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The most expensive tuition in a bull market is never paid on the day of a crash.
It's paid on the afternoon when you've won three weeks in a row and think "I've got it."
When prices fall, everyone is on edge, but you become cautious, reduce your positions, and review your trades. However, continuous profits blow the fuse in your brain. You start going all in, start leveraging, and begin to see pullbacks as "buying opportunities."
Then one big bearish candle wipes out three years of work.
$BTC Overbought alert triggered! Under pressure for 4 hours, is the rebound an opportunity for short positions?
A reminder: don’t get carried away by consecutive bullish candles.
Although BTC and ETH have rebounded, the upward momentum is already showing signs of fatigue, and the window for gradually positioning short orders is emerging.
🔴 Signal 1: Technical indicators have entered a severe overbought zone
The J values of $BTC and $ETH have broken above 100, indicating an extreme overbought state.
The coin prices are approaching strong 4-hour resistance zones: BTC at 78750, ETH at 2535, where heavy selling pressure accumulates. A spike here is likely a bull trap.
🔴 Signal 2: Retail investors are crowding longs, while major players remain cautious
The ETH long-short ratio has surged to 2.32, with retail investors flocking to go long, creating crowded long positions that can easily trigger cascading liquidations if the trend reverses.
However, funding rates remain near zero, indicating that major capital has not entered. This move is more driven by retail funds.
🔴 Signal 3: Clear divergence between volume and price, unstable upward foundation
Open interest is rising, but price gains are slowing, suggesting shorts are quietly positioning.
Active buy orders are shrinking continuously; a volume-less rally is like a castle in the air, with correction risks accumulating.
My practical plan:
If the price fails to break through the key 4-hour resistance, start scaling into shorts within the resistance zone.
This trade offers a favorable risk-reward ratio, with clear and controllable stop-loss settings, but heavy positions are strictly prohibited; risk management comes first.
When the market is lively, it’s often the start of a harvest.
Don’t blindly chase highs at resistance levels; wait for the bull trap to finish, then calmly position and wait for the correction to materialize. Zcash has started voting today, which I definitely wouldn't miss. 37 proposals. $9.01 million of total request. Until September 29, the decision of ZEC owners has begun. And here I am interested not in the figure of $9 million. I wonder how exactly Zcash decides where to direct the ecosystem's money. This is the third quarter of the Coinholder-Directed Retroactive Grants program — that is, funding for work already done. Among the applications there is everything: from small tools and infrastructure to large requests for protocol development, security, and research. For example,SNDK touched 1652 but didn't break through; chasing this spike now means getting hit.
Yesterday's low was 1507.61, the high touched 1626.58 but didn't break through, closing at 1600.67. Today opened at 1600.67, the high reached 1652.8, the low was 1588.93, current price is about 1637.2. Volume has shrunk.
1652 above remains resistance. If 1588 below breaks again, it's likely to first revisit the 1600 opening level, and only then aggressively test yesterday's 1507 spike.
In the short term, watch if 1637 can hold. If it can't hold, treat it as a high-level digestion and don't chase at this price now. For those already holding, watch if 1588 support holds; if it doesn't, consider reducing positions. $SNDK $CORE distinguishes between "BaaS service providers" and "traditional banks," don't be misled by the terms
There is a very important distinction on external networks that the Chinese community rarely explains clearly:
Many news reports say "cooperating with banking infrastructure," but there are two completely different cooperation targets here:
A: BaaS banking service providers
BaaS providers themselves hold banking licenses and BIN numbers, specializing in providing card issuance, accounts, and payment channels for fintech and Web3 projects.
Project parties do not need to obtain their own banking licenses; they can issue cards by renting the service provider's capabilities.
Advantages: relatively fast; Disadvantages: this is a "rented channel," not the project party owning a bank themselves. Many people promote BaaS cooperation as "CORE has a bank now," which is actually inaccurate.
B: Traditional retail/commercial banks
These are the deposit banks everyone is familiar with. Banks embed BTCFi functions into their own mobile banking apps, allowing their own customers to directly use staking, lending, and payments within the bank interface.
This is the true "bank institution landing" that everyone envisions.
This type of cooperation is an order of magnitude more difficult than BaaS.
The current situation is:
The publicly disclosed cooperation is following Mobilum's BaaS path, leaning towards type A.
The goal of business visits to places like Tokyo is to seek cooperation opportunities of type B.
#美联储10月再加息概率破55% SKHYNIX pulled up from 1247.76 to 1318.42 yesterday, closing at 1306.6, a decent bullish candle. Today it opened at 1306.6, reached a high of 1341.4 surpassing yesterday's high, and the current price has pulled back to around 1327.
Yesterday's low was 1247.76, the high didn't surpass 1318.42, closing at 1306.6. Today it opened at 1306.6, with a high of 1341.4 and a low of 1305.24, current price roughly 1327. Volume has shrunk: about 140,000 contracts traded yesterday, about 69,000 so far today.
The 1341.4 above is today's resistance; above that is the previous 1369. Below, first watch 1305; if broken, it’s easy to see yesterday's low at 1248.
In the short term, watch if 1327 can hold. If it can't hold, treat it as a pullback after a rally, don't chase at this price. For those already holding, watch if 1305 support holds; if it doesn't, consider reducing positions. $SKHYNIX Will interest rate hikes directly kill this crypto bull market?
Let me share my personal view first: it's not that dramatic.
Many people reflexively think "tightening liquidity means the crypto market is doomed" as soon as they hear about rate hikes.
But if you look at BTC's historical trends, you'll find it's not that simple.
The big rallies in 2013 and 2021 both happened in high interest rate or even rate hike environments. Especially in 2021, when there was even balance sheet reduction, BTC still surged wildly.
Why?
Because the real big variables in crypto often aren't just a few percentage points in interest rates, but the industry's own growth and changes in capital scale.
If stocks rise 10% a year and interest rates go from 3% to 5%, capital might hesitate a bit.
But if a market can grow several times or even tenfold in one cycle, do you think capital will completely stop playing just because of an extra 2% interest?
Also, crypto is still much smaller compared to traditional financial markets, so even marginal capital inflows can have a very noticeable impact on prices.
So I prefer to see rate hikes as resistance to the market rather than a switch that turns the bull market on or off.
What really determines whether the bull market continues are incremental capital, industry growth, and the market's own cycle.
Don't get scared off just by seeing the words "interest rate hike".
$BTC $ETH $ZEC I feel like I've somewhat interpreted the current situation of ZEC. In the short term, when BTC weakens, liquidity gathers into ZEC, and major funds support the bottom. At this time, if BTC falls, ZEC doesn't; if BTC slightly rebounds, ZEC surges. Meanwhile, short liquidations and stop losses push the price even higher. When BTC strengthens, the situation reverses: liquidity flows back to BTC, profit-taking sells off, buyers wait for a pullback, and long liquidations and stop losses cause the price to keep falling. When BTC rises, ZEC doesn't follow; when BTC fluctuates slightly, ZEC falls. I can only say that in the short term, the outlook is bearish, but in the medium term, it's bullish. At the same time, buying pressure is seriously excessive. What the bulls need to do is wait; good trades come to those who wait.Taking partial profits on a trade first, then letting the remaining position continue to rise, feels comfortable in hindsight.
Locking in profits first and then letting the profits run is not necessarily smarter than exiting all at once. The question is, why is the remaining position still worth holding?
If you continue to hold just because you've already made a lot and your cost basis is lower, the risk still exists; it's just that the psychological pressure is reduced.
Holding onto a good trade is indeed difficult. The hard part is distinguishing whether you are following your original judgment or just reluctant to sell because the unrealized gains are growing.$EDGE perpetual 20x long position, entered at 0.3613, target 0.5922, floating profit +1278.16%. Before opening the position, I observed extremely negative funding rates, indicating excessive short crowding.
I lightly reversed to long at 0.3613 with a stop loss at 0.34. The rebound precisely triggered the shorts' stop loss, creating a short squeeze spiral surge.
Strictly controlling position size to 5% at 20x leverage. Now moving the stop loss to protect profits. Extreme negative funding rates easily cause short squeezes; light position reversal with loss. $ONE $UNI #美联储10月再加息概率破55% CATI Token Analysis
Market Trend
CATI is the ecological token of Catizen, a popular TG mini-game on the TON chain, and a core asset in the Telegram GameFi sector. The token price is highly correlated with the popularity of the mini-game segment, surging impulsively when the sector heats up. However, continuous unlocking by the team, investors, and quarterly airdrops creates long-term selling pressure; after the hype fades, the price experiences significant corrections with strong volatility.
Key Levels
Resistance: 0.075
Support: 0.054, break below targets 0.045
Bullish Logic
1. Rotation of hotspots in the TON ecosystem TG mini-game sector, with a large user base and continuous release of new mini-games in the ecosystem;
2. 50% of the platform game center's revenue is used to buy back and burn tokens, creating deflationary expectations;
3. Advancement of TON Layer2, with CATI as the ecosystem Gas token, expanding token use cases;
4. Airdrops and seasonal events continuously attract market attention. Discussing the current market: The tug-of-war between the Federal Reserve's interest rate hikes and the Treasury's repurchase of U.S. debt is influencing gold, U.S. stocks, and crypto trends.
Many equate the Treasury's repurchase of U.S. debt with QE, but they are actually different. The Treasury mainly repurchases long-term old debt with poor liquidity, replacing long-term debt with short-term debt to ease the pressure of long-term debt sell-offs, prevent runaway long-term yields, and stabilize the bond market, but it does not directly print money or expand the balance sheet. However, the market views this as a passive backstop for the U.S.'s high fiscal deficit, increasing concerns about the dollar's long-term creditworthiness, which is the core logic behind the recent strength in gold.
On one hand, the Treasury supports long-term interest rates; on the other, the Fed's rate hikes raise short-term rates to combat inflation, creating a clear policy tug-of-war. Rate hikes increase funding costs, theoretically suppressing gold and crypto, while raising discount rates, which is negative for high-valuation growth stocks in the U.S. market; meanwhile, repurchases stabilize long-term bond yields, preventing liquidity crashes and providing a buffer for the market.
Recently, gold no longer solely reflects real interest rates; debt and fiscal risks have become important pricing factors. U.S. stocks are showing divergent fluctuations, with leading stocks demonstrating stronger resilience while thematic small caps face pressure. Crypto, combining risk asset and digital gold attributes, trades in line with gold and dollar credit logic but is highly volatile, with sharp pullbacks during liquidity tightening.
Going forward, the market will swing between two main themes: inflation rebound and Fed hawkishness, which tend to cause asset pullbacks; and ongoing U.S. debt supply pressure and rising fiscal concerns, which favor gold and crypto. However, repurchases are only a short-term buffer and do not solve the root cause of high deficits. There is no guaranteed profit opportunity in the market, so risk management is essential. About 35,000 ETH withdrawn from Binance last night was not used to chase longs but was first put into short position margin.
Lookonchain/EmberCN monitoring: The address associated with "Garrett Jin" sold all approximately 35,000 ETH (about $87.5 million) withdrawn last night at around $2,500 each, adding margin to the largest ZEC short position on Hyperliquid — raising the liquidation price from about 2631 to about 4738.
The same entity's ZEC short position has a nominal value of about $56 million, an average opening price of about 665.85, and an unrealized loss still around $30 million; TradingBeats reports the short was still holding when ZEC approached 1500. Lookonchain also states it simultaneously opened about 3x BTC longs.
Adding margin ≠ closing the short position, selling ETH ≠ bearish on Ethereum; on-chain tags are still monitoring indicators, not trading calls. OKX market prices: ZEC about 1461 (24h about +7%), ETH about 2505, BTC about 78,000. $ZEC $ETH $BTC Oil easing from recent highs has not translated into cheaper US diesel, with AAA's national average near a record $6.40 a gallon. Low inventories, constrained refining capacity and tight global supply suggest diesel could remain an inflation pressure point. If refiners divert more output toward diesel, gasoline relief may weaken too, keeping bonds and other risk assets sensitive to fuel data.
#DieselHitsRecordHigh $EDGE I didn't make much judgment, just held a short position for a while, didn't expect it to really show some respect.
During the intraday bottoming, EDGE's rebound was weak, volume didn't keep up, I advised not to chase, the bearish structure was still intact.
From 0.6584 to 0.5928, +198.35%, nailed it, the earlier part was really dragging, but the outcome is really sweet. Took profits first, closed 80%, kept 20% at cost price for protection.
The market specializes in punishing all kinds of arrogance, especially those who think they are the smartest. Better to miss a limit-up than to catch a falling knife and end up bleeding.
For friends who haven't gotten on board yet, listen to me: chasing highs easily leaves you stuck at the peak, wait for the next signal before moving.
$BTC $ZEC $BTC #What will the future of Bitcoin be like# Let's talk about the future of Bitcoin; it has really reached a very delicate point now.
Morgan Stanley analysts mentioned the four-year cycle of crypto assets. The previous bear market, also known as the "crypto winter," usually lasted 12 to 14 months. Now, September marks 11 months since the previous peak and 17 months until the next halving, exactly fitting into the historical "crypto spring" start window. Additionally, the veteran exchange BitMEX officially announced its shutdown in September, and several of the six major cycle signals have already appeared.
It has long ceased to be just "digital gold." The Lightning Network's monthly transaction volume exceeded $1 billion last November, enabling instant, low-cost micropayments. Along with protocols like Rootstock adding smart contract capabilities, Bitcoin has transformed from a dormant asset meant only for holding into an active collateral that can participate in DeFi. However, global regulatory competition and the trial-and-error risks of technological iteration remain significant hurdles ahead. The future is far from a simple bull-or-bear scenario.$CNPY perpetual 20x long position, entered at 0.306, 0.5553, floating profit +1643.13%. Before opening the position, I observed extremely negative funding rates, indicating an overly crowded and frenzied short side.
I lightly reversed to a long position at 0.306 with a stop loss at 0.28. The rebound precisely triggered the short sellers' stop loss, creating a short squeeze spiral surge.
Strictly controlling 5% position at 20x leverage. Now moving the stop loss to protect profits. Extreme negative funding rates easily cause short squeezes, light position reversal with loss. $ONE $UNI #美联储10月再加息概率破55% $BTC This is exactly what I wanted to see. After a short deviation below the range, BTC has now reclaimed the lows with a strong move back to the upside. I was expecting slightly more downside before this happened, but I’m not going to complain about strength showing up earlier than I thought. The important part is that the breakdown failed. Price traded below the range, flushed out more longs, and has now moved back above a level that previously acted as strong support. At the same time, a majo$G 4H Signal
This is no longer a normal trending move. $G has entered price discovery with two large expansion candles and rapidly increasing volume.
The direction is bullish, but buying after a 70% daily move leaves very little room for error. The cleaner opportunity is a retest of the breakout base around 0.00760.
Entry: 0.00750–0.00770
TP1: 0.00857
TP2: 0.00920
TP3: 0.01000
SL: 0.00685
#FedOctHikeOddsHit55% #CryptoTaxAndBTCReserve #SECCFTCOnchainRules In four days, ZEC rose from 1040 to 1538, up 48%. Then in one day, it fell back to 1459. Now, on the 15-minute chart, KDJ has a death cross and J value has dropped to 5; On the 1-hour chart, the price has fallen below the middle band at 1481. Those who want to short have reason to be excited—what's even worse, the shorting team has already lined up: the long-short ratio (by number of people) is only 0.33–0.42, and the number of short sellers is three times that of the longs; In the past 7 days, the rate turned negative, dropping to a low of -0.04%, with bears paying real money to take on the trade. At this point, I need to put another account out. On 09/14, the price was pulled from 1040 to 1538, +48%, for four days. That wasn't a gradual rise from fundamentals; it was squeezed out by the bears repeatedly squeezing them out. Now the crowding of short sellers is even higher than before, and the rate is already negative—every extra day you hold is the extra cost you pay. So my view is: ZEC's short selling here isn't a "hard truth," it's a "conditional order." Three conditions, but if you miss any of them, don't act: 1. The rebound to the 1481–1538 range is clearly rejected, and open interest continues to rise—that's the bearish scenario going smoothly. The first target is 1341 (24-hour low), then look at 1200. 2. Volume increases to reclaim 1538—the scenario is voided, that's another short squeeze, don't get stuck in the fight 3. The current price is 1459, directly chasing shorts, which is like cutting in in a crowded queue, most likely giving others a passing rate. Wait for the rebound to be rejected, then act. Finally, a few words$PUMP
Market Attributes: Primarily sentiment-driven, fundamentals are weak. The platform is a tool for launching meme coins; PUMP itself lacks strong business cash flow support. Once the hype fades, the decline is very rapid.
Liquidation Mode: High-frequency bidirectional liquidations. During the uptrend, it sweeps out short positions; when the hype dissipates, whales dump and instantly break through long positions.
Liquidation Risk Level: Extremely high
BTC: Low volatility
ETH: Medium volatility
UNI: Medium-high volatility (DeFi leader)
NEAR: Medium-high volatility (AI public chain theme)
ZEC: High volatility (small-cap privacy narrative)
PUMP: Extremely high volatility (Meme platform token, sentiment-driven)
ONE: Extremely high volatility (purely oversold junk public chain)
Core Risk Points
Narrative depends on Meme sector hype. Once the meme coin market cools down, funds quickly withdraw, and PUMP has no fundamental support.
Competitive Pressure: Similar launch platforms like Letsbonk continuously divert users; shturl.c's monopoly position is declining.
Token Unlock Selling Pressure: Early private sale tokens are expected to be sold off.
Regulatory Risk: Meme launch platforms are prone to being deemed by regulators as assisting in issuing unregistered tokens, posing negative policy risks.ZEC surged to 1536 but didn't break through; this roller coaster is really tough for ordinary people to handle.
Yesterday's low was 1234, the highest touched 1491.99 but didn't break through, closing at 1480.33. Today opened at 1480.49, the highest at 1536.41, the lowest at 1442.67, current price around 1455.5. Volume has shrunk.
1536 above is still resistance. If 1442 below breaks again, it’s likely to first revisit the 1480 opening level, and only then aggressively test around yesterday's 1234.
In the short term, watch if 1455 can hold. If it can't hold, treat it as a high-level digestion and don't chase at this price. For those already holding, watch if 1442 support holds; if it doesn't, consider reducing positions. $ZEC In the past, people often understood stablecoin growth as a signal of a new round of liquidity in Crypto, but now this logic may be failing. The latest data shows that the total market cap of stablecoins is about $305 billion, but there has been basically no growth in the past 7 days; meanwhile, 21 large banks have already advanced a joint US dollar stablecoin plan. Stablecoins are increasingly resembling traditional financial payment infrastructure, rather than just "ammunition" for DeFi. My view is: stablecoin adoption ≠ public chain token value capture. If in the future stablecoins are mainly used by banks, payment companies, and enterprises for cross-border settlement, then the biggest winners may be issuers, payment networks, and infrastructure with real commercial traffic, rather than necessarily all L1/L2 tokens. More notably, Glassnode recently pointed out that new demand in the BTC market is slowing, with ETF inflows, stablecoin growth, and corporate buying all stagnating; meanwhile, CoinShares believes regulatory progress is stalled and a more hawkish Federal Reserve is further suppressing risk assets. But this judgment could also be wrong. If stablecoins eventually form large-scale on-chain settlement and generate sustained demand for trading, staking, lending, and liquidity, then public chains with deep liquidity and developer ecosystems may still become the largest value-bearing layers. 👇 COMMUNITY Do you think the core of the next round of Crypto growth will be "more money entering on-chain," or "on-chain starting to generate real economic activity"? Account Position Divergence Radar
$WLD: The number of top accounts is biased towards long positions, but the position distribution is biased towards short positions: top accounts long-short ratio is 1.060, top positions long-short ratio is 0.922; the entire market accounts long-short ratio is 2.030; price increased by 0.70%, position amount changed by +1.42%. The overall market account structure is biased towards long positions, which differs from the top position bias.
$TRX: The number of top accounts is biased towards long positions, but the position distribution is biased towards short positions: top accounts long-short ratio is 1.525, top positions long-short ratio is 0.938; the entire market accounts long-short ratio is 0.760; price increased by 0.04%, position amount changed by -0.13%.
$CNPY: The number of top accounts is biased towards short positions, but the position distribution is biased towards long positions: top accounts long-short ratio is 0.934, top positions long-short ratio is 1.117; the entire market accounts long-short ratio is 0.698; price increased by 0.40%, position amount changed by -0.25%. The overall market account structure is biased towards short positions, which differs from the top position bias.
WLD, TRX, CNPY: The side with the dominant number of accounts is opposite to the side with the dominant positions, indicating a divergence between account structure and position distribution.SEC Late Night Bombshell! "Innovation Exemption" 5-Year Sandbox: Tokenized Stocks Officially On-Chain
📜 Core Rules (Released September 17)
Name: Innovation Exemption
Entity: Tokenized Securities Venues (TSV)
Duration: 5-year regulatory exemption period
Content: Allows TSVs to trade tokenized NMS stocks on public blockchains via permissioned AMM liquidity pools
TSV Exemption: Not subject to the "exchange" definition under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934
Liquidity Provider Exemption: Not subject to the "dealer" definition
Still must comply with: all anti-fraud and anti-manipulation regulations
🔑 Key Conditions
1. One share, one vote: Tokenized stock holders enjoy all shareholder rights including dividends and voting
2. Issuer veto rights: Third-party tokenized stocks must notify the issuer, who can object within 30 days
3. Smart contracts: Must be public, auditable, and deployed on a public blockchain
4. Quota limits: Caps on underlying quantity and trading volume
🧠 What does this mean?
This is a milestone in the RWA space: real US stock tokenized trading moves from a gray area into a compliant sandbox
Directly benefits platforms like Coinbase, Kraken, and exchange tokens planning tokenized stocks
Chairman Atkins previously said "SEC will push forward regardless of legislation," and this is the action
The 5-year observation period is enough for the industry to validate the model $SNDK The SEC suddenly gave the green light to on-chain stocks, and UNI surged from 3.3 to 8.8 in a month, increasing by one and a half times, with the daily RSI exploding to 85 — but just now, it has pulled back from the high. If you chase at this position, are you catching the tail of the fish or grabbing a flying knife?
Robinhood Chain is already the largest single-chain fee source for Uniswap, Arthur Hayes' address recently bought 280,000 UNI, and shorts suffered millions of dollars in liquidations in a single day.
This is not a sentiment-driven pump; it’s a triple kill of regulatory narrative + real income + short squeeze.
You’ve caught the head and body of the fish; now if you grab the tail, be careful not to get stabbed and stuck.
UNI went from 3.3 to 8.8; those who should have profited already have. If you rush in now, you’re betting on the triple positive factors of “SEC exemption implementation + ETF expectations + accelerated burn” continuing to stack.
Is it possible? Yes. But the cost-performance ratio has clearly worsened.
The most expensive four words in crypto: "This time it's different."
The second most expensive: "I’ve been bullish for a long time, just didn’t buy."
8.8 is not the top, but it’s not a good entry point either. Wait for a pullback, wait for stabilization, wait for the market to digest the overbought condition.
The trend is still there, but your cost determines whether you can hold on.
At 8.8, do you dare to chase?$BTC On the weekly chart this wave, I am still bullish.
This week started with a break below the Weekly Open, then hit the lower target, but quickly recovered, and now the price is back above the Open.
Historically, about 95% of the bullish weeks have already seen the weekly low at this stage; only about 45% have formed the high point, with more highs appearing in the latter half of the week.
Now the price has returned to the bullish range.
As long as the weekly open holds, I will continue to watch 80K → 83.3K.
If it breaks below the Open again, the structure needs to be reassessed.
The current focus is simple: has the low already appeared, and is the high still ahead? 📈 一、核心结论 美股：加息"利空出尽"式深V反弹。美联储三年首度加息引发抛售，但随后在美债收益率回落 + 油价下跌 + 科技股走强三因素推动下收复失地，呈现典型"先杀后拉"。 关键分歧仍在科技股：大盘反弹但内部严重分化——英伟达、甲骨文走弱，奈飞、特斯拉走强，资金在 AI 硬件与软件/消费之间轮动。 加密：宏观脱敏、结构分化。BTC 死守 $76K 关键支撑，加息落地后利空钝化；但山寨季指数仅 43（比特币季），资金仍集中于 BTC，缺乏普涨行情。 共同主线：AI 资本开支周期是美股与加密两条线的最大公约数，也是决定后续风险偏好的核心变量。 二、美股热点（9/17 收盘 → 9/18 报道） 指数表现（口径分歧，取共识） 道指：领涨约 +0.54%~0.6%（+316 点） 标普 500 / 纳指：反弹但表现分化，有报道称纳指小幅收跌、标普近持平，亦有报道称三大指数齐涨——整体呈现"道指强、科技指数弱"的分歧格局 核心驱动：美债收益率回落（此前 10Y 一度触及 5%）+ 油价下跌 + 关键科技股走强，缓解了加息带来的估值压力 科技股/热点个股（分化明显） 领跌：英伟达 -2%+、甲骨文$CRCL current price 86.94, 24h up 4.42%, pre-market stock rebound 5.77% but token's rise is insufficient, news still affected by Mizuho downgrade aftermath, I am bearish, breaking down several layers below.
📰 News: Mizuho downgrade points out revenue model risks, after overnight stock sell-off, pre-market is just a technical rebound, negative factors not fully digested.
🔧 Technical: Daily RSI14 still weak at 30.4, MACD death cross green bars shortening, price lost MA7 and MA25 with 7/25 bearish alignment, rebound failing to hold above short-term moving averages is considered weak.
🌍 Macro: Nasdaq 100 tokens only +0.75%, US stock pre-market sentiment is moderate, no sufficient beta to pull CRCL out of weak structure.
🎯 Today's view: I am bearish, mainly due to negative news combined with daily bearish structure, token premium narrowing indicates insufficient willingness to chase highs.
📊 Token 86.94 (+4.42%) | Stock 85.09 (+5.77%) | Premium +2.17% | US stock pre-market
💎 Summary: Next, watch for digestion of negative news and whether short-term moving averages can be reclaimed; if not stable, weakness will continue.
#USStockTokens
#StablecoinSector
#CRCLOutlook $CORE is a low-liquidity token, inherently prone to "Black Friday" effects
Why do people rarely talk about Black Friday for BTC and ETH, but the CORE community always discusses it?
A very practical reason: the difference in liquidity depth.
Top tokens have deep buy and sell order books, making it hard for a single large order to crash the price. But small tokens are different; sparse order books mean a slightly large sell order can cause a sharp dip of several points; a slightly large buy order can quickly pump the price.
Low liquidity brings several characteristics:
✅ Positive news can quickly trigger a sharp rise with huge elasticity;
⚠️ Panic can cause a rapid, unresisted drop;
⚠️ Before weekends, many market makers and short-term traders reduce positions, further shrinking market liquidity and amplifying volatility.
So "Black Friday" for CORE is not purely superstition. It doesn't mean a crash happens every Friday, but that the volatility switch is more easily triggered on Fridays.
This doesn't mean you can't trade it, but the cost of trading is higher: stop losses are easily triggered by spikes, and direction can be easily swayed by short-term sentiment.
If you trade it on Fridays, you must accept that the market doesn't always behave rationally; it can have violent spikes up and down without any major news.
Liquidity is a double-edged sword, offering the high returns you imagine but also the unexpected high risks. #OKX百万规划师 $UNI
Liquidity: Very good, far superior to ZEC, NEAR, ONE; only behind BTC and ETH. The market cap belongs to mid-to-large cap DeFi blue chips, making extreme scenarios of doubling in a few minutes unlikely, but daily volatility of 20~30% is normal.
Liquidation mode: News-driven short squeeze. When positive news emerges, it quickly spikes upward, eating up accumulated short positions; after the positive news is realized, profit-taking concentrates on selling, making long positions at high levels prone to liquidation.
Liquidation risk level: Medium to high
BTC: Low volatility
ETH: Medium volatility
UNI: Medium-high volatility (DeFi leader, news-driven, ample liquidity)
NEAR: Medium-high volatility (AI public chain theme)
ZEC: High volatility (small-cap privacy narrative)
ONE: Extremely high volatility (pure speculative oversold junk coin)
Core risk points
Positive news priced in advance: This round of rise mainly speculates on fee switch expectations; once proposals are implemented and burning truly begins, it is easy to "buy the rumor, sell the fact."
High competitive pressure: DEXs like Aerodrome and PancakeSwap continuously compete for trading volume; if fee income falls short of expectations, the narrative will be disproved.
SEC regulatory risk: DeFi tokens also face regulatory uncertainty; once regulatory negative news hits, prices will quickly retract.
After a short-term surge, profit-taking is huge; once funds flee, the correction will be strong, and leveraged long positions are easily trapped. The market moved in the evening session, BTC pulled up to 78100, up 2.4%, ETH reclaimed above 2500, and SOL surged nearly 6% to 105. It's only been two days since the FOMC rate hike was implemented, and the market is following the script of 'bad news already priced in.' The 75500 bottom is basically welded in, and now the bulls are testing the 80,000 level. Many people can't sit still at this point and ask whether to chase. To be honest: my buy orders at 75500 and 72500 didn't get filled, the price went straight up, but I’m not chasing. The reason is simple: 78000 is just over 2000 points away from the previous high near 80,000, so chasing here has a poor risk-reward ratio. If it rallies and then falls back, you’re just standing guard. Not getting filled on buy orders doesn’t lose money; chasing high and getting stuck is the real pain. Operationally: keep the buy orders hanging, a pullback is the opportunity to get on board, and only talk about the next step once it truly holds above 80,000; ETH is already at 30% target position, no change; SOL rebounding to 105 is actually good, planning to sell 14 coins next Monday at a better price, keeping the allocation below 15% unchanged. The biggest lesson from this rebound: a level that bad news can’t push down is true support. But don’t shout $100,000 just because it’s up for two days; whether there will be a rate hike in December is still uncertain. In a choppy market, those with orders get the meat, those chasing the rally get the bill.Hyperliquid co-founder Jeff.hl posted on the X platform that most tech giants in the 2000s built infrastructure and products as tightly coupled wholes. Amazon was forward-looking, splitting AWS into an independent API layer, with Amazon's retail business as AWS's first customer. Today, the profits generated by AWS exceed the sum of all other Amazon businesses. Hyperliquid has adopted this design philosophy. Supporting all financial activities requires carefully designed, open financial foundational components. Each component follows the Unix design principle: do one thing and do it exceptionally well. Developers can freely combine these underlying modules to build innovative applications. HyperCore lending is an implementation of this philosophy. Other platforms' portfolio margin lending models generally price account collateral at market value and set LTV deductions to generate borrowed assets, but there is no clear lender. This approach is simple to implement but loses composability. Hyperliquid builds the lending protocol on the HyperCore foundation. Every borrowed asset comes from a fund provider, with risk isolated within the lending component and not spreading to the entire platform. The HyperCore portfolio margin system acts as an orchestration layer, combining and invoking the lending module with other foundational components such as perpetual contracts, spot trading, and event trading. This modular decomposition brings multiple advantages: 1. The manually initiated lending released this time is not a new independent feature but an extension of the underlying foundational components. Lending users can immediately access supply liquidity exceeding $400 million and growing. 2. Users employing portfolio margin can earn interest on idle stablecoin collateral. This is not a separately developed new feature but a natural result of combining the trading and lending modules. 3. Perpetual contracts and lending margin are independent of each other, making system risk easier to assess and control.On-Chain Position Perspective: Distinguishing Between Large Holder Accumulation and Short-Term Speculation
Besides the candlestick chart, changes in on-chain large holder positions can help assess the market quality.
Short-term Speculation: On-chain addresses quickly enter and exit, chips transfer rapidly, large holders do not continuously hoard coins, so the market rises and falls quickly.
Genuine Capital Deployment: Large holder addresses continuously net buy, chips accumulate long-term, not short-term flipping, resulting in stronger market continuity. On-chain data serves as an auxiliary and should not be used independently from the chart for decision-making.
Key Market Observations:
🟠 Mainstream Coins: Changes in chip accumulation by whale addresses
🔵 Popular Small Coins: Whether chips are accumulating or circulating rapidly
⚠️ Market Phenomenon: A single large holder's one-time purchase does not equal institutional long-term deployment; continuity must be observed.
$BTC $ETH $ONE
#美联储10月再加息概率破55%
#美国加密税收与BTC储备法案获推进
#SEC与CFTC明确链上金融合规路径 On-chain data of $ZEC shows that the largest ZEC short currently holds 37,760 ZEC short positions, with unrealized losses exceeding $26 million, getting closer to the liquidation price. To protect the short position, this whale urgently transferred out 35,001 ETH from Binance, equivalent to $85 million, to the exchange as margin to prevent forced liquidation.
Even big holders can stumble; in the main uptrend of the privacy sector, going against the trend to top out, even with huge capital, cannot withstand the continuous push of thematic market moves. To endure the losses, they had to use ETH assets to add margin, continuously injecting funds to stubbornly hold the trend.
This incident also confirms the previous trading lesson: do not subjectively guess the top. Once a trend forms, having more capital does not reverse the market. Under high leverage, unrealized losses will continuously consume margin, and even whales face the risk of liquidation at any time.
The market will not show mercy because of position size; trading against the trend, no matter how large the capital, will fall into a passive state. In the face of trends, respecting the market is always paramount. Has Hyperliquid evolved again? Spot trading, contracts, lending, prediction markets—the core DeFi functions are now gathered on a single chain 🔥
On September 18, Hypercore currently supports Perps perpetual contracts, spot trading, prediction markets, lending, and vaults as core services, with trading assets covering crypto assets and some RWAs.
Simply put, previously different DeFi services were often scattered across different protocols and chains, but Hyperliquid is trying to consolidate these functions into a unified financial infrastructure. Users can complete trading, lending, and earning yields within the same ecosystem, making capital and liquidity easier to circulate internally.
What’s more noteworthy is that Ryan Watkins believes these services are linking with the value capture mechanism of the HYPE token. In other words, Hyperliquid aims to be more than just a "contract trading platform"—it is gradually integrating spot, derivatives, lending, prediction markets, and other financial functions.
Of course, whether HYPE can enter a larger market cap tier in the future still depends on user scale, trading volume, revenue, and whether the ecosystem can sustain growth.
**If a single chain truly integrates more and more financial scenarios into one ecosystem, DeFi gameplay might be shifting from "single protocol competition" to "comprehensive financial platform competition."** Follow me to continue breaking down the logic behind HYPE, DeFi, and on-chain capital in plain language. $HYPE This time, the SEC is not "opening the floodgates," but rather installing the gates first.
The SEC has introduced an "innovation exemption," allowing qualified Tokenized Securities Venues to trade tokenized U.S. stocks on public blockchains through permissioned AMMs/liquidity pools for up to five years, granting temporary exemptions to market-making liquidity providers. The market interprets this as mostly positive, with core benefits for RWA, tokenized stocks, and compliant on-chain trading infrastructure narratives; it does not directly correspond to any single crypto token.
However, the restrictions are clearly stated: it only covers real tokenized stocks with full shareholder rights such as dividends and voting, excluding synthetic products that merely track prices. Issuers also have a 30-day veto right. The two most direct points to watch next are: first, which compliant platforms will launch first; second, whether night trading/all-day trading can truly take off. Are you more focused on "compliant platforms launching first" or "whether real trading volume can grow"?
Source: Decrypt📊 Today's Key News Overview
· US Stock Market: Futures for the three major indices are all up pre-market (Nasdaq futures +0.36%), with overnight strong rebounds in tech stocks and the semiconductor sector (Philadelphia Semiconductor Index +3.14%, Intel +7.67%). However, today coincides with the quarterly "Triple Witching Day," with over $2 trillion in nominal options expiring simultaneously. Historical data shows that since 2012, the S&P 500 has closed lower on 12 out of 14 Triple Witching Days.
· SanDisk: Soared 6.21% overnight to close at $1614.39, continuing to rise slightly after hours and pre-market to the $1634-$1638 range. However, today it disclosed that director David Goeckeler plans to sell 33,841 shares, valued at approximately $51.43 million, and has sold another 33,838 shares in the past three months.
📉 US Stock Market: Triple Witching Day dominates, higher probability of downward volatility
Supporting factors: The drivers behind last night's rebound (oil price decline, US Treasury yields falling below the critical 5% threshold, strong employment data) continue pre-market today. The decline in Treasury yields eases the discounting pressure on high-valuation growth stocks, providing some bottom support for the market.
Core suppressing factor — Triple Witching Day: Today is the quarterly options expiration day, with stock index futures, stock index options, and single stock options all expiring simultaneously. Bluekurtic's historical statistics provide a fairly consistent signal: since 2012, the S&P 500 has closed lower on 12 of 14 Triple Witching Days.
#长端美债5%会成新常态吗？ If you can't hold spot positions, you can put them in a cold wallet and delete the app. But with contracts, even if you delete it, you'll reinstall it. Because the mindset is already off—you always feel the next market wave is coming, and this time you'll definitely catch it.
Losing U is a small matter; what you lose is your patience for a normal life. When you start to resent your salary being too slow, saving money too stupid, and everything that can't double overnight as meaningless, no matter if Bitcoin rises to 100,000 or 200,000, you've already lost.
Those who can stop are not because they've earned enough, but because at some moment they realize one thing: opening another position won't make yesterday better, it will only risk tomorrow too.
$BTC Brothers, I'm here to pay tuition again. This time it's a big tuition fee.
Last night I woke up in the middle of the night to check the market, my hands were shaking. I don't even dare to look at the account screenshot a second time. A $ZEC short opened at 909.48, now down to 1488.14. Floating loss -190.88%, 115.73U gone up in smoke. Available margin: 0 USDT. Liquidation price 1868.
This is all I have left.
Do you know what's going on with $ZEC now? This thing is not a coin, it's a rocket. BTC is falling, ETH is falling, the whole market is green like spring. But it’s alone, pole vaulting, stubborn as hell, completely ignoring gravity. What was I thinking back then? Why did I short this monster coin? I always thought "it’s gone up so much, it should pull back," but every time it slaps me hard with reality.
Honestly, after calming down and reviewing, I don’t feel this loss is undeserved.
The core of this $ZEC rally isn’t "it’s gone up too much and should fall," but a textbook short squeeze. The Grayscale Zcash spot ETF launched at the end of August, opening a compliant institutional entry channel, attracting over $34.4 million net inflow after launch. The SEC’s investigation into the Zcash Foundation officially ended, clearing regulatory clouds. More importantly, after $ZEC broke $1000, it triggered a chain of short liquidations—about $79.5 million in short positions were liquidated in just two trading sessions. Shorts were forced to buy to cover, pushing prices higher, triggering the next wave of liquidations, creating a fully self-reinforcing positive feedback loop.
Simply put, every liquidation is a market buy order, and retail shorts like me are just fuel in this.
Do you know there are whales shorting like me? One whale opened a 10x short at $1245 for 8120 $ZEC, position worth $10.11 million. Three hours later, ZEC rose to $1390, fully liquidated, losing $890,000. Even more brutal, a trader held 12,285 $ZEC shorts worth $18.31 million, floating loss $7.66 million, liquidation price $1550. This person had 26 consecutive winning trades with an 89% win rate, earning over $9 million, but lost it all on this trade.
Even pros got buried, what chance do I have as a small retail trader waking up at night to check the market against a short squeeze?
Now $ZEC has broken $1500, up 18% in 24 hours, with a yearly gain over 2500%. F2Pool co-founder Wang Chun said this rally is a "narrative-driven short squeeze," not fundamental improvement. But what good is knowing that? Shorts aren’t dead yet, the squeeze won’t stop. As long as short positions remain, every rally removes a layer of selling pressure.
I really have no bullets left. No adding to position, no closing, whatever happens, happens. The liquidation price at 1868 is hanging there, let the market makers decide if they want to give me a needle.
But I have to say a few things to the sisters still in the game:
First, don’t short $ZEC. BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes has long publicly warned that the risk of shorting $ZEC is beyond what most can bear. Those bullish on privacy might just miss profits, but those shorting could go broke.
Second, don’t stubbornly hold against the trend. I kept telling myself "it’s fallen so much, it should rebound," but every time the market taught me a lesson. In a short squeeze, price has nothing to do with "fair value," it’s about whether you can hold on.
Third, stop losses are always more important than pride. My 115U isn’t much, but it’s my hard-saved private money. If your position is bigger than mine, you must treat stop loss as discipline.
Finally, about the overall market. $BTC and $ETH have been falling recently, and the total crypto market cap has shrunk a lot since the start of the year. The probability of a Fed rate hike in October has surged to 55.4%, with only 44.6% chance of holding rates steady. The rising rate hike expectation is pressure on risk assets, and market sentiment is poor. But $ZEC standing out in this environment shows this isn’t a broad rally, it’s a precise squeeze.
This time I’ve completely accepted my fate. Not blaming the market, just myself for shorting a coin that’s being squeezed.
Sisters, take this as a warning.
$ZEC $BTC $ETH
#美联储10月再加息概率破55% $NEAR
This round of rally is mainly due to a chain of short liquidations, with about 2.32 million USD worth of short positions liquidated in 24 hours. A large number of low-position shorts were stopped out upwards, and forced short buy orders further pushed the price up.
Liquidity: Moderate, much better than ONE, but far weaker than BTC/ETH; stronger than ZEC. Daily volatility of 15~20% is normal, with sharp spikes causing strong impact.
Market attributes: A second-tier public chain with fundamental narratives, not a pure junk coin, but a thematic speculation, not a blue chip.
Liquidation risk level: Medium-high
BTC: Low volatility
ETH: Moderate volatility
NEAR: Medium-high volatility (AI thematic rotation, news-driven)
ZEC: High volatility (small-cap privacy narrative)
ONE: Extremely high volatility (pure speculative oversold junk coin)
Key differences: ZEC is a privacy ETF institutional narrative; NEAR is an AI Agent public chain narrative; ONE has no fundamentals, purely capital-driven pulses.
Core risk points
This rally is largely driven by speculative expectations of NEAR@3.33 rewards. If the price fails to hold above 3.33, the positive expectations will collapse, profit-taking will concentrate, and a rapid correction will occur.
The AI sector rotates quickly, with funds switching to other AI targets at any time, making it easy to see sharp rises followed by rapid pullbacks. Leveraged long positions at high levels are easily liquidated.
Token inflation and staking unlocks continuously pose long-term selling pressure.🔷 Limits: LINK and SOL in action
• LINK broke the spike at 11.69 and MA99 4h; above 12.17/12.80
• SOL: spot CVD plus (+1.9M) — Alpenglow is buying
🎣 Entries:
• $LINK pullback: 11.50-11.70 → 12.17/12.80, stop 11.25
• LINK breakout: 4h above 12.20 → 12.80/13.68, stop 11.70
• $SOL pullback: 102.0-103.5 → 108.9/110.6, stop 99.80
• SOL breakout: 4h above 106.70 → 110.6/116.0, stop 104.0
• Breakdown: 4h below 11.25/100.40
⚠️ Both +6% for the day with negative CVD: squeeze, longs half as much
❓ Breakout of LINK or spot SOL?👇 Aftershocks of the rate hike have not subsided! Expectations for a second tightening in October are heating up, with huge divergences hidden in the market🔥
The September rate hike dust has settled, but the market's tightening game is far from over.
This round's 25BP cut is just a short-term boot; funds have already priced in expectations for another rate hike in October.
According to the latest CME interest rate futures data, the probability of a 25 basis point hike in October has climbed to 55.4%.
The Fed's dot plot stance is even tougher: there is a high probability of at least one more tightening move within the year.
This directly overturns the market's previous optimistic expectation of "a single rate hike to close the chapter." Now the core of the market game is no longer whether to hike, but whether tightening will become normalized and sustained.
Many wonder: after the rate hike, US stocks and BTC clearly rebounded quickly, with Bitcoin closing up nearly 2% intraday, and market sentiment visibly warming—so why am I still cautious?
Because the stubborn roots of inflation have not loosened at all:
Energy prices continue to rise, tariff cost transmission, large-scale capital investment in AI infrastructure, multiple factors support inflation resilience.
Coupled with the 10-year US Treasury yield holding steady at 5% and the US 30-year mortgage rate soaring to 6.95%, the high interest rate environment has deeply penetrated the real economy, leaving the Fed no room to ease.
Currently, there is a clear divergence between market sentiment and fundamentals:
Funds are gambling on short-term easing fantasies, betting that the Fed will not continue aggressive rate hikes, so after bad news lands, they rush to buy the rebound for repair.
#非农前数据分化，9月加息预期升温
$BTC $ETH On September 17, the crypto market broadly rose, but ETFs told a completely different story.
BTC spot ETFs saw a net inflow of about $159 million; ETH rose 2% to around $2470, yet ETFs experienced an outflow of $39 million, marking the third consecutive day of losses.
The biggest contrast was with ZEC: its price increased 10% to about $1488, while US ZEC funds attracted nearly $47 million, with a cumulative inflow exceeding $230 million in September.
Therefore, current data supports the view that the market is not experiencing a "full capital return," but rather institutions are selectively reallocating assets.
ETH currently falls under "price recovery, ETF not confirmed," whereas ZEC shows price and capital flow confirming each other.
The next key point is sustainability: if ETH ETFs turn positive, the current divergence will begin to correct; if ZEC capital flows quickly disappear, its strength may only be a phase of concentrated trading rather than a long-term asset revaluation. $ARB hasn't shown any notable movement recently, just sideways trading.
On September 16, it dropped along with the broader market to the 0.29 to 0.30 range, and in the past few days, it has been oscillating around 0.30 with no independent trend.
When compared alongside ONE and UNI, it’s actually the most interesting. ONE is a price rise driven by liquidity abandonment, UNI is a price rise empowered by mechanisms, and ARB is an intermediate state lacking a catalyst.
The rejection of the CLARITY Act means the market had previously overestimated the impact on ARB. The bill was originally intended to resolve the CFTC’s primary jurisdiction over digital commodities, which is indeed useful for the compliance positioning of L2 tokens like ARB.
However, ARB’s value anchor is not in policy but on-chain. Stylus supports direct mainnet deployment in C, C++, and Rust languages, and this technical capability does not depend on Washington.
Arbitrum’s TVL once surged to $1.94 billion, reclaiming the top spot among L2s, but Stablecoin TVL has only increased by 2% in the past week, which is the real issue. The on-chain technical capability is strong but hasn’t translated into stable capital retention. The psychological level at 0.30 is the most critical position going forward; if it breaks, watch for 0.27.
The Q4 roadmap will be released next week, and then we can see how the team plans to monetize this technical advantage. On-chain certainty must be provided by oneself.Watch who leads the first green hour.
$BTC lead is healthier.
$ETH lead can be a short squeeze.
$DOGE lead is usually a liquidity grab.
$ZEC lead is momentum continuation until it is exhaustion. First hour is a clue, not a plan.
NFA. DYOR. The Fed raised rates… and stocks rallied. That sounds contradictory, but it actually makes sense. The market may not fear the extra 25 bps as much as it fears inflation getting out of control. If a rate hike strengthens confidence in the Fed, long-term yields can fall as inflation expectations stabilize. That’s exactly why the 10-year yield falling to 4.93% matters. For BTC, I’m watching one thing closely: Does the market continue to believe the Fed can control inflation? Because if that confide$DASH is starting to leave a zone that has held a price down for years.
for a long time, rallies kept getting sold back into the same liquidity area. Now, the structure is finally changing.
the levels I’m watching:
$134 → $281 → $476
above that, the chart enters a much different territory, with the larger projection reaching around $600+.
It's funny how a chart gets “interesting” only after everyone notices it. 📊🚨This move is ruthless! The "Garrett Jin whale entity" sold all 35,000 ETH it just withdrew, worth about $87.5 million, then immediately used the funds to add margin to its ZEC short position, which is already down about $30 million. 🐋💥
On September 18, according to on-chain analyst Yu Jin's monitoring, the whale entity withdrew 35,000 ETH from the exchange last night and then sold all of it at around $2,500 each. This wasn't a small test by selling a few thousand; it was a full liquidation of 35,000 ETH, totaling approximately $87.5 million based on the transaction price.
But the real highlight is yet to come.
After selling the ETH, the whale didn't just pocket the money but used part of the funds to add margin to its ZEC short position, which is currently down about $30 million. 😳
After adding margin, the liquidation price of the ZEC short position rose from the original $2,631 directly to $4,738.
In plain terms, his current move is like this: the ZEC short has already taken a big hit, but he hasn't given up and exited. Instead, he sold $87.5 million worth of ETH on the other side and then injected more funds to "heal" the short position.
Originally, if ZEC rose to around $2,631, his position might have faced a greater risk of forced liquidation; now, with the added margin, the liquidation price has been pushed up to $4,738, effectively giving himself a much larger buffer to hold the position.$ETH 100U Quantitative Trading Day 29 (19:55)｜Failed to switch in the oscillating box
In the morning, it was judged to switch the box towards 2400, but it pulled all the way to 2521, then returned to the previous box's high level. That was a slap.
Key levels
· Support: around 2500, near 2477, hard bottom before 2460
· Resistance: near 2526, around 2558
Trading suggestions
A long upper shadow was left after the surge, short-term outlook is for a pullback.
1. Short on rebound
· Entry: near 2520 at stagnation
· Stop loss: 2535
· Target: 2480 → 2460
2. Buy on pullback
· Entry: near 2477 at stop of decline
· Stop loss: 2455
· Target: 2520 → 2550
3. Breakout chase long (aggressive)
· Trigger: hold above 2525
· Entry: near 2525
· Stop loss: 2507
· Target: 2560 → 2600
It pulled from 2440 to 2521 without pause. It closed at 2503, leaving a long upper shadow, indicating sellers above. Short-term turned negative, one-hour overbought, big players are reducing longs and adding shorts. Four-hour momentum is still positive.
The bot performed well on longs today: bought at 2412 in the morning, sold between 2448 and 2520. But it also added shorts along the way and got caught in this squeeze, cutting some positions in the evening.
Be flexible at key levels, watch your position size, take profits and stop losses timely, and pay attention to data timeliness.
⚠️The above content is personal opinion only and does not constitute investment advice