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NEAR Intents was hacked for about $3.8 million, closing down about 7% yesterday to around 4.92, and rebounding to about 5 today. I'm observing first and not chasing.
Here's what happened: On October 1, a vulnerability was found in the Omni deposit/withdrawal and Intents contract interaction, resulting in a loss of about $3.8 million. The team said the contract side has been patched and users will be fully compensated.
Today, the general manager announced that the hacker has been identified and given a 48-hour "responsible disclosure" window to return the funds; after that, the window will be closed.
The founder Illia emphasized that the mainnet and the NEAR token itself were not affected; the impact was mainly on USDT cross-chain deposits and withdrawals on BSC.
Simply put: this was a side-route cross-chain component failure, not a collapse of the mainnet consensus, but the narrative of fund security still took a hit.
I think short-term it's best not to chase this rebound; compensation and fund recovery are not yet finalized, and the price already optimistically factors in "possible compensation."
Whether the hacker returns the funds and when multi-chain deposits/withdrawals fully resume are the next risks.
My approach: just observe, no chasing.
If it breaks below the low around 4.74, expect further decline; or wait for a candle to firmly hold above about 5.31 before considering chasing.
Are you waiting for the 48-hour window and compensation to materialize before acting, or do you think the mainnet is fine and want to bottom-fish now?
$NEAR $BTC $ETH
#SeptemberNonFarmPayrolls announced tonight, interest rate hike expectations are the focus #USBondYields keep hitting new highs, long-term rate pressure remains unresolved$ZEC 跌一天一秒就拉回去了，大饼以太跌这玩意还在涨。而且现在空军仓位价值是多军的三倍，又要杀空军了Fixed Gas assumptions pose risks for legacy contracts facing Glamsterdam
Some smart contracts embed Gas balances, fixed subsidies, or historical prices of certain operations into their logic. After Glamsterdam adjusts the base costs for state access, creation, and transactions, the same business path may consume different amounts of Gas; if a contract assumes "there will definitely be this much Gas left at this point," failures, refund logic errors, or incomplete external calls may occur. Therefore, the official recommendation is for developers to test on Sepolia rather than just updating frontend Gas estimations. This risk does not mean Ethereum upgrades will universally break contracts; most applications may only need to adjust limits or estimations, but a few designs that treat resource prices as business constants require careful review. As a programmable settlement asset, $ETH's value comes not only from code immutability but also from the ability to expose compatibility issues in advance when fundamental rules change. Immutability does not mean never maintaining; truly reliable applications must know which protocol assumptions they depend on.
What application teams should do now is list key business paths and replay them one by one on Sepolia to compare results. Discovering after mainnet launch that withdrawals or liquidations rely on old Gas assumptions will be far more costly."5U Challenge 67000U · Day 9 Report"
Current assets: 30u
Starting principal: 5U
Cumulative profit and loss: 0
Still need to reach target 67000U: 66970
Today's operation:
Day 9, a pleasant surprise.
Participated in an event and got 19U. Together with the previous amount, the position suddenly got a bit heavier.
But problems also came — the contract is still holding the position.
The order from yesterday didn't close, still holding today. Honestly, with this 19U, the mindset became more complicated. Previously, the principal was small, so just held on, at worst it would go to zero. Now with an extra 19U, I started to feel conflicted.
Holding on, afraid of a pullback. Cutting losses, but unwilling.
In the end, still didn't act, continued to hold. 🔥🔥🔥Core trading logic in the crypto circle during the National Day holiday:
1. Domestic players are on vacation, market depth becomes shallow, and small amounts of capital can trigger violent fluctuations. The probability of flash crashes and liquidations increases, so it is recommended to proactively reduce leveraged positions.
2. Pricing power is completely handed over to US stocks, US bonds, and ETF funds. Focus on the release of overseas macroeconomic data.
3. BTC is still operating in a high-level range, with obvious selling pressure above and effective key support below. The overall trend is intact; however, if the support fails, a deep correction may be triggered.
4. Altcoins are increasingly differentiated. New coins and airdrop coins fluctuate wildly. Only participate in mature targets with clear patterns and avoid emotional, low-quality projects.
Holiday trading principle: Better to hold no position than to chase wrong trades.
Let go of the fantasy of getting rich quick; stable compound returns are the way to survive long-term. $BTC $ETH $ZEC
#9月非农今晚公布，加息预期成焦点 #Anthropic拟11月启动IPO，目标于感恩节前上市 #美伊升级风险再升，布油重回100美元
⚠️Not investment advice, profit and loss at your own risk $BTC $ETH $ZEC Today BTC experienced a strong surge, with a single bullish candle directly reactivating market sentiment. Could this be a sign of positive non-farm payroll data tonight?
Here, a reminder to everyone: a single-day surge should not be directly equated with the start of a new trend.
Part of this rally is due to short squeeze caused by stop-losses, and after leveraged funds enter the market en masse, volatility will significantly increase. After a sharp rise, a pullback and consolidation can come at any time, so chasing highs at this point carries considerable risk.
Next, focus on two key signals:
✅ First, whether the gains from today's surge can be maintained, and whether key support levels hold during any pullback without being effectively broken;
❌ Second, whether there is sustained buying momentum afterward. If the rally relies only on short-term leveraged funds, the price action is likely to be short-lived.
What do you think? Is this rebound just a short-term correction, or is it driven by the non-farm payroll data stimulus? Feel free to discuss.🔷 $BTC whales have awakened
• 8 addresses inactive for 12-15 years resumed activity
• 2184.3 BTC moved in September
• Total realized profit: ~$178M
• Largest: 1260.78 BTC ($100.63M), profit $99.64M (held for 10.2 years, cost basis $652)
• 09/22: 600 BTC ($51.9M), profit $48.71M (held for 14.2 years)
• 09/04: 6.78 BTC ($551k), profit $523k (held 15+ years, cost basis $4)
• In August: 800+ BTC moved
❓ Profit taking or just moving?👇Why short-term shorts? Simply put, for BTC and ETH, the adjustment from their highs is still missing a downward move on the one-hour level within the four-hour timeframe. ETH exchange rate is adjusting, and the rebound hasn't formed a higher high. Around 2750 is the short-term resistance. But the mid-term outlook is bullish, so just lightly position for a pullback.😄🔥 $ETH rose about 71% in Q3, setting a single-quarter record, but spot ETFs started net outflows above 2,700
⚡ Whales increased holdings by about 60,000 ETH in a week, $NIGHT rose over 80% in a week, while $LIT was hit by news dropping about 14%
⏰ Tonight at 20:30 is the non-farm payrolls release, can ETH hold above 2,800?
📍 Latest on ETH
· Price is between 2,700 and 2,720, about 45% below the all-time high of 4,954
· Q3 spot ETF net inflow was about $3.1 billion, but there was a single-day net outflow of about $60 million on Wednesday
· Key levels: support at 2,620, resistance between 2,775 and 2,800
📊 Non-farm payrolls scenario: if strong → yields rise, ETH retests 2,620; if weak → yields fall, chance to break above 2,775
[Movers] $NIGHT｜up about 22% in 24 hours, about 85% in a week｜Privacy sector capital rotation, smart contract launch progress, Cardano founder says it may surpass Zcash in the future｜Risks: large gains, quick pullback, upcoming token unlock pressure
[Movers] $LIT｜once dropped about 14%｜Robinhood launches perpetual contracts for US users, market fears increased competition｜Risks: high volatility from news, rapid liquidity changes
$ETH $ZEC $BTC This wave is a real breakout, not a fake move — on Monday, a bullish candle closed at $86,620, the highest close since January this year, directly breaking out of the $75,000–82,600 range that had suppressed it for over a month. During the eight days of the National Day holiday, the most likely rhythm is "a pullback confirmation followed by a challenge to the previous high," but there is a time bomb tonight.
First, let's look at the strong confidence. Institutional money is coming back: on October 1, the spot ETF had a single-day net inflow of $103 million, with BlackRock IBIT alone buying $196 million. Listed companies have not stopped either; Strategy added another 950 coins, pushing total holdings to 846,000 coins. Technically, after breaking through $84,000, $260 million worth of short positions were liquidated within an hour, triggering a short squeeze. Multiple institutions believe that as long as it stabilizes above $87,500, the next targets are $95,000 and even $99,000, with Citibank raising its one-year target price to $113,000. This NEAR pullback essentially washed out the uncertain chips. After news of the cross-chain bridge attack came out, NEAR dropped sharply from 5.54 to 4.70, a decline of over 14%. But looking closely, the problem was with the cross-chain protocol itself; the main chain was unaffected, and the team has promised full compensation and service restoration. Technically, 4.69–4.74 is a triple resonance of the Bollinger lower band, Murray channel, and yesterday's low, and the trend structure of more than doubling since September remains intact. The idea is simple: buy in batches on a pullback to stabilize between 4.70 and 4.99, target 5.52, then 5.87; if it breaks below 4.58, cut losses decisively and don't hold on; do not add positions before 4.37. This looks more like a shakeout rather than a trend reversal, just watch the support for reactions. $NEAROn the eve of the non-farm payrolls, the crypto circle collectively plays dead
The non-farm payrolls haven't been released yet, but the crypto circle has already laid low.
BTC is stuck at 84194, slightly up 1.36%, looking pretty strong. But once it surged to 85632, it immediately backed down. The 85000 barrier is like an ex's heart—no matter how hard you knock, it won't open. With US Treasury yields high, funds are just watching without entering, and trading volume is as cold as a group chat at dawn.
ETH is even more stubborn, barely holding at 2717, touched 2738 and then nothing more. From 2750 to 2800, it's all trapped longs standing guard. Volume? Nonexistent. Some hold short positions at 2671, floating losses as faith, just waiting for the non-farm payrolls to settle the score.
Market logic is straightforward: previous value was 162,000. If it beats expectations, BTC targets 82000, ETH 2600; if below expectations, there might be a spike, but 85000 still caps the top. Caught between a rock and a hard place, neither bulls nor bears dare to go heavy.
Strategy is simple too: no adding positions before the data, follow the trend after, don't bet on direction, wait for confirmation. On the night of the non-farm payrolls, either you become a legend or you close your position.
Just venting, don't get too hyped.
$BTC $ETH $ZEC
#9月非农今晚公布，加息预期成焦点
#BTC、ETH现货ETF同步转流出，资金热度降温
#交易之声：你的经验值得被听到 Markets are watching September jobs data closely.
Forecast:
• NFP: +90K
• Unemployment: 4.1%
Strong jobs → yields/USD could rise → more pressure on $BTC .
Weak jobs → Fed tightening expectations may cool → potentially supportive for crypto.
But the key isn’t just NFP — watch wages + unemployment too.
What would $BTC do first: breakout or fakeout?
What do you think?
#USJobsDataToday $PONS It's a pity not to have done T. Today, Bitcoin's rise is quite strong. The long-short ratio is very intense. Everyone is bullish.
Keep holding, no fear.
The resistance at $0.55-$0.58 is extremely heavy with trapped positions. $0.50 is the critical line between life and death.
Long-short ratio: big players and retail investors are frenzied.
OKX retail long-short ratio is as high as 3.2, Binance retail is 1.61. Retail investors are frantically bottom-fishing.
For big players: the number of big players' long-short ratio is 2.22, and their position long-short ratio is as high as 2.47.
$ETH $ZEC #9月非农今晚公布，加息预期成焦点 Brother Maji has once again quietly adjusted his positions, maintaining the overall total exposure at the 159 million level, without reversing to fully exit. He continues his usual strategy of slight position reductions and lowering the liquidation defense line.
BTC slightly decreased from 546 to 543 coins, still maintaining a 40x full-position long, with unrealized profit further expanding to 125,600 U. The liquidation price was pushed down to 74,610.29, further widening the account's tolerable volatility range.
ETH, the core ballast of the account, remained almost unchanged, holding 34,000 coins at 25x full-position long, with unrealized profit of 890,200 U. The forced liquidation line stands at 2,539.93, and the main position stance remains unwavering.
The sentiment speculation position HYPE was slightly reduced to 225,000 coins, with unrealized loss narrowing to 517,300 U. No stop-loss cut was chosen; the position is still held awaiting a rebound opportunity.
The closer it gets to the non-farm payroll data release, the more he refuses to drastically reverse direction, only optimizing the defensive boundary through rolling minor adjustments. This round of adjustments feels more like position reinforcement before a major battle: the bullish stance has not changed, only a slight chip reduction, continuing to move the liquidation safety buffer downward to resist the extreme spikes and sweeps that the market is prone to at the moment of data release.
Large position speculation has never been a one-shot win or lose, but a continuous retreat of the account's fatal risk points.Oil prices remaining high are changing the trading logic of gold. The latest precious metals outlook from Bank of America believes that, in the context of the Iran situation pushing up energy costs, U.S. inflation, and bond yields, crude oil has become the biggest short-term pressure source for gold at present. The bank expects the average gold price in Q4 2026 to be around $4000/oz and sees a risk of it falling to $3750 during that period, but still maintains a view of gold prices rising again in 2027. #美伊升级风险再升，布油重回100美元 #英伟达追加1500亿美元股票回购 🟣 $POL WILL RECEIVE MORE THAN DOUBLE THE STAKING REWARDS
From October 1 to December 1, the estimated gross staking yield of $POL will increase from about 3% to 7.7% annually
💰 Additional rewards are formed from 27.3 million $POL from network fees, which will be distributed to stakers
📈 Actual yield will vary among participants — some rewards are taken by validators, so the final payout depends on the specific staking$ZEC Multi-Timeframe Analysis
15 minutes (short-term)
A quick strong bullish candle pulled the price up from the 1305 low point, currently at 1393;
RSI6=76.8, already in the overbought zone, short-term bullish momentum has been released all at once, so a short-term pullback for digestion is needed;
Supertrend support at 1348, which is the first short-term support.
1 hour (swing)
MACD is turning upward from negative territory, RSI is at 73, indicating a corrective rebound after a decline, but it has not reversed into an uptrend yet;
SAR point at 1323, as long as this level is not broken, the current rebound structure remains intact;
First resistance above: 1440~1450 (24h high).
4 hours (medium-term)
MACD is still below the zero line, with the green bars shortening, indicating a rebound correction after a decline; the larger timeframe remains a downtrend;
SAR at 1421, this level is the 4-hour watershed; if the price holds above 1421, the rebound space will open; if it fails to break through, a further pullback is likely.
Daily (long-term trend)
Daily MACD shows a bearish crossover downward, red bars turning green, indicating a downtrend after peaking at a high of 1697; this rebound can only be defined as a correction within the downtrend, not a new major uptrend.
Summary
✅Short-term: There is a rebound correction, but the 15-minute chart is already overbought, so do not chase longs at the current price.
- Aggressive approach: Wait for a slight pullback near 1348, observe the strength of support before considering a long position; initial target is the 1440-1450 resistance zone.
- Conservative approach: Wait for the 4-hour candle to hold above 1421 to confirm continuation of the rebound before entering; if the rebound stalls near 1445 under resistance, it is an opportunity to short.
- Risk baseline: If the price breaks below the 1305 low again, this rebound fails and the price will continue to decline.
This is a rebound but a corrective one within a downtrend, not a reversal; resistance above is heavy, and chasing highs has a poor risk-reward ratio. DOGE is also starting to seriously develop applications 😂
DogeOS will open its public testnet on September 30. The project is developed by the MyDoge wallet team and is compatible with Ethereum development tools, aiming to bring trading, lending, stablecoins, and gaming to the DOGE ecosystem. It is still in the testing phase, and the specific applications depend on the launch progress of each team.
I think this line is worth watching. Many people recognize the name DOGE, so if a few useful products can be made, it does have some advantage in attracting users.
Of course, whether people holding DOGE waiting for its price to rise are willing to use it for lending or gaming is another matter.
What I most want to see later is: which application will make people want to use it a second time after the first use.High leverage isn’t just about being brave—it’s about what you’re leveraging.
Maji’s structure shows the difference:
₿ $BTC — 40x, deepest liquidity
Ξ $ETH — 25x, large-cap + ecosystem exposure
🔥 $HYPE — 10x, higher volatility
The lesson isn’t “use more leverage.” It’s that liquidity, volatility, and position size matter more than the leverage number itself.
For most traders, higher leverage simply leaves less room for error.
$BTC $ETH $HYPE
#USIranOilTensions
#StrategyBuys1665BTC
#OpenPositioning of the WLFI Token
Official clarification: WLFI cannot receive any profit distribution; its sole function is governance voting. Unlike some tokens, it does not share protocol profits or pay dividends.
💰 Project Revenue
Although the WLFI token does not distribute profits, the World Liberty Financial project earns real money through the USD1 stablecoin:
Interest income: USD1 reserves (such as U.S. Treasury bonds) generate interest, with expected annual revenue close to $150 million.
Revenue allocation: These revenues belong to the project company. Entities associated with the Trump family hold about 38%-40% equity and take 75% of the net proceeds from token sales.
⚠️ Key Misalignment
Moreover, Binance rewards USD1 holders monthly with 10% to 30% rewards paid in WLFI tokens.
USD1 holders can immediately liquidate the WLFI tokens they receive as rewards.
Therefore, this token does not have a promising future.
It merely makes WLFI holders pay the price.
This creates an awkward situation: you buy WLFI to vote, but the project's earnings mainly flow to shareholders (such as the Trump family), who fund USD1. Large holders of USD1 receive rewards paid in WLFI tokens.
Non-WLFI holders end up footing the bill.
So strictly speaking: WLFI tokens have no income rights, but the WLFI project does have revenue, which just keeps USD1 alive.ETH surges past 2700: $110 million in shorts "buried alive" in 10 minutes, but the real driver is a "testnet ticket"
On October 2nd, Ethereum broke through $2700, reaching a high of $2745.
If you hesitated at 2600, now you're looking at 2700. If you chased in at 2700, hold on a moment.
What’s really worth watching isn’t the candlestick chart. It’s the liquidation data: in the past 24 hours, $15.69 million in Ethereum shorts were liquidated, while longs only lost $11.03 million. And at one moment in the early morning, $110 million worth of short positions were forcibly closed within 10 minutes.
In every dollar of liquidation, shorts made up the majority.
What you see is "ETH rising again." What I see is a quadruple squeeze driven by Glamsterdam testnet expectations as the lead, 35% staking lockup causing supply contraction, whales accumulating at the bottom, and short-sellers’ liquidations fueling the move.
$ETH $BTC $ZEC #9月非农今晚公布，加息预期成焦点 #Anthropic拟11月启动IPO，目标于感恩节前上市 #美伊升级风险再升，布油重回100美元 $ACT IS +23.27% OVER 90D, YET STILL -1.09% ON 180D.
ACT/USDT trades at 0.011720, up 6.80% today, just under the 24h high of 0.011936. Longer timeframes keep me honest: strong recent gains haven't erased the 180D deficit.
Would you wait for the daily close before trusting this 6.80% push?$BTC cleared the $85K sell wall and tagged $85,266, but thin holiday liquidity makes the breakout harder to trust.
Key levels 👇
🔹 $85.2K–$85.65K: breakout zone
🔹 $84K–$84.2K: near-term support
🔹 $83.3K: next buffer
🔹 $82.5K: major structure level
With Treasury yields elevated and NFP ahead, confirmation matters more than the first pump.
$ETH $ZEC #BTC
#USIranOilTensions
#OKXNOW：SeeWhat'sNext
#TokenizedStocksOnAave Tonight's Nonfarm Payrolls: Don't guess the data, trade the price reaction after the data is released. Focus on four key points: ① Nonfarm significantly below expectations → cooling employment → rising rate cut expectations → BTC tends to be bullish; significantly above expectations → cooling rate cut expectations → BTC tends to be bearish. ② Rising unemployment rate → dovish decline → hawkish bias. ③ Wages: This is a very critical item tonight. Weak employment + weak wages → BTC tends to be strong; strong employment + strong wages → BTC under pressure; conflicting employment and wage data → likely to cause sharp volatility. ④ US Treasury yields: Key to watch after Nonfarm release: Nonfarm → US Treasury yields → USD → BTC. My trading logic: Before data release: do not chase trades. After data release: wait for the first spike to end, then determine direction. Bullish data ≠ immediately go long; bearish data ≠ immediately go short. The real confirmation signal is: break resistance and retest without breaking → consider long; break support and fail to rebound → consider short; price sweeps up and down without forming structure → no trade. In short: Nonfarm determines volatility, interest rates determine direction, BTC structure determines entry.
#9月非农今晚公布，加息预期成焦点 #Anthropic拟11月启动IPO，目标于感恩节前上市 $BTC $ETH $ZEC Upbit is going to list POD, with the KRW, BTC, and USDT markets opening simultaneously.
When I first saw this news, my initial reaction wasn’t to check what POD is, but rather a bit of frustration.
Opportunities like this basically have nothing to do with us.
When a Korean exchange launches a new listing, especially Upbit, local funds rush in, and the price soars within the first few minutes of trading. By the time we react here, it’s often already at a high level.
The most common mistake newcomers make is rushing in to chase at this moment.
Seeing the words “listed on a major exchange” makes them think it’s good news, and they buy impulsively.
And the result? The ones left holding the bag are usually these people.
To put it plainly, a major exchange listing is a victory for the project team, not for retail investors.
The ones who really profit are those who positioned themselves in advance, not those who act only after seeing the announcement.
This time, I’m taking a wait-and-see approach, not chasing.
Just want to ask, who in the circle hasn’t suffered losses from "seeing the news and it’s already too late"?
#BTC、ETH现货ETF同步转流出，资金热度降温
#Strategy再购BTC，多家财库同步增持 #OKXNOW：未来已至，重磅内容正在揭晓 $BTC Today’s US jobs release matters less as a single risk-on/risk-off trigger than as a test of whether softer hiring is arriving without a material labor-market break. Consensus points to 84,000 new jobs and 4.1% unemployment; claims at 197,000 keep that interpretation conditional. With core PCE at 3.0% YoY, the Fed still has room to wait.
#USJobsDataToday $FIL IPFS is responsible for content addressing, while Filecoin provides persistent storage guarantees. Together, they complement each other to address the shortcomings of Web3 data storage. In the past, developers who wanted to preserve IPFS data long-term had to rely on centralized pinning service providers, which carried risks such as platform shutdowns, price hikes, and single points of failure. Now, existing pinned data can be directly migrated to Filecoin, retaining the original CID, while obtaining on-chain proof and reducing storage costs. The official migration portal is open, allowing developers to complete CID migration operations directly here.
More and more projects will use this in the future.$SOON As expected, the market is counterintuitive. I still couldn't resist shorting in. After the surge, profit-taking has started. Retail short sellers have already begun. Let's see how it goes today. I'll hold for now without moving.
The $0.45-$0.48 range above has become a strong short-term resistance.
Long-short ratio: Retail shorts
OKX retail long-short ratio is still only 0.68 (extremely bearish or sidelined), Binance retail ratio is 1.13 (balanced).
For whales: whale count long-short ratio is 1.05, whale position long-short ratio is 1.05.
$ETH $BTC #9月非农今晚公布，加息预期成焦点 BTC has finally started to gain momentum, rising nearly 3% in one day
Looking at charts across several timeframes, the 1-hour and 4-hour MACD both show golden crosses, with the red bars still expanding, clearly indicating a short-term upward trend. On the daily chart, the fast and slow lines are almost converging, the green bars have shrunk to nearly invisible, and it feels like a golden cross could happen at any moment. If the daily chart confirms a golden cross, this rally might be more than just a rebound; it could signal a reversal.
The current price is 86565, very close to the previous high of 87374. Above that, 86888 is today's highest point, and beyond that is the resistance at 87374. On the downside, support levels to watch are 86000 first, then 85000, and further down around 84000.
I haven't looked closely at the contract data, but with this rally, shorts have probably been liquidated heavily. Chasing highs now carries significant risk since it's just a step away from the previous high. If it fails to break through, the pullback could be swift.
I won't chase now. Either wait for a volume breakout above 87374 and a stable hold before considering entry; or wait for a pullback near 86000 or 85000 to see if there's buying support.
#BTC加速拉升，资金还能继续接力吗？ #9月非农今晚公布，加息预期成焦点 $BTC
This is my personal view and does not constitute investment adviceTransaction malleability was one of the earliest and ugliest technical debts in cryptocurrency. The speed at which DOGE repaid this debt shows it does not procrastinate on technical liabilities.
In February 2014, when Mt.Gox shut down, the hole was attributed to transaction malleability: attackers rewrote signature encodings and replaced transaction IDs, causing the exchange's ledger to think payments failed and thus resend payments repeatedly. This vulnerability hung over all chains sharing the same source code, including DOGE.
Its response chain was very short. In April 2014, version 1.7 replaced the base with Bitcoin 0.9, and the malleability fix was integrated into the client. In November 2015, version 1.10 introduced v3 blocks, pushing BIP66 strict DER signatures to the consensus layer, closing the encoding loophole. Bitcoin completed the same step in July 2015; DOGE was a few months later, but the teams differed by orders of magnitude, so for a volunteer project, this was not a delay.
Fixing malleability has no narrative value and does not attract new users. To judge engineering quality, the speed of addressing old issues is more reliable than the volume of stories told. $DOGE’s report card: it recognizes debt quickly and repays it without delay. Happy National Day! Reviewing mid-term and short-term trading ideas. BTC current price is 86500, ETH 2733. To start with the conclusion, this month is biased towards bullish. Both BTC and ETH should reach new highs. Personally, I lean towards BTC pushing near 100,000 and ETH around 3000. Returning to the short term, after more than a week of consolidation, BTC's short-term support is at 822, corresponding to ETH above 2560. These two levels are good points in the previous consolidation zone. Currently, they have not been broken. So if it pulls back near 83, you can go long with a target near 90,000. For ETH, above 2600. But at present, I think more consolidation is needed; the structure is incomplete. Just now, I lightly shorted ETH at 2740, with a target of 100 dollars. OverVitalik's privacy roadmap centers on "using cryptographic tools to protect user data."
SAFE Network 4.0's auditable privacy mechanism—transactions are encrypted by default to protect user privacy and can only be decrypted after approval by two-thirds of 49 supernodes—provides a practical solution balancing privacy and compliance.
Vitalik says "privacy needs protection," SAFE Network says "privacy needs protection, but malicious transfers must be traceable." Both share the same philosophy but emphasize different implementation paths.
Ethereum took 15 years to evolve from a "ledger" to a "cryptographic world computer." SAFE Network took 12 years to evolve from "private payments" to "auditable privacy."
Different directions, but both address the same question: On-chain, do you have the right to decide who can see your data?
#安网公链SAFE4BTC is back in motion.
Price: $86,513
24h: +2.72%
The key level right now is $87,232.
BTC is testing this daily resistance, and a clean breakout could open the path toward:
$88,960
$92,418
Short-term support is sitting around $85,024, while losing that level could bring the $83K area back into focus.
Another thing worth watching: $121M in short liquidations hit in the last hour, showing how aggressive the move has been.
Market sentiment is at 72, meaning greed is already present. $BTC
New monthly candle started and we are pumping at the start of the month,
Possible we hunt out early shorts till the current highs (87.4k),
Then dump down to flush the over leveraged longs before starting the next leg up,
We also created mFVG below, which is one of the main confluence that I am taking for the dump.
Overall, I am still biased towards the shorts until price tests 75k one last time,
Whi longs for the next leg up to 95-100k.
#USJobsDataToday $BTC just surged to a high of 86914, now slightly pulling back, hovering around 86500.
Looking at the technicals, the 1-hour moving averages are currently beautifully diverging upwards.
However, note one detail: the current price has already pulled away quite a bit from the MA30 (around 84411). The short-term feels a bit like "running too fast," just like a person running, when you sprint too hard you need to catch your breath.
The most encouraging news is from Glassnode, which said the sell wall at 85,000 has been completely absorbed by buy orders, indicating the resistance above has been forcefully eaten away.
Look at the latest candlestick, it left a fairly long upper shadow, indicating that when it surged above 86900, some started to take profits, creating selling pressure.
Take another look at the volume at the bottom; the breakout indeed came with increased volume. If the volume can't keep up next, there's a high chance it will consolidate sideways at a high level or slightly pull back, waiting for the short-term moving averages below (like the MA10 around 85235) to catch up.
The current market situation is: bulls are very strong, but the short-term is a bit overheated. Keep a close eye on the strength of the pullback and volume changes, don't get carried away chasing highs, and view this sharp rise rationally.Market Express｜Direct breakout upward, the market completely breaks through the upper resistance $BTC
Current price 86439, a big bullish candle on the 4-hour chart exploded directly, breaking through the heavy resistance at 85200 from before, reaching a high of 86888.
After repeatedly emphasizing the key support at 82500 held, the bullish logic is fully realized. External negative factors like US Treasury yields and crude oil disturbances have completely failed, with supporting funds exerting strength, directly breaking the consolidation box upward.
The 4-hour Bollinger Bands have fully opened upward, all moving averages are in bullish alignment, volume is simultaneously expanding, and the liquidity above is being continuously cleared.
Short-term nearby resistance is in the 86800-87400 previous high range, where there will be a wave of selling pressure, making a spike high and pullback very likely.
The previous resistance at 85200 has now turned into the first level of support; strong support remains at 82500. As long as it does not fall back below this level, the major bullish trend will not change.
⚠️ Note, after a sharp rally, do not blindly chase the high. There may be a short-term pullback and shakeout; do not let the surge in sentiment cloud your judgment.
Long positions have already captured significant profits and can be partially taken off the table in batches, retaining a base position to play the previous high; continue holding spot positions and wait for the market to unfold.
DYOR, manage your position risk. $BTC $ETH
⚠️ Market review, not investment advice #9月非农今晚公布，加息预期成焦点 #BTC、ETH现货ETF同步转流出，资金热度降温 Judging whether a public blockchain has vitality, the number of full nodes is more convincing than the price. DOGE's full node scale is far smaller than BTC's, but it ranks first among similar coins like SHIB, PEPE, and WIF, and is increasing month by month — this detail deserves a closer look.
Full nodes mean someone is willing to dedicate a machine to store the complete ledger and continuously verify every transaction. This is not like buying coins, which can be done with a tap on the screen; running a node consumes bandwidth, hard drive space, and electricity, with no direct profit. Choosing to run a node is like voting with real money, acknowledging that the chain is worth maintaining. DOGE was born as a joke, its code hasn't changed much for years, and logically it should have been forgotten long ago. But the node data tells another story: a group of people continuously invest resources to keep this network running normally.
The situation is different for similar coins. Most of them are issued on other people's chains and do not have their own node networks. When hype comes, transaction volume spikes; when hype fades, only contract addresses remain on the chain. $DOGE has its own chain, its own miners, and its own nodes — this is the structural difference between it and later entrants.
The monthly growth of nodes is a slow variable. Slow variables don't create headlines but determine how long a chain can survive. Price is left to the market, the ledger is left to the nodes — and since the latter is still growing, it means this story is not over.#9月非农今晚公布，加息预期成焦点
Tonight's nonfarm payrolls impact on gold mainly lies in the employment data determining rate hike expectations, which in turn influence the dollar and U.S. Treasury yields, ultimately affecting Bitcoin.
Strong nonfarm data indicates resilience in the U.S. economy, reinforcing market expectations for continued Fed rate hikes, strengthening the dollar and pushing U.S. Treasury yields higher. As a result, gold, being a non-yielding asset, faces higher opportunity costs and price pressure.
Conversely, weak nonfarm data cools rate hike expectations, leading to a decline in the dollar and U.S. Treasury yields, giving gold upward momentum.
#Anthropic拟11月启动IPO，目标于感恩节前上市 #美伊升级风险再升，布油重回100美元 $BTC $ETH $ZEC $LTC's strong momentum continues, but crowding risk is also rising
$LTC 24h +3.40%, current price 69.85. The 1-hour and 4-hour RSI are 80 and 69 respectively. The strength is real, and so is the crowding. The question is not whether it can continue, but who is willing to catch it on the first pullback.
Volume does not support the price movement: the current 1-hour trading volume is only 0.45 times the average volume of the previous 20 bars. Low volume can move prices quickly, but sustainability must be proven by the next phase of the market. A single touch or a long candlestick is not enough to draw conclusions.
Putting emotions aside, the structure provides very specific information. The 1-hour EMA20 is at 68.3995, currently strong; the 4-hour EMA20 is at 68.1896, also currently strong. The short-term cycle reveals changes, the long-term cycle limits imagination. When both align, beware of crowding; when they conflict, beware of oscillations. You cannot just pick the side that suits you.
What is most scarce now is not directional slogans, but the willingness to wait for validation. The closer to the key level, the more the price should be allowed to do its work before deciding if the original judgment holds. Let the key level give the result first, then discussing direction will be more honest. Do you think this is normal overheating in a strong trend, or has the risk already run ahead of the space? The market is volatile; the above is only market observation and does not constitute investment advice. This is Crypto Bull speaking.$ZEC is showing some signs of a waterfall drop!!! It broke 1300!!! The rebound has again climbed back above 1400
24-hour decline of -6.55%, after a rapid sell-off downward, it consolidated sideways all morning, then quickly surged, steadily aiming to explode high leverage for trend-following short sellers.
- RSI6=13.38, already deep in the oversold zone, short-term technical rebound repair is needed
- MACD: DIF continues running below DEA, green bars continue to expand, bearish momentum is still releasing
- KDJ all dropped to low levels, there is an oversold rebound, but the major downtrend has not yet reversed
Key levels
Resistance: 1460; the first rebound target is 1400, only if it climbs back above 1400 will the short-term downtrend ease
Support: 1300, if 1300 is effectively broken, the next phase of decline will begin
BTC and ETH are still oscillating at high levels, Bitcoin is grinding back and forth between 82000-85000, today it broke through 86000, Ethereum is tugging between 2600-2800. No sign of a breakout yet, let's wait for tomorrow's nonfarm payroll data.
The above represents personal opinions only and does not constitute investment advice #非农前数据分化，9月加息预期升温 #BTC现货ETF连续流出 #美债收益率频创新高，长期利率压力未缓解 $ETH $ZEC $ETH current price is 2732.58, I am the boss.
At the 15-minute level, it surged to 2747.59 then quickly pulled back, forming a long upper shadow. The selling pressure above has truly emerged, with long and short positions at 56 to 44, and the divergence is clearly increasing.
Short-term resistance is around 2747-2750, which is the recent high. To continue breaking upward, volume must increase and hold above this range. The first key support below is 2713, which is the supertrend line position.
Holding 2713 means the market can maintain strong consolidation and continue to test previous highs; if volume breaks down below, a short-term pullback will start to test the 2687 platform buy zone.
This rise is completely driven by BTC, with independent buying strength not very strong. With macro data approaching, the market may experience rapid back-and-forth sweeps anytime, so high leverage must be handled with extra caution. After the long upper shadow appears, do not blindly chase the rally; better to wait for a pullback to confirm support than to catch the selling pressure at high levels. The market rhythm is switching very fast now, with surges and drops happening within minutes.
#ETH surge and pullback showing selling pressure
#Market linkage warns of rapid shakeouts
$BTC $ETH
Market observation only, not investment adviceOrder Book Strength Ranking
5-minute median slippage, estimated by order book, excluding fees
$SCR bidirectional large order cost cannot be fully estimated: slippage for buy and sell orders equivalent to 10,000 USDT is 0.79%/0.78%. For the last order book at the 100,000 scale, at least one side is underfilled, and the bidirectional large order cost within the window lacks a complete calculation.
$MEGA large order slippage has significantly increased: slippage for buy orders equivalent to 10,000 and 100,000 USDT is 0.11% and 0.70%. The cost difference mainly comes from order size, with no obvious asymmetry between buy and sell sides.
$CT large order slippage has significantly increased: slippage for buy orders equivalent to 10,000 and 100,000 USDT is 0.09% and 0.40%. The cost difference mainly comes from order size, with no obvious asymmetry between buy and sell sides. 🚨 A breakout isn’t confirmed just because price touches the line. The real test comes after the breakout.
$BTC is currently moving around $82K–$85K. Reaching $85K is only the first step — what matters is whether the 4H candle can close and hold above it, followed by a pullback that stays above the previous range. Ideally, we also want to see volume picking up during the breakout.
#DailyOrbit • Natural mismatch between financial services and county-level needs: Traditional financial institutions' risk control and product systems are designed for standardized entities in large cities. When facing dispersed small and micro business entities and farmers in counties, there is generally information asymmetry, high single transaction costs, and difficulty in risk management, which easily leads to the awkward situation of "having money but unable to lend it out."
• Easy to fall into "detaching from the real economy and turning virtual": Without support from local real industries, relying solely on financial policy easing, funds are likely to flow into real estate, private lending, and other fields, which instead drives up local operating costs and further squeezes the survival space of the real economy.
A more suitable breakthrough path for counties
It is entirely possible to break away from the mindset of "rigidly adopting international logic and simply piling up financial resources" and follow an endogenous development path of "rooted in local culture, supported by characteristic industries, and precise financial irrigation":
2. Transform historical culture into core IP assets: Instead of large-scale demolition and standardized reconstruction, deeply explore unique local historical and cultural resources, such as the red culture of Li Dazhao in Laoting and the folk culture of eastern Hebei, turning these irreplaceable cultural resources into distinctive cultural tourism IPs, creating differentiated local cultural experience scenarios rather than copying international community commercial templates.
3. Rely on local advantageous industries to solidify the financial foundation: For counties rich in energy resources, fully follow the transformation paths of Shenmu in Shaanxi and Xiaoyi in Shanxi, extending from existing mining and industrial bases to fine chemicals and downstream new energy industry chains, forming stable cash flow and industrial clusters. This is the most solid underlying support for financial revitalization. 🚨 Nonfarm Payrolls Tonight! What exactly is everyone panicking about? The logic has completely changed
Tonight at 20:30 Beijing time, the September Nonfarm Payrolls report will be released, and many people are already holding their breath.
On the surface, it’s just a jobs report, but the current market logic is completely different from before.
The market currently expects an increase of 85,000 to 90,000 jobs, with the unemployment rate holding around 4.1%.
But the real pitfalls go far beyond the headline number.
💣 First big pitfall: The overlooked revision of previous data
Don’t just focus on whether the newly released number looks good or not.
The Fed has been caught off guard several times recently: initial data looks decent, but when updated next month, historical data is sharply revised downward.
Even if this month’s new jobs fall within expectations, if last month’s employment data is heavily revised down, the market will still interpret it as weakening employment, causing violent market swings. Revisions are an invisible landmine many overlook.
💣 Second big pitfall: The era of “bad news = good news” is temporarily over
The old script was simple: weak jobs → expectations of rate cuts → risk assets rally.
Now that script may no longer work.
If new jobs fall below 50,000 or even turn negative, capital may not cheer for rate cuts.
The market will directly trade on a recession narrative, and panic selling will come first, with risk assets like $BTC and US stocks facing severe shakeouts.
💣 Third big pitfall: Wage growth is more deadly than job additions
Even if new job numbers are mediocre, if hourly wages and hours worked grow faster than expected, the shadow of inflation won’t dissipate.
This will reinforce the Fed’s judgment to keep rates high for longer, causing US Treasury yields to rise again and continuing to suppress risk asset valuations.
✅ So what does the market really want?
A moderate increase of 80,000 to 120,000 jobs.
Employment cools slowly but doesn’t collapse, wages weaken simultaneously, and the soft landing story continues to hold. In this scenario, BTC and US stocks are more likely to see favorable conditions.
Both extremes—either very strong or very weak employment—will cause severe short-term volatility.
👉 A practical tip for ordinary traders:
In the few minutes after the data release, spikes, wicks, and false breakouts are normal.
Don’t rush to open positions immediately; prioritize watching the market, wait for the first round of emotional volatility to settle, and see the true pricing direction before making your next move.
Tonight, patience is more important than courage.
#9月非农今晚公布，加息预期成焦点 Damn… $ETH is climbing again. 😭 Shorted at 2,714.89 with 3 $ETH at 100x leverage. Now trading around 2,739, with the position showing roughly -90% / -73U. Only about 40 bucks away from liquidation. 💀 I literally said yesterday that survival comes first, yet today I couldn’t resist trying to catch the top again. Watching $ETH grind higher little by little is seriously stressful. My heart is racing, but I’m still hesitating to close the position, thinking it might start moving sideways afterwLooking at these two lush green position charts, and then thinking about how the A-shares market is on holiday while the overseas markets are partying every day, I’m so angry I want to smash the exchange through the internet cable!
This ZEC trade, 50x full position long, opened at 1394, now dropped to 1376, floating loss of 16.62U, negative 65.49%. Liquidation price 1252, maintenance margin ratio 642%. I buy long and it falls, as if the market maker is right behind my screen, just waiting for me to get on board and then smash the price!
The ZHIPU trade is even worse, 10x full position long, opened at 92.42, now down to 78.29, floating loss of 64.85U, negative 152.88%. Liquidation price 53.53, maintenance margin ratio also 642%. This junk has been steadily falling all along, I don’t even know what was wrong with me to come back and catch the falling knife, purely remembering the wins and forgetting the losses!
What’s the most infuriating? The A-shares holiday! Market closed from October 1st, while overseas good news keeps popping out one after another—Micron’s explosive earnings, cooling PCE data, Bitcoin surging to 85,000, ZEC being pumped by institutional money to squeeze shorts. And what about me? My A-shares account is locked tight, not a penny can move; my crypto account is open, but every trade I open loses, and when it loses I just stubbornly hold on. Overseas markets are booming, and I’m clearly losing here.
The market on holiday is A-shares, the one getting hit is me. All the good news ferments during the holiday, and when the market reopens after the holiday, they’ve already risen, leaving me with a big bearish candle that opens high and closes low. Meanwhile, I’m stubbornly holding two long positions, my margin is getting lower day by day, the liquidation price is just below, waiting for the exchange to press the liquidation button for me.
I really give up, the market on holiday is A-shares, the one going bankrupt is me. Others rest during the holiday, I’m lying in the ICU waiting for the liquidation message. Fine, destroy it, give me back my money, I want to go back to the countryside! #9月非农今晚公布，加息预期成焦点 #Anthropic拟11月启动IPO，目标于感恩节前上市 #美伊升级风险再升，布油重回100美元 $BTC $ETH $ZEC In 2020, when I first reached a million, I went to buy an expensive house. Buying a house is not wrong. After all, when you reach middle age, you still need a fixed place to live, but you shouldn't buy an expensive house. How can a house be treated as an investment? It simply can't outperform the US stock market index and Bitcoin. Because I bought an expensive house, I lost more than 2.4 million, and I am still paying for this wrong decision, taking responsibility.
In 2021, I showed off in front of friends, and as a result, I lent money that has not been repaid yet. When you have money, you should be low-key, never flaunt wealth, and of course, never lend money. I thought I was helping him, but he treated me like a sucker. Those 40,000 yuan showed me his character and selfish genes.
Also, when you have some money, you can't lose control and invest recklessly. You really shouldn't invest in things you don't understand. I blindly invested in things I didn't understand and ended up losing 100,000 yuan. Later, I was scammed out of 150,000 yuan by two obvious high-return scams, and another 50,000 yuan by a private equity project recommended by a big influencer. These are bloody lessons; it's not easy for ordinary people to save money, and it's too easy to be exploited.
From now on, I will no longer buy houses, won't buy cars for the time being, and even if I do, I won't buy expensive cars. If I need a car, I'll just take a taxi. Whether rich or poor, don't flaunt wealth, and don't lend money to anyone. If the relationship is very good, just give a little without expecting it back. Also, don't get involved in others' karma; respect others' destinies.It's not retail investors chasing the rally—someone bought about 654,000 UNI through Flowdesk over a month.
According to ChainCatcher/BlockBeats/Lookonchain on 10/2: a whale starting with 0xf7AD bought approximately 654,288 UNI at an average price of about $7.17 via Flowdesk in the past month, worth about $4.69 million; unrealized gains monitored are about $1.15 million. Compared to the institutional ETH-to-UNI swap of about 3.125 million UNI on 10/1, this is a different entity's monthly continuous purchase via Flowdesk. Unrealized gains ≠ realized profits, monitored addresses ≠ confirmed entities. At the time of writing, OKX UNI is about $9.23. Not investment advice.