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#Aave支持代币化美股抵押借USDC This type of real-yield asset on-chain is causing the collateral narrative of MMT to be repriced. I tend to be cautiously bullish but strictly control position size. Looking at the market, the current price 0.1873 has risen 50.56% from the 4-hour low, with the 1-hour and 4-hour moving averages both trending upward, and the longer-term structure is bullish; the 24h high/low of 0.1921/0.1837 forms a narrow range box, with a trading volume of only 503,000, a funding rate of 0.0050% which is mild, and an open interest of 8,697,000 coin-margined contracts. The top 10 buy/sell orders are 15,000 vs. 14,000, with the buy side slightly dominant. It remains in a strong consolidation before breaking above 0.1923. Strategy-wise, place long orders on a pullback to 0.1841, stop loss at 0.1793, target 0.1949; if volume increases and it breaks above 0.1923, you can lightly chase longs with a stop loss at 0.1871 and a target of 0.2017. Single trade risk should not exceed 1.5% of total capital; exit immediately if stop loss is hit.
— This is only a personal opinion and does not constitute investment advice. Wishing you successful trading. —
$MMT#Aave支持代币化美股抵押借USDC
#Aave支持代币化美股抵押借USDC $MMT $NEAR was hacked yesterday, with about $3.2 million in user assets stolen. The project team has promised full compensation. Dragged down by the news, NEAR quickly declined. A few days ago, when NEAR was still around 5.4, I posted that I had shifted part of my MEAR position to $ZAMA. Looking back now, that move was quite correct: although both pulled back simultaneously, NEAR's drop was significantly larger.
In the short term, both $NEAR and $ZEC have most likely reached a phase top. Especially $ZEC, whose daily oscillation range has already broken down, and high-level chips will need more time to be digested, so the recovery pace might be slow. However, this is only a short-term peak, not the end of the trend. After sufficient chip turnover, NEAR and ZEC still have the chance to start a second wave of rally. #美国9月非农仅增2.9万，失业率升至4.2% #BTC、ETH现货ETF同步转流出，资金热度降温 #美债收益率频创新高，长期利率压力未缓解 Whale portfolio adjustments show divergence: $BTC is being reduced, $ETH is accumulating against the trend, and $XRP remains watchful
Crypto analyst Ali, citing Santiment data, reveals that during the past week’s market consolidation, significant cracks appeared in the movements of whales holding major cryptocurrencies.
For Bitcoin, whale addresses collectively reduced holdings by about 30,000 BTC, valued at approximately $2.52 billion, signaling phased profit-taking or risk reduction. Ethereum showed the opposite trend, with whales increasing holdings by about 60,000 ETH, worth around $162 million, clearly positioning against the trend. XRP whale holdings remained stable at about 3.9 billion tokens, showing no significant portfolio adjustments and staying in a wait-and-see mode.
Analysis suggests that the divergence of whale funds among BTC, ETH, and XRP reflects inconsistent outlooks on the market’s future. BTC reductions may indicate rising short-term caution, ETH accumulation could be a bet on ecosystem catalysts or relative value recovery, and XRP’s inactivity suggests waiting for clearer directional signals. If this divergence pattern continues, it may become a key indicator for the market’s search for a breakout direction.
#加息预期推迟，9月非农成下一关键 #BTC现货ETF连续流出 #美债收益率频创新高，长期利率压力未缓解 The focus remains on $BTC and $ETH, with small coins just accompanying.
Big brother Maji's 161 million position seems diversified, but the real fate of the account is still decided by the two major mainstreams.
· BTC: 40x full position long, 546 coins, opened at 84548.90. The leverage is fierce, but the liquidation price is at 75542, clearly leaving enough buffer to cope with the long wicks and intense volatility commonly seen around non-farm payrolls.
· ETH: 25x full position long, 34,000 coins, the largest ballast in the portfolio and the main source of current floating profit. The liquidation line is at 2550, giving the market more room for oscillation and digestion.
· HYPE: Only a small part, more like an emotional trial position, not affecting the BTC and ETH dominated overall situation.
The core of this strategy is not to cast a wide net, but to heavily invest in the main lines, layer leverage, and use small positions to chase heat. When a big market move comes, the winning hand is always handed to BTC and ETH: one responsible for elasticity, the other supporting the base.
But it must be clear that 40x and 25x full positions still carry extremely high risk. Even if the liquidation price seems far away, under extreme liquidity conditions it can lose control instantly. He has backup positions to add, but ordinary people may not have the same tolerance, so don't blindly copy. #美国9月非农仅增2.9万，失业率升至4.2% #BTC、ETH现货ETF同步转流出，资金热度降温 #美债收益率频创新高，长期利率压力未缓解 "Big Brother Maji's 154 Million Snapshot: Mainstream Leading, HYPE Still Enduring"
Latest positions released, total exposure 154 million, bullish faith unchanged. No major reductions, no reversals, continuing to hold main profit positions, slightly reducing positions, firmly holding emotional targets.
$BTC: 525 coins, 40X full position long. Continuing slight volume reduction, unrealized profit +337,800 U. Entry at 84,548.60, liquidation price lowered to 72,421.25, safety buffer further expanded, still the pioneer of elasticity play.
$ETH: 33,000 coins, 25X full position long. Account's profit ace, unrealized profit +1,475,400 U. Entry at 2,678.32, well above cost, forced liquidation at 2,517.70, supporting the confidence of the entire large position.
$HYPE: 221,000 coins, 10X full position long. Still unrealized loss -306,300 U, no cut loss, only slight position reduction. Using lower leverage to isolate volatility, allowing the sector time to recover.
Those familiar with his strategy understand: during major macro windows, no back-and-forth swings; rather, hold onto mainstream positions that have already made profits, using unrealized gains to cover the time cost of smaller positions.
This layout is designed to let profits keep running: BTC and ETH reap enough dividends, becoming a solid safety cushion; HYPE is still enduring the emotional turning point, overall still betting. #美国9月非农仅增2.9万，失业率升至4.2% #BTC、ETH现货ETF同步转流出，资金热度降温 #美债收益率频创新高，长期利率压力未缓解 Nonfarm payrolls froze! 29,000 smashed expectations, BTC bulls eyeing 90,000? US September nonfarm payrolls increased by only 29,000, expected 90,000; unemployment rate 4.2%, higher than the expected 4.1%. The employment engine suddenly stalled, signaling economic cooling, weakening the Fed's excuse to maintain high pressure, and easing trades quickly heated up. The dollar retreated, US Treasury yields dipped, and risk assets got a breather.
On the BTC side, the price returned above 86,000, with sentiment clearly warming. Technically, first focus on the previous high of 86,914: if taken with volume, trend funds may chase in, bringing the 90,000 psychological level into range; if it’s a low-volume false breakout, a pullback to support is not unexpected. Macro gives the wind, the market gives the momentum, but position sizing and stop-loss remain lifesavers.
$BTC $ZEC $CORE #10月加息预期回落，今晚PCE成关键 Piper sharply cut Nike's target price. The number itself isn't earth-shattering, but it hits reality: consumption is retreating, while AI and tech leaders are still surging. In the same market, there's a split between hot and cold sectors; the K-shaped recovery is no longer just a macro term but a trading map.
Money has become smarter and scarcer. It doesn't spread out but concentrates on a few certainties. As a result, strong assets continue to attract capital, while weak assets lose liquidity. Don't expect a "flooding the mountain with water" style broad rally; that script is outdated. Leaders like BTC have consensus support at the bottom, so the tailwind remains; a bunch of altcoins without narratives or funds mostly rebound as a flight for survival, with a slow decline being the main theme. Aave supports tokenized US stock collateral borrowing of USDC, indicating that the boundaries of on-chain assets are being broken. SNDK, as a similar narrative target, shows a slightly warm short-term sentiment linkage but the market has not yet broken through; I tend to expect consolidation before a change. Current price is 1738, with a 24h slight drop of 0.2%, the high and low points 1806 and 1716 form a box range; trading volume is 526,000, relatively light, funding rate 0.0000% indicating neutrality, open interest at 47,000 unchanged, order book buy/sell ratio 1.12 slightly favors buyers, but 1-hour distance from high is -3.5%, 4-hour distance from low is 14.09%, upward momentum is marginally slowing. Strategy: lightly buy on a pullback to 1721, stop loss at 1704, target 1793; if volume breaks above 1809, then chase long, stop loss 1786, target 1846. Keep position within 10%, exit immediately if broken.
——This is only a personal opinion and does not constitute investment advice. Wish you successful trading.——
$SNDK#Aave支持代币化美股抵押借USDC
#Aave支持代币化美股抵押借USDC $SNDK Funding rate surged to 10%, are leveraged longs coming back?
Bitcoin rebounded from $83,500 all the way above $86,500, and the futures market heated up simultaneously: the perpetual funding rate rose to about 10%, open interest increased by approximately $230 million over two days, with the total volume returning to around 653,000 BTC.
A positive funding rate means longs are paying shorts, indicating more people are betting on a price increase and risk appetite is recovering. But this is a double-edged sword—once longs become too crowded, even a slight price pullback could trigger a cascade of liquidations.
Next, watch three things: whether $86,000 can hold, if the open interest growth is supported by spot capital, and whether the funding rate will continue to soar. A truly healthy market requires spot demand and leverage to rise in sync. $BTCToday's calendar reminder: 10/2 (Friday) — A-shares continue National Day holiday (resuming trading on 10/9); Hong Kong stocks' last trading day before the holiday has closed (Hang Seng Index -2.60%); ★ 20:30 September Nonfarm Payrolls released — significantly below expectations; next Federal Reserve meeting on 10/28. ★ Major news — September Nonfarm Payrolls significantly below expectations (employment market unexpectedly cools) + October rate hike probability sharply drops: China Securities Journal (21:37): 'US September nonfarm payrolls increased by 29,000, expected 90,000. Unemployment rate 4.2% (expected 4.1%, August 4.1%). Average hourly earnings rose 0.1% month-over-month, 3% year-over-year (expected 0.3% and 3.2%)'; Securities Times (21:31): 'US September nonfarm employment net revision down by 60,000 over two months'; Rate hike expectations (Securities Times 21:31, CME FedWatch): 'Probability that the Fed will keep rates unchanged through December is 18.8%, cumulative 25 basis points hike probability 60.4%, cumulative 50 basis points hike probability 20.8%' — October rate hike probability sharply drops to about 17% (Douyin 21:36); Caixin (22:56): 'TD Securities expects Fed to hike rates in December and March, previously expected October and January' — institutional rate hike timing pushed back. ★ US stocks intraday 10/2 (23:10 — high level, Nasdaq leading gains): iFinD (23:10 intraday snapshot): Dow Jones 5After BTC surpassed 80,000, are the altcoins' wicks getting shorter?
This BTC surge is indeed eye-catching: it shot up from around 60,000 straight to 80,000, with chasing funds flooding in. More importantly, there was no significant pullback above 80,000, and the market is starting to treat it as a "value confirmation" rather than just an emotional spike.
On the macro side, Goldman Sachs pushed the expectation for the second rate hike from October to December, delaying the tightening risk that was heating up in October. For crypto, this isn't necessarily a direct positive, but it does buy about two months of buffer. With liquidity pressure easing temporarily, risk appetite has room to continue performing.
If BTC hits new highs again in these two months, capital outflows will become fierce. At that point, altcoins are likely not to just mildly catch up but to be explosively pumped by leverage and FOMO together. On the other hand, Bitcoin ETFs have seen net inflows for nine consecutive days, while ETH has turned to outflows, indicating funds are re-selecting sides: first holding tight to the strongest consensus, then considering diffusion.
Next, 80,000 is the touchstone, and December is the countdown. If BTC is stable, altcoins have a chance; if BTC's breakout is false, the frenzy will quickly subside.
#BTC现货ETF连续流出 "Nonfarm Payrolls Crash the Market, Fed Pulls Back, Crypto Sees a Different Kind of Buying"
From 90,000 down to 29,000, previous values cut again, a total downward revision of 60,000 over two months, with July even turning negative; unemployment rate rises to 4.2%. This is not a cooling off, but the employment engine stalling. The market immediately reprices: the probability of a rate hike in October drops from 70% to around 25%, and the chance of no action after the data rises to 85%. The Fed temporarily pulls back, lowering the opportunity cost of interest-free assets.
Price moves first: BTC surges to 87,000, ETH stands above 2,750. But more importantly, the capital structure—ETF just ended 9 days of net inflows, $3.1 billion of profit-taking exits, yet prices did not fall, indicating new funds are betting on a policy shift. ETH staking queue is 1.68 million coins, with only 154,000 exiting; BitMine holds 6 million coins, accounting for 4.9% of supply, with 5.06 million staked, generating an annualized yield of $358 million. Lock-up, accumulation, and pause in rate hikes are synchronizing.
Strategy: Do not chase BTC above 87,000, confirm on a pullback to 84,500; if it holds above 85,000, target 89,000–90,000. For ETH, hold above 2,700 to buy, 2,750 is resistance; reduce positions if it falls below 2,600. The 29,000 nonfarm payrolls is not a recession verdict but a signal that the Fed is forced to pull back. Don’t chase highs in the frenzy, nor be absent at the turning point. $BTC $ETH
#美国9月非农仅增2.9万，失业率升至4.2% The risk of escalation between the US and Iran rises again, Brent crude oil returns to $100, and safe-haven funds are migrating from high-volatility assets to energy and safe-haven varieties. As a newly launched hot coin, KAITO inevitably sees some short-term liquidity pulled away. I tend to believe this rebound is a weak recovery rather than a trend reversal.
However, the market has not fully turned bearish yet: current price 0.352, up 3.2% in 24h, still 25.94% room from the 4-hour low, the 1-hour level still maintains an upward structure, only 1.95% retracement from the high. Trading volume is 17.71 million with a funding rate of 0.0050%, bullish sentiment is moderate and not overheated; open interest of 11.289 million coin-margined shows leverage has not significantly withdrawn. But the order book's top 10 buy/sell ratio is only 0.68, with sell orders of 89,000 outweighing buy orders of 61,000, short-term selling pressure is real, and 0.36 is the breakout confirmation level.
Strategy-wise, if it pulls back to 0.3435 without breaking, you can lightly go long, stop loss at 0.3315, target 0.3685; if volume increases and it stabilizes above 0.3605, then chase long, stop loss at 0.3475, target 0.3835. Position control within 20%, exit immediately if broken, do not hold the position.
— This is only a personal opinion and does not constitute investment advice. Wish you smooth trading. —
$KAITO#美伊升级风险再升，布油重回100美元
#美伊升级风险再升，布油重回100美元 $KAITO The risk of escalation between the US and Iran rises again, Brent crude oil returns to $100, and risk aversion sentiment heats up but has not crushed the crypto market. SOL holds its gains against the trend. I judge the short-term outlook to still be bullish but caution is needed when chasing highs. From the capital perspective, a fee rate of only 0.0100% indicates bulls are not overheated, and a position of 3.005 million coin-based contracts shows moderate speculation; after a 2.2% rise in 24h, the order book buy-sell ratio is 0.76, with selling pressure slightly dominant. The previous high of 123.76 is a strong resistance, and 116.83 is the intraday support. It is recommended to lightly buy on a pullback to 118.35, with a stop loss at 116.57 and a target of 122.85; if volume breaks above 123.76, positions can be added, controlling holdings within 20% and strictly managing risk.
— This is only a personal opinion and does not constitute investment advice. Wishing you successful trading. —
$SOL#美伊升级风险再升，布油重回100美元
#美伊升级风险再升，布油重回100美元 $SOL Looking at the floating profit on the account, I honestly can't feel relaxed. A few days ago I told myself that once I reduced some exposure, I could finally sleep peacefully. But then the market kept pushing higher, and that familiar gambler mentality came back: “Maybe it can go even higher.” So I kept holding. Now the margin ratio has fallen to around 0.34%. That's way too close to the danger zone. 📊 Current positions $BCH - Full position, 10X - Entry: $264.80 - Mark: $318.60 - Position valueNo guessing tops or bottoms, just holding BTC long positions
The rhythm of this BTC cycle is actually very clear.
First stage, from 58,000 to 82,500, bulls ignite first.
Second stage, a pullback from 82,500 to 75,000, just stepping on the MicroStrategy cost zone, but never touching the 74,000 bull-bear line. Holding this well is already strong.
Third stage, pushing from 75,000 back up to 87,000, with 82,500 becoming a key threshold. Previous judgment: breaking 82,500 would quickly surge to 85,000. That was correct. But after 85,000, it didn’t jump straight to 90,000; instead, it stalled around 87,000.
This doesn’t mean the market is bad. Around 87,000, divergence begins, bulls and bears split more, essentially a rotation and accumulation. Just the rhythm slowed down, not the direction lost.
Now, should you go long or short? Honestly, short-term is really hard to guess. Chasing longs risks being shaken out, shorting risks being left behind. The only certainty is that I won’t let go of my long positions.
$BTC
#美国9月非农仅增2.9万，失业率升至4.2%
#BTC、ETH现货ETF同步转流出，资金热度降温 $ENJ ultimately made a profit within 15 minutes
If it surges 20% rapidly within 15 minutes, you can take a 3-point retracement in the next 15 minutes; if you miss it, you have to close the position
If it surges 30% rapidly within 15 minutes, you can take 5 points
However, the time is very limited, holding positions for at most 15 to 30 minutes. If you don't make money, or whether you make a little or a lot, you have to close the position. The potential risk is: there might be another wave of surge, and you could get stuck 🥲
The screenshot below was taken at 20:18, just missing the take profit point, at that moment my heart sank Why does extremely poor non-farm payroll data actually cause the market to crash?
1. Buying the expectation, selling the fact: Before the data release, gold prices were already fluctuating between 4135-4190, with the market pricing in "weak data" in advance. After the data was released, there was no new buying, and bulls instead took profits and closed positions.
2. Stagflation and liquidity crisis: Non-farm payrolls at 29,000 mean the economy is rapidly deteriorating. The market suddenly realizes that if the US economy enters a recession, it could trigger a global dollar liquidity crisis. Institutions, in order to obtain dollar cash (to survive), will indiscriminately sell gold. This is what I mean by: "In a liquidity crisis, what is sold is not logic, but survival."#Anthropic拟11月启动IPO，目标于感恩节前上市，若成行将抽走部分科技板块风险偏好，ETH短线或承压震荡，但加密独立叙事仍在。当前报价2699.93，24小时微涨0.6%，高点2777.7未能站稳，低点2674.47附近有承接；小时与四小时趋势虽向上，距低仅1.63%和12.89%，追多性价比已不高。订单簿前十档卖单3120压过买单2534，力量比0.81，资金费率0.0022%偏中性，持仓60.4万显示多头未过热。策略上，回踩2681.3可轻仓试多，止损2658.7，目标2743.9；若反抽至2756.2受阻则短空，止损2781.4，目标2693.5。仓位控制在两成以内，感恩节前消息面易放大波动，务必带好止损。
——仅为个人看法，不构成投资建议，祝交易顺利。——
$ETH#Anthropic拟11月启动IPO，目标于感恩节前上市
#Anthropic拟11月启动IPO，目标于感恩节前上市 $ETH $SAND 4-hour trading volume of 100 million, average price at 0.065, watch if it sweeps the liquidity below. If it dips to 0.058, you can go long Under the RWA trend, I have noticed four yield targets: $AAVE, $UNI, $ENA, Pendle
Considering the three dimensions of time, potential explosiveness, and certainty:
AAVE and UNI are core assets that prioritize "certainty," but patience is needed to wait for RWA income to scale;
ENA and PENDLE have stronger explosive elasticity but relatively lower certainty, making them more suitable for investors with higher risk tolerance.
In this wave of RWA, AAVE and UNI serve as the foundation, but don’t expect to make quick money from them.
AAVE is positioned at the lending gateway; institutions using tokenized stocks as collateral to borrow money can’t bypass it. Unfortunately, its scale is large, income grows slowly, market share is being taken, and buybacks are shrinking, so it’s suitable for long-term holding.
UNI holds about 60% of the tokenized stock trading share, and the fee switch has been turned on, but the annualized burn is only 90 million, valuation is no longer cheap, and there is still a lot of fluff in trading volume, so elasticity is average.
If you want to bet on elasticity, look at ENA and PENDLE. ENA’s fee switch passed unanimously, with 95% of net income used for buybacks, the strongest effort, but USDe needs to grow from the current 4.9 billion to 7.5 billion to trigger it, a gap of 2.6 billion, so it still needs to wait.
PENDLE’s mechanism is more practical, with 80% of income used for buybacks and annual inflation suppressed to 0.2%. Unfortunately, protocol income has dropped 90% from its peak, now annualized at just over 10 million, buyback volume is too small, and institutions are cutting losses and exiting.
Summary: AAVE > UNI > PENDLE > ENA Staring at the screen for too long, I keep feeling like this market is deliberately putting on a show for me. All the indicators are screaming oversold, and that little urge in my heart to open a position beats as regularly as a heartbeat. I used to think I could see through the script at a glance, but now I'm terrified of this kind of lifeless sideways movement. These past few days, I've forced myself to hide the account page and even turned off all notifications from the monitoring software, otherwise, I'm really afraid that one day I'll act impulsively and throw myself into this uncertainty. In this line of work, enduring boredom is much harder than enduring a crash; after all, losing money can always make you admit defeat, but this kind of boredom is the easiest way to make you dumb. Better go run a few laps downstairs to calm down.
$AVAX $LINK $SEI Brothers, this wave of BTC really stunned me!😵
Just now it was crazily pumping, pushing up over 2000 points directly, reaching a high of 87238, but then it quickly dropped back, and the current price has returned to 85282.5.
In the past 12 hours, $BTC long positions across the network liquidated about 16.648 million USD, while shorts liquidated 120 million USD, the bears got hit hard.
Look at my short position:
-880.94%
Opening average price: 78387.3
Latest transaction price: 85282.5
I've held this position for quite a while, honestly now I just want BTC to drop so I can exit. This kind of rapid spike followed by a quick fall just now also makes me more afraid to chase longs at high levels.
Brothers, this sudden pump and then dump pattern, do you think it's a shakeout or a bull trap?👇
#美国9月非农仅增2.9万，失业率升至4.2% #BTC、ETH现货ETF同步转流出，资金热度降温 #Strategy再购BTC，多家财库同步增持 Currently 100U challenge to 10,000U | Day 12
Initial principal: 100 USDT
Current total assets: 73.58 USDT
Today's profit: +2.17 USDT (+0.98%)
$XAU Non-farm data was positive but gold prices plummeted; the reason is that there have already been two consecutive bullish days, and the market has prematurely priced in the positive factors. In the long term, there is no negative news, but the US dollar exchange rate is like a sharp knife hanging overhead. I remain bullish for the long term but will not recommend others to buy with me due to high risk. The support level below is 4000-3950, but I won’t take the last bite of food nor drink the last sip of soup, so I entered early and am slowly accumulating at lower prices. I am optimistic about the big picture, so I am holding firmly and waiting patiently for the wind to rise.
$ETH Yesterday I said it surged but failed to hold above 2700 six times in nearly 10 days. Today it attempted to break 2800 again but failed, even with positive non-farm data. So I am waiting at 2600, holding firmly, with a take-profit set at 2600.
$CAP Yesterday I said short-term bullish, took profit at midnight, and as promised, it indeed rose to 0.08888 at midnight where I took profit and opened a short position, which is currently profitable. However, since I kept holding, it rose again overnight. Since I didn’t exit when profits were high, I definitely won’t now. Although a bit regrettable, I am fearless: if I make money, I take it; if I lose, I accept it.
In summary, today's profit is quite satisfactory. "Nonfarm Payrolls Surprise, Why Am I Still Holding Short Positions?"
Nonfarm payrolls increased by only 29,000, far below the expected 90,000, fueling rate cut trades. $BTC surged to 87,000, $ETH reached 2,750. The market is excited, but I continue to hold shorts.
This rally is driven by expectations, not a trend. The 87,000–90,000 range is a dense trap zone; breaking through in one go is difficult. After the good news is priced in, it often becomes an excuse for profit-taking. Bigger risks lie elsewhere: high oil prices, the situation in Iran, potential changes in the Strait of Hormuz, inflation could rebound, and rate cut expectations may reverse at any time; with Trump's midterm elections approaching, policy uncertainties are also increasing.
The ETH short at 2,579 is still open, with a small loss near 2,750. It is weaker than BTC; 2,800 is strong resistance, ETF funds are flowing out, the ecosystem has no new stories, and the rebound is just following the rally. ZEC is too volatile, nonfarm impact is limited, so keep a small position.
The nonfarm surprise is just a short-term catalyst, not a reversal signal. Oil prices, geopolitical, and political uncertainties remain unresolved, making a one-sided move unlikely. Hold shorts for now and wait until the good news is fully digested.
#美国9月非农仅增2.9万，失业率升至4.2%
#BTC、ETH现货ETF同步转流出，资金热度降温 $DOGE now has something new to trade alongside the meme.
DogeOS has launched its public testnet, bringing EVM-compatible applications to Dogecoin and using DOGE to pay gas fees. This gives the current move a real incentive from the ecosystem.
The one-hour chart shows DOGE near $0.09711, up 3.29%, with the price remaining above the 5/10/30 averages after testing $0.09792. But liquidation pressure is concentrated #BTCETHETFOutflows #AnthropicEyesNovIPO Rebound Fuel
September closed with a green board. $BTC rose 7% in the month, marking the strongest September in years. The third quarter was even stronger: BTC accumulated gains of over 40%, ETH about 70%.
Continuous net inflows into ETFs halted at the end of the month. On September 30, BTC products saw an outflow of $149 million, ETH outflowed $60 million, and SOL outflowed $11 million. Purchase enthusiasm dropped by about 80% on Monday, but some trading desks were still net buyers.
Market sentiment reported at 72, with total market capitalization around $2.9–3.0 trillion.
$SOL: The USD trading channel opened, with a commitment of $1 billion liquidity.
$ETH: MetaMask controversy triggered staking withdrawals, confirmed no loss of funds.
Macro: Non-farm payrolls to be announced Friday, US Treasury yields remain relatively high.
Non-farm payrolls are the ignition. Final pricing depends on the close, not the open. US Treasury yields frequently hitting new highs suppress risk appetite, but $WLD has risen 17.5% against the trend. Capital is actively betting with real money on a loosening of rate cut expectations. I tend to see this as a short-term emotional pulse rather than a trend reversal.
The 0.5744 level is only -0.66% from the 4-hour high. Open interest of 73.237 million tokens shows bulls are still adding positions, but the order book buy/sell ratio of 0.87 reveals heavier sell orders. The top 10 sell orders total 160,000, outweighing buy orders of 140,000. The funding rate of 0.0100% is neutral, and the chasing-buy sentiment is not overheated yet.
If it pulls back to 0.5412 and stabilizes, consider light long positions with stop loss below 0.5187 and target at 0.6035. If it directly rallies to around 0.5968 and faces resistance, consider shorting with stop loss at 0.6124 and target at 0.5541. Do not exceed 5% position size per trade. The current battle is intense; strictly observe stop losses.
— This is only a personal opinion and does not constitute investment advice. Wishing you successful trading. —
$WLD#美债收益率频创新高，长期利率压力未缓解
#美债收益率频创新高，长期利率压力未缓解 $WLD So for now, we still need to remain cautiously optimistic. Risk assets have plenty of hidden dangers, but the two deadliest ones are energy prices and US Treasuries. Crude oil is watching the Middle East situation, while US Treasuries are even more complicated—energy, inflation, government bond issuance, Treasury regulation—a bunch of variables mixed together. If these two issues aren't resolved, optimism must be kept in mind. Tonight's nonfarm payroll data was dovish, but just two hours later, long-term US Treasury yields have risen again. This shows risk assets are currently optimistic under pressure, clearly suppressed, and still have to wait. On October 1st, the Treasury conducted a 6 billion RMB 10- to 20-year long-term bond buyback, but a problem arose: the repurchase quota increased, which instead led to more long-term bond sells. Clearly, the Treasury's move is a long-term adjustment, not a quick fix. So risk markets still need to endure in a high interest rate environment for a while. $BTC $ETH #美国9月非农仅增2 9,000, unemployment rate rose to 4.2%. #BTC ETH spot ETFs simultaneously transferred outflows, cooling capital activity #美债收益率频创新高, and long-term interest rate pressure remains uneased U.S. Treasury yields frequently hit new highs, long-term interest rate pressure remains unresolved, and risk assets are under pressure. But BTC is holding up today; I judge it still has short-term resilience.
Current price 85309.8, 24h up 1.4%, resistance at high 87239, low at 84017.3. Trading volume 10.985 million, funding rate 0.0046% slightly neutral. Order book top 10 buy/sell ratio 0.06, heavy selling pressure, 4-hour uptrend 12.65% above low, be cautious chasing longs.
Strategy: Light long position on pullback to 84185, stop loss at 83560, target 86650; if rising to around 87120 stalls, short position, stop loss 87740, target 85230. Position size no more than 20%, strict stop loss.
— For personal reference only, not investment advice, wish you successful trading. —
$BTC#美债收益率频创新高，长期利率压力未缓解
#美债收益率频创新高，长期利率压力未缓解 $BTC With 250,000 U swept straight into CT, she treated pullbacks as a way to get in. Do you dare to buy against others when they're shouting "too high"? Yesterday I saw someone put all 250,000 U into CT, with a cost of about 0.6115, marker price 0.6135, and an unrealized profit of 800 U upon entry. The amount wasn't exaggerated, but the action was honest: not chasing a bullish candle, but waiting for the pullback to be confirmed and then fully buying it all at once. CT has been slowly grinding from 0.40 these days, breaking through 0.48 to 0.56, reaching a high of 0.6194, with a 24-hour increase of 25% at one point. Most people's first reaction is "too big to chase," but she thought the opposite: if it didn't crash immediately after the rally, it means the chips weren't in a hurry. I watch the 1-hour chart: it has been sideways around 0.48 for a long time, then accelerates after a breakout. This structure usually means the previous accumulation lasted long and not a quick pull and then exit. Right now, the high price is shaking fiercely, but if the price can still stay above 0.60, she's willing to take a bet. She's not looking at the end, but a shakeout. First, look at 0.62 above; if it holds above 0.619, it opens to 0.65 or even higher; if it breaks below 0.57, this breakout should be doubted again. She also holds ZEC, entered at 1146, current price is 1378, unrealized profit over 30,000 USD, return 160%+, highest reached 1695, recently pulled back but the overall trend is intact, key levels are intact, so keep waiting. CAP surged to 0.08888 and then returned to around 0.07. The new coin's volatility was too wild, so she chose not to touch it for now and let it wash itself. What really matters here is not how much she earned, but the cross-market line: BThe market indeed followed the expected pattern of a rebound followed by a pullback; the 873 level itself is a strong resistance zone, and multiple attempts to break through have failed as anticipated. When the price ratio couldn't effectively break higher, the long positions on BTC were exited first, and short positions were established at 868, which are currently held.
The targets given to everyone in the evening, BTC at 853 and ETH at 2694, have now been reached. Next, the focus is on whether these levels can hold steady; if the support doesn't hold, the short positions can continue to be held with BTC targeting 843 and ETH targeting 2671. $BTC $ETH In September, the US nonfarm payrolls only added 29,000, and the unemployment rate rose to 4.2%. First, new jobs were far below the expected 90,000 and the previous value of 133,000. In August, the figure was revised down from 162,000 to 133,000, and in July it was even harsher, dropping from +21,000 to -10,000. With September so weak, July was already negative, so raising rates in October is basically unreasonable. $BTC $ETH $SNDK Second, the unemployment rate of 4.2% is indeed higher than the forecast and previous value of 4.1%, but the labor force participation rate also rose from 61.6% to 61.8%. So the rise in unemployment may just mean more people are looking for work, not that unemployment is actually increasing. Don't rush to imagine rate cuts. Third, both the annual and monthly hourly wages are below expectations and previous values. Previously, the consumer confidence index had already dropped sharply in September, so the CPI on the 14th is unlikely to exceed expectations. Wages haven't risen much, and consumer confidence is weak, so at least the CPI won't be negative. So at the October 28 FOMC meeting, I can't say 100%, but it's highly unlikely there will be a rate hike. There may be some minor negative news from the US and Iran, but it shouldn't be a big shock. Whether December will increase depends on the data to come; at least the environment in October is good. CME federal funds rate futures and Polymarket forecasts show the probability of no rate hike in October at around 83% to 84%. Basically, you can buy a yes right away without waiting for CPI data. #美国9月非农仅增2 9,000, unemployment rate rises to 4.2% #BTC, ETH spot ETF is simultaneously flowing out, and capital enthusiasm cools #美债收益率频ETH has dropped to 2695. It failed to hold at 2768 before, and the gains from the non-farm payroll surge have all been given back.
The current position is quite awkward, squeezed between the 2630 support and 2760 resistance. On the daily chart, ETH has almost fully retraced the rally from early October, with a long-short ratio of 2.49, and 70% of retail traders are still holding long positions. This data is alarming; retail traders are too crowded, with no one to push it up, but plenty of stop losses if it drops.
The ETF side is also weak, with ETH ETFs seeing outflows for several consecutive days, showing no willingness from institutions to catch the dip. BTC is also weak, unable to hold 84800, let alone lead the smaller coins.
My view: The 2695 level is indecisive; chasing orders in the middle is just giving money away. Either wait for a drop near 2630 to see if it holds, or wait for it to reclaim 2740 before considering. In this market, frequent trading is just working for the exchange. Control your hands. $ETH $BTC DOGE is around $0.097, up roughly 2.7–2.8% today, after trading as low as about $0.0932.
* DogeOS launched its public testnet, introducing an EVM-compatible layer intended to let developers build apps using DOGE for gas.
* Regulated DOGE perpetual futures launched in the U.S. through Kalshi, according to CoinMarketCap’s latest update. Nonfarm payrolls increased by only 29,000 in September, and the unemployment rate rose to 4.2%, signaling an accelerated cooling of the job market!
What does this mean? It means the Fed's rate hikes have peaked, and a easing cycle is on the way.
In the short term, the market may be trading on "recession fears," but over the longer term, this is precisely the biggest macro bullish factor for Bitcoin:
1. Liquidity inflection point approaching: Cooling employment forces the Fed to pivot to easing, and the upcoming rate cut cycle will be the fuel for $BTC to take off.
2. Digital gold consensus: Traditional economy shows signs of weakness, and Bitcoin is becoming a safe haven to hedge against macro uncertainty.
Don't get shaken out by short-term "recession trades"; the macro big cycle is reversing. Hold your chips and be a friend of time! #美国9月非农仅增2.9万，失业率升至4.2% $ETH in this market cycle, ETH stabilizes the base, HYPE bets on volatility! Their potentials are completely different paths.
Many people are torn between choosing ETH or HYPE this round? To put it simply: for stability, choose ETH; for high-yield speculation, choose HYPE, but the cost is a huge risk of drawdown.
ETH is the cornerstone of the entire crypto market, with strong resistance to downturns during the early bull market's volatile phase. Institutional funds prefer it first; DeFi and L2 ecosystems continuously provide value. As long as the market is bullish, ETH will never be absent. The downside is its large market cap, making it hard to see several-fold explosive gains. It is a slow-growth asset, suitable for holding as a base position long-term, with pullbacks being opportunities to buy in batches at lower prices, offering a high margin of safety.
In contrast, HYPE is a typical high-volatility dark horse, supported by exchange fee buybacks. When the market is hot, its explosive power far exceeds ETH. But its volatility is terrifying; once market sentiment cools and funds flee, its decline is ruthless. Its price surge depends entirely on contract trading volume; once market activity shrinks, the buyback logic weakens.
In summary: if you want to protect your principal and capture the full bull market dividend, prioritize ETH; if you want to allocate a small portion of your portfolio to speculate for excess returns, you can include HYPE. Remember, do not heavily invest in HYPE; if the market undergoes a deep correction, its damage far exceeds that of ETH. Order Book Strength Ranking
5-minute median slippage, estimated based on order book, excluding fees
$APE buy slippage increases significantly with order size: buy slippage for orders equivalent to 10,000 and 100,000 USDT are 0.17% and 1.39%, respectively. Large order slippage is about 1.22 percentage points higher.
$MAGIC buy slippage increases significantly with order size: buy slippage for orders equivalent to 10,000 and 100,000 USDT are 0.16% and 1.04%, respectively. Large order slippage is about 0.88 percentage points higher.
$ZRO buy slippage increases significantly with order size: buy slippage for orders equivalent to 10,000 and 100,000 USDT are 0.11% and 0.67%, respectively. Large order slippage is about 0.56 percentage points higher. Yesterday, NIGHT needed permission. Today, it doesn’t.
Midnight has switched on permissionless smart-contract deployment on mainnet: builders can now deploy directly, and contracts can even deploy other contracts programmatically.
Meanwhile, $NIGHT has traded as high as $0.0451 today, after opening near $0.03965.
This isn’t a roadmap promise anymore. The gate is open. Now usage has to follow. 🔥 News moving SOL today
* Short squeeze: SOL jumped to around $123 after about $7.7M of short positions were liquidated in one hour, adding buying pressure.
* Institutional buying: Forward Industries reported adding nearly 949,000 SOL, taking its treasury to about 8.5M SOL.
* Solana upgrade: The upcoming Alpenglow upgrade is targeting a major reduction in transaction finality, from roughly 12 seconds toward about 150 milliseconds.$WLFI requires staking for 180 days and voting at least once every 90 days to earn rewards. The initial reward pool only has 1.25 million USD1, distributed over 180 days. This is a shared pool; the more people stake, the less each person receives. Even if retail investors stake a lot, it can't dilute the 4.6 billion tokens held by the Trump family. Unlock pressure remains.
WLFI is currently about $0.055, with a circulating market cap of about 1.8 billion, but a fully diluted valuation of 5.4 billion — nearly 70% of tokens are locked and will be gradually released over the next few years. Those who got in last September are still holding; these people face ongoing pressure.
Justin Sun has turned hostile.
Justin Sun invested $45 million and was once the largest external investor. But WLFI used smart contract freezing functions to lock his tokens, and he sued, accusing WLFI of leaving a "backdoor" in the contract. The court has rejected WLFI's request to move the case to secret arbitration; Sun's personal claims will be heard in open court. The lawsuit is not yet decided, but the notion of a "partner harvest" no longer holds — now it is an open hostile relationship.
Reports say WLFI sold 5.9 billion tokens from the treasury without notifying the community, allowing insiders to cash out over $1.6 billion, while early investors are locked for two years. Meanwhile, wallets associated with the team burned 100 million tokens, but 17.8 billion tokens (worth about 11.9 billion) remain locked in the unlock contract, waiting to be released.🔥 $HYPE short-term rebound, pressure level ready for shorting!
Don't chase the rebound high.
If $HYPE breaks into the 91.36–95.66 range, that's the short observation zone.
📉 The strategy is simple:
- Short in batches at 91.36–95.66
- Target average price around 93.55
- Stop loss: 98.5
- Targets: 87 → 84 → 80
⏱ Validity: 2 days
📦 Position size: 2% is enough, don't add leverage and get reckless
The short-term rebound hitting resistance is not for catching a falling knife, but to leave room for short positions.
If it can't break or hold, exit as planned; if it effectively breaks 98.5, admit the mistake and exit immediately.
Manage your own risk, keep your position alive first.
Do you think this rebound can reach 95? See you in the comments 👇
#美国9月非农仅增2.9万，失业率升至4.2% Those who were originally long saw the price break below today's volume-driven starting point and realized that the rally was used as an opportunity to sell off. Friends familiar with A-shares probably won't be fooled, right?
A second wave correction at the weekly level might be coming!Just glanced at the US Labor Statistics Bureau's September employment report: nonfarm payrolls increased by only 29,000, unemployment rate at 4.2%, the labor market is clearly softening. Jin10 data says employment changes across industries are pitifully low, the momentum of economic expansion continues to decline. $BTC $ETH $SNDK In short, the US employment engine hasn't stalled, but it's shaking badly. The new 29,000 is far below the 45,000 monthly average over the past 12 months. Healthcare is still holding up, but growth is slowing. Construction and manufacturing are basically stagnant, finance actually lost 7,000 people, down 129,000 from the May peak, with insurance being the worst hit. Even worse, July and August were revised down by a total of 60,000, with July directly revised from +21,000 to -10,000. The previously touted labor market resilience now increasingly looks like a filter. My view: this report is "sweet then bitter" for the crypto market. The sweet part is that weak employment will strengthen the Fed's rate cut expectations; once liquidity expectations rise, risk assets like BTC and ETH tend to rally first. The bitter part is, if this is not a soft landing but a real economic slowdown, risk assets will sooner or later face downward revisions in earnings and risk appetite. Rate cut expectations are the candy, recession worries are the knife; the market is now eating candy while watching the knife. For stablecoins and crypto payments, the weaker the macro environment, the more important dollar liquidity and regulatory compliance become. For trading crypto, short-term you can trade the rate cuts, mid-term you have to guard against recession. The real watershed will be whether subsequent data can stop the downward revisions and whether wage stickiness will force the Fed to continue.📊 Levels I’m watching
Above $125: watch the $130–$135 area.
$115–$120: important support zone.
Below $115: momentum could weaken toward $110.
Key catalyst right now: broader crypto risk appetite + leverage/short liquidations. So watch BTC direction and SOL’s reaction around $125 closely.BITCOIN ETF JUST WITHDREW NEARLY 2,900 $BTC IN 2 DAYS 👀
Yesterday -1.11K $BTC, the day before -1.78K $BTC.
But the total accumulated net inflow is still around +722K BTC.
At this point, I don't see it as alarming; the important thing is whether the ETF will start buying again if BTC holds 85K or not.$ZEC at $1,380 — Are You Still Confident Holding It? $BTC has climbed from $83,000 toward $86,000, yet $ZEC remains stuck below $1,400. When the market rallies, ZEC barely moves; when the market pulls back, it seems to fall even harder. With the NU7 testnet milestone approaching, three rejections around $1,670–$1,697, and a recent sweep below $1,310, the big question is: Is this a buying opportunity ahead of the upgrade, or a warning that the rally is losing momentum? Let's break down the situatHave you noticed, $ZEC is really struggling now
Today Bitcoin even broke a new high, but it only rebounded to 1380, not even holding above 1400
So when Bitcoin starts to crash, $ZEC will definitely plummet hard
Look at the trend, it dropped straight from 1493 to 1305, now rebounding to 1386
It can’t even hold above MA20, MACD barely formed a golden cross below zero line, the red bars are pitifully short.
This kind of rebound is just giving shorts a chance to add positions
When Bitcoin rises, it doesn’t follow; when Bitcoin falls, it definitely follows and falls even harder. This is the characteristic of a weak coin
Coins that rely on emotional hype will see continuous declines once funds withdraw
It won’t stop just because of one drop
It pushes up hard on emotions when rising, accelerates the fall with panic selling when dropping, and barely has any decent rebounds in between
I opened a short at 1467, my return rate has already hit 333%, but I’m in no rush to exit.
My targets are down at 1300 and 1200.
This round, I plan to hold until it truly bottoms out.
If you want to short now, you can try a light position around 1380
Set stop loss above 1420, first target 1300, if it breaks that then head for 1200
No need to go heavy, set stop loss properly, the risk-reward ratio is very favorable.
#10月加息预期回落，今晚PCE成关键 $BTC $ETH #美国9月非农仅增2.9万，失业率升至4.2% #BTC、ETH现货ETF同步转流出，资金热度降温 Base has once again connected 26 tokenized US stocks on-chain today, including AMZN, NFLX, PLTR, MSTR, GME, and others. It supports 24/7 trading and can continue to integrate into Base's DeFi.
Base officially launched Coinbase Tokenized Stocks earlier, and this time it's expanding the variety. KuCoin
① What I find truly interesting about this is not just "26 more stocks on-chain."
Previously, buying US stocks was limited by trading hours, brokerage accounts, and regional restrictions.
Now that these stocks are made into on-chain assets, they can be stored in wallets, traded 24/7, and also used for lending, collateral, and DEX participation.
Stocks are starting to follow a path similar to stablecoins back in the day: first bringing traditional assets on-chain, then gradually becoming foundational assets in DeFi.
② But this path can't be hyped up just yet.
The stocks on Base are backed 1:1 by real stocks, targeting eligible users outside the US, but whether it can really take off depends on trading volume and liquidity. Brand foundation
If it's just "listing many stocks" but no one trades, the significance is limited.
If protocols like AAVE and Aerodrome really start integrating heavily, and users use NVDA, MSTR as collateral to borrow USDC, then this path becomes completely different.
③ What I want to see more now is what Coinbase ultimately wants to make $Base.
Previously, Base was mainly about Meme, DeFi, and on-chain social.
Now with stocks, funds, and RWA continuously being connected, the direction is becoming clearer:
It may not just be an L2 but a way to gradually move assets from brokerage accounts onto the chain.
If this path succeeds, Base's real competitors might not be Solana or Arbitrum, but traditional brokerages and trading platforms.
I think this is the most noteworthy aspect of today's launch of 26 stocks.* ETF flows: U.S. spot Solana ETFs had a small net outflow on Oct. 1, but the previous five trading days still showed about $86.2M of combined inflows.
* Robinhood: The company plans to introduce Solana perpetual futures for eligible U.S. customers, with up to 3× leverage.