Orbit Post Sitemap
The most unusual point in today's market: $MARSCOIN rose 22.98% in 24h, leading among the three candidates, but its RSI is only 61.4, whereas $PROVE, which rose only 11.72%, has an RSI soaring to 90.2. In other words, $MARSCOIN is "price moves first, indicator lags," while $PROVE is "indicator overextended first, price just starting to move." This divergence usually means $MARSCOIN's rise still has room for indicator correction, while $PROVE has entered an overbought saturation zone, making chasing its price risk significantly higher. Horizontally, ARB is +9.84% in 24h, with a 30-candle amplitude of only 13.67%, indicating mild follow-through; $MARSCOIN's amplitude is 29.76%, more than twice ARB's volatility, and its trading volume of 31.6M is solid, showing that incremental funds are real money pushing it, not a low-volume pump.
Technical aspect: MA5=0.11258 has crossed above MA20=0.10632, with moving averages in a bullish alignment; MACD histogram +0.0003875 maintains bullish momentum; current price 0.1129 is running just below the Bollinger upper band at 0.122495, with the middle band at 0.0901446 serving as mid-term support.The macro tape, not the crypto tape, is setting the terms right now. If the Federal Reserve actually delivers a hike at this meeting, liquidity tightens another notch, and high-volatility crypto gets hit first. That sequencing matters more than any single chart pattern. Start with $BTC. Price is drifting, rebounds are coming on shrinking volume, and rate-hike expectations are capping upside. That combination — weak bounce, thin participation — tells you buyers are not committing capital, they ar#美联储三年来首次加息25个基点 #美国加密税收与BTC储备法案获推进 #长端美债5%会成新常态吗？ ZEC is breaking out, but the real story is bigger than price. Privacy assets have been quiet for years — now the sector is being reevaluated. ZEC +11.77% in 24H, crossing $1,356. The NU7 upgrade received nearly 99% community support. Block time is moving to 25 seconds, which should improve network efficiency and keep the privacy narrative alive. On-chain flows are also notable. Whales have moved 15,300 ZEC off exchanges — roughly $17.92M. One ma$AXS The AXS order book here is quite interesting. It's quiet outside, but suddenly the volume piles up, with a dog-eat-dog battle around 0.942. Clearly, funds are aggressively pushing and dumping inside. The candlesticks are tightening more and more; it's either a shakeout or someone is trying to run ahead. I have a small position set up, and I'll exit if it breaks below the previous low—I won't fight the manipulative whales. This kind of pump without news is most feared for fake breakouts, so don't get carried away. What do you think—is this a shakeout or a trend change? Anyone on the same page?
👇👇👇$BTC / $ETH post-Fed 📊
Fed hiked 25bps. Unanimous. Warsh hawkish.
Priced in. No panic dump. No melt-up.
$BTC — around $75.8K.
Wick $75.3K. $76K is still broken.
Support: $75K. Lose it, and $73K is next.
Bulls need $77.5K back. $80K is not in play.
$ETH — around $2.38K.
Range $2.37–$2.43 after the print.
$2.45K is still resistance. $2.35K is the floor.
#FedFirst25BpsHikeSince23
#CryptoTaxAndBTCReserve
#LongYields5%NewNormal BTC mildly recovers, ETH faces negative news, ZEC continues to surge
$BTC: Rebounded above the short-term moving average, MACD forms a golden cross above the zero line, bullish momentum has somewhat recovered. The Pentagon is advancing confidential projects related to Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies, seeking strategic cooperation—an incremental signal at the official level, no short-term price change, but the long-term narrative is strengthening.
$ETH: The rebound is weak, MACD still struggles below zero. JPYC, a yen stablecoin issuer, has suspended token issuance on the Ethereum network, a short-term negative for the ETH ecosystem. Price has risen from the low point, indicating funds are absorbing, but resistance from the moving averages above is obvious.
$ZEC: Up over 9%, continuing to lead. Paradigm's founder publicly stated that the Zcash developer fund is very important, and the pure coin governance structure is recognized. After the NU7 upgrade passes, the independent rally continues, but the rapid increase calls for caution when chasing highs. BTC is recovering, ETH is digesting negative news, ZEC is celebrating.Uniswap founder Hayden Adams retweeted a comment letter from SEC Commissioner Hester Peirce supporting autonomous decentralized systems, pointing out that the best news today for automated market makers (AMM) is Hester Peirce's view that truly autonomous software-driven decentralized systems do not require exemptions, and believes this corresponds to the conventional permissionless Uniswap.
#美国加密税收与BTC储备法案获推进 Many people equate "low volatility" directly with "no opportunity," which is the most common mistake in horizontal comparisons. The real question should be: among the moving sectors, who is quietly building momentum?
$EUR's amplitude over the last 30 candlesticks is only about 0.77%, down 0.49% in 24h. It looks dull, but the structure is not weak: MA5=1.14932 still stands above MA20=1.14807, MACD histogram +0.000355 maintains a bullish stance, and the price is running along the lower Bollinger Band at 1.14608 rather than breaking below it. In comparison, $DASH has an RSI of 67.2 and a 30-candle amplitude of 16%, $ETH has an RSI of 67.5 and an amplitude of 4.65%; both have entered the overbought zone and their funding rates have turned positive, reducing the short-term cost-effectiveness of chasing highs. Meanwhile, $EUR's RSI is only 44.0, in a neutral to slightly cool range, and the fear and greed index at 50 also indicates market sentiment is not extreme—this is a typical characteristic of a low-buy window.
Directionally, I am bullish. Entry reference is 1.1460–1.1480, because this range is close to the lower Bollinger Band at 1.14608 and MA20=1.14807 forms dynamic support; take profit 1 is at 1.1500, corresponding to resistance at the upper Bollinger Band 1.15007; take profit 2 is at 1.1530, an extension target after breaking the upper band; stop loss is set at 1.1435, as breaking below MA20 and losing the lower band would invalidate the bullish structure.The news is all noise, just look directly at the order book. ONE current price is 0.001812, it's okay if the visual model times out, logical deduction can still work. This position has been sideways for too long, volume has shrunk to the extreme, 0.00180 is the short-term dividing line between bulls and bears. The resistance above at 0.00185 is very strong, and there is support below at 0.00178. The funding rate is relatively neutral, with no obvious signs of forced liquidation, the main force is most likely waiting for the direction of Bitcoin.
Just replaced a voice-controlled light in corridor 3, the ladder hasn't been put away yet. Came back to check the K-line, ONE's four-hour Bollinger Bands are narrowing, the window for a trend change is just these one or two days. MACD is converging below the zero line, bearish momentum is weakening, but don't rush to call a bullish crossover before it happens.
In terms of operation, lightly buy in the 0.001795 to 0.001805 range, set stop loss at 0.001775, if broken then accept the loss. Take profit first target at 0.001855, second target at 0.00189. If the four-hour close falls below 0.001775, reverse to short, target 0.00172. Keep position light, this kind of low-volume oscillation is most prone to fakeouts. Remember, breakouts without volume are just playing tricks, wait for volume before chasing. I'll continue to watch the main gate, will shout if there is any market movement.
$ONE
#沙特管道修复预期压低油价
@OKX星球 Today's loss fundamentally stems from a mismatch between the level and the entry/exit points.
Even setting aside the short-selling direction, the core issue is that at the time of entry, the market had not reached the key points corresponding to the major level. The market was merely a residual wave at the end of a segment, belonging to a secondary minor-level fluctuation, yet I entered early to speculate. The buy and sell points did not fall on the level-confirmed turning points, leaving very little room for error. Once the capital sentiment reverses, it can be violently pulled away in an instant.
I have to admit, focusing solely on going long makes the entire judgment logic much clearer and the operation more comfortable. Going long is the field I am familiar with; I have sufficient understanding of the major-level bottom buying points, and signal recognition is clean and decisive. But today's lesson is not just about the short-selling direction.
Even when going long, if you rush to open a position without waiting for level confirmation or the point not being reached, you will still fall into traps.
If the level is not reached and the point is not confirmed, no matter how tempting the market fluctuations are, they are all traps.
Opportunities require waiting for the market to reach the corresponding level turning point before taking action. Residual oscillations and secondary minor market moves, no matter how lively, should be abandoned. 📊 $BTC x $ETH｜After Fed Rate Hike
The Federal Reserve raised rates by 25bps, passing unanimously. Warsh released a hawkish signal.
The market had already priced this in, with no panic sell-off and no immediate surge.
🟠 $BTC around $75.8K
Lowest dip at $75.3K, $76K still not reclaimed.
Support: $75K; if broken, look to $73K.
Bulls need to retake $77.5K. $80K is not currently in the trading plan.
🔵 $ETH around $2.38K
After data release, it remains range-bound between $2.37K–$2.43K.
$2.45K remains resistance, $2.35K is a key bottom.
Now is not the time to panic, but to wait for the next move.👀
#FedFirst25BpsHikeSince23 #CLARITYVoteFails50-49 #AISafetyDebateEscalatesBTC is testing support after sellers pushed price lower.
The key now isn’t the candle, it’s liquidity. I’m watching the recent swing low for potential stop clusters and whether OI expands as price falls.
If support holds, I’d scale in gradually after confirmation; if it breaks with rising OI, liquidation risk increases.
$BTC #OutcomesOnOrbit $NEAR What's the appeal with $NEAR?
No more unlocks is great and chart has huge upside but it's an old coin doing $33k daily revenue and TVL of $330M (Robinhood at $1.5B already)
Not a dig, I like the team and have chatted with them in the past. Just unsure if I'm missing something?⚠️ The 4-day support/resistance line has been broken, and Dogecoin faces a critical test
$DOGE
Bad news: the 0.083 support/resistance boundary that held for 4 days was ultimately breached.
The coin price steadily declined to 0.079 before showing a stop-loss signal, and now the 0.08 whole number level is under pressure and being defended closely.
On the positive side: The FOMC decision night did not lead to a further breakdown crash; the 0.079 low held and there was a slight rebound, proving there is buying support below 0.08.
From a technical perspective, 0.08 has completed a role reversal: support → resistance → back to support.
If it breaks again, the next support is at 0.077; the previous support/resistance line at 0.083 turns into the first major resistance, and 0.088 is the key level to reverse the weakness.
DOGE’s price action is highly tied to market sentiment. The setback of the CLARITY Act continues to suppress risk appetite across the entire MEME sector.
Outlook: In the short term, it is highly likely to trade within a weak oscillation range of 0.077–0.088
🔺 Practical strategy: Light positions can be taken above 0.08 to speculate on a rebound, with stop-loss anchored at 0.077; gradually reduce positions when the rebound reaches the 0.083–0.085 area.
Those without positions should prioritize watching and wait for confirmation signals on the right side.The harshest truth in crypto: you think you're waiting for a rally, but the market is actually waiting for you to give up your patience first.
Today, the total crypto market cap is about $2.18 trillion, with a 24-hour trading volume of around $41.5 billion. BTC's market dominance is about 58.5%; SOL is priced at $75.9, up approximately 1.97% in 24 hours. But the key isn't today's red or green; it's that the market is undergoing "survival of the fittest."
Nearly 100 crypto projects have shut down or paused operations since the start of this year, with funds increasingly concentrating into BTC, ETH, and a few leading public chains that have real users and active ecosystems. This means the next bull market will most likely not see a "buy anything and everything goes up" frenzy. Projects without products, users, or cash flow, relying solely on stories to support their price, will find it increasingly difficult to survive.
On the flip side, SOL's on-chain transaction volume surpassed 1 billion last week, showing a contrast of "a hot network but a cold price." So the real opportunity might not be chasing today's fastest risers, but finding those networks that keep building and attracting users when the market has the least patience.
Markets can deceive, but time does not. Who do you think is most likely to survive until the end of the next bull market?
$BTC $ETH $SOL
#美联储三年来首次加息25个基点
#CLARITY法案下一步怎么走？
#交易之声：你的经验值得被听到 #美国加密税收与BTC储备法案获推进 站在国际政治经济学视角，当下美国加密市场存在三层完全不同维度的博弈：国会制度层面的加密税收立法博弈、选举周期下政党阵营的资金权力博弈、资本市场情绪层面政治题材Meme币叙事博弈。市场经常把三件事混为一谈，但三者的时间周期、影响权重、底层逻辑完全不在同一层级。 一、制度层：H.R.10357《数字资产税收确定性法案》，是加密行业合规化的双向妥协 当地时间9月16日，众议院筹款委员会以38票赞成、5票反对，通过H.R.10357《数字资产税收确定性法案》，这是美国联邦层面首份在筹款委员会闯关成功的加密税收法案，具备里程碑意义，但距离正式落地仍长路漫漫。 法案本质是两党妥协产物：一方面，将加密资产纳入美国传统税则体系，把股票适用的洗售规则（wash-sale rule）延伸到加密领域，堵住多年来交易者亏损卖出立刻买回、抵扣税负的避税漏洞，扩大联邦税基；另一方面设置豁免条款，单笔10美元以内Gas费交易无需计税，简化稳定币会计核算，减轻普通用户小额链上操作的税务负担，同时配套挖矿、质押借贷的清晰计税框架。 市场最容易产生误判：“征税=利空”。从政UNI breaks through $7.3, rising over 15.6% in 24 hours. The founder of Uniswap said the SEC exemption applies to the v4 permissioned pool, and permissioned liquidity pools will be the new compliant on-chain gateway for US stocks.
In my opinion, resisting regulation ultimately modularizes compliance, simultaneously courting traditional large US stock capital while keeping long-tail permissionless pools. Uniswap really knows how to play both ends well. 🐶📈
$BTC $ETH $UNISanDisk returned to 1594. Regarding the market, overnight US chip stocks broadly rose, with SanDisk's main stock up over 6%, driving a rebound in contract prices. The storage sector as a whole is rebounding, with SK Hynix, Micron, and Intel all up more than 5%.
Today SanDisk returned to 1594, up 2.53%. What pleases me most is that the unpaired profit narrowed from negative 196U to negative 94U, and the grid cumulative profit also reached 70U. This rebound from 1542 means the chips bought at low levels in the grid are starting to generate floating profits.
The liquidation price is at 935, current price 1594, so the safety buffer remains thick. Next, it depends on whether this rebound can hold above 1600; if it does, the grid can continue selling chips at high levels.
$SNDK #美联储三年来首次加息25个基点 Active Trading Radar
$BTC price net change is limited, with trading biased towards buyers: in 3 sets of 5-minute statistics, sellers account for 33.0%, buyers 67.0%, with active buy amount about 2.03 times the active sell amount; the current 15-minute candlestick dropped 0.04%; active buy amount exceeds active sell amount by 9.05 million USD. The buy bias signal mainly comes from trade distribution, while the price net change has not yet shown a clear rise or fall.
$SOL price declined, with trading biased towards buyers: in 3 sets of 5-minute statistics, sellers account for 40.4%, buyers 59.6%, with active buy amount about 1.47 times the active sell amount; the current 15-minute candlestick dropped 0.20%; active buy amount exceeds active sell amount by 1.38 million USD. The buy bias in trading coexists with price weakness, and the buy ratio alone cannot confirm that the price has turned strong.
$UNI rise aligns with active buy dominance: in 3 sets of 5-minute statistics, sellers account for 41.8%, buyers 58.2%, with active buy amount about 1.39 times the active sell amount; the current 15-minute candlestick rose 0.85%; active buy amount exceeds active sell amount by 552,800 USD. The price rise and buy dominance mutually confirm each other, indicating a currently strong performance.The Fed just raised rates, and logically, high Beta should be hit the hardest, but HYPE is still holding above 78, FET is starting to attempt a recovery, while WLD continues to fluctuate violently at low levels. Now AI and high elasticity coins are no longer rising together; instead, they are directly filtering who still has real support.
#美联储三年来首次加息25个基点
#HighBetaContinuesToDiverge
$HYPE is currently around 78.6, with today's low near 77.18. The 77–77.2 range remains the first support, and 75–76 is a more important trend defense; on the upside, a breakthrough at 80.4 is first to watch, and only by firmly standing above 82–82.5 can the previous strong structure be considered restored.
$FET is currently around 0.154, with 0.1485–0.150 as short-term defense, 0.156–0.158 as the first resistance, and only a true recovery above 0.165 indicates that capital is willing to revalue the AI narrative.
$WLD is currently around 0.37, with the first defense line near 0.356. Only by climbing back above 0.376–0.38 is there room for recovery; falling back near 0.35 means continued weakness must be guarded against.
This lineup: HYPE waits for 82, FET waits for 0.165, WLD waits for 0.38. After the Fed, don’t focus on stories; whoever can hold the key levels is the one qualified to capture the next round of capital.This time, after liquidation, I feel much calmer inside than before—no anxiety, no feelings of desperation or panic. This time, I still lost because of frequent trading and couldn't resist watching the market. Every time I opened a position, I chose the right direction, but I was still misled by subjective experience, afraid of giving back profits. Taking profits is a good habit, but the problem is I immediately opened another position. That’s not the most fatal mistake. The fatal mistake is that I kept trying to guess the top and kept entering the market. Next time, I need to change my position strategy. I even set break-even lock orders while still in profit, stubbornly holding on, ignoring the drop, letting it take its course. I uninstalled the app. This is the real critical issue where I was affected by volatility—staring at the screen, fantasizing about the profit of that trade. The market won’t tailor profits to your fantasies. I’ve realized that if I want to avoid pain, I have to first build some tolerance. Right now, I’m not suited for large funds or big positions. The path must be taken step by step. I won’t borrow money to trade contracts or use my family’s money to play. I don’t want to risk other people’s money to gamble with my life. Winning is fine, but if you lose, you’ll be overwhelmed by uncontrollable pain and guilt—that’s true loss of control. I can fail countless times, but I still firmly believe in myself and that I will improve each time. I won’t recklessly open positions out of desperation after liquidation. Stop—there will always be opportunities in the market. Looking back, every time you fear missing out, hasn’t it always caused you to act irrationally and lose your reason? At this stage, being able to overcome pain is already progress. Trading must be done step by step. I won’t rush or panic to recover losses anymore In @LiangLaobao's analysis, the pressure from rate hikes and bill news is already on the table, but prices have not accelerated their decline accordingly. His most striking shift is: in the short term, the word "bearish" can no longer be used as a reason to short on rebounds. $BTC Only if the 82,000 level can be effectively taken below the 82,000 level can one qualify to talk about higher potential; Before a breakout is confirmed, bullish sentiment remains a script with expiration conditions, not blindly chasing orders.
Old Liang believes there were originally two paths in this market cycle: use news to sweep away liquidity below and continue to push deep; or absorb selling pressure and then move upward after consolidation. He had previously considered the possibility of a pullback to 72,000, 71,000, or even lower, but the actual decline after the negative news landed did not extend according to the pessimistic script. In his observation, the price did not continue to weaken when it should have been; instead, the bears' strength was almost exhausted. The signals from the market have changed, so must the trading plan. You can't just take a short position yesterday and turn it into a belief today.
He repeatedly reminds that judging a reversal cannot be judged by just saying "can't fall." In the short term, first check whether the rebound has broken above previous highs, then see if the pullback holds; If the high is broken and the pullback holds, then the previous shortish logic should be abandoned. This does not guarantee an immediate takeoff, but rather a reminder to those already on the bear side: when prices fall again and again and again, the odds of continuing to short are getting worse. Conversely, if the breakout is a fake move or a pullback below a key low again, the bullish judgment should be pulled back.
Placed on a larger structure, Mr. Liang watched it with his handsHonestly, when I look at $CORE , I don't see quiet strength — I see exhaustion. It's already down 99.7% from its 2023 high, and it dropped another 11% in a week while the rest of the market barely flinched. No dramatic crash I can point to, just a slow bleed made worse by the validator exploit that forced an emergency fork and froze withdrawals. Ongoing monthly unlocks on top of that? I'm not reading this as conviction anymore.
#FedFirst25BpsHikeSince23 #CryptoTaxAndBTCReserve Many people are still asking
whether $CORE can still rise
But I think a more worthwhile question is
when the next wave of BTCFi truly explodes
can CORE become one of the value capture beneficiaries
The current logic of Core is no longer just
building a Bitcoin ecosystem chain
but moving in one direction
$BTC generates revenue
The ecosystem generates income
Income drives CORE buybacks
On top of that, BTC Staking
LST
BTCFi
Neobank
RWA and other applications continue to be implemented
If this flywheel really starts running
CORE's valuation logic will also change
Previously, people might have valued it as
a public chain
In the future, the market might see it as
Bitcoin financial infrastructure + income + buybacks
Of course
there is still a long way to go
And at the beginning of September, Core just completed an emergency hard fork to fix validator reward anomalies
In the short term, the focus is still on whether network stability and user confidence can recover.
But if I were to preemptively put a long-term watchlist
CORE still deserves a spot
Not because of whether it rises now
But because I value $BICO more
When the next wave of Bitcoin liquidity truly starts seeking yield
whether CORE can catch that money
That might be the biggest turning point for CORE in the next phase.
#美联储三年来首次加息25个基点 🔥 With rate hikes implemented, $BTC and $ETH actually pulled back? What kind of logic is this?
The Federal Reserve announced a 25 basis point rate hike, raising the benchmark rate to 3.75%-4.00%, marking the first rate hike since July 2023.
Normally, interest rate hikes = negative for risk assets.
But the market reversed: BTC rose, ETH was stronger.
Why?
Because the market is not trading on the word "rate hike," but on expectations gaps.
The market had already priced in rate hikes in advance, and once they actually took effect, the negative news would actually be "exhausted." More importantly, the market is starting to focus: Is the tightening cycle nearing its end?
But don't rush to use it as a trigger for a bull market.
Interest rates remain high, and funding costs have not immediately decreased. Short-term gains may be more of a recovery in sentiment and expectations; whether the trend can continue depends on inflation, employment, and rate cut expectations.
So, is this the end of the bear market, or the start of a new rally?
Which side are you on? 👇
A: Bear tail B: Bull market starting gun #The Fed raised rates by 25 basis points for the first time in three years World Money: Open in 150+ countries, Stripe deposits start from the US
World Money claims to be available in 150+ countries, sounding like a global wallet with one-click access—but the real dividing line is in the feature set.
According to the official blog: a self-custody super app, stablecoin balances (claiming support for 8 currency tiers), cross-border digital asset transfers, Mini Apps integrating Kalshi / Morpho; Stripe deposits are "starting from the US," and Apple Pay stablecoin exchanges settle within minutes. The catch is usability—features and eligibility are cut by country; Orb identity verification and obtaining a World ID are required to access some Earn bonuses; if you haven't passed verification or your country hasn't enabled certain tracks, the "global" on the poster doesn't apply to you. Produced by Tools for Humanity, with third-party terms managed independently.
150 countries ≠ all features enabled in your region. First check if you can deposit in your country and whether iris scanning is required, then talk about the super app. 300% not exiting, now holding 100% loss
300% unrealized profit, held into 100% unrealized loss.
I'm too familiar with this trade.
What others think: 2366 is the bottom, it can't fall further.
News can't push it down, the rebound means reversal.
What I think: The bears have all stopped out.
Stopping out is not faith, it's fear to admit.
Working backward, from 300% to -100%, that's a fourfold retracement.
Not sure if there will be a market move tonight.
But those holding the position never lose to the market.
Brothers, for this kind of trade, do you cut losses or keep holding?
#OKX百万规划师
#OKX预言家：来星球玩预测 $ETH The crypto market's "real crash due to rate hikes" is usually not triggered by a single "Fed rate hike" event, but by the simultaneous or consecutive fulfillment of the following 5+1 conditions. A single negative factor may cause volatility, but multiple factors resonating together lead to a waterfall decline.
------
1) Dot plot/speeches more hawkish than the rate hike: the market starts pricing in "continuous hikes"
A single 25bp hike is already priced in; the fear is:
• The dot plot shows 2 or 3 more hikes within the year
• Powell/Walsh say "rates will stay high for a long time"
• The market completely removes "rate cut expectations" and switches to "hikes continuing into 2027"
→ The valuation logic for long-duration, zero-coupon assets (BTC/ETH/altcoins) is re-evaluated:
The opportunity cost of holding crypto > holding US Treasuries/money market funds.
------
2) US Treasury yields and the US dollar surge together
The real valuation killers are these two:
• 10-year US Treasury yields keep rising (e.g., above 5% and still climbing)
• DXY US Dollar Index strengthens, causing global dollar flows back to the US
Crypto is most sensitive to "real interest rates":
Real rates ↑ + USD ↑ = risk assets ↓, BTC usually under pressure.
If only rates rise but Treasury yields don’t and the dollar isn’t strong, prices often don’t fall much.
------
3) Spot ETF / institutional funds continue net outflows
Price not falling but ETFs withdrawing is one of the most dangerous signals:
• BTC spot ETFs have consecutive days of net redemptions
• IBIT / FBTC / ARKB / GBTC all see outflows simultaneously
• Institutions shift from "dollar-cost averaging buyers" to "risk control reducing positions"
ETFs were supposed to be the bottom-buying force in crypto after 2024; once reversed, it means institutions are voting with their feet.
In September 2026, there were already single-day net outflows of hundreds of millions of dollars.
------
4) Stablecoin supply stagnates / on-chain liquidity dries up
Crypto’s own "base currency" is stablecoins:
• USDT+USDC total market cap doesn’t rise but falls
• Exchange stablecoin net inflows turn negative
• On-chain transfer volume, DEX trading volume, and new address counts all decline simultaneously
At this point, without marginal buying power, any selling pressure is amplified.
ETFs are the institutional gateway, stablecoins are the native market’s lifeblood; if both turn negative, trouble ensues.
------
5) High leverage long positions + key support breaks → cascading liquidations
The "accelerator" of crypto crashes is always leverage:
• Perpetual funding rates biased long, 20x/50x long positions piled up
• BTC breaks below 75k / ETH breaks key support / altcoins break out of their boxes
• Long liquidations → market sell-offs → more liquidations
Without leverage, rate hikes cause at most a slow decline; with leverage, rate hike expectations can trigger single-day 10%~30% altcoin waterfalls.
------
6) (Hidden 6th) Overall risk asset collapse: Nasdaq/AI/US stocks fall first
BTC increasingly resembles a "Nasdaq shadow asset":
• Nonfarm payrolls/inflation exceed expectations → rate cut hopes shattered
• Nasdaq, AI leaders, semiconductors plunge
• Funds top up margin calls by selling the most liquid assets first (BTC/ETH)
So crypto may not fall "because of rate hikes" but rather "because US stock risk appetite collapsed, dragging crypto down."
------
7) The real "catch-up drop" script probably looks like this
1. Next FOMC hints at more hikes → US Treasury yields break previous highs
2. US Dollar Index strengthens → emerging markets/risk assets see capital outflows
3. BTC ETF continuous net outflows + stablecoins don’t expand supply
4. Nasdaq big red candle, crypto bulls still crowded around 76k/2.4k levels
5. Support breaks → long liquidations → altcoins halved → fear & greed index drops below 20
At this point, it’s not "no reaction to rate hikes," but "no drop before, now paying all at once."
------
8) One sentence to remember
Rate hikes themselves = negative expectations
Hawkish dot plot + strong Treasury yields and USD + ETF outflows + stablecoins not rising + leveraged long liquidations = real crash Simply put: “Interest rate hikes = crypto market must fall” is an oversimplified cause-effect; the actual market looks at "whether the expectation has been priced in early" + "whether future liquidity will actually tighten" + "crypto's own buying demand."
Taking the Fed's 25bp hike on 2026-09-16 (3.75%–4.00%, the first hike since 2023) as an example, the crypto market didn’t crash mainly for several reasons:
1) The rate hike itself was already priced in
Before the meeting, the market probability for a “25bp hike” was already >90%.
What’s really concerning is “continued aggressive hikes in the future,” but after the dot plot was released this time, the market interpreted it as: after this one hike, the year-end median rate is about 4.1%, with at most one more hike later, not a continuous aggressive hiking cycle. The bad news was fully priced in, so no crash.
2) Crypto now looks beyond just the Fed, also at “global liquidity”
Bitcoin’s medium to long-term correlation is more with global M2 / fiscal stimulus / US Treasury supply / actual liquidity, not just the federal funds rate.
If the Treasury’s bond issuance, repos, and fiscal deficit injections keep money ample in the market, even if the Fed hikes a bit, risk assets don’t necessarily fall.
3) The dollar and US Treasury yields didn’t form a “full risk asset sell-off” combo
If after a hike the dollar surges and long-term yields spike, crypto would fall; but this time short-term saw US stock futures up, gold up, dollar slightly down, and risk appetite actually returned a bit. Crypto followed the risk asset rebound.
4) ETF / institutions / corporate treasuries provide a price floor
After 2024, Bitcoin has spot ETFs, corporate treasuries, and institutional allocations.
These funds don’t “run away as soon as rates rise,” but rebalance quarterly and hold long-term. When short-term selling pressure exhausts, prices hold strong.
5) Crypto’s own narratives are playing a role
US strategic Bitcoin reserves, stablecoin legislation, RWA, institutional custody, Zcash/privacy coins/altcoin rotations... these factors overshadow macro.
In other words: macro is the backdrop, but crypto’s own capital flows and narratives direct the short-term moves.
6) But “no big crash” ≠ “all is well”
Actually, the funding side isn’t strong:
• Spot BTC ETFs still see net outflows (over $1 billion cumulative in September)
• Stablecoin supply growth has stalled
• On-chain new buying demand is decreasing
• Many price rises are short covering + leverage plays, not new retail frenzy
------
In summary
Fed hikes suppress valuations, but “already expected hikes” don’t crash the market; what really crushes crypto is:
“Rate hikes + more hawkish dot plot + stronger dollar + liquidity tightening + continued ETF outflows” all hitting together.
Right now: hikes are priced in, expectations ease, liquidity hasn’t truly collapsed, so no drop;
but if inflation surges again, Fed says “more hikes ahead,” US yields break 5%, and ETFs keep withdrawing, crypto will eventually catch down. 昨晚美联储这一刀，市场终于给出了答案。25个基点加息落地，利率升至3.75%-4%，沃什释放后续或继续收紧信号，符合前期“超预期鹰派”担忧。BTC未直接崩盘，在7.5万附近剧烈洗盘，7.5万-7.55万第一支撑经考验，收回7.6万显承接，但7.65万-7.75万反弹压力仍在，8万-8.2万强压区未破，放量跌破7.5万仍警醒深探。
消息落地不可怕，最怕定价生变。前期ZEC妖拉剑指1500，灰度ETF资金与空头踩踏共振，九成做空成燃料，40倍杠杆1小时亏31万、忘挂止损高位套牢血淋淋；SOL承压、100x多单刀口舔血，CLARITY法案受阻叠加中东油价推高通胀，宏观容错率极低。梁景尧“行情越热越慢，牛市靠趋势、回撤靠纪律”恰是此时解药。
不急猜底，不因单K追方向。美联储牌已摊，接下来看资金承接、ETF流入或撤退。大波动后才是真正方向选择，交易比活得久，不扛不补不幻想，底仓守“法币信用”叙事，高杠杆多看少动，等落地企稳，活着最重要！Interestingly, just the day before, Middle Eastern physical oil was still being snapped up, with Oman crude trading at a premium of nearly $24 to Brent, the highest since March. After the premium peaked, futures followed down. This indicates that the market had previously priced in the supply disruption very fully, and now with signs of pipeline repair, the risk premium is starting to unwind.#FedFirst25BpsHikeSince23 #LongYields5%NewNormal #CryptoTaxAndBTCReserve 🔥CLARITY法案受挫还不到一天，众议院直接“接力”了！
9月16日，美国众议院筹款委员会以38票赞成、5票反对通过《数字资产税收确定性法案》，数字资产联邦税收框架进一步推进。
其中一个关键点：网络费或交易费用不超过10美元的加密交易，可免纳税。
同一天，金融服务委员会又以28比21推进H.R.8957《美国储备现代化法案》。
核心内容更值得关注：要求财政部在180天内建立BTC战略储备，纳入的BTC在20年内不得出售、交换或抵押。
但注意：这并不授权政府额外买$BTC ，储备来源主要是没收所得。目前联邦政府据称持有约19.8万枚BTC。
税收法案38:5，储备法案28:21。
接下来众议院将休会至11月大选后，后续可能进入跛脚鸭会期。
你觉得，这两项法案最终能推进到哪一步？BTC会怎么走？#美联储三年来首次加息25个基点 For BTC, the fall in oil prices is a good thing. When oil prices drop, inflation expectations also decline, easing the urgency for the Federal Reserve to continue raising interest rates. Recently, long-term US Treasury yields have been stuck above 5%, suffocating risk assets; the oil price decline can at least relieve some of that pressure.#FedFirst25BpsHikeSince23 #CryptoTaxAndBTCReserve #LongYields5%NewNormal Why does $CORE surge wildly right before being delisted?
Step 1: Pumping the price to trigger short squeezes and create "hidden buy orders". When the exchange announces delisting, many retail traders' first reaction is to short. These short positions accumulate above a certain price, forming "liquidation orders." The market maker uses a small amount of capital to push the price up, breaking through the short liquidation line, forcing all shorts to buy back at market price to cover, instantly generating millions or even tens of millions in strong buy orders.
Step 2: While the shorts are liquidated, the market maker simultaneously "closes long positions" and "opens shorts."
The buy orders from short liquidations are the best counterpart for the market maker to sell. The market maker places sell orders at the peak to lock in profits from long positions; at the same time, they establish new short positions.
Step 3: Dumping the price to realize profits on shorts.
After building short positions at the high, a flood of sell orders comes in, causing the price to plummet rapidly. Retail traders who chased the highs get liquidated, and the market maker's shorts realize huge profits during the crash.
In short: The pump before delisting is a "fake buy order" created by the market maker using short squeeze liquidations, aiming to profit from both longs and shorts before liquidity completely disappears, maximizing their harvest. Those who chase the surge are often the last ones holding the bag.In the era of AI quantitative trading, why are retail traders' high-leverage contracts always precisely liquidated?
Just now, someone in the community commented that they opened high-leverage, high-position trades twice, and both were precisely liquidated by the market, suspecting that the coin's orders were being monitored.
Actually, this is not just a matter of luck. Currently, a large number of AI quantitative agents are deeply involved in contract trading in the market. AI programs read orders and calculate stop-loss positions with a reaction speed far beyond that of ordinary traders placing orders manually.
Many people mistakenly think the platform backend is monitoring orders, but the underlying logic is: quantitative algorithms can scan the order book data and identify stop-loss zones where many retail traders are concentrated. Once a cluster of stop-loss orders is detected, the main funds cooperate with the AI program to execute a short-term spike that breaks through the price at once, triggering mass forced liquidations and completing a double kill on both longs and shorts.
High leverage itself amplifies risk, and high positions compress the margin for error to almost zero. Your stop-loss price is a clearly visible target point in the eyes of AI quantitative strategies. As retail traders, our reaction speed, capital size, and data acquisition capabilities naturally cannot compete with large funds, let alone AI quantitative strategies executing at millisecond speed.
It’s not that the market is targeting any individual; this trading mechanism is inherently unfriendly to high-leverage retail traders.
Eventually, through trading, we come to understand: it is very difficult to fight against AI quantitative trading and main funds. The only choices we have are to reduce leverage, compress positions, avoid exposing stop-losses blatantly in the order book, and give up high-frequency, high-leverage speculation.
#美联储三年来首次加息25个基点 $XRP in 24 hours +2.77% versus BTC +1.17% — difference +1.60 p.p.
With a position of 74% within the daily range, the question is simple: is this real relative strength or is the movement already fading? $BTC is sitting right between two major liquidation zones.
*$77K–$81K* shorts above.
*$75K–$72K* longs below.
With liquidity stacked on both sides, $BTC can easily sweep both before the real move starts.After the Fed's rate hike, the long-term U.S. Treasury bonds didn't give any respect.
The 10-year yield first dropped to 4.95%, then quickly bounced back near 5%. The 30-year yield was even more stubborn, staying above 5% the whole time. The 2-year yield also rose to 4.73%. The market is telling you one thing: this rate hike might not be the end.
Warschauer came out to explain that the high long-term rates are due to a strong economy, AI grabbing money, and geopolitical issues. It sounds reasonable, but he missed the most critical part: the fiscal deficit and debt sustainability. The U.S. government owes $40 trillion, and the interest keeps compounding, which is the root cause of why long-term rates can't come down. He doesn't mention it, but the market certainly doesn't pretend not to see it.
Next, watch a key signal. If the 2-year yield peaks and starts to fall with rate hike expectations, but the 10- and 30-year yields stubbornly stay above 5%, it means long-term pricing is no longer just about rate expectations, but a combination of term premium, inflation risk, and capital demand. In such times, the valuation threshold for high-beta assets will be passively raised.
For BTC, the short-term situation is actually quite conflicted. After the rate hike landed, it didn't fall; instead, it rose 1.53%, looking quite resilient. But as long as long-term U.S. Treasuries hold above 5%, the valuation ceiling for risk assets is suppressed, limiting rebound potential. Short-term depends on sentiment, mid-term on liquidity. Until the interest rate tension eases, don't expect too much from a one-sided market. What do you think, will a 5% U.S. Treasury yield become the new normal? #WillLongTermUSTreasury5PercentBecomeNewNormal $BTC $ETH $ZEC #美联储三年来首次加息25个基点 Fundamental Research Report $MANTA / Manta Network (L2/Sidechain) $3.20
Conclusion first: Manta Network ($MANTA) overall score 55/100, rating narrative outweighs implementation. Breaking down the three layers, the company team has cash reserves, the protocol network shows signs of paid usage, token value transmission still needs observation.
Manta Network (token $MANTA), L2/sidechain track. Focuses on ZK L2 + privacy. Competitors ARB, OP. Traditional enterprise collaboration relies on cloud servers and contract reconciliation; during high concurrency, gas spikes, TPS limits, and frequent cross-chain bridge security incidents occur. Public chains use a unified state machine for trustless settlement, reducing reconciliation costs. Customer unit price $50-500/month, requires USDC or fiat settlement. Narrative-driven track, usage drops 60-80% in bear markets. Positioned as an end-to-end vertical platform. Product implementation: protocol layer officially running, on-chain dashboard shows protocol fees accumulating, with signs of paid usage. Latest version not found, 60 valid commits in the last 90 days.
User side, address MAU not disclosed, DAU not disclosed, 24h transaction volume $80.00M, TVL not found. Wallet addresses do not equal monthly active users; large addresses concentrated holdings may overestimate real user count. Revenue side, user fees not disclosed, supplier income about 80-90% of user fees (to LPs and nodes), protocol treasury income $6.6K, token holder buyback and burn annualized no burn mechanism. 24h transaction volume is business flow, not revenue. Company profit does not equal protocol profit, protocol profit does not equal token holder profit. Code side, 60 valid commits in 90 days, 25 active contributors, latest version not found. GitHub is grade A evidence for direct verification. Investment background, company equity financing see PitchBook/Crunchbase (grade A), token private and public sales see whitepaper, release schedule, and on-chain unlock contracts (grade A), market makers and ecosystem funding are grade B, not representing long-term holdings by tech VCs, tech integration see API/SDK access evidence (grade B), strategic partnerships and logo wall are grade D. NVIDIA GPU usage does not equal NVIDIA investment, exchange listing does not equal exchange strategic investment.
Token side, total supply 1,300,000,000, circulating 950,000,000 (73.1%), FDV $4.20B, next unlock 2026-Q4 (accounts for +3.50% of circulation), annualized burn and buyback no clear mechanism. Must buy tokens to use product? Yes, strong value capture (Gas/staking/service access). Compared with peers (uniform criteria, no cross-track comparison): Circulating market cap, Manta Network $3.00B, ARB undisclosed, OP undisclosed. FDV, Manta Network $4.20B, ARB undisclosed, OP undisclosed. Annual revenue, Manta Network $6.6K, ARB undisclosed, OP undisclosed. Monthly active addresses or users, Manta Network undisclosed, ARB undisclosed, OP undisclosed. Figures based on public data snapshots, some missing data supplemented by official or industry sources. Valuation, circulating market cap $3.00B, FDV $4.20B, P/S 456621.0x, FDV divided by revenue 639269.4x. Pessimistic view $3.00B at 50-70% discount, neutral range oscillation, optimistic view revenue doubles, burn implemented, enterprise clients join, FDV P/S aligns with top players. Summary: fundamentals solid (score 55/100). Token value transmission path unclear, only governance incentives. Circulating market cap relatively expensive compared to fundamentals, overdrawn expectations, FDV moderate. Three major risks: short-term large unlock dump, protocol income long-term zero, token demand relies only on incentives (usage collapses if incentives stop). Next to watch: weekly protocol fees, burn amount, active address retention, TVL/loan balance, GitHub version releases. Public data inference, not investment advice. Core indicator changes over 30% invalidate conclusions.
This concludes this report, if you find it useful please follow.
#FundamentalResearchReport #Crypto #Research #OKXOrbitTwo interpretations for the same channel in two days: just withdrawn from Coinbase Prime, then deposited back.
Lookonchain detected an address associated with BlackRock's spot ETF (IBIT/ETHA) depositing about 2,015 BTC (approximately $153.8 million) + about 54,096 ETH (approximately $131.7 million) into Coinbase Prime, totaling about $285.5 million; Arkham also labels it as a BlackRock entity.
In contrast, on 9/16, the same channel batch bought and withdrew about 1,698 BTC + about 11,700 ETH — the direction is exactly reversed. Prime often corresponds to spot ETF creation/redemption/settlement or institutional inflows and outflows; deposits do not equal confirmed market sell-offs. The next step, whether funds flow out from Prime or into custody, will determine if it is a redemption settlement or another interpretation. Do not directly write "associated address deposit" as "BlackRock dumping confirmed." $BTC $ETH Bonk Guy discouraged Arc this time, with an interesting reason — "Best execution" does not equal "the next Solana."
I casually counted, and FOMO, DEX Screener, Argus, Tolly, Lift, Long — all six platforms are connected. This kind of lineup definitely doesn't look like a small project.
But wait.
Having many connected platforms means strong BD capabilities, not that users are actually pouring real money in. These two things are often confused.
Experienced investors know that the wider the launch platforms, the easier it is early on to turn into a "who will take over" game. Good execution is a good thing, but there's still a river between good execution and being valuable.
He himself said, don't see it as Robinhood, BNB, or Solana. So the question is — if not those, then what should it be seen as?
#Arc主网上线首日数据出炉 $SOL 📂 20U Real Account Record 079
💰 Principal: 20U
📈 Profit on this trade: Position open
✅ Total earnings: +40U
📌 Current position: $SOL 5x long
I've been pondering a question these past two days:
The market news is actually quite bad right now, so why is SOL slowly returning to around 100?
Earlier, SOL dropped to about 96 but didn't continue to fall; instead, it gradually recovered.
The funding situation isn't particularly good either.
Yesterday, BTC spot ETF still saw net outflows, and there’s no obvious capital inflow in the market.
So now I'm actually paying attention to this detail.
If the market really were weak, given this environment, SOL should continue to drop.
But now it just isn’t falling much.
This is also why I dared to take this long position at 97.1.
Of course, with 5x leverage, I’m not being stubborn.
The stop loss at 94.9 is already set; if it hits, I’ll accept it.
For now, I’m watching to see if it can hold at 100.
If it holds, I’ll keep holding and see.
If it falls back below 97, then I’ll honestly exit.
Is this wave really forming a bottom, or is it just trying to trick me into getting on board...
Let’s wait and see.$SOL has once again approached the $100 mark. This round of recovery from the lows shows seemingly strong price momentum; however, the trading volume has not increased correspondingly. During the price climb, volume has actually gradually decreased. Judging solely by price, one might mistakenly believe that the bulls have regained control of the market rhythm, but in reality, the strength of capital follow-through is not significant. Further observation of position data shows that the proportion of long positions has risen to about 67%, with market sentiment clearly leaning bullish. With rising prices and highly concentrated positions, this situation is prone to intensify short-term trading divergences. If resistance appears above, rapid long position liquidations may occur. The current position of SOL is quite delicate, with $100 forming a significant psychological resistance level. Whether it can hold steady at this price will depend decisively on subsequent volume and capital cooperation. The sustainability of this rise, based solely on shrinking volume, is indeed questionable. 有粉丝让我看下，ZEC进入了良性的价格上涨轨道当中，大户和散户在疯狂做空，庄家逼空拉盘，目前看会一直吃流动性到1441，当前价格1354
奉劝一句，当前谨慎做空，庄家手中的筹码太多了，等剿灭完空头，空头杀无可杀就杀多，到时也会很惨烈，多头的流动性是空头的10倍还多吧$BTC is sitting in a zone where patience matters. 👀
Around $75K–$76K, Bitcoin needs to prove whether this is consolidation or the start of deeper weakness.
$75K remains the level I’m watching closely.
A reclaim of $77.5K could improve momentum, while losing support would change the short-term structure.
Let price confirm.
#FedFirst25BpsHikeSince23 Why does $CORE surge wildly right before delisting?
Step 1: Pumping the price to trigger short squeezes, creating "hidden buy orders"
When an exchange announces delisting, many retail traders' first reaction is to short. These short positions accumulate above a certain price, forming "liquidation orders." The market maker uses a small amount of capital to push the price up, breaking through the short liquidation line, forcing all shorts to buy back at market price to cover, instantly generating millions or even tens of millions in strong buy orders.
Step 2: Within the buy orders from short liquidations, the market maker simultaneously "closes long positions" and "opens shorts"
The buy orders generated by short liquidations are the best counterparties for the market maker to sell. The market maker places sell orders at the peak to lock in profits from long positions while simultaneously establishing new short positions.
Step 3: Dumping the price to realize profits from shorts
After building short positions at the high, a flood of sell orders causes the price to plummet rapidly. Retail traders who chased the highs get liquidated, and the market maker's shorts realize huge profits during the crash.
In short: The pump before delisting is a "fake buy order" created by the market maker exploiting short liquidations, aiming to profit from both longs and shorts before liquidity completely disappears. Those who chase the surge are often the last to hold the bag Recently, Ethereum has been oscillating between $2400 and $2500, with the price stuck quite tightly.
In mid-September, because the US "Clear Act" failed to pass the Senate procedural vote, it caused a sharp drop, briefly falling below $2400, with nearly 120,000 liquidations. But it didn’t stay down for long and gradually climbed back near $2440, indicating there is buying support at the $2400 level.
There is an on-chain signal worth noting: the ETH supply on exchanges has dropped to around 6.06 million, down more than 70% from the 2020 peak. About 35% of ETH is locked in staking and cannot be moved, so the circulating supply has indeed thinned. Large holders are also active; a whale swapped over $65 million worth of wrapped Bitcoin for ETH, and Abraxas Capital bought more than $34 million. But at the same time, Binance received over 700,000 ETH in a single day, the largest daily inflow since June, showing selling pressure and buying demand are hedging each other.
Technically, the $2431 to $2435 range is near the 20-day moving average and serves as the boundary between bulls and bears. If it breaks above, there’s a chance to test $2544 or even $2626. If it falls below $2380, the next support zone is around the $2280 to $2270 moving averages.
On the news front, there is a long-term variable: the Glamsterdam upgrade is tentatively scheduled for October 6 on the Sepolia testnet, which will raise the block gas limit from 60 million to 200 million, but the mainnet timing is not yet decided.
In short, the bearish pressure hit but didn’t break through, the bullish factors exist but haven’t materialized yet, so the price is stuck in the middle.#ZEC hits a new all-time high, NU7 upgrade expectations draw attention
The leader has something to say
ZEC has hit a new all-time high again, reaching a peak of 1491. The NU7 governance vote passed with 99.9% supporting the block time reduction from 75 seconds to 25 seconds, 98.9% supporting maintaining Bitcoin-style halving, and 96.6% supporting postponing the NSM-collected ZEC issuance to 2031. Paradigm disclosed holding ZEC, and mining company Fortitude is advancing its Nasdaq listing.
Three signals combined: technical upgrade, institutional entry, and mining company IPO; the narrative remains intact. But at the 1400 price level, volatility is high, and the cost-effectiveness of chasing the price up is decreasing.
I took profits on my ZEC short positions long ago and am currently out of the market. This wave from over 800 to 1400 missed the latter half, but I didn’t lose. Don’t chase sharp rises; wait for a pullback to reassess positions. If the NU7 upgrade is implemented and the positive effects materialize, and the price stabilizes around 1200 on a pullback, then consider buying. Don’t catch a falling knife on sharp drops; wait for signals. $BTC $ETH $ZEC
The Fed’s rate hike is in place, and the dot plot shows more hikes before year-end, possibly restarting the tightening cycle. Risk assets are under pressure overall; both Bitcoin and ZEC are in high volatility zones, so manage your positions well and don’t get carried away.
The above analysis is time-sensitive; always set stop-loss orders. Good luck.The share swap between Upbit and NAVER Pay is currently stuck due to two conflicting sets of rules.
The Fair Trade Act requires a holding company to own no less than 30% of a listed subsidiary and no less than 50% of a non-listed one. However, the second phase of virtual asset legislation is discussing setting ownership limits for major shareholders of exchanges.
On one hand, you are required to hold more; on the other, you are required to hold less. NAVER Pay is not yet a holding company, but once it becomes one and places the exchange into a subsidiary, these two standards will apply simultaneously to the same equity.
So this is not about the deal being blocked, but the governance structure needs to be changed first.
I tend to believe this matter will ultimately be resolved by adjusting the share swap ratio or hierarchy, rather than a direct confrontation.
#美国加密税收与BTC储备法案获推进
#CLARITY法案下一步怎么走？ #AI发展焦虑升温，监管讨论升级 $NAVER This market is really strange.
Now it suddenly feels peaceful, like the bull market has just arrived out of nowhere!
The whole internet is now saying that the interest rate hike is as expected, and it's a positive.
So the entire crypto space is rising.
Mainstream coins are up, altcoins are also up.
Especially $ZEC, leading the way, carrying the banner alone, lifting the whole crypto market.
This cheerful market feels so strange to me.
Today it surged wildly from 1127 to a high of 1507.
The entire market is celebrating, as if the interest rate hike landing has really become a huge positive.
Short-term sentiment definitely needs to be vented, I can understand that.
But precisely because the whole market is so optimistic, I feel that this is the biggest problem.
It’s like everyone suddenly forgot about the next interest rate hike and is crazily speculating on this one being a positive because it was expected.
The next interest rate hike is at the end of October, only 30 days away from now.
30 days, not too long, not too short.
But I always feel this rally might not be as solid as it looks on the surface; the chance of it being a bluff is quite high.
The manipulators are now using the "as expected" excuse to hype sentiment to the highest point. Once they've sold off enough, who will care about when the next rate hike is?
When October approaches and rate hike expectations come back to the forefront, the market might show a different face again#美联储三年来首次加息25个基点