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The U.S. Senate failed to invoke cloture on the “Digital Asset Clarity & Accountability Act” in a 51–48 vote, short of the 60-vote threshold, so a full 2026 regulatory framework is now unlikely. After the headline hit, crypto liquidations topped $420M in 15 minutes**, and BTC wicked down to **$72,880. September FOMC 25bp hike odds are now 78%–84%, core CPI remains sticky at 2.6%, DXY is above 106, and the 10Y yield is around 4.45% — still a headwind for risk assets. New: Spot BTC ETFs saw -$95M 🦅 This is the real big brother.
He went long with 40x leverage on BTC, once breaking into Hyperliquid's third largest bull market, but after just one hour, the market direction shifted, leading to a small loss of $312,000 and a sharp exit by cutting positions. No holding, no replacement, no fantasies—this move is a textbook for risk control in extreme market conditions.
Considering the current market, this week's FOMC announcement combined with obstacles to the CLARITY Act has hit both macro and regulatory sectors, causing BTC to fall 1.06% intraday, repeatedly tugging around the 75,000 mark. Although the volatility in the U.S. and Japanese bond markets adds fuel to the long-term narrative of "fiat currency credit collapse," the short-term margin for error is extremely low. The previously mentioned ZEC contrarian short selling and SOL under pressure on over 100 times are all examples of high leverage under extreme volatility.
The boss spent an hour lecturing everyone: you can hold large positions, leverage can be high, but you have to cut losses faster than anyone else. If you want to stay at the table, it's not about holding on, but about surviving. Cutting so quickly actually makes you clear-headed. Before the FOMC lands, watch more and move less; discipline matters more than direction.
#本周FOMC揭晓, can rate hikes be implemented? #CLARITY法案投票受阻引争议 This K-line has already cantilevered to the structural limit—just like those towers I saw in Dubai that cut corners chasing height, with the facade still pushing upward while the load-bearing columns have long started to groan. The current price position of $ZORA is exactly such a typical shear-weak layer.
Looking at the 24-hour chart first, the paper gain is 5.59%, which sounds like a smooth topping. But when you spread out the blueprint, all the problems lie in the details. The short-term Bollinger Bands show the price has reached 96% of the range (7.3% above the lower band, only 0.3% margin left to the upper band), and the mid-term is even more extreme, directly hitting 101%, with the upper band space completely eaten up to -0.0%. What does this mean? It means the building's exterior wall has crossed the red line; any gust of wind could cause problems.
Next, look at the structural stress. The short-term RSI climbs to 65.9, but the mid-term is only 44.4. This is a typical "upper structure accelerating, lower foundation disconnecting" scenario. My professional intuition tells me this asynchronous stress distribution won’t hold for long. The short-term RSI breaking 64 has already triggered a sell signal—not noise, but an early warning of structural cracks.
The current entry point is at $0.01, 4.6% above the current price. This position is not without reason—it is exactly a pressure level converted from previous resistance, like the reinforcement layer that must be added during old building renovations. But from a risk-reward perspective, I prefer to subtract here rather than add.
📉 Short:
Entry: 0.01 (current price +4.6%)
Take Profit 1: 0.01 (-6.1%)
Take Profit 2: 0.01 (-10.9%)
Stop Loss: 0.01 (-15.5%)
Take Profit 1 corresponds to the first support beam position, reachable with a 6.1% drop; Take Profit 2 corresponds to a deeper foundation retracement, about 10.9% downside space. The stop loss is set at 15.5%, which is the fault tolerance margin for the structure—exceeding this means my overall load-bearing assumption has failed and I must evacuate the site.
The whitepaper is the blueprint; anyone can draw it. What really determines whether this building is livable is whether the foundation reaches the bearing layer and whether the rebar is constructed according to the reinforcement plan. The current problem with $ZORA is not whether the blueprint looks good, but that stress concentration has already appeared on site while the builders are still adding floors.
As a designer, I won’t pretend not to see when the load-bearing wall cracks. #creatorrewards$PONS is not just making empty promises this time; they are actually spending money.
In the past 24 hours, 2.2 million PONS were directly repurchased from the market and then permanently burned.
$1.364 million disappeared directly from the circulating supply, accounting for 0.22% of the total supply.
Even more impressive, the repurchase spending in the past 24 hours ranks second.
First is $HYPE, followed by $PUMP.
Note, the truly interesting part of this data is not "how many coins were burned," but whether the project continuously uses protocol revenue to repurchase.
Because the logic is simple:
Revenue comes in → repurchase PONS → permanently burn → circulating supply decreases.
As long as revenue can continue to grow, this deflationary flywheel is not just a concept but actually operating.
Of course, repurchase ≠ guaranteed price increase; the most important factors later are revenue, repurchase scale, and sustainability.
But the market often works this way.
By the time everyone understands deflation, the price has usually already moved ahead.
Those who missed HYPE and PUMP, will they again treat PONS as nothing this time?The $ETH market has already priced in the interest rate hike expectations in advance. The real factor determining the market trend is not whether the rate hike happens, but the tone of the dot plot and Powell's speech.
1. Rate hike + hawkish dot plot
Indicates that high interest rates will be maintained longer, the US dollar strengthens, risk assets come under pressure, and ETH is likely to decline. Beware of quant funds first sweeping out short stop losses, then pulling up a bull trap spike before falling back.
2. Rate hike, but dovish stance
Signals that this round may be the last rate hike, which often leads to "buy the rumor, sell the fact"; when the bad news lands, a direct rebound occurs, and shorts get liquidated.
Takeaway: After trading contracts for a long time, you realize that understanding the market doesn't guarantee profits; risk control is always the top priority. Keep it up 👏Hyperliquid is showing what happens when onchain trading starts feeling less like a crypto experiment and more like actual market infrastructure.
Deep liquidity, fast execution and a trading-focused ecosystem create a different kind of demand for $HYPE.
The bigger question is how much of that activity can remain sticky across different market conditions.
#FOMCRateCallThisWeek #CLARITYVoteFails50-49 #AISafetyDebateEscalates BTC slipped **-2.7%**, ETH dropped **-4.2%**, the CLARITY/market-structure bill got delayed again, and swaps are pricing in a hawkish FOMC surprise tonight. Spot ETH ETFs also saw **$38M in outflows, so the whole board is risk-off. A lot of traders said: “If you’re going to short anything, short the strongest green chart — ZEC.” Bad idea. ZEC is up +9.6% today and +18% on the week. Funding flipped negative, $11M in ZEC shorts got liquidated, and the privacy-coin narrative is heating up again. ItPublic Chain Track Differentiation: Don't equate the prosperity of a public chain's ecosystem with token price increases
The continuous growth in the number of public chain ecosystem DApps and developers does not necessarily mean the token price will rise in sync.
The value of a public chain and the token price are separated by the threshold of capital.
Hold $BTC and $ETH as core positions, allocate small positions in public chain tokens, distinguishing between ecosystem development and secondary market capital heat.
Tracking list:
🟠BTC｜Market cornerstone
🔵ETH｜Public chain infrastructure
🟣SOL｜Active ecosystem public chain
🟢SUI｜High-performance public chain
🔷ADA｜Long-term technical public chain
⚡APT｜Move-based public chain
🏦$UNI｜DeFi blue chip
🔥Public chain track｜Trial and error in batches
Key observation: Whether public chain ecosystem growth brings real capital inflow; mere developer growth rarely drives token price.Translate: The price is soaring, while the fundamentals are climbing.
Second, the Orchard shielded pool vulnerability exposed in May is a ticking time bomb. In theory, it could allow attackers to mint ZEC undetected, bypassing the cryptographic guarantees that make shielded transactions meaningful. Although the Ironwood upgrade in July patched the vulnerability, this incident revealed a harsh truth: Zcash's privacy technology is not invincible; it only appears invincible when not under attack.
Third, the EU's MiCA regulation prohibits platforms from listing assets with built-in anonymity features. This clause will take effect in 2027, and some exchanges have already started delisting privacy coins. The biggest regulatory risk for ZEC has never been "it's a privacy coin," but rather "it's a privacy coin, yet the mainstream financial system hasn't figured out how to coexist with it." $ZEC $ETH $BTC #本周FOMC揭晓，加息能否落地？ #CLARITY法案投票受阻引争议 #AI发展焦虑升温，监管讨论升级 🔥The rate hike boot has landed, and the real market drama is just beginning
At Beijing time early morning on September 17, the market expects the Fed to raise rates by 25 basis points, with a probability reaching 87%-92%. But don't focus only on whether the rate hike happens; the key to igniting the market is Powell's speech after the meeting.
Here are three scenario analyses:
Hawkish rate hike (highest probability): A 25bp hike is implemented, with a statement maintaining continued tightening and an upward revision of the dot plot expectations. U.S. stocks will come under pressure and fall, the dollar will strengthen, and $BTC will be suppressed, testing 76000, and further down 72000. Historical data shows that in the three months following the start of a rate hike cycle, the S&P 500 generally faces pressure and short-term volatility significantly increases.
Dovish rate hike: The hike is completed, but described as a one-time policy adjustment without locking in the path for future hikes. The market will interpret this as bad news priced in, risk assets will rebound, and BTC has a chance to break above 80000.
No change in rates (very low probability): If this happens, the market will experience severe turbulence, the Fed's policy credibility will be questioned, and it may even trigger greater panic.
Trading strategy: Keep a light position and observe before the decision is announced, then make decisions after Powell's speech signals are clear. If a hawkish signal is released, wait for BTC to stabilize before considering buying the dip; if a dovish tone is confirmed, follow on the right side. Do not bet on a one-sided move prematurely; wait for the market to give direction. #本周FOMC揭晓，加息能否落地？ 4. But don't get carried away: there are cracks behind this "hardness"
I have to make this clear. ZEC being hard doesn't mean it has no fatal weaknesses.
First, the fundamentals are actually weak. Wang Chun, co-founder of F2Pool, publicly stated that this rally is a "narrative-driven short squeeze," driven by speculative buying, exchange listings, and short covering, rather than a substantial change in Zcash's actual use cases. The number of active shielded addresses, daily transaction counts, and developer commits for ZEC have not shown growth matching the price trend. Solana processes millions of transactions daily, Hyperliquid has real transaction fee revenue, yet ZEC's market cap was once comparable to theirs. $ZEC $BTC $ETH #本周FOMC揭晓，加息能否落地？ #CLARITY法案投票受阻引争议 #AI发展焦虑升温，监管讨论升级 Many people see this as a bottoming signal, believing that selling pressure has been exhausted. But it should be viewed rationally: low on-chain transaction activity also means extremely weak market participation and a lack of incremental funds. This low activity level is both evidence of weakening selling pressure and a sign that the market lacks buying momentum, so it cannot be taken solely as a guarantee of a price increase.
$BTC 6. Major Direction Judgment
Currently, SOL is struggling around $103, with $97.37 below as a key support level. Once broken, it will open about an 11% downside space; the $103.35 above has also shifted from support to resistance. Considering this week's FOMC announcement and the CLARITY Act vote obstruction, combined macro and regulatory pressures leave the market with very low tolerance for errors.
More severe than the technical aspect is the fundamental crack in Solana's value: 95% of the ecosystem's revenue depends on Meme, which plunged 87% after the tide receded; validators are highly concentrated, and routing risks remain; the core narrative of the "internet capital market" is being dismantled by Hyperliquid. Standard Chartered previously lowered the year-end target price to $250, but given the incoherent revenue story, institutional funds on the sidelines, and the narrative being hijacked, that target seems optimistic.
The 100x long positions shown in the chart are extremely dangerous amid oscillating declines; high leverage betting against the trend for a rebound is prone to liquidation. BTC is holding firm at 75,000, ETH fluctuates with macro conditions, and SOL is independently under pressure. Before the FOMC decision, it is better to watch more and act less; hold $97.37 before discussing structure, otherwise prioritize risk aversion.
SOL ETH $BTC #ThisWeekFOMCAnnouncement, will the rate hike be implemented? #CLARITYActVoteObstructionCausesControversy #AIDevelopmentAnxietyRises, RegulatoryDiscussionEscalates $BTC 📝｜Real Trading Feelings: Clearly Understanding the Volatility, Yet Still Unable to Endure the Torture of False Breakouts
Sharing my current position: 4.5x full position long on BTC, opened at 76304, now at 75654, floating loss of 3.86%.
Looking back at historical trades is even more painful: I secured a solid 74% profit on a big winning long, but also suffered losses from the high at 79600 where I foolishly hoped for a reversal and kept flipping positions.
Many think losses come from wrong directional calls, but that's not entirely true.
These past few days have been a typical false breakout market: a surge to 79600 gives you a bull market illusion, then it suddenly crashes down.
When you're bullish, it violently spikes down; when bearish, it suddenly shoots up with a strong bullish candle.
Even if you have a clear sense of the big picture, holding positions during choppy moves is mentally exhausting with every spike acting like torture.
Some real post-trade reflections:
1. The most damaging thing in volatility isn't making wrong calls, but the emotional drain from holding positions
Knowing well that volatility expands before FOMC and both bulls and bears get swept, I still entered to speculate.
It's not that I don't understand the risks, but I always want to bet on the direction early, unwilling to wait for the event to unfold.
Once the idea of short-term bottom fishing takes hold, it's easy to forget "volatility has no bottom, nor top."
2. Winning trades are protected patiently; losing trades mostly come from "unwillingness to accept" losses
The historical +74.84% long was closed out bravely when it was good;
The losses around 79600 came from refusing to admit "this is not a reversal, but a bull trap" after the market turned.
#本周FOMC揭晓，加息能否落地？ Clarity Act dies in the Senate. Market gives back the “regulation hope” bid.
$BTC slid from ~$79.6k to $75.6–76.8k.
$ETH ~$2.4k,
$SOL ~$100.
$Cap ~$2.6–2.7T.
Futures volume up, OI down money is closing risk, not chasing.
Same day: oil ~$103, yields up, Fed today prices an 85% chance of a 25bp hike. The bill isn’t the only seller.
Take: $76k has been tested all month. Don’t long headlines. Size down, wait for the FOMC reaction.
Not financial advice. Your riskDogecoin has dropped to $0.08, and many people are starting to ask: is this an opportunity, or just a pause in the downtrend? My view is that the conditions for a short-term rebound are in place, but it's too early to say the trend has reversed.
Let's first look at the market. The one-hour RSI is at 36.94, indicating weak price action but still some distance from the oversold zone; the MACD remains below the zero line, so the short- to mid-term bearish pattern hasn't changed. Fortunately, the histogram has turned positive, selling pressure is easing, and the bears' downward momentum is weaker than before. This combination mostly corresponds to a technical rebound window.
But a rebound does not mean the bottom is in. Many people get itchy hands when they see the price has dropped a lot, thinking cheap means bottom, but those who have suffered losses know better. To judge the bottom, it's not about whether the price is cheap, but whether it can reclaim the moving averages. The first hurdle is the MA20 near $0.0803; if it holds above this, the rebound target is around $0.0832 to $0.0834; breaking through this area would give a chance to challenge higher resistance in the short term. Conversely, if $DOGE touches this level and then falls back, subsequently breaking below $0.0783 to $0.0787, then this stabilization is just a consolidation in the downtrend, the bearish pattern will continue, and lower lows are still ahead.
To reverse the entire bearish structure, it needs to return above the recent seven-day high of $0.0913, which would show real commitment.
So right now, it looks more like an observation period rather than a time to act. Keep an eye on the $0.0803 line: if it holds above, you can ride a rebound; if it fails to hold $0.0783, don't rush to catch a falling knife, and don't load up your position. Waiting for the market to give a signal before moving is better than guessing the bottom.The Senate rejected the crypto bill, and Bitcoin briefly fell below 75,000. But my view might be contrary to most people’s — not passing it is actually a good thing.
The Senate rejected the crypto bill, and $BTC briefly dropped below 75,000.
Many see the failure as negative news, but the real issue is — the moment good news is fully realized is often the market’s peak. The longer the bill is delayed, the more room we have. BTC being tamed too quickly might not be good; controversy creates opportunity. Also, Bitcoin’s progress to date hasn’t depended on any single bill. Without the US government’s approval, would crypto have stalled? Looking back, the times of the harshest regulation worldwide were actually the times with the most opportunities.
Not passing it is a good thing. Short-term negative, but long-term it extends expectations. It’s actually abnormal if the bottom phase goes too smoothly; the more pressure, the greater the rebound potential.
From 2017 to 2019, when regulations were strictest and crackdowns harshest worldwide, Bitcoin actually grew out of the trough. The biggest opportunities often appear when everyone is most pessimistic.
The bill not passing is short-term negative, but long-term it opens up space. The more negative, the greater the resilience. Black Thursday is about to begin; can we make it to the end this time?$BANANA Most abnormal: 24h only dropped 3.52%, but the MACD histogram has turned negative to -0.002467, RSI 36.1 approaching oversold, price 3.651 stuck at the Bollinger lower band 3.64383, MA5=3.6726 is still below MA20=3.7005, the drop is small but the structure is the weakest. Funding rate remains +0.0050%, bulls have not withdrawn, short-term tends to rebound and recover.
Entry: 3.640–3.655 (Bollinger lower band + RSI oversold)
Take Profit 1: 3.700 (MA20 resistance)
Take Profit 2: 3.757 (Bollinger upper band)
Stop Loss: 3.610 (break below lower band and MACD histogram continues to weaken)
Also watch: $MUBARAK, $XPL, both relatively stronger than $BANANA.
(Personal opinion, for reference only, not investment advice. Contract risk is extremely high, please strictly control position size.)
【Data】
Token: BANANAUSDT
Direction: Long
Entry: 3.640-3.655
Take Profit 1: 3.700
Take Profit 2: 3.757
Stop Loss: 3.610Giving up, sisters, how does that saying go? Once you enter a wealthy family, it's as deep as the sea. I've jumped into a deep pit and can't climb out!
$ZEC really slapped my face this time. The market was hit hard by the FOMC and regulatory battles, BTC held at 75,000, ETH turned green nervously with macro trends, but it surged wildly against the trend. My short position opened at 909.48 was forcibly pushed up to 1185, floating loss over 90%, 55U vanished into thin air, forced liquidation price at 1861 constantly flirting with the edge of liquidation. The long-short ratio is 88%:12%, and I became the big sucker in that 12%.
The whales control the market fiercely, holding trapped chips without cutting losses or stabbing, the privacy sector's capital game is detached from BTC/ETH rhythm. But the macro tolerance is extremely low, this kind of demon coin with high leverage washout is brutal, shorting against the trend is tough, you get crushed before you even get a bite.
Don't rush to call the top before the trend breaks, 1000 and 1200 are not the end, 1500 is still a phase target. But right now the long-short battle is intense, wait until it hits 1500 to see the next round of game. Before the FOMC announcement, watch more and act less, don't be like me holding on to death, discipline comes before news.
#本周FOMC揭晓，加息能否落地？ #CLARITY法案投票受阻引争议 $CHZ Originally wanted to cut losses as a sacrifice, but the sacrifice didn't happen, and the meat cooked itself. When the screen was full of green light, I stared at it with a strong urge to buy, but the volume didn't keep up, and the resistance above was obvious, directly signaling a high-level suppression. While others were still guessing the bottom, I just wanted to see how long its rebound could hold. At that time, many didn't believe it, but later everyone went quiet.
CHZ slid all the way from 0.01455 to 0.01346, +378%. Feels good, brothers, this piece of meat was eaten comfortably, the rhythm was right, and the endurance was not in vain.
Don't get greedy with profits, don't despair with pullbacks.
The market cures all kinds of arrogance, especially those who think they are the smartest.
First, close 80%, keep the remaining 20% at cost price as protection. If it continues to drop, let the profits run; on the rebound, don't give up profits. Now is not the time to rush; wait for a more comfortable position in the next round, and watch for new structures. I will notify immediately. Waiting for good news.
$ETH $DOGE Short Selling Special Reminder:
The standards for short selling and going long are different. For going long, you can set the framework in 5 minutes and find precise entry points in 1 minute; for holding short positions, you need to reduce interference from the 1-minute chart and only focus on the 5-minute level.
The brief rebounds and noise on the 1-minute chart can amplify panic under high leverage, making it easy to be shaken out. As long as the 5-minute bearish structure is not broken, you can endure short-term intraday counter-movements; once the 5-minute top structure is repaired and rises again, exit immediately.
3. Details and Shortcomings Exposed Today
1. Entry Point: Did you buy at the appropriate position after confirming the level, or did you enter too early before the level was completed?
2. Holding Discipline: Were you affected by short-term 1-minute fluctuations and closed positions early before the level was completed, losing swing profits?
3. Execution Tools: Are quick-close hotkeys ready to solve the problem of slow manual closing and missing the exit when the market reverses?
4. Strength and Weakness Trade-off: Recognize your own strengths; bottom-fishing is your strong suit, short selling is weak. Large-scale long positions can be executed normally; short selling should be practiced with small positions first, avoiding heavy bets.
5. Closing Remark in One Sentence
Market fluctuations are countless; only by understanding the levels can you distinguish which markets are worth heavy positions and which only allow small position arbitrage.
Profits that do not belong to the current level, no matter how tempting, are just traps; understanding and holding the level is the only stable way to secure returns. 😮 $ZEC Is Putting Up a Fight! With rate-hike expectations heating up, I didn’t expect $ZEC to climb back toward 1200 again. The problem is that the momentum still doesn’t look strong enough. I was watching 1221 as the level that could completely invalidate my long setup, but surprisingly, ZEC couldn’t even break convincingly above 1200. Now I’m watching this level closely. A move above or below 1200 could determine the next direction. My long entry around 1276 is still quite high, so I’m mainly$ZEC The sword over privacy coins is still hanging, but suddenly it has come alive these past two days
Trading volume has surged to an unprecedented level, and the community is starting to shout that privacy coins are back. I know this story well, but this time I dare not get carried away.
The logic behind privacy coins has always been solid; it's natural for people to want to hide their money. But the sword has always been hanging, as countries have never softened their gaze on anonymous transfers.
My judgment: This wave of ZEC is funds betting on regulatory compliance expectations, not a fundamental change. You can cautiously position a small spot holding to follow the narrative, but don't go heavy; a single regulatory statement can kill this sector. A single-day trading volume breaking $1.3 billion is fierce, but the sharper the blade, the faster it wears out.
Think carefully before acting, don't get hooked by a single line. Focus on spot trading, and keep your position under 20%.📊 $BTC holding its range gives the market a stable base. $ETH moving stronger against BTC would show traders are broadening exposure, while $SOL gaining against ETH would signal a second step into higher-beta trades.
🧠 The thesis is confirmed in stages: ETH/BTC breaks higher → SOL/ETH breaks higher → SOL/BTC follows. That is the capital path worth tracking.#BessentHearingSignals #FOMCRateCallThisWeek #SPGlobalLeadsKaikoRound 🔥The Truth Behind the Crash｜The Market Is a Sea of Red, Panic and Greed Are Polarizing
The market is awash in red, but if you only focus on the K-line price changes, you'll miss the real signals beneath the surface.
On-chain data shows a highly divided picture: large holders with over 100 $BTC increased their holdings by about 60,000 BTC in August, equivalent to $4.7 billion; meanwhile, small and medium retail investors holding between 1 and 100 BTC are panic selling. Chips are continuously shifting from retail hands to whale accounts.
The miner side is also worth noting. The miner holding index has dropped to -1.2, and the amount of BTC flowing to exchanges is nearly depleted. The summer wave of miner sell-offs was essentially a one-time move to finance the purchase of AI equipment; the selling pressure from miners has now substantially eased.
ETF funds are also showing clear rotation: BTC-related ETFs recorded an outflow of $460 million, while ETH ETFs attracted nearly $200 million against the trend. Institutions are not exiting the crypto space entirely; they are just shifting from BTC, which has no yield, to ETH, which offers staking rewards. ZEC surged from $16 to over $1,000, also confirming that funds have not fully exited but have switched to other sectors.
FOMC decisions can influence short-term price fluctuations but are unlikely to change the big trend of chip migration.
The moments of panic you see with the naked eye are often the layout windows for another group of players. #贝森特听证释放多重信号 #本周FOMC揭晓，加息能否落地？ Watching the market obsessively gets annoying; turning it off actually makes things clearer, and when my eyes aren't glued to it, my mind stays calm. Last night before bed, I saw $KAT rebound, but every surge fell just short, volume didn't keep up, and resistance above was obvious. I judged it as a heavy bull trap, signaling a short opportunity.
Being out of position isn't a sin; recklessly opening positions is the real mistake.
Woke up to see it slid from 0.004635 to 0.004180, a +196% move, nailed it, really satisfying. Took profits on 80%, kept 20% at cost to protect, letting the rest run with the downtrend, so the rebound doesn't give back profits.
Better to miss a limit-up than catch a falling knife and bleed. Now's not the time to rush; chasing highs risks getting stuck at the peak. There will be more chances; wait for the next signal to act.
$ETH $LAB I just checked the 1-hour chart of $ZEC, and this setup is rock solid!
Current price is 1243, with a 24-hour surge of 10.7%. The intraday low was 1085, shooting straight up to 1276, with a trading volume hitting 1.923 billion USDT. EMA5/10/20 are aligned bullishly; although KDJ shows some short-term overbought stagnation, MACD remains strong, and the mid-term trend hasn't turned at all.
The news is even more explosive: smart money TestingThingsOut executed over $40 million in relative strength hedging—long $20.89 million in HYPE and ZEC (including a net long of 6,500 ZEC), while shorting $20.90 million in $BTC and $ETH as a hedge. A clear bet on ZEC outperforming the market!
The whale's rebalancing logic is very clear, with capital rushing into the privacy sector. The current mark price is 1243.49; a pullback to the moving averages is an opportunity. Hold firmly mid-term and watch for a breakout above the previous high—don't get shaken out by short-term dips.
#波动雷达：币种异动观察
#本周FOMC揭晓，加息能否落地？ Thinking liquidation is the wrong direction, but often it's the rhythm and leverage that start the move. Have you noticed that what truly frustrates people is never misreading, but seeing right but not holding on? These past couple of days, I've been watching the market closely, and the more I look, the more this downturn feels like a precise sweep targeting high-leverage bulls. As soon as the news broke, BTC plunged from the high to 76,000, and ETH slid to around 2,300. The friend in the original post was a microcosm of many people in this round, with long positions at 77,516, the liquidation line at 73,981, and ZEC barely holding on by adding margin. It's not that their judgment was completely wrong, but that the position structure was too fragile, forcing them to sell their chips whenever the market fluctuated. The most easily overlooked point here is: what the market is truly trading isn't the news itself, but who will be forced to sell after the news comes out. In the derivatives market, funding rates and open interest often signal before the price itself. When the bulls are crowded and leverage is high, the price moves a short distance in the opposite direction to trigger a chain of forced liquidations. When forced liquidation orders are smashed down, the price drops to the next level, sweeping away the next batch of stop-losses. That's why many people feel, "Why did it suddenly crash when nothing major happened?" The strength and weakness of the sector were also clear in this round. BTC and ETH, as large-cap assets, had relatively controllable declines and liquidity remained. But niche stocks like ZEC, once buying pressure thinned and declined, almost no support, and margin only pushed back the liquidation time, without changing direction. Counterfeit consolidation🚨 THE FIRST BREAKOUT ISN’T ALWAYS THE BEST OPPORTUNITY.
BTC can move first and set the market tone, while ETH may react later with stronger momentum. I’m watching whether ETH can reclaim key levels with rising volume before chasing the move.
BTC: Direction
ETH: Catch-up momentum
🔥 Would you enter BTC first or wait for ETH?
$BTC $ETH 🔥 They say they won't go public, but their bodies are honest.
Altman just stated last week that OpenAI will not go public in 2026, and this week there are reports of pre-IPO private financing negotiations, targeting a valuation of $1.2 trillion. Compared to the $852 billion valuation in March this year, it has surged 40% in just half a year
The so-called "no IPO in 2026" does not mean rejecting capital. Simply put: the public market bell is temporarily delayed, but private equity funds will still be absorbed without a single cent
Comparing Anthropic is even more interesting. Anthropic chose to go straight for Nasdaq, aiming for a valuation of 2 trillion, while Jensen Huang plans to invest 10 billion as foundational funds. On one hand, they openly push for public market fundraising; on the other, they quietly raise valuations through private placements. The two companies have different strategies, but both have huge appetites for capital.
One noteworthy statistic: last week, user spending on OpenAI models surpassed Anthropic for the first time since 2024, indicating that customers' willingness to pay has truly picked up. On the other hand, computing power investment is also expanding rapidly, with revenue growth and massive cash burn racing forward
Right now, I'm focusing on one thing: will Nvidia appear on this round of OpenAI's private funding list?
Once Nvidia enters, the complete capital cycle is completely closed: funds are invested in customers, customers purchase chips, chips support model operation, models push up company valuations, and high valuations continue to complete a new round of $BTC financing Currently, I believe the market has already priced in this round of Federal Reserve rate hike expectations in advance.
If a 25bp rate hike is implemented, it would be a result that the market has fully traded, limiting ETH's downside and making a deep sell-off unlikely.
Only an unexpectedly hawkish move, such as a 50bp rate hike, which is a low-probability event, would trigger a significant drop.
If the decision maintains the current interest rate, it would be a positive outcome, releasing bullish momentum, and $ETH could have the opportunity to directly challenge the 2700 level.
Compared to $BTC, Bitcoin has already broken through previous highs with solid support below.
ETH is still in a consolidation phase within a range, acting as a lagging catch-up asset.
At this stage, funds are primarily flowing into BTC; once capital switches, ETH's upward elasticity will become apparent.
There is dense trapped capital below ETH, and major players will not easily dump to help trapped holders exit, so the support below is solid.
High-level oscillation and shakeouts are only to clear short-term floating chips; once the range breaks upward, any pullback will only be a high-level retest, making a trend reversal unlikely.
#本周FOMC揭晓，加息能否落地？ AI stocks are being pressured by interest rates, yet NVDA and MU have turned positive, so why is SNDK falling behind?
#US 10-year Treasury yield briefly surpassed 5%
#FOMC rate hike expectations heat up
The Nasdaq fell about 0.8% last night, but AI hardware did not fall together: $NVDA closed at $212.17, up 0.6%; $MU closed at $927.60, up 0.3%; $SNDK closed at $1530.90, instead down 1.35%. This indicates that funds have not completely left AI, but are re-differentiating certainty among computing power, DRAM/HBM, and NAND.
After continuous pullbacks, NVDA still holds near 211; only by reclaiming 213.8 can it be considered to have regained initiative; falling below 211 means continuing to view it as a weak rebound. MU's core remains DRAM and HBM supply and demand, but profit-sharing negotiations with Taiwanese unions add short-term uncertainty; production is currently unaffected, 920 is the defense line, and breaking through 944.4 is needed to continue recovery.
SNDK's problem is not that NAND logic suddenly disappeared, but that high-level chips are more crowded. 1512–1520 is the first support zone; only by reclaiming 1579 can selling pressure be absorbed; if 1512 is lost again, it may revisit 1480.
Looking ahead, watch for NVDA to break 214, MU to surpass 944, and SNDK to recover 1579; on the downside, watch if SNDK continues to fall behind alone. AI is not extinguished, but after interest rates rise, the market no longer gives the entire industry chain the same valuation. Both BTC and ETH are waiting on the Federal Reserve, but ZEC has already started its own trend.
Currently, $BTC is around 75,600, $ETH H is near 2390, and the whole market is waiting for tonight's interest rate decision.
But if you look at $ZEC, it has already surged to a high of 1275, rising more than 10% today against the overall market trend.
I now feel that what’s most worth watching about ZEC is not whether it can continue to rise, but why it dares to rise in this environment.
On August 25, Grayscale’s Zcash spot ETF began trading; on September 4, ZEC broke through $1000 and then surged to around $1300 at its peak.
So this wave is no longer just riding the BTC trend.
What’s even more interesting is that tonight the market is waiting on the Fed.
A 25 basis point hike is basically fully priced in by the market now; the real scare is what the Fed says after the hike. If the future rate path is more hawkish than expected, it wouldn’t be surprising for BTC and ETH to take a hit first.
But if BTC and ETH continue to be hammered, can ZEC hold up or even keep strengthening?
I think that’s worth serious attention.
One market is waiting on macro, while another coin has started trading on its own logic.
Tonight, I’m focusing on this point.
Is ZEC leading the market up, or has it already become independent of the market?
#本周FOMC揭晓，加息能否落地？
#ZEC跻身前十，机构化进程提速 $ARB rises against the trend, Standard Chartered predicts a 70x increase by 2030!!!
The CLARITY Act was blocked in the Senate 49:50, BTC briefly dropped to about $76,000, the market was mostly red, but ARB rose against the trend. Even more astonishing, Standard Chartered just set a $10 target for it by 2030, which is nearly 70 times the current price of about $0.15.
Wall Street has changed the valuation logic for $ARB.
Standard Chartered has started to treat ARB as an infrastructure provider for traditional finance on-chain, rather than just an L2 competing with Base and OP for transaction volume. Tokenization of RWA, Robinhood Chain, institutional chains—these elements are now being incorporated into the same valuation model.
This story now has some revenue validation: Arbitrum DAO earned $6.19 million in the first half of the year, and after Robinhood Chain went live, AEP licensing fees already accounted for 35% of DAO revenue in July. But the problem is that this revenue currently goes into the DAO treasury, and ARB holders do not have direct dividend or cash flow rights.
The biggest question now is whether ARB can replicate the Robinhood case into sustained licensing revenue. If it can, the $10 target is a matter of valuation model; if not, this wave looks more like a Standard Chartered research report that has just sparked sentiment.3. The Hidden Line of ETFs: Wall Street Is "Gilding" Privacy Coins
In August, Grayscale converted its Zcash Trust into a US-listed spot ETF, ticker ZCSH, trading on the NYSE Arca. The world's first spot ETF for a privacy coin.
You might think this is no big deal. But have you ever wondered: how can a coin that has been delisted by 73 exchanges, banned from custody by EU legislation, and labeled "difficult to trace" by FinCEN, get listed on the NYSE?
The answer was laid out ten years ago.
Zcash has never been a "wild anonymous coin." It has a corporate entity (Electric Coin Company), early equity investors (DCG, Pantera, Naval Ravikant), a foundation, and a developer team. Bitcoin’s cleanliness lies in the fact that there is no "who" to hold accountable. Zcash is different; it has a clear organizational structure, making it most suitable for institutional packaging. $BTC $ETH $ZEC #本周FOMC揭晓，加息能否落地？ #CLARITY法案投票受阻引争议 #AI发展焦虑升温，监管讨论升级 🟠 $BTC | 🔵 $ETH | 🟣 $SOL
Tonight is not about who rises the most, but who fails to hold first. 😂
After a big drop, all three have rebounded a bit.
But whether these few green candlesticks indicate a reversal or just a breather after the fall is still unclear.
📊 BTC 75.88K
Just bounced back to MA5 at 75.87K, but still below MA20 at 77.03K.
→ 74.95K is the key defense level.
📊 ETH 2.40K
Basically running along MA5 at 2.40K.
→ If 2.36K can't hold, the rebound may just be a flash in the pan.
📊 SOL 97.48
Barely holding above MA5 at 97.33K.
→ 95.79 is an important short-term support.
The current market can be summed up in one sentence:
It's not about who takes off first, but who falls first.
If support holds, the rebound still has a chance;
If support breaks, those few green candlesticks earlier might just be——
The market giving you one last illusion. 🤣
#Solana主网提速，节点门槛会否上升？ #意大利大行减IBIT普通股94%，加仓质押ETH They watch the chart. They debate the next move. They react to every headline. But the market doesn’t care about your prediction. It cares about where conviction is turning into capital. Thousands of people can believe BTC will go higher. That belief means very little until someone is willing to put serious money behind it. Price shows the outcome. Capital reveals the conviction. And that’s the part of the market I think deserves more attention. 🧠 What are you watching beneath the price?🔥 Early Morning Fed Decision Preview｜Hiking Expectations Maxed Out, Wash's Speech Is the Decisive Factor
The Federal Reserve's September rate decision is about to be released early morning, with the market pricing in nearly a 90% probability of a 25 basis point hike. Leading institutions like Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan, and HSBC have all shifted to predict this hike. However, Goldman Sachs' view is worth pondering: the current rise in hiking expectations essentially reflects the Fed's unwillingness to diverge from market pricing, rather than a clear deterioration in inflation fundamentals.
This sums up the current dilemma:
If the Fed chooses to keep rates unchanged, it would go against market expectations and require extensive explanations during the press conference.
But if a hike is implemented, Trump and White House advisor Hassett have already publicly opposed it, bringing significant political pressure.
Two scenario analyses:
👉 Wash signals a hawkish tone, hinting at the possibility of further hikes in December, giving $BTC a chance to test previous lows near 63000;
👉 If this hike is characterized as a risk-protection move or an expression of concern about the economic outlook, crypto assets may get a breather in Q4.
From a practical standpoint, avoid heavy directional bets before the decision. The dot plot data combined with Wash's press conference is the real core that determines asset pricing. The market never lacks volatility; what’s scarce is certainty. It’s better to wait for clarity before making moves, which is much safer than premature speculation. #本周FOMC揭晓，加息能否落地？ #本周FOMC揭晓，加息能否落地？
At 2 a.m., the Federal Reserve's September interest rate decision was announced. The market is pricing in nearly a 90% chance of a 25bp rate hike, with Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan, and HSBC all having shifted their stance.
But Goldman Sachs summed up the essence in one sentence: the rising expectations for this rate hike are more about the Fed not wanting to contradict market pricing rather than a real deterioration in inflation fundamentals.
The Fed is now caught between two dilemmas:
• No rate hike = going against the market, with PPI at 5.4%, CPI up 0.4% month-on-month, and oil prices breaking $100, damaging credibility
• Rate hike = Trump and Hassett openly oppose it, increasing political pressure
Two possible scenarios:
1. Hawkish Fed + dot plot hinting at another hike in December → BTC likely to retest the previous low near 63000
2. Characterized as a "risk-protective rate hike" + expressing concern about the economy → a breathing space opens for the crypto market in Q4
In terms of strategy: avoid heavy directional bets before the decision; the dot plot and press conference are the real pricing anchors. It's much safer to get on board once the direction is clear than to bet prematurely.
$BTC $ETH $ZEC The night session funds continue to look for relay opportunities. Who will break through first among BTC, OKB, and BICO?
#本周FOMC揭晓，加息能否落地？
BTC still determines the overall risk appetite. During the consolidation phase, focus on the strength of support after the pullback. If BTC's adjustment continues with shrinking volume and the lows do not significantly drop, it indicates that active selling pressure is still limited; later, if $BTC breaks through recent resistance with increased volume and holds the upper boundary, the willingness of funds to spread toward high elasticity directions will strengthen. Conversely, repeated failed rallies require caution for prolonged volatility.
#CLARITY法案投票受阻引争议
OKB's structure is relatively stable, with the price continuously approaching the upper range, indicating that the selling pressure above is being gradually absorbed. If $OKB's pullbacks become shallower and active buy orders start to increase, the conditions for a breakout will be more mature; after a volume surge above resistance, as long as it does not quickly fall back to the original range, the trend is likely to continue, otherwise beware of false breakouts.
BICO focuses more on chip concentration and sustained trading. During the sideways movement, the lows are continuously rising, indicating a reduction in floating chips. If BICO's price continues to approach resistance and the pullback maintains shrinking volume, funds still show signs of early positioning; later, if $BICO breaks through volume and price simultaneously and maintains high turnover, elasticity is likely to be released, while a sharp rise with shrinking volume has limited sustainability.
Looking upward, BTC stabilizes, OKB holds steady, and BICO surges in volume; looking downward, watch whether BTC's structure loosens and which of OKB or BICO falls back into the consolidation zone first. True effective strength is when the breakout is followed by continued active trading and the pullback can still hold key areas. A single-day outflow of $450 million sets a nearly 3-month record: BlackRock and Fidelity lead a major reversal, is the Bitcoin ETF failing?
The spot Bitcoin ETF, long regarded by retail investors as a perpetual motion machine, has just experienced its largest single-day outflow in nearly three months. According to Farside data, 13 Bitcoin ETFs across the U.S. saw a net outflow of $450.4 million on Tuesday, marking the biggest sell-off since June 24. Even more dramatically, these funds had just bought $159.9 million on Monday, only to reverse sharply and withdraw $450 million the next day.
The main contributors to the outflow are striking. The bull anchors Fidelity's FBTC and BlackRock's IBIT led the retreat, with single-day outflows of $214.8 million and $161.7 million respectively, together accounting for over 83% of the total outflow across the network. Grayscale's GBTC saw $44.1 million outflow, while ARK and Bitwise also turned red, with the cryptocurrency price dropping to around $75,700 in response.
This lightning-fast withdrawal completely shatters the myth of institutional die-hard bulls. At the crossroads of stalled legislation and looming Federal Reserve decisions, Wall Street funds are fleeing faster than retail investors. Traditional large asset managers show no faith; faced with over 5% U.S. Treasury yields and high oil prices, they immediately pull back to cash defense at the first sign of macro risk.
Institutions buy like bulldozers but withdraw like super pumps. Even BlackRock and Fidelity are leading the way in reducing positions to hedge risk, so high-leverage traders on the exchange should not blindly hold on. In the face of Wall Street's massive single-day withdrawal, do you think this is big money defending against a Fed decision black swan, or a prelude to a new round of major declines?Peter Schiff has come out again with negative news about Bitcoin, saying it has no value, mainly because the bill didn't pass.
The really interesting part isn't him; he's always bearish on Bitcoin anyway, and his logic is quite eye-catching: the bill not passing ≠ Bitcoin's value dropping to zero.
I think
Wall Street has never just wanted Bitcoin to be legal,
these old foxes want a set of rules that can make banks, exchanges, and institutions feel confident to move money in.
Institutions have already entered the market, but the legal framework hasn't caught up, so who's the most anxious now? Peter Schiff? That's a joke.
The value of BTC has never been created by a lawmaker's signature.
But whether hundreds of trillions of traditional funds can flow in more smoothly in the future largely depends on how these people write the rules.
So don't pay too much attention to what Schiff is shouting again; speeches are expectations, voting is the trump card.ZEC reported at $1,156
Up about 8.72% in 24 hours
Trading volume around 1.34 billion
Market cap about 19.6 billion
Ranked among the top in the European spot trading volume list
This round is not a meme hype
It's the veteran privacy coin bringing trading back into the spotlight, compared to Bitcoin
A public ledger must be transparent and auditable
Only then can it serve as digital gold and an institutional foundation
Privacy coins sell invisibility as a feature
These two logics are not on the same risk table
One sells settlement and custody
The other sells censorship resistance and concealment
Trading volume returning to the front ranks
Does not mean pricing power has shifted from $BTC; it's important to distinguish between hype and position
$ZEC is highly volatile
Eight percent in one day with billion-level trading volume
Indicates leverage and attention are both present
Does not indicate a trend change of controlling parties
Hot topics do not equal suitability for chasing highs
Liquidity comes fast
And leaves fast; then only two things matter
Whether trading volume can stay high continuously
Whether the order book thins instantly during price pullbacks
Privacy narrative can return to center stage
Bitcoin remains the anchor of the public market
Center stage is trading volume
Anchor is settlement
Tonight, both overlap on the same screen
Do not misread the former as a substitute for the latterCORE's narrative is very appealing, but your money should be placed on facts
⚠️This article only reviews the fundamentals of the sector and does not constitute any investment advice
CORE in the BTCFi sector has recently been a hot topic in community discussions. Many are attracted by the grand narrative of "Bitcoin DeFi socket, native BTC staking, alternative layer, BTC bull market infrastructure," finding the story very appealing and easily going all in.
But investment cannot rely solely on stories; money must be based on verifiable facts.
✨Appealing narrative (community-promoted highlights)
1. BTCFi underlying infrastructure enables Bitcoin to do DeFi, connecting BTC asset lending, liquidity, and yield, which is the core mainline of this bull market.
2. Satoshi consensus, focusing on Bitcoin's native ecosystem, comparable to ETH's DeFi explosion back then, with huge imagination space.
3. Continuous attention from whales and institutions, high sector heat, once the narrative is realized, the potential is enormous.
📜Cold hard facts (must be carefully examined)
1. The 8.31 vulnerability incident is an unavoidable major flaw
There was once a total supply cap risk, only fixed by a hard fork. This indicates significant security vulnerabilities in the underlying protocol; security audits and code robustness have always been market concerns. Vulnerabilities do not disappear just because a bull market arrives.
2. Ghost tokens (legacy tokens) loom overhead
A huge amount of historical ghost tokens represent long-term potential selling pressure. Even if the project team plans to handle them, the disposal plan, unlocking pace, and selling slippage all have huge uncertainties. During the bull market rally, tokens can be cashed out and dumped at any time.
3. Weak token value capture
The binding relationship between network revenue, fees, ecosystem payments, and the CORE token is weak. Ecosystem prosperity does not mean the CORE token can simultaneously capture profits, which is a common problem for many underlying public chain projects.
4. Intense sector competition
Competitors like STX, MERL, BABYLON in the same sector continuously seize the BTCFi market; CORE is not the only choice. No matter how good the narrative, it may not capture the largest market share.
5. Token inflation and unlocking pressure persist
Linear release of team and investor tokens will continuously convert into sell orders when the market warms up.
🧠 How to view CORE based on Zhang Sufen's approach
Zhang Sufen's core: position at low levels, unpopular, fundamentals without major risks, waiting for catalysts; avoid hot speculative targets and not be swayed by stories.
Applied to CORE:
- Advantages: experienced a major drop, long-term bottom consolidation, sector belongs to BTCFi mainline, with potential catalysts;
- Major flaws: protocol had a major vulnerability, ghost tokens looming, not a "fundamentally clean and risk-free" target.
Conclusion: Suitable for very small positions to speculate on narrative-driven rallies, but absolutely not suitable as a heavy base position.
✅ Practical principles
1. Distinguish narrative from fundamentals: narrative is a catalyst for price increase, facts are the bottom line to protect principal. No matter how good the story sounds, once fundamentals deteriorate, the market will collapse quickly.
2. Position control: single coin position strictly controlled within 5% of total funds, no leverage.
3. Tracking indicators: progress on ghost token disposal, contract security audits, lstBTC business implementation, on-chain ecosystem activity, large wallet token movements.
4. Profit-taking discipline: when the market rises to expectations, take profits in batches, do not immerse in the narrative and hold indefinitely.
💬 Interactive question: Do you think CORE's biggest risk is ghost token selling pressure or underlying protocol security vulnerabilities? Welcome to leave comments and discuss.Over the past decade, halving was the key; going forward, it may need a different logic.
The yield on the US 10-year Treasury note has risen above 5%, last in 2007. Japan's 10-year bond has also fallen below 3%, last going back to 1996.
With both major bond markets delivering this reading, long-term holders are facing not just a day or two of volatility, but rather the reason for holding being repriced.
Halving is predictable, but credit issues are not. The former moves by blocks, while the latter follows fiscal rhythms—the rhythm is completely different.
I tend to believe the next narrative will shift from yield to credit, but the transition will not be smooth.
Get through this part first, then talk about Leon Lai.
#10年期美债收益率突破5%
#美战略比特币储备法案进入委员会审议 #BTC财库优先股融资升温 $ZEC $AAVE is DeFi’s senior credit name. Watch utilization, stablecoin supply, and liquidations not the logo.
$UNI is exchange equity on Ethereum. Feeswitch talk is constant. Price only if swap volume is actually rising.
$CRV is core stable-swap infra with a messy token. Pool TVL and emissions beat a one-day bounce.
Price the claim on cash flow.
NFA.
#FOMCRateCallThisWeek
#CLARITYVoteFails50-49 $SNDK bottomed at 1513, my 20x long position, sharing my real judgment
It dropped from 1805 and fell continuously for a week, touching a low near 1500. The 4-hour MA5 finally turned up, but I advise you not to rush to call a reversal.
The technicals are clear: 1580-1600 is a heavy zone of trapped positions, MA20 is still firmly pressing from above, the entire rebound is on shrinking volume with no incremental funds entering. This is a weak consolidation after the decline, not a V-shaped reversal. The support for this wave’s low is at 1500-1510; only if it holds can we talk about forming a bottom.
I opened a 20x full position long at 1440, holding 0.115 contracts until now, with an unrealized profit of 152%, and I haven’t moved it. It’s not stubborn holding; the long-term logic of AI storage hasn’t broken — SanDisk’s Q4 revenue rose 372% year-over-year, AI inference is driving an explosion in enterprise SSD demand, and NBM’s long-term contracts lock in revenue for the next few years. The fundamentals haven’t changed in essence.
But short-term risks must be acknowledged: executive share sell-offs, Jefferies lowering the target price to 1750, combined with this week’s FOMC sentiment suppression, it’s hard to rally directly in the short term.
My plan is clear: if it pulls back near 1500 and holds, add positions in batches; if it breaks 1480 on volume, reduce positions immediately; if it breaks 1600 on volume, add positions again aiming for 1680. Before a breakout, trade the range by selling high and buying low, don’t chase highs or panic.
Do you think the 1500 bottom can hold?$BTC
This week's Glassnode report bluntly describes the current weak BTC market. It plunged 4.6% this week, breaking through the consolidation range from the end of August and falling below the 76,700 market cost line. Once it stabilizes below this level, the breakdown will be confirmed.
The capital flow is even weaker, with ETFs continuing net outflows and incremental funds nearly stagnant. Although corporate treasuries have slightly accumulated coins, they are all stuck with unrealized losses. Options funds have also turned bearish; 72,000 is a strong pain point, and there is heavy selling pressure above 85,000.
Don't expect an immediate reversal. This is not a mere pullback or shakeout; it signals capital exit. The support level looks close, but bear market sell-offs are ruthless. Don't rush to bottom-fish for a rebound; patiently wait for the market to truly stabilize. $BTC $ETH “The Clarity Act won’t pass, so $BTC is going to dump further.”
“A rate hike is expected tomorrow with FOMC, so BTC is going to dump even more.”
Little do they know, the market has already priced in those expectations. That’s why it’s dumping BEFORE the news is released.
By the time the news gives the crowd a reason to sell, they are already selling into the very bids that mark the bottom.#FOMCRateCallThisWeek #CLARITYVoteFails50-49 3 AM "Can't Sleep": ARB Holding Steady, DOGE Playing Dead, BICO Waiting for the Wind
#ThisWeekFOMCReveal, Will the Rate Hike Land?
At 2 AM the boot drops, Bitcoin hovers around 75,700, a 25bp rate hike is almost certain. Three coins, three states, let's go one by one.
$ARB at 0.143, after rising 86% in a month, it’s taking a breather here. It was pumped by Robinhood launching L2, now profit-taking is underway. Today Bitcoin is slowly falling, ARB is pulling back but hasn't broken the previous low; around 0.14 some buyers step in. Low volume holding steady is healthy, don’t chase highs at this level.
$DOGE at 0.085, a pure sentiment meme coin, between 0.086 and 0.09 is all trapped positions. If the market doesn’t rise, it just plays dead and lies flat. It’s unrelated to fundamentals, fully sentiment-driven. Before the boot drops, sentiment won’t pick up, so don’t touch it.
$BICO around 2 cents, real demand in account abstraction and wallet simplification, the sector is promising, but the token hasn’t attracted funds. When the market rises it barely moves, when it falls it falls more. It’s not that the project is bad, the narrative just hasn’t come around yet. Need to wait for funds to spill over from the leaders.
ARB holding steady, DOGE playing dead, BICO waiting for the wind. Don’t make moves before the boot drops at 2 AM, avoid pure sentiment plays.
#CLARITY法案投票受阻引争议