#USTreasuryYieldsClimb
About USTreasuryYieldsClimb
US long-dated Treasury yields continue to climb, with the 10Y near 5.3% and the 30Y above 5.6%. CCC corporate-bond spreads over Treasuries have topped 1,000bp for the first time since the 2023 regional-bank crisis, signaling higher risk premiums for low-rated debt. Despite lower Oct Fed hike expectations after the latest PCE data, long-end yields remain elevated, underscoring the gap between easing near-term policy expectations and persistent long-rate pressure.
Nổi bật
Mới nhất
USTreasuryYieldsClimb Bài đăng phổ biến
Treasury yields are climbing again, and I think this is one of those moves that can quietly become more important than the headlines everyone is watching.
Higher yields basically mean investors are demanding more return to hold U.S. government debt. For markets, that matters because bonds start competing harder with stocks, crypto and other risk assets for capital. It also pushes borrowing costs higher across the economy.
Personally, I’m watching whether yields stay elevated rather than focusing on one day's move. If they keep climbing while the dollar strengthens, I’d become more cautious about risk sentiment. But if BTC and equities can hold up despite higher yields, that would tell me there’s still pretty strong demand underneath the market.
The interesting part is that rising yields can mean different things stronger growth expectations, inflation concerns, heavier government borrowing, or changing Fed expectations.
So for me, the question isn’t simply “Are yields going up?”
It’s “Why are they going up, and can risk assets handle it?”
#USTreasuryYieldsClimb $BTC
The long end is sending a different signal from the policy path. Even as October hike expectations eased after PCE, the 10Y near 5.3% and 30Y above 5.6% point to stubborn pressure in duration.
CCC spreads above 1,000bp reinforce that this is not merely a rates story: weaker balance sheets are being repriced too. The key question is whether elevated term premiums can persist without a broader credit reset.
#USTreasuryYieldsClimb
US 30yr mortgage rates just hit 7.3% - a 3 year high!
And demand for mortgages is collapsing.
Applications last week were down 14% on the same week last year.
So owners stay put, buyers stay priced out & sales fall to their weakest in over a year.
Prices won't crash while supply stays frozen.
The result: a market where nobody wins.
🇺🇸 United States MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate $USD
Actual: 7.3%
Previous: 7.12%
