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I just reloaded Big Brother Maji's Hyperliquid public account. At 18:25 on September 15 Beijing time, he did not liquidate, nor was there any recent new deposit found. $HYPE has been completely cleared, with positions only in $BTC and $ETH, all long. The account net value is about 4.1755 million USD, but the nominal position is as high as 124.98 million USD, with overall exposure close to 30 times the account net value, yet the withdrawable balance is still 0. The two long positions have a combined unrealized loss of about 703,600 USD. BTC still has 369 coins, 40x full position, opening average price 77,596.8 USD, unrealized loss about 217,300 USD, dynamic liquidation price near 71,824 USD. The most critical is ETH. He still holds 39,000 ETH, 25x full position, opening average price 2,488.57 USD. The mark price at query was about 2,476.1 USD, dynamic liquidation price about 2,426.68 USD, less than 50 USD apart, about 2% distance. Holding 39,000 ETH means that for every 10 USD drop in price, the book profit and loss changes by about 390,000 USD. In crypto, even a small flash spike can wipe out this margin. Under full position mode, BTC's profit and loss, funding fees, and subsequent position adjustments will continue to push the liquidation line. Big Brother Maji didn't just lie down and endure today. He net reduced 166 BTC, about 600 ETH, and sold the last 6,000 HYPE at 15:08. The part closed that day had a total profit of about 165,300 USD $BTC fell below 77000, and my short position from yesterday finally made a profit 👊
I opened a short at 77800 yesterday, and today it directly dropped to 76950, down more than 2 points, perfectly confirmed. The 24-hour low touched 76704, with the lower Bollinger Band around 76604, so short-term support is considered held.
RSI6 dropped to 44, RSI12 and 24 are at 37 and 36 respectively, oversold hasn't reached extreme levels yet, but bearish momentum is clearly releasing. MACD formed a death cross downward, this correction is still ongoing.
Some people said yesterday I was reckless, but now looking back, that impulsive short during the sideways movement turned into the profit source for this drop. However, at the 76900 level, I already reduced most of my position, and will see if I can touch 76700 before exiting the rest.
Brothers, for this drop, did you get in short or are you waiting below to bottom-fish? Let's chat in the comments.🙈#本周FOMC揭晓，加息能否落地？ #CLARITY投票前分歧未解 #波动雷达：币种异动观察 BlackRock wallet entered public tracking, but ETH is slowly declining: transparency is a slow variable
4 hours ago, Arkham put BlackRock's on-chain wallet into public tracking, $ETH slid from 2496.22 to 2476.01 — short-term I lean bearish, treat the rebound as a window to reduce positions. In short — the largest asset manager's on-chain holdings are open for everyone to watch.
BlackRock's increased positions are now visible; accumulation is like free bullish advertising. But the market doesn't agree — three-quarters of accounts are long, long-short ratio 2.973, crowding is the fast variable. Among 71 mainstream coins, 24 rose and 43 fell, BTC 77009 is pressed below ma7 77345.
Resistance above: 2485.5 (15m resistance zone, reclaim means stabilization) → 2541.65 (1h SAR upper level)
Support below: 2465.6 (24h low) → 2403.45 (daily MA30)
Watershed: 2464.71, hold the grinding level, break below targets 2403
The scenario is to break support first before considering a rebound, not a V-shaped recovery. On the contrary — yesterday ETF still had net inflow, don't chase too greedily on a breakdown.
If you hold longs, reduce positions first at the 2485 rebound; if short, enter after breaking 2464.71, stop loss and exit if 2485 is reclaimed. This account only speaks plainly, follow = save time.
$ETH $BTCAt the 79600 price level, those going long profit from the direction, while the project team profits from your number of turnovers. Volatility itself is their source of income.
Last night $BTC surged to 79600, $ETH touched 2610, and today it fell back. This back-and-forth does not create new funds; it only transfers positions from one person to another. Exchanges and market makers take commissions based on trading volume, profiting from both rises and falls.
Holders of $SNDK are locked into a single asset, missing two phases of mainstream coin rallies and also paying an additional loss. Diversification is not a moral requirement; it reduces the probability of being priced by a single counterparty.
There is only one truly falsifiable judgment: if volatility converges after the CLARITY vote and the FOMC decision, this commission logic should be recalculated. At that time, focus on trading volume, not price.
#本周FOMC揭晓，加息能否落地？
#美战略比特币储备法案进入委员会审议 #BTC现货ETF三日流出近4.5亿美元 $BTC $ETH The 10-year US Treasury yield touched 5.02%, the highest in 19 years, not just a routine fluctuation.
I saw a daily chart from @macropaperr on X: US10Y opened at 4.983, high 5.029, closed at 5.025, rising about 0.54% that day, already breaking the 5% psychological barrier.
The post interaction is also high, about 191 likes, 55 retweets, and 13,000 views; oil prices are pushing up inflation expectations, and the market pricing for a 25 basis point rate hike at this week's FOMC is roughly between 85% and 91%.
I think this is not a "collapse once it breaks 5%" slogan, but a hard signal of rising financing costs; before the rate hike is finalized, both US stocks and crypto will be led by the bond market.
What to do: start with a light position and observe, do not chase leveraged rebounds; if the 10-year yield closes firmly above 5%, or if FOMC rhetoric turns more hawkish, then reduce your position one notch.
Choose one: Are you more afraid that the bond market will continue to crash, or do you think the rate hike implementation will ease things?
#ThisWeekFOMCReveal Can the rate hike be finalized?
#SaudiKeyOilPipelineDamaged May be shut down for weeks
$TLT $SPX $QQQThe market is no longer betting on "whether there will be a rate hike this time," but rather on how the long-term yields will move after the hike.
An unintuitive discussion is emerging: if this rate hike really suppresses inflation expectations and causes the 10-year yield to fall from 5%, it could actually be positive for risk assets.
Whether the 10-year yield can move away from 5% and when oil prices will fall. If these two don't ease, the pricing of tightening won't stop.
#本周FOMC揭晓，加息能否落地？ $BTC weekly chart has not turned weak yet
Although it pulled up then dropped after this week's opening, BTC is still in a bullish weekly structure.
One data point worth noting:
📊 About 91% of the lows in past bullish weekly charts appeared later.
So the real key going forward is:
If the weekly low is taken out, the price reaction will be very informative.
As long as $75,500 holds, I will continue to lean towards a final close in the green zone this week. 🟢
Focus on the structure first, no need to be rushed by short-term fluctuations.#CLARITY投票前分歧未解
126 concessions for a 32% chance of success. CLARITY votes tomorrow.
▪️ Republicans say they conceded 126 amendments, 80% ethics plan
▪️ Still 7 Democrats short, probability increased from 22% to 32%
▪️ Ethics provisions expire on 2029/1/20
▪️ 18 state attorneys general jointly oppose
9/16 02:15 cloture, 60 votes only decide whether to start debate.
The disagreement is not about whether the concessions are enough, but for whom this text is written. Excludes officials and spouses, not children; provisions expire on the last day of the term; takes 360 days to take effect.
BTC: Legislative certainty is priced in, probability back from 22% to 32%. If it fails, it will be pushed to 2030.
Even after conceding 80%, still 7 votes short, do you bet or die? $BTC and $ETH are seeing a major institutional battle, but the flow picture is becoming increasingly interesting. Recent data showed Ethereum ETFs attracting roughly $144M into BlackRock’s ETHA, while Bitcoin products faced heavier redemptions, highlighting a potential rotation of institutional capital toward ETH. This tells me one thing: Wall Street is still actively positioning for the next major crypto move. The market may already be pricing in a significant amount of the FOMC uncertainty, wh$ETH is trading at $2,476.32, and the next move may depend less on Ethereum itself—and more on macro liquidity. The Fed meeting is approaching while rising oil prices and Treasury yields are putting pressure on risk assets. That creates an interesting contradiction: ETH recently showed strong recovery momentum, but the broader environment is becoming less friendly for speculative positions. The level I'm watching: $2,350–$2,360. ETH previously held this area during its consolidation, making it OKX has launched $PONS spot trading, and this is definitely not some so-called counterattack. To think that way is to seriously underestimate OKX. You should know that OKX was one of the earliest exchanges to enable RH chain withdrawals as early as August.
Moreover, listing on secondary markets itself is not a negative factor; on the contrary, it is a solid positive. Many people’s minds have been messed up by Meme, thinking that a small coin being listed is the peak and that good news means selling off. They reflexively believe that any coin listed on secondary markets means the end. In the short term, there may indeed be profit-taking pressure because liquidity improves, but in the long run, listing on secondary markets remains a clear positive, as it allows pricing from small on-chain communities to enter a larger market for revaluation.
Last night, someone even told me that we have to see if $PONS rises first; only if PONS rises will the coins in the ecosystem have hope to rise. This still treats PONS as an ordinary primary platform token. When a platform is just starting, the platform token is indeed a confidence anchor, but once the ecosystem begins to operate independently, funds, developers, and projects will have their own pricing logic. They cannot always wait for the platform token to give orders.
It is even less likely that a temporary drop in PONS means all coins in the ecosystem have to look to it for approval. Does it mean that if $PUMP doesn’t rise, all Memes on Solana will come to a halt? The price of the platform token and the prosperity of the platform ecosystem are not completely governed by the same pricing logic. The main event of the week is not the 25BP👮
In the early hours of September 17 Beijing time, the Federal Reserve's September FOMC decision was announced. The market has priced in nearly a 90% chance of a 25BP rate hike, with Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan, HSBC, and others turning hawkish one after another.
But whether to hike or not is basically clear. The real question to trade on is: is this the end, or just halftime?
August PPI year-on-year at 5.4%, CPI month-on-month at 0.4%, combined with strong energy prices and high U.S. Treasury yields, inflation topics are heating up again. Gold is supported by safe-haven and inflation-hedging demand but suppressed by high real interest rates; BTC is relatively resilient, indicating some expectations have been priced in; ETH is more volatile and faces greater pressure if risk appetite weakens.
Two possible paths early Thursday:
Hike 25BP + Powell hawkish → BTC and ETH under pressure, gold fluctuates at high levels;
Hike 25BP + dovish wording → market bets on "the last rate hike," BTC and ETH rebound, gold strengthens.
Therefore, the focus this time is not the 25BP, but the dot plot, the wording of the press conference, and Powell's hints on the future rate path.
#本周FOMC揭晓，加息能否落地？ Calm Before the Storm: Bulls and Bears Face Off, Waiting to Ignite
BTC is stuck oscillating repeatedly between 76,500 and 80,000. The daily chart shows support near 76,500, but the weekly chart is still suppressed by the 50-week moving average (around 80,000), so the structure has not turned strong.
Short-term bullish: Support confirmed twice at 76,500 on pullbacks; Fear & Greed Index rises to 68 (Greed).
Medium-term bearish: Spot demand is weak, rebounds are driven by derivatives; weekly RSI shows bearish divergence.
Two major variables in the next 48 hours:
· FOMC interest rate decision (9/16): 85%-91% probability of a 25 basis point hike. Hawkish outcome will cause pressure; an unexpected pause would be very positive.
· CLARITY Act procedural vote (9/16): Legislative outcome will directly impact market sentiment.
In short: Before these events conclude, rebounds should be seen as weak recoveries, avoid chasing highs; if 76,500 on the daily chart breaks down, the trend turns bearish targeting 73,000-74,500. Holding cash plus low leverage is the best position.$SOL is sitting near $100.81, but the interesting part isn't the round number. It's whether buyers can defend this area while the broader market faces macro uncertainty. Recent derivatives data shows SOL open interest declining, while funding remains slightly positive. That suggests leverage has cooled—but longs haven't completely disappeared. This creates an important setup: $100 is the decision zone. If SOL holds above $100 and spot volume starts expanding, buyers could attempt a recovery tow$UNI The $71.1 billion trading volume this month is truly incredible, surpassing the combined volumes of the 2nd to 4th ranked DEXs.
Uniswap is the true leader of DeFi DEXs. Features like v4 hooks, Unichain L2, and fee toggle governance are real innovations, not just empty promises.
However, everyone should note that today it started to shrink in volume, indicating it's not driven by aggressive new capital but more like light selling pressure plus passive follow-up buying. The biggest risk in a volume-shrinking rally is a single high-volume bearish candle that wakes people up.
It's definitely a genuine project, but chasing a high price on shrinking volume has low cost-effectiveness. It's better to wait for a pullback to 6.3-6.4 to stabilize before going up again rather than chasing now. The logic for holding the DeFi leader long-term is solid; just don't get carried away in the short term.$CORE Many people don't understand CORE's market trend. There are two common profit-making logics in the crypto space:
The first is long-short betting, where short positions accumulate to trigger short squeezes, and long positions cluster to trigger long squeezes, leveraging margin trading to drive the coin price;
The second is orderly price pumping to grow total market capitalization, attracting off-exchange investors to buy at high prices and profit.
But neither of these logics applies to CORE, because the prerequisite conditions are not met.
To achieve long-short harvesting, a large number of leveraged traders need to form opposing positions. After experiencing node vulnerabilities and excessive token issuance controversies, market confidence has been damaged, making everyone more conservative in their operations, and it is difficult for contract positions to gather on a large scale. Even if the main force tries to pump and force a short squeeze, the early node holders and whales' spot selling pressure will quickly push the price back down, making the cost of pumping extremely high. Without relay funds, the main force is more likely to get trapped, and a long-short double kill scenario is hard to play out.
To steadily raise market value, continuous inflow of incremental funds is essential. The unresolved issue of CORE's leftover token issuance disposal causes the market to worry about subsequent large-scale token releases leading to selling pressure, so off-exchange funds mostly remain on the sidelines. The project currently prioritizes fixing on-chain faults and resolving community conflicts; pumping the coin price is not the primary goal. Without new funds entering, relying solely on old users trading among themselves makes sustained upward movement difficult.
Currently, CORE is essentially a stock game: the price mostly follows the overall market fluctuations, news only brings short-term pulses, rebounds face selling pressure, and dips see brief bottom-fishing support. The future market trend depends on the resolution of leftover issues, network stability, and the ability to attract external incremental funds.$CRWD opened a new position again. Today feels like a bull market feast. Yesterday, this stock surged 13% despite a major market drop, and today it’s pulling back for individual stock recovery. There’s also its related sector, AI applications. Why buy the one that surged yesterday when it’s pulling back today? Because I have an expectation: yesterday it was moving in cybersecurity, and if the same sector recovers today, 1⃣️ it will lead the way. Plus, with the recognition of being overbought, it’s easier to be scooped up, and there’s no negative feedback. It rose so much yesterday, and now it’s only about 1 point underwater. The stop loss wasn’t set too high. I made money on SanDisk, and I thought I should have leveraged less, but I won’t regret it because I still have HanJing and I can’t bear more risk. Otherwise, I might have taken profits now and blindly re-entered, which would be calmer. I really like this bull market prosperity, at least on the surface it looks like that.兄弟们，参议院今晚就要对CLARITY法案投程序性表决了，但两党在伦理条款上的分歧，投票前最后一刻还没谈拢。 共和党说“让了95%”，民主党说“漏了最关键的5%”。 白宫加密顾问Patrick Witt今天公开表态：特朗普上周五亲自拍板，同意将加密资产转入盲信托，赋予各州追责权限。共和党已满足民主党谈判代表约95%的要求。Witt原话是——如果此时仍有议员反对，“决定可能更多出于政治考量，而非政策分歧”。 但民主党不买账。参议员Warren今天在参议院发表讲话，直接把新条款称为 “软弱的遮羞布” 。她的核心指控有三条：执行开关掌握在政治任命官员手里；存在重大漏洞；不适用于特朗普家族的新银行。参议员Warnock也明确表示，法案无法应对“正在发生的潜在腐败风险”。 分歧的核心就一个字：执行权。 新版条款把伦理违规的追责权限交给了司法部——而司法部长是特朗普任命的。民主党认为这等于 “让被告自己决定要不要查自己” 。白宫让步了95%，但剩下的5%恰恰是民主党认为最关键的那部分。 时间已经不站在法案这边了。 9月15日的程序性投票需要60票，共和党只有53席，至少需要7名民主党人倒戈。彭博社For the upcoming FOMC meeting this Wednesday, my personal basic forecast is as follows: even if the Federal Reserve decides to take rate hike action, it is very likely to be a preventive measure with a magnitude of 25 basis points, which is the so-called once-and-done rate hike. We are unlikely to see a repeat of the continuous rate hike wave like in 2022.
If we compare the periods of 1997, 2022, and 2026 horizontally, it is clear that the current economic situation does not exhibit the comprehensive overheating characteristics of 2022. On the contrary, in many core data points, it is highly similar to 1997.
Looking back at 2022, faced with comprehensive overheating in prices, wages, employment, and demand, the Federal Reserve had no choice but to raise rates continuously and significantly to desperately catch up. At that time, various indicators were highly strained: the year-on-year growth rate of core CPI remained above 6%, and core PCE was close to 5%. Meanwhile, the labor market was extremely hot, with the unemployment rate as low as about 3.5%, and nonfarm payrolls increased by an average of about 400,000 per month. In addition, wage levels were also soaring, with the year-on-year growth rate of average hourly earnings once exceeding 5.5%, and the ECI reaching 5.1%2,594 美元这个位置，做市商大概已经盯了很久。
往上一步，主流 CEX 累计空单清算强度 11.31 亿美元；往下破 2,365，多单那边是 6.85 亿。
同一段区间，两边都埋着钱，谁先动谁就替对方买单。这种盘口最难受的地方在于，价格不需要走多远，只需要选个方向。
做市商不猜方向，他们只收波动里的价差，真正被推着走的是杠杆仓位。
11.31 对 6.85，空头那边明显更挤。我会留意 ETH 靠近 2,594 时成交量的变化，看是真突破还是扫一圈就回。
#BTC现货ETF三日流出近4.5亿美元
#OKX预言家：来星球玩预测 #美战略比特币储备法案进入委员会审议 $ETH $ETH 当前盘面数据分析
⚠️盘面复盘，不构成投资建议，合约风险极高
现价2513附近，24小时涨幅+1.24%，24小时区间2473~2612美元，短期处于美联储9.16议息会议前的收敛震荡窗口，多空博弈加剧，波动率开始收缩。
一、核心盘面数据
1. 资金面：ETH现货ETF持续保持净流入，和BTC ETF资金流出形成分化，机构资金轮动转向ETH；链上质押占比抬升至34.7%，交易所存量ETH持续减少，现货流通筹码收紧，长期基本面有支撑。
2. 技术指标：4小时级别收敛三角形态，RSI在58附近中性区间，没有进入超买超卖；MACD动能偏弱，属于震荡蓄力，没有单边趋势。
3. 衍生品：合约多空持仓基本均衡，前置CPI数据落地后，大量空单已经完成回补清算，现在市场资金主要观望美联储决议，新开仓意愿下降。
二、关键价位
• 短线压力：2525-2535，突破之后测试强阻力2550-2560，站稳2560才能打开上行空间看向2650
• 短线支撑：2475-2485，这是近期买盘防守区间；一旦有效跌破，下探2430-2440，核心防守大支撑2400关口 $RAVE This isn't a rebound; it's like CPR for my short account, right? 😎
Last night before bed, I was watching RAVE. That bullish candle shot up quickly but was weak, and the volume didn't keep up at all. I told the people around me that no one was supporting the rise; this kind of increase is just handing tickets to the shorts. While others were shouting breakout, I directly placed my short order.
The market waits for the right moment, and profits come from holding.
This morning when I opened the chart, the answer was already written on the K-line. Entered at 0.2097, now at 0.1861, the short position is floating with +226.03% profit. This gain feels good. The earlier hesitation was real, but the outcome is truly sweet.
Panic comes from lack of planning; losses come from overthinking.
The move is simple: first close 80%, pocket the bulk; move the stop loss of the remaining 20% to the entry price to protect the position. If it continues to drop, let the profit run; if it rebounds, don't give back the gains. Bearish view.
For friends who haven't entered yet, listen to me: now is not the time to rush in. Chasing shorts risks getting caught on the mountainside by a rebound. Wait for the next signal to act; I'll notify you immediately.
$XRP $BTC Active Trading Radar
$XRP price net change is limited, with trading skewed towards sellers: in 3 sets of 5-minute statistics, sellers account for 76.4%, buyers 23.6%, with active sell volume about 3.24 times the active buy volume; the current 15-minute candlestick rose 0.04%; active sell volume exceeds active buy volume by $899,400. The sell bias signal mainly comes from trade distribution, and the net price change has not yet shown a clear rise or fall.
$SNDK price is rising, with active trading skewed towards buyers: in 3 sets of 5-minute statistics, sellers account for 34.3%, buyers 65.7%, with active buy volume about 1.91 times the active sell volume; the current 15-minute candlestick rose 0.18%; active buy volume exceeds active sell volume by $908,200. The price increase and buy dominance mutually confirm each other, indicating a relatively strong current performance.
$ZEC price rise coexists with sell-skewed trading: in 3 sets of 5-minute statistics, sellers account for 63.4%, buyers 36.6%, with active sell volume about 1.73 times the active buy volume; the current 15-minute candlestick rose 0.09%; active sell volume exceeds active buy volume by $2.12M. The rise lacks the support of active buy trading, and these two observations have yet to form a consistent strong bias signal.The CORE project has repeatedly encountered issues, harming the interests of a wide range of investors. Even more seriously, it disregards exchange rules by arbitrarily adding circulating tokens without prior announcement, leading to continuous vulnerabilities and unexpected incidents.
As the project party, this behavior has already breached the professional credibility baseline. In the capital market, once trust collapses, no matter how many new stories are told or forks and patches are made, it is very difficult to restore the confidence of investors and exchanges.The CLARITY Act vote officially took place at 2:15 AM Beijing time on September 16.
This vote requires 60 votes to advance the bill to committee; the Republicans have only 53 seats, so at least 7 Democratic members need to defect to support it. The market estimates the probability of passage at only 13-18%.
Nature: This is just a procedural vote to end debate, not the bill's formal enactment; even if it passes, it still needs to go through amendments, full chamber votes, and House-Senate reconciliation, so it is still far from becoming law.
Pass = regulatory uncertainty decreases; fail = continued chaos.
But regardless of the outcome, it does not mean an immediate surge or crash, only a change in medium- to long-term regulatory expectations.
Pay close attention to market conditions after the early morning results.
Short-term, there may be positive or negative impacts on crypto sentiment
$BTC $ETH #CLARITY投票前分歧未解
The U.S. Senate will soon hold a cloture vote on the CLARITY crypto bill
The Republicans have released the latest draft, which has accepted 126 substantive amendments proposed by the Democrats and incorporated about 80% of the ethics provisions endorsed by Trump. The new regulations require relevant officials to divest crypto asset interests or place them in blind trusts, and also grant state attorneys general corresponding enforcement powers, which seems like a significant concession
However, the two sides have not truly reached a handshake agreement. Some Democratic senators remain dissatisfied with the current text, believing that the provisions on official ethics, stablecoin incentives, state-level enforcement, and developer responsibilities are insufficient, and are preparing to present counterproposals to continue the negotiation
It should be noted that the 60-vote threshold is only to qualify for formal consideration, not for the bill to be passed directly. The Republicans currently hold 53 seats and need to secure support from at least 7 Democrats or independents, which is not easy
There are roughly two possible outcomes:
One is that the two sides reach a compromise through counterproposal negotiations, resulting in the U.S. implementing a unified digital asset regulatory framework, which would be positive for Bitcoin
The other is that negotiations break down, the vote fails, and the unified regulatory plan is delayed again. Uncertainty will continue to hang over the market, suppressing BTC sentiment in the short term
Before the vote is finalized, market participants will likely adopt a wait-and-see attitude, and $BTC will probably remain in a volatile range. Whether the bill passes or is blocked, the outcome will likely trigger a directional market move, so this vote's progress should be closely watched in the near termThe news is all noise, just look directly at the order book. FF current price is 0.14641, no clear direction in the funding aspect, both bulls and bears are probing. At times like this, don't look at the news, only look at the chart structure.
Just opened my thermos and took a sip of herbal tea, continuing to watch the market.
On the daily chart, FF has been sideways between 0.14 and 0.15 for several days, with shrinking volume, indicating that both selling pressure and buying interest are inactive. On the 4-hour chart, there is short-term support near 0.145, and resistance at the previous high of 0.152. The MACD fast and slow lines are converging, a reversal could happen anytime. The Bollinger Bands are narrowing, volatility compressed to the extreme, which usually means a strong one-sided move is approaching.
In terms of operation, don't guess the direction, wait for signals. If there is a volume breakout above 0.152, go long, take profit at 0.162, stop loss at 0.147. If it breaks below 0.145, go short with a light position, take profit at 0.138, stop loss at 0.149. The current price 0.14641 is in the middle zone, no entry, place orders and wait for triggers.
Remember, the longer the sideways consolidation, the stronger the breakout. Don't be fooled by false breakouts, confirm volume before acting. Control your position size well, single trade stop loss should not exceed 2% of principal.
Going on night shift patrol, will check back if there is any market movement.
$FF
#10年期美债收益率突破5%
@OKX星球 $XRP
A single-day increase of over 4%, is the buying pressure on XRP genuine or just front-running before an event?
In the latest settled market, XRP is trading around $1.40, up 4.3% in 24 hours, clearly outperforming BTC and ETH. This indicates that short-term funds are seeking assets with greater volatility.
However, with the Federal Reserve decision approaching, high Beta assets are also the most prone to rapid pullbacks.
If XRP holds the breakout zone after a pullback and spot trading volume does not significantly decline, the strength is more likely to be sustained; if the rise is mainly driven by contracts and funding rates increase rapidly, the risk of reversal will significantly increase.BTC fell below 77,000, can today's Senate vote save it?
#Trump accepts new ethics rules, CLARITY vote approaching
$BTC 76992, down 1.11% in the past 24 hours, retreating from this week's high of 79,568 to below 77,000. Today the Senate will hold a procedural vote on the "Digital Asset Market Clarity Act," requiring 60 votes; Republican votes alone are insufficient, making the bill's prospects uncertain; the probability of a rate hike at tomorrow night's FOMC has already risen to 92.7%. The 30-year US Treasury yield is rising, institutions are proactively reducing risk ahead of the meeting, and spot ETFs are still seeing outflows. Both bulls and bears are waiting for tonight's vote and tomorrow's announcement; RSI is neutral at 56.8. If it breaks below 77,000, watch if 76,000 can hold. Don't rush to bottom-fish before these two major events unfold.
$DOGE 0.085, bulls have the advantage, 0.086 to 0.09 is a trapped position range, purely a sentiment coin. Once the market stabilizes, it will bounce, but with two major events pending, sentiment is temporarily subdued.
$RE 0.45, a small DeFi insurance RWA, market cap 71 million, volume 5 million, weakly correlated with the broader market. It does not directly benefit from regulatory votes like CLARITY, waiting for sector rotation momentum.
With the Senate vote tonight and the FOMC tomorrow, don't rush to bottom-fish if BTC falls below 77,000 before these two events conclude. Even more so for DOGE and RE, avoid heavy positions and wait for the direction to be clear before acting.