天台少女秋秋
天台少女秋秋
跟着趋势走～
995Following
985followers
Feed
Feed
$BTC Non-farm payrolls tonight, does this mean the probability of a rate hike is decreasing, and Bitcoin is about to take off again?
BTC has climbed back near $86,000, once reaching $86,794 intraday, showing a clearly stronger short-term trend than the past few days.
One noticeable change in the market now: the expectation for a rate hike in October has dropped from nearly 70% a week ago to about 28%. (Reuters)
Tonight's non-farm payrolls become the new variable. If employment data is below expectations, the market may continue to trade on the cooling logic, putting pressure on the dollar and US Treasury yields, and BTC's risk appetite could further open up.
But if employment significantly exceeds expectations, the market will quickly reprice the rate hike, making it very important whether BTC can hold steady around 86K.
Tonight, I am mainly watching two numbers: non-farm payroll additions and wage growth.
$ZEC Holiday big discount, clearance sale
My first investment advice to everyone: don't learn investing.
Work diligently and earn enough money in your career. After meeting your living needs, take some spare money and continuously invest in broad U.S. stock market index ETFs. Don't buy individual stocks.
Your focus shouldn't be on investing; it should be on your career—whether starting a business or working for someone else, first make that path work. Let the money from your career be amplified in the capital market, letting compound interest help you accumulate wealth.
Stocks are not a place to "make money"; they are wealth multipliers. The more money you have, the easier it is to make money. But if you want to turn 10,000 into 1 million, that's very difficult—most people not only fail to earn but actually lose money.
So my first piece of advice is: don't learn investing. In other words, even if you don't understand investing at all, you can still accumulate wealth through simple regular investments in index ETFs.
The key is: first make the path of monetizing your skills work, then let the market amplify the results. This is the most reliable path for ordinary people. $BTC
A strong wind suddenly blew in the middle of the night, waking me up from a deep sleep.
The quiet of the late night is a perfect time for independent thinking. There's no need to dwell on unresolved feelings; you just need to optimize your established business, and don't think about anything else.
Many people and things are constantly changing. When some choose to leave, others will choose to come in. Let it be, let everything go with the wind.
September ends, October continues to work hard. $BTC
$ZEC I'm still bearish on this wave
ZEC is currently at $1401.76, down 1.24% in 24H, with an intraday high of 1457.16 and a low of 1384.57.
After previously surging above 1450, the price has been pushed back down near 1400, indicating that selling pressure above is still quite evident. Especially since the intraday high did not continue to break upwards but instead fell back to the middle-lower part of the range, this trend makes it difficult for me to change my bearish outlook for now.
At present, I still maintain a bearish view on ZEC. The area around 1450 is a clear resistance zone; if a rebound approaches this level again but fails to break through, the bearish stance remains valid. On the downside, around 1385 is a short-term level to watch; breaking below it could open up further downside space.
Token unlock coincides with $HYPE's strong range, and market concerns about selling pressure have clearly intensified, but the market has not yet experienced the expected sharp drop.
Currently, HYPE is priced at $88.24, with an intraday high of $90.53 and a low of $85.69. The price has rebounded from the intraday low back to around $88, indicating that the selling pressure from the unlock has not yet completely overwhelmed the support.
The $85–$90 range has become a zone of short-term repeated contention. If the unlocking pressure can continue to be absorbed, there is room for the market to retest higher prices; if the intraday low is broken again, the short-term trend will clearly weaken.
$ETH near 2645 USD is indeed tough in the short term.
Intraday, it was pressured down from around 2719 to near 2637, with a 24-hour drop close to 2.7%. After the overall market weakened simultaneously, ETH also began to continuously test lower levels. The most likely scenario at this position is not panic selling, but rather the bulls' patience being gradually worn down.
However, my judgment on $ETH going forward has not changed because of this. In the short term, first watch the support strength near 2640; only if it can climb back above 2680 can the market be considered to have eased the pressure from this round of decline.
If this round is just a normal pullback, I still regard the area around 2800 as the subsequent recovery space. The hardest part now is not judging the rise or fall, but whether we can still analyze the market according to the original rhythm when the trend continuously weakens.
$SOL's recent trend is clearly more resilient than many altcoins, and the underlying capital logic is beginning to change.
The US spot SOL ETF has maintained net inflows for 12 consecutive weeks, with cumulative funds exceeding $1.4 billion, and more than $60 million still flowed in during the most recent week. With continuous capital inflows, the market's valuation of SOL will naturally gradually rise.
What’s more interesting is that SOL's narrative is no longer just about MEME. Traditional finance, ETFs, and ecosystem applications are becoming new capital entry points, which is somewhat similar to the process of expanding funds after the launch of the BTC ETF.
However, the higher the valuation rises, the higher the growth expectations become. If the ecosystem growth fails to meet expectations, the premium could also be compressed again.
Therefore, whether BTC can continue to maintain strength will directly affect whether SOL can open up new price space.
High-level oscillation is often the easiest stage for chip exchange during the trend continuation process, and $OKB is currently in this range.
After rising steadily from a low level to around 126, repeated turnover began around 121, with early profit-taking gradually released and chips redistributed. Platform coins differ from ordinary altcoins; their performance not only follows BTC's rhythm but is also continuously influenced by factors such as exchange activity and buyback and burn.
The 123-126 range remains a pressure zone that needs to be digested before a breakout. Without volume support, it is easy to experience repeated pullbacks. If BTC continues to maintain strength, OKB still has the opportunity to challenge previous highs again; if the market weakens, the retracement pressure on platform coins will also increase accordingly.
#BTC现货ETF连续6日吸金超28亿美元
There used to be a pattern: whenever the Federal Reserve turned hawkish, $BTC would basically take a hit first. This time, however, it's a bit different. The expectation of rate hikes remains, and U.S. Treasury yields stay high. Although BTC pulled back after surging near 87,000, it didn't experience a freefall.
The market's resilience, I think, mainly comes down to a change in the capital structure. Previously, more chips in the market were held by leveraged players, so even a slight disturbance could trigger a chain of liquidations. Now, ETFs continuously absorb spot holdings, and corporate funds are also allocating more in. This portion of capital has a longer-term view and won't rush out just because of a single interest rate announcement.
Another obvious point is that many people now regard BTC as a long-term allocation again, rather than merely a tool for chasing rallies and selling off. Global debt is increasing, the purchasing power of fiat currencies remains an issue, and the fixed total supply aspect is being emphasized again.
High interest rates are still a pressure, with U.S. Treasury yields standing firm, so opportunity costs won't disappear. But now it feels more like interest rates determine the speed of the rise, rather than a rate hike announcement alone being able to crash the market outright.
+0.43%
Snapshot at Sep 25, 2026, 17:42