads back to 0.158, breaking 0.1416 start point turns weak. $BTC $ETH #BTC冲高$87000，加密总市值重返3万亿 Late at night, I brew a cup of concentrated energy, watch the pulsating candlesticks, and the red and green lights on the screen reflect my tired face. After years of struggling in the crypto world and US stocks, used to the bloody bull and bear cycles, I increasingly feel that retail investors compete on technical indicators while institutions play open strategies. Last week's data is quite intriguing. Corporate Treasuries have started a new round of buying again: after a two-week break, Strategy quietly acquired 950 BTC, pushing its reserves to a staggering 846,000; Strive was also unwilling to back down, buying 1,355 BTC; and BitMine was even more aggressive, directly swallowing 27,562 ETH, with total holdings approaching 5.98 million, of which over 5.07 million were staked. Many people saw these numbers and felt like going all-in. But veterans know that a single company's buying can't change the ever-changing big trend; the truly terrifying part is the "margin effect." When these institutions' balance sheets resonate with the steady inflows of spot ETFs, the once liquid tokens in exchanges are being locked away like droplets of water. ETH is heavily staked, BTC is stuffed into cold wallets, and the number of tokens available for gambling is dwindling day by day. What's even more intriguing is the linkage between US stock token targets and the broader market—for example, Nasdaq-pegged assets like $xQQQ are becoming the most subtle bridge between traditional capital and crypto natives. Look at the neighboring tradition$ETH current price is 2734, dropping straight from 2800 to 2714, then bouncing back to 2734. This up-and-down movement is purely a "long-short double kill."
The 7-day increase is still over 12%, but today's surge followed by a pullback clearly shows that the previous rise was excessive, and profit-taking is happening.
Personal feeling: 2700 is a key psychological support level in the short term. If it holds, it could test 2750 again; if it really breaks down, brothers, expect to see 2650. Tonight, we still need to watch the mood of the US stock market.
Control your hands, don't chase the highs, wait for a clear direction to emerge
$BTC $ETH $DOGE #BTC冲高$87000，加密总市值重返3万亿 Nobody wanted $UNI at $3, today it's $8.99 and still rising.
The SEC exemption has been fueling this fire since September 17, in 5 days from $6 to $8.78, with a single-day peak of +30%. No dump today, Robinhood Stock Tokens 80% flow through Uniswap.
But SEC exemption ≠ securities exemption, it's a 5-year transition. TSV only runs in the V4 permissioned pool, regulation is still tight. UNI earns on-chain swap fees, burning UNI according to UNIfication = real income.
The risk is concentration: Robinhood accounts for 80% of UNI income, switching the underlying protocol would zero out income. RSI 84→58, 4-hour bearish divergence.
Support at $8.50, $8.30 = 5-day moving average, $8.00 round number; resistance above at $9.05-9.20 = today's congestion.
Summary: UNI = real income + real narrative, priced in but not fully digested. Position ≤3%, scale in at $8.30-8.50. Reduce if it breaks $8.00, stop loss if it breaks $7.50. $SUI recent market repeatedly trades on expectations for “Sui Basecamp (10.7-8 Singapore)”, combined with the preheating of “Agentic Payments / confidential transfers”, the ecosystem narrative (Move-based L1 + zkLogin) is warming up.
Order book: 0.8197 long, 1.0207 spot, 50x floating profit 1226%, early stage sideways consolidation, late stage stepped sharp rally = short covering + perpetual squeeze, not a pure spot one-sided move. On-chain: TVL recently about $465 million (DeFiLlama), stablecoin market cap about $450-475 million, daily active addresses about 129,000, 24h transactions 29.3 million (data fluctuates), DEX volume rising but not extremely explosive.
Theoretical tolerance under 50x is about 1.5-2%, actual including 4h fee erosion only about 1.2-1.4%; 1.0207 close to the 1.0 psychological level, holding above looks at 1.05-1.10 (pre-Basecamp expectation), failing to hold returns to 0.98, breaking 0.95 destroys the squeeze structure. $BTC $ETH #BTC冲高$87000，加密总市值重返3万亿 The crypto market, which was holding steady at the 80,000 level yesterday, jumped to 86,000 today, hitting an eight-month high, soaring 6 points in a single day. The total crypto market capitalization surged by $160 billion in a single day, returning to the $3 trillion scale, while short positions were liquidated nearly $8 trillion in a single day, and short-selling investors were directly "carried out" by the market. The most noteworthy factor in this rally is the leading stock: not Bitcoin, but Pepe (PEPE), which surged 23% in a single day, Dogecoin also rose 13%, while mainstream coins saw the smallest gains. This rotation of funds from core assets to fringe coins is a typical sign of market overheating—funds are heading to the dirtiest and most "chaotic" corners, indicating market sentiment has entered an irrational phase. From a technical perspective, Bitcoin's 7-day RSI has risen to 80, entering the overbought zone. Market sentiment has peaked: the screen is filled with voices saying "the bulls are back," and even institutional leaders are starting to declare bullish. But there's an iron rule in investing: when everyone starts calling for a new bull market, the short term is often the most dangerous. Although the market has risen 50% in two months and the trend is real, you need to distinguish two things: chasing in today might be right in the short term, but if it pulls back 3% tomorrow, you are likely to lose control. After two rounds of trading, the bull market is still in place but the money is gone. If you want to get on board, don't rush—wait for the RSI to cool down, then proceed slowly in batches. This rally has been going on for eight months; it doesn't matter if you have three to five days. Remember: a surge day is not an opportunity day, but a day when sentiment is at its highest. No increase in sentiment, a sharp rise on the day$ETH ETH
David's Trading Notes
2026.9.22
1. About Positions / Intraday Plan
Yesterday, I followed the trend to go long and succeeded, plus the only short range given at 2796-01 also hit a reversal.
Today's market characterization: mainly a correction, but no trading on this correction itself intraday; low buys as support, only trend-following long positions.
1. Look to go long at two levels: 2703 and 2687, enter after a bullish engulfing pattern on the 5-minute chart; if no signal, do not trade.
2. Viewpoint
The market has reached a historical bull-bear dividing line; hitting 2800 triggers a sell-off, the structure is complete and requires correction. Next, we will see how deep the correction is.
2703 and 2687 are pullbacks during the correction; if a bullish engulfing pattern appears, trade according to the main bullish direction; if not, do not guess the bottom.
Having profited does not mean shorting today; watch the correction, do not trade the correction—this is discipline: no chasing shorts, only re-enter on pullback signals.
Trading cannot be fully profitable every day, nor always win; trade aggressively in good markets, slow down in bad markets #BTC冲高$87000，加密总市值重返3万亿
#Strategy再度增持，财库同步加仓 Extreme greed at 78, can the 20% rise of $FORM still be chased?
Conclusion first: do not chase the high, wait for a pullback. The Fear and Greed Index at 78 indicates the market is overall in an exuberant zone, but $FORM's 24h +20.02% has already maxed out short-term sentiment, making chasing longs very low in cost-effectiveness at this time. From a technical perspective, MA5=0.31678 is still below MA20=0.32865, so the moving average system has not yet formed a bullish alignment; RSI=49.0 is in a neutral zone and has not strengthened in sync with the new price highs, suggesting a possible volume-price divergence; MACD histogram = -0.007024 remains bearish, indicating upward momentum is mainly driven by spot impulses rather than trend buying. The upper Bollinger Band at 0.407553 is an extreme resistance level, with a 30-candle amplitude as high as 54.06%, and volatility has expanded to a level prone to two-way stop losses. Funding rate +0.0050% is slightly positive, meaning longs have to pay to hold positions, further suppressing the willingness to chase the rise. Overall, sector rotation driven by BTC has given $FORM an emotional premium, but structurally it is more likely a consolidation digestion after a spike.This round of altcoin market should be coming to an end, the broad beta rally is over, maybe a very few coins still have some opportunities, but it tests coin selection and trading skills.
The double bottom structure of TOTAL3 (the total market cap of coins excluding the top 10 by market cap, generally used as a reference for altcoin market cap) has basically rebounded to the corresponding target level.
Many altcoins show fatigue in daily charts. This broad rally in mid-September, in my view, definitely cannot last, because it makes no sense, they are all trash, why should they rise?
Even AI fears bubbles, and these trash coins in the crypto space are bubbles within bubbles.
Of course, a few with fundamentals, actual revenue, and buybacks are another matter.🚨 $ETH IS ABOVE $2.7K — NOW THE REAL TEST BEGINS
Ethereum has pushed through the $2,700 area, showing strong upside momentum even as recent ETF flows have been less supportive.
📊 The interesting part:
ETH spot ETFs recorded roughly $140M in weekly outflows for Sept. 14–18, ending four consecutive weeks of inflows.
Yet price continues to push higher.
That creates an important divergence between price action and capital flows. 👀
🎯 Watch $2,700 closely:
If ETH can turn this zone into support, SOL was just one step away from 120 USD in the morning, but by the afternoon it had fallen back to 115.7. The morning's "relative strength" assessment was immediately contradicted by the market.
According to OKX data, SOL dropped about 3% from around 119.2 at 8:55, while BTC fell about 1.5% from 86,445 to around 85,115. SOL's larger pullback indicates that during the morning's near-peak movement, buying pressure was more urgent than absorption.
This also explains why I didn't switch positions just because SOL was strong in the morning. 120 was merely a price threshold; until it holds, calling it strong was premature. BTC perpetual funding rate remains at 0.01%, showing no signs of sudden leverage loss of control. The afternoon's decline should be treated as profit-taking at high levels rather than a one-sided liquidation.
I will lower the observation level for SOL from 120 to 115. Only if the price returns above 120 and BTC holds above 85,000 will the strong assessment be restored; if SOL continues to break below 115, the morning's move should be considered an incomplete breakout.
#SOL延续涨势，资金与链上需求共振 $BTC Tuesday watch: Will $86k hold after short squeeze?
Yesterday's push to $86k looked like 300M short covering, not pure spot buying. Now $BTC back to $85.5k.
What I'm watching today:
- Does $83k-$84k hold as support?
- Spot volume coming or just futures?
- $ETH still struggling below $2.9k
If $86.8k breaks with volume, $87k-$90k quick. If not, we retest $83k first. No need to chase first candle.
What’s your bias—continuation or pullback?👇
$BTC $ETH $SOL #OKX #OKX0rbit #Bitcoin #OracleAdobeToday AI demand is no longer the question. The bill is 👀
Oracle has a massive $638B backlog, but investors want to see how quickly it becomes revenue and whether that cash can outrun AI capex. Adobe faces a similar test with Firefly and GenStudio: can AI lift revenue without eating margins?
What caught my attention is the shift.
From Oracle's cloud to Adobe's software and Apple's AI hardware, the race is moving from building AI to proving it actually paysBTC broke through $85,000.
Everyone is asking:
"Is the bull market back?"
But I think we should ask a different question:
Who exactly bought during this rise?
CoinGlass data shows that in the relevant 24-hour window:
Total liquidations were about $746.6M.
Among them, shorts were about $647.9M.
In other words, a large part of the buying came from:
Shorts being forced to close their positions.
The logic is simple.
Price rises
↓
Shorts lose money
↓
Trigger forced liquidation
↓
Shorts must buy BTC
↓
Price rises further
↓
More shorts get liquidated.
This is a typical short squeeze.
But there is a more interesting data point:
After liquidations occur, the market's open interest actually continues to increase.
This means the market is not inactive.
Rather:
Old positions die off, new positions come in.
So the real question now is not:
"Can BTC keep rising?"
But:
After shorts cover, can spot buying take over?
Because forced buying can accelerate the move.
But it cannot sustain the trend forever.
So when I look at this BTC breakout, I focus more on one variable:
The switch from forced buying to voluntary buying.
The price breakout is just the result.
The buying structure is the cause.#BTC冲高$87000，加密总市值重返3万亿 Bitcoin is stuck near the annual opening price; 87K is not something that can be passed casually.
From the chart, you can see: the 2023 opening resistance is around 87500.
The current price is about 86720, just touching this line and then facing resistance.
Nearby, there is an even higher 2024 opening resistance, around 92500.
Simply put: this round has pulled up from around 82,000, driven by short covering and market risk appetite together, which does not mean the trend has confirmed a breakout.
Strategy is still adding positions, but the stock price rising does not mean the spot resistance is gone.
Market sentiment is already heated; the hotter it gets, the more important it is to see if key levels have volume support.
My view: don’t rush to chase a breakout trade today; treat it as a pressure test and watch the close.
How to act: lightly observe if 87500 can hold; if it fails, the daily chart will fall back below 84000, so don’t add positions yet.
Keep positions small first, wait for close confirmation before deciding whether to add.
Do you believe it will break through to 90,000 first, or will it pull back for a washout first?
$BTC $ETH $MSTR
#BTC冲高$87000，加密总市值重返3万亿
#Strategy再度增持，财库同步加仓 This wave, I really didn't understand it, but it understood me. When the market was just crashing in the morning session, $XAU showed weak rebound, obvious resistance above, strong selling pressure, and low trading volume. At that time, I suggested that with high-level pressure, shorting the rebound is more comfortable than chasing longs.
From 4,377.5 to 4,322.4, +125.64% was directly captured. The earlier part was really slow, but the outcome was really sweet.
Take profits first, close 80%, and keep the remaining 20% at cost price for protection. Don't be greedy for the last bit.
The market specializes in punishing all kinds of arrogance, especially those who think they are the smartest. Better to miss a limit-up than to catch a flying knife and end up bleeding.
For friends who haven't entered yet, listen to me: chasing shorts can also get taught by a rebound, wait for a new structure to appear before deciding.
$ADA $LAB $UNI Uniswap and Circle have joined hands, and the potential of this combination is considerable.
The leading stablecoin's new public chain specifically calls for deployment on v4. This handshake deserves a separate mention.
1. Strong alliance: v4 is confirmed to be deployed on Circle's Arc chain, with the Arc mainnet launching in September. USDC will be used directly as gas, achieving sub-second finality. UNI gains a wealthy new neighbor in the multi-chain landscape by joining the leading stablecoin's new public chain.
2. Real capital migration: Spark's DualPool Hook is implemented, migrating $150 million of idle stablecoins into the v4 treasury to earn interest, with atomic withdrawal during trading. The number of v4 hook instances has exceeded 90,000, and DeFi funds are moving here.
3. Technical heat: At 8.98, RSI is 77.9, ranking among the top pools, with a long upper shadow at 9.44 still pressing overhead. The community is discussing activating the v4 protocol fee; if approved, it would add another faucet to the burn pool.
But that's for later; first, digest the overbought condition. Perpetual OI 580M $SENT (10.37M USD), average long-short rate +0.005% (longs pay shorts), Binance accounts for 58.4% of OI, OKX 10.7%, longs are crowded.
Order book entry at 0.01632, current 0.01963, 50x profit 1014%, price ladder surge = short covering + low circulation wash trading, not led by spot net buyers (spot daily volume only 9.4M). On-chain: circulation rate 21%, unlocking normalized (31.84M tokens each in July-August), selling pressure not reduced.
Under 50x: price movement 20.3% → floating profit 1014%, drawdown 1.6% (0.0193) very close to liquidation line, actual tolerance about 1.2%; current 0.01963 close to 0.02, needs explosive volume (AI narrative + GRID new catalyst), otherwise will pull back to 0.0175-0.0180. $BTC $ETH #BTC冲高$87000，加密总市值重返3万亿 🚨 $BTC’S $85K BREAKOUT HAS A HIDDEN FUEL
Bitcoin didn’t just rise — more than $750M in crypto positions were liquidated in 24 hours, including about $648M in shorts.
That means part of today’s rally came from forced buying as bearish positions were wiped out.
But there’s another layer: Strategy also bought 950 BTC for $75.7M last week.
So the real test starts now: can spot demand keep BTC above $85K after the short squeeze fades?
#CryptoCapReclaims2.8T
#ZEC38KShortClosed
#TrumpGulfIranTalks Many people lose money not because they chose the wrong direction, but because their position size was too large. They got the direction right but couldn't withstand the intermediate fluctuations, got thrown off the trade, and then chased the price higher only to get trapped again.
The core of position risk control is not about how much you can earn when you're right, but how much you can afford to lose when you're wrong. Before opening a position, always ask yourself: what's the maximum loss for this trade? Will losing that amount affect my mindset?
When I lost 200,000 USDT, it was because my position was too heavy. The direction was right, but I couldn't hold through the pullbacks, kept moving my stop loss, and what should have been a small profit turned into a big loss. Now I've learned: I test with a small 5,000 USDT position, use a full position mode but set a 15% maximum drawdown warning line—when it hits, I stop trading. BTC is currently at 85,474, resistance at 87,374, support at 81,358; I place stop losses below support and reduce positions at resistance.
Direction determines whether you make money; position size determines whether you survive to the day you make money. $BTC #BTC冲高$87000，加密总市值重返3万亿 RWA has really brought the European Central Bank and others this time.
On September 21, the European Central Bank system launched Pontes, allowing institutions to settle tokenized asset transactions using central bank money. The European Central Bank itself is also preparing to invest a small portion of its own funds in tokenized securities; this is still in preparation and no official purchases have been made yet.
In simple terms, even the central bank is ready to personally try out asset tokenization on the blockchain.
This doesn't mean the central bank is entering the market to buy coins, but it's definitely more substantial than projects constantly shouting "institutions are coming."
What I’m more interested in is who will actually get these businesses and earn the fees later on. Asset tokenization is an opportunity, but just having RWA in the name doesn’t guarantee it.Last night, the number 2800 lit up three times.
Many people still don't understand who exactly triggered that spike.
Old Deng got it!
Look at the candlestick chart, $ETH surged from 2563 to 2806. Looks like a powerful momentum, right?
But Old Deng tells you, this move is a classic bull trap.
Why? Three signals, each more fatal than the last.
First, a 25 basis point rate hike just happened, and there's a high chance of another one this year. In a high interest rate environment, funding costs get more expensive, and risk assets are under pressure.
Second, institutions are exiting while retail investors are buying. Yesterday, the Ethereum ETF saw a net outflow of $224 million in a single day.
The retail long-short ratio is 2.27, extremely euphoric, everyone chasing longs.
What about the whales? Only 1.58. The more crowded the retail side, the more dangerous it is.
Third, liquidation data; yesterday ETH surged to 2800, and in the past 24 hours, $145 million worth of Ethereum short positions were liquidated.
Shorts were completely wiped out, all the short chasers are out.
Now the situation has completely reversed. If ETH falls below $2634, it will trigger forced liquidation of $1.622 billion in long positions.
$1.622 billion, more than ten times the $145 million in shorts.
Shorts have been cleared out, so who’s next?
Old Deng decisively opened a short at 2747 with 50x leverage.
This time it’s not luck, it’s understanding the pattern.
$BTC $SOL #BTC冲高$87000，加密总市值重返3万亿 #BTC surged to $87000, total crypto market cap returns to 3 trillion. Folks, BTC has directly surged to 87,000, and the total crypto market cap has reclaimed 3 trillion. This wave is not just a short squeeze; off-exchange funds are also pouring in real money.
Let's look at the hard data first. In the past 24 hours, BTC peaked at 87,400, and ETH, SOL, XRP all followed the rally. This is not just a solo show by BTC. ETF funds are also strong; after two consecutive days of net outflows, the last two trading days saw a sharp rebound with net inflows of about $592 million. This is real incremental ammunition, not just on-exchange leverage playing with itself.
But what’s really worth examining is the change in leverage structure. After BTC broke through 82,000, the open interest in futures contracts increased by about $2 billion. What does this mean? It means that after shorts were liquidated, new leveraged funds are continuously entering the market. Market sentiment has shifted from fear to fear of missing out.
However, don’t get too carried away at this level. The 87,000 area is a previous dense chip zone, and profit-taking could emerge at any time. Next, watch two things: first, whether ETF funds can continue net inflows, which reflects institutional sentiment; second, whether leverage positions will continue to expand. If growth is too rapid, it could trigger a new round of intense shakeouts.
In terms of strategy, hold firmly if you have low-position chips; don’t get shaken out. If you’re empty-handed, don’t blindly chase highs at this level; wait for a pullback to confirm support before entering. Save your bullets, keep calm, and wait for a pullback opportunity to get back in. Share your thoughts in the comments. $BTC Yesterday I blocked three people who were shouting bullish.
Then I opened a short.
It's not out of spite; their voices were too loud and would affect my judgment.
ETH touched 2800 three times and was smashed down three times; this level is already an open secret.
Contract open interest hit a 9-month high, but the price can't rise. Bulls are desperately stacking positions but are being firmly suppressed.
There are $1.6 billion worth of long liquidations hanging below; one bearish candle could trigger a chain reaction.
Goldman Sachs just changed its stance, saying there will still be a rate hike in October. Crypto ETFs lost $520 million in a single day, with BlackRock alone seeing $110 million outflows.
Institutions are running, retail investors are chasing, positions are piling up, and rate hikes are imminent.
I entered a short at 2727 with 100x leverage, and now the floating profit has turned positive.
The position isn't large, so I won't be upset if it blows up. But if I'm right, this trade could turn my fortunes around.
I don't advise anyone to copy my trades, nor do I want to hear anyone shouting 3000.
You chase your longs, I'll take my shorts; each relies on their own skills.
$BTC
$ETH
$SOL
#财报观察员：好市多Q4财报即将公布 Cardano integrates x402: The real highlight is how much value ADA can capture. Cardano's integration into x402 may seem like an AI payment scenario, but the real question traders should focus on is: how much of the payment demand generated by AI agents can ultimately be transmitted to ADA?
x402 solves automatic payments between machines.
In the future, AI Agents can settle calls based on the number of calls made by AI Agents for APIs, data, computing power, models, or on-chain services.
If this track truly takes off, it means a large number of high-frequency, small-amount, automated payments could emerge on-chain.
Cardano is now entering this machine payment gateway.
But the key here is value capture.
If payments on x402 mainly use ADA, then the logic is very straightforward:
AI Agents are increasing → x402 payments→ raising demand for ADA payments→ on-chain transactions are rising→ and ADA usage frequency is rising.
If a large volume of transactions simultaneously drives Cardano network fee demand, then ADA is not only a payment asset but also the underlying gas asset of the entire payment infrastructure.
This is far more important than simply adding an "ADA payable" scenario.
But there is a second situation to watch out for.
If x402 uses stablecoins extensively for settlements in the future, the growth in payment scale may not necessarily translate proportionally into ADA demand.
At this point, ADA's value capture comes from more of:
Transaction Gas → network uses → quality$BTC $ETH Bear market shorting?
You think you're battling the market, but often, you're actually fighting your own personality. Trading is a technical matter. You look at candlesticks, find support levels, study indicators, then decide whether to buy or sell. But in front of the screen, you gradually realize a strange fact: you're not just trading the market, you're actually trading your own personality.
MBTI may not be a strict scientific prediction tool, but it offers an interesting perspective. Someone inclined to intuition and seeking possibilities might be more easily attracted by "the next opportunity." Someone cautious and structured cares more about rules, stop losses, and plans. The former's problem is trading too much; the latter's problem is excessive waiting. The real danger is when personality strengths reverse in the market.
Confident people, without discipline, can let confidence turn into arrogance; analytical people, if unable to accept mistakes, may use analysis as an excuse; cautious people, if overly afraid of mistakes, end up doing nothing; action-oriented people, if lacking patience, keep chasing highs and selling lows.
The market's cruelest aspect is this: it won't reward you for being smart, nor give you answers for being diligent. It only amplifies your personality.
When you're fearful, do you run away or hold on? When losing, do you admit mistakes or keep adding positions to prove you're right? When making money, do you follow your plan or start thinking you've figured out the market?Does Strategy's increased holding represent broader institutional demand?
#Strategy再度增持，财库同步加仓
Strategy resumed buying coins; the demand is real, but the breadth still needs to be observed.
$BTC was relatively strong in the past 24 hours, but a single company's purchase does not equal a full market spot capital inflow.
The original SEC 8-K shows that Strategy purchased 950 $BTC from September 14–20, spending $75.7 million at an average price of $79,670, increasing holdings to 846,000 $BTC.
The same document shows the company repurchased 1,771,238 shares of STRC during the same period, amounting to $174 million, and stated no financing was done through ATM issuance.
This confirms a genuine corporate balance sheet purchase, but the document does not prove it alone drove BTC's price increase.
If other companies or ETFs continue to disclose increased holdings later, the demand narrative will be more solid; if only Strategy continues buying, the marginal impact may be limited; if cash balances decline and financing becomes difficult, sustainability needs to be reassessed.
Observe subsequent 8-K filings, Strategy's cash balance, and holding changes, and do not directly treat its average purchase price as a BTC support level. #财报观察员：好市多Q4财报即将公布
US retail investors focus on AI, middle-class retail investors focus on Costco.
Costco (COST) Q4 earnings this time, don’t just watch revenue:
• Last quarter revenue 86.16 billion (YoY +8.1%)
• EPS $5.87, expected $5.80, slightly beating expectations again
• Membership fees 1.724 billion, YoY +14%
• Same-store sales excluding fuel/exchange rate +6.4%
• E-commerce excluding disturbances +13.5%
To translate:
People have no money → don’t buy luxury goods → go to Costco to stock up on rotisserie chicken, hot dogs, Kirkland toilet paper.
The more tariffs + inflation cause trouble, the more attractive the membership model is; a renewal rate over 90% is its “moat GPS.”
But don’t get carried away:
US same-store sales only +5.1%, non-essential consumption is tightening, and valuation has never been cheap.
If after the earnings "good news is fully priced in," COST may not necessarily fall, but those chasing highs will be shaken out comfortably.
From the crypto perspective on Costco:
It’s like a “real-life blue-chip Meme” —
Not relying on stories to pump, but slowly rising based on renewal rates and turnover,
BTC is emotion, COST is the dollar-cost averaging in a pension account.
Tonight/this week, watch three things:
1️⃣ Whether membership fee income continues double digits
2️⃣ Whether US same-store sales falter
3️⃣ Whether management mentions tariffs/wages/expansion costs #Strategy increases holdings again, treasury synchronously adds positions
This time it's not whales buying, but treasuries starting to accumulate coins as a group.
In the past week, several leading Crypto treasuries collectively increased their holdings:
Strategy bought 950 BTC, now holding 846,000 BTC;
Strive bought 1,355 BTC, holding 26,400 BTC;
BitMine was even more aggressive, buying another 27,600 $ETH in a week, holding nearly 5.98 million, of which over 5.06 million are already staked.
And they basically completed these purchases before BTC surged past 80,000,
not chasing after it hit 87,000, but accumulating while the market was still hesitant.
Especially BitMine, which has locked nearly 5% of the ETH supply into its treasury, most of which is staked.
More importantly, after buying these coins, they apparently have no plans to sell in the short term.
Corporate treasuries are becoming a new kind of “coin-absorbing black hole” in the Crypto market.
If treasuries keep buying and ETFs continue to flow in, the tradable supply in the market will shrink, and the price of $BTC will keep climbing;
Next, watch for two signals:
Whether Strategy and BitMine can keep buying weekly;
Whether ETFs can continue to absorb spot together with treasuries.
If both accelerate simultaneously, it can be confirmed that this BTC rally is not just shorts getting crushed,
but that spot supply is truly tightening, and a new market cycle is about to begin!$CRCLCIRCLE current price 91.35, down 1.37% in 24h, token dips ahead of US stock market holiday; underlying stock closed up 2.95% but with a -3.32% discount, trust bank approval stacking, worth dissecting.
📰 News: Circle approved for digital currency trust bank, Arc brings in BlackRock and Visa again, compliance foundation for stablecoin payments is strengthening, more important than daily price swings.
🔧 Technical: Daily RSI14=41.4 slightly weak, MACD death cross but green bars shortening, above MA7, below MA25, indicating weakness with some recovery.
🌍 Macro: Nasdaq 100 tokens +2.18% while US stocks are closed, CRCL token did not follow sentiment and is discounted, indicating hesitation in the market.
🎯 Today's view: Bullish, compliance breakthroughs and payment implementation provide mid-term support for the underlying stock, token -3.32% discount has room for correction.
📊 Token 91.35 (-1.37%) | Underlying stock 94.49 (+2.95%) | Discount -3.32% | US stock market closed overnight
💎 Summary: Monitor the underlying stock's follow-up reaction to trust bank news and the pace of discount narrowing.
#USStockTokens
#StablecoinSector
#CircleTrustBank Just saw a giant whale's move, it's really something.
In the past 5 days, a mysterious big player has sold about 1107 BTC, worth nearly $86.76 million, then directly swapped to buy about 34,422 ETH, amounting to about $86.5 million.
The key point is not just the swap.
It's that these over 30,000 ETH were staked immediately after purchase.
This is very interesting.
If they really wanted to exit, they could have switched to USDT or USDC. There's no need to sell BTC and then pour nearly $86 million back into ETH.
So at least from the capital flow perspective, this looks more like an active asset reallocation rather than a simple withdrawal.
BTC is currently in a wide-range consolidation phase. If big money thinks holding spot BTC short-term is not efficient enough, switching to ETH and staking it means earning staking rewards while continuing to bet on ETH's ecosystem and market.
This is the real point worth noting about this move:
It's not an exit, it's a swap.
It's not risk reduction, but a re-selection of an offensive direction.
And doing such a large-scale operation on Hyperliquid shows serious capital management.
$BTC swapped for $ETH, then staked the spot.
Money at this level doesn't move without reason.
I will focus on monitoring ETH's capital flow and price performance next.
The whale has started moving; what the market should really watch is whether this money can drive more funds to switch along.#财报观察员：好市多Q4财报即将公布
US retail giant Costco is about to release its Q4 financial report for fiscal year 2026. The market is closely watching three key indicators: same-store sales, membership renewal rates, and gross margin. This report will indirectly reflect the true resilience of American consumer spending.
As a bellwether of US consumption, Costco's financial data will influence the overall risk appetite in the US stock market and indirectly transmit to the crypto market. If consumption data exceeds expectations, it will strengthen the outlook for a soft landing of the US economy, benefiting risk assets; if consumption falls short of expectations, the market will reprice the Federal Reserve's rate cut expectations, causing synchronized fluctuations in US stocks and crypto.
Personal view
Do not simply treat retail earnings reports as direct positive or negative factors for crypto. Costco's report is more for assessing the macro environment rather than being a direct driver of coin prices.
Currently, the core factors for the crypto market are BTC ETF fund flows, US Treasury yields, and leverage liquidation situations. However, if US stock consumption data significantly beats or weakens expectations, it will amplify market volatility.
Especially now, with leverage in the crypto market at high levels, if the US stock market experiences large fluctuations, crypto is easily led by the rhythm, so short-term caution is needed against spike risks caused by news.At the beginning of a bull market, the biggest threat to your account isn't the market itself, but your own hands.
In the past few weeks, chasing highs and selling lows back and forth, getting hit from all sides, emotions have been more volatile than the market. At this stage, the most important thing is not frequent trading, but to identify the main trend and hold on.
The core logic of this rebound is simple:
Dollar funds flow back → liquidity prioritized → institutions prefer mainstream assets.
Additionally, with the SEC and CFTC policy climate warming, compliant assets that are easier to enter the traditional financial system deserve more attention.
The data supports this: total crypto market cap has returned to $3 trillion, BTC is up nearly 10% weekly, ETH over 9%, SOL about 15% weekly; over $1 billion liquidated in 24 hours, with shorts accounting for about $840 million.
This is not an ordinary rebound; a new cycle has been confirmed.
Hold your main positions, play with your entertainment positions casually, and don’t let emotions trade for you.
57,000 is very likely the bottom of this cycle.Six days, 1308 $BTC, all swapped for $ETH, then staked completely without a single coin left.
I laughed the moment I saw this move.
Not because I’m mocking the swap, but because this guy didn’t hesitate for even a second.
Swapping $BTC for $ETH is one thing, but locking it all up immediately without even doing a swing trade?
You might say he’s bullish on $ETH, and that’s true.
But it feels more like someone who’s held a lot of BTC for years suddenly thinks the neighbor’s dish smells better.
$104 million worth of chips, moved just like that.
Regular retail investors agonize over a swap for three days, but this guy finished in six.
Honestly, when an address of this size moves, it’s no joke.
But does this mean $ETH is about to take off?
I think we shouldn’t jump to conclusions yet.
One person swapping doesn’t represent the whole market.
What really matters is whether a second or third whale follows.
If it’s just a solo act, it’s just noise.
If many follow, then that’s a signal.
At this point, I’m leaning towards watching and waiting.
Not that I’m bearish on $ETH, but this kind of news is the easiest way to lure people into a trap.
The blunt truth is: whales swapping is their business; if you rush in after them, you’re risking your own money.
#BTC冲高$87000，加密总市值重返3万亿
#美国加密税收与BTC储备法案获推进 $BTC $ETH $BTC is at $85,257, down 1.57%, with more than $1B in displayed volume. That’s meaningful selling activity after the recent push. I’m watching $85K as the immediate pivot. A failed reclaim of $85.5K followed by a break of $84.7K would make me consider the short.
Entry: $84.8–85.3K
SL: $85.9K
TP1: $84K | TP2: $83.2K | TP3: $82.4K | TP4: $81.5K
R:R: ~1:1.1–1:3.8
Above $85.9K invalidates it. Conditional setup.