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Don't put your position on the "next 100x coin."
That thing exists, but chances are you won't be the one holding it.
Use $BTC as your base position, $ETH as your infrastructure exposure, use $SOL to capture the incremental growth of high-performance chains, and use $UNI, $PUMP and similar cash-flow-anchored assets for defense—not flashy, but you can sleep well.
Making money in a bull market relies on luck; not losing money in a bear market relies on structure.
Those who have fully experienced two cycles of bull and bear markets and haven't been knocked out of the game will naturally see their market in the third cycle.
So there's no need to rush, take it slow.BTC current price is 86094, short-term moving averages 5, 10, and 20 are converging then diverging upwards, MACD golden cross continues, RSI is moderately rising near 55, the market is temporarily on the bullish side. However, the ISM Manufacturing Price Index rising strengthens expectations that the Fed is not in a hurry to cut rates, so the upper resistance won't be easily broken. CoinGlass liquidation chart shows a large accumulation of 10x to 50x leveraged positions around 84160, this level is the dividing line between bulls and bears; once broken, it will accelerate liquidations below 82000. Above 85500, there is dense stop-loss for high-leverage short positions, a breakout with volume could easily trigger a short squeeze chain reaction. Currently, 86094 is just one step above 85500, chasing longs here has poor cost-effectiveness, I will not blindly add positions at this level.
Just finished a trade at the old residential area on the sixth floor, catching my breath and glanced at my phone, the price is still hovering around 86000.
Operationally, wait for a pullback before moving. Entry range is 85200 to 85600, stop-loss set below 84600; breaking below means losing the 84160 liquidation support. Take profit first target at 87500, second target at 88800. If it directly breaks and holds above 86500 with volume, light position follow-up is possible, with stop-loss moved up to 85500 accordingly.
$BTC
#比特币ETF连续9日流入，ETH转流出
@OKX星球 #BTCInflow #ETHOutflow
ETF funds have not left the crypto market but have become more selective 👀
BTC ETF has seen net inflows for 9 consecutive days, totaling about $3.08B. Meanwhile, ETH shifted to net outflows after 7 consecutive days of inflows.
Notably: BTC inflows are slowing down, but funds have not significantly returned to ETH.
If this gap continues, ETF fund flows may indicate the market currently favors BTC more than the risk assets of the entire crypto market.$BTC just surged, then the hourly volume instantly shrank
I guess everyone is holding their chips
Waiting for tonight's data release ETH Estimated Liquidation Map:
Approximately $2,556.78 below, approximately $2,762.41 above
Data: Based on price and open interest changes over the last 199 completed hours from 2 public $ETH ETH perpetual markets,
The model estimates the current main long liquidation pressure zone at $2,556.78 (about 6.75% below the current price),
The main short liquidation pressure zone is at $2,762.41 (about 0.75% above the current price),
The short liquidation pressure zone above is closer to the current price.
The top three identified lower pressure price levels by the model are $2,556.78, $2,323.72, and $2,481.37; the top three upper pressure price levels are $2,762.41, $2,981.76, and $2,817.25.
If the price moves toward the corresponding zones, potential forced liquidation pressure may increase, but these pressure zones are not predictions of support or resistance levels.
This is a leverage pressure distribution inferred from multi-market public prices and 0I anomalies,
Not actual account liquidation prices, pending liquidation amounts, order book volumes, or a full market account map,
Nor does it imply that the price will necessarily reach or trigger liquidations.
#BTC、ETH现货ETF同步转流出，资金热度降温
#9月非农今晚公布，加息预期成焦点 Term Structure Radar
$BTC shows coexistence of premiums and discounts across different maturities: near/medium/far marked basis are +0.38%/-1.64%/+2.6%. The basis conditions for buying spot and selling contracts change with the expiration point, with discounted maturities corresponding to negative price spreads under the marked standard.
$ETH shows coexistence of premiums and discounts across different maturities: near/medium/far marked basis are +0.25%/-2.45%/+2.17%. The basis conditions for buying spot and selling contracts change with the expiration point, with discounted maturities corresponding to negative price spreads under the marked standard.A few days ago, BTC was stuck around 83,000–84,000, but today it suddenly surged above 86,000. However, ETH only followed up to around 2730, and SOL actually bounced back to 123. The market finally moved, but the capital hasn't spread evenly. The real question has shifted from "will it rise" to "who can hold the breakout."
#BTC sudden acceleration
#Mainstream coins start reshuffling
$BTC is currently around 86,600, with 85,500–86,000 becoming the first support zone. If it holds, the next target is 87,000–87,500; only after a real volume-backed hold above 87,500 will there be a chance to push toward 89,000 or even 90,000. The fast rise today means you should be even more cautious about chasing the last leg.
$ETH is currently around 2732, with 2700–2710 becoming the first support again. The first resistance to watch is 2750; only after a solid hold above that should you look toward 2780–2800. If ETH can't keep up, it indicates capital is still more biased toward BTC rather than broad risk dispersion.
$SOL is currently around 121–123, with 120 reestablished as the first defense. The immediate resistance is 123–124; if it holds, then look toward 125–128.
This lineup: BTC holds 86,000, ETH waits for 2750, SOL waits for 124. The real strength isn't who gained the most today, but who can maintain today's breakout level tomorrow.After the $BTC spot ETF outflow the previous day, it saw a re-inflow of $102.7M yesterday, indicating that institutional buying remains strong at high levels. The recent surge looks more like a strong inflow into IBIT, offsetting redemptions from other products. Funds are still present, but there is already a clear internal divergence. Ajian suggests making the sustainability of IBIT's buying a key observation indicator The direction of $ENA is not ambiguous; the real challenge is whether the current position is still worth continuing to bet on the direction.
Both the 1-hour and 4-hour charts are weak, with the current trading volume at 0.90 times the average volume of the previous 20 bars, and activity close to normal. Consistent direction does not mean unlimited space; the closer to the key level, the more important the subsequent support is.
Current price is 0.2483, about 3.71% away from the 1-hour support at 0.2391, and about 12.08% away from resistance at 0.2783. Here, there is no shortage of directional guesses, but what is lacking is the sustainability after the price truly breaks through the boundary.
My observation line is very clear: only by standing back above and holding 0.2783 can the short-term initiative be regained; if it breaks below 0.2391, then attention should shift to the 4-hour support at 0.2391. If pressure continues above, the 4-hour resistance at 0.2811 is temporarily just a distant reference, not a preset target.
Between a consistent structure and limited space, which would you prioritize?
The market is volatile; the above is only a market observation and does not constitute investment advice. This is from Crypto Bull.I am Brother Ci. Tonight is the Nonfarm Payrolls, and I am publicly setting up a long gold position!
Technical analysis: 4000 to 4042 is a strong support zone
Gold has been hammered down from the 50-day moving average at 4327, with short-term moving averages pressing from above, and RSI dropping near 40. Looking downward, around $4000 is widely recognized as strong market support. Some analysts have clearly pointed out that gold has held an important daily trendline during the sharp drop, and a phased bottom has likely formed near 4000. Placing an order at 4042, right above this support zone, with a good stop loss and a favorable risk-reward ratio.
Nonfarm projection: If data misses expectations, it will be a rebound window for gold
The specific nonfarm details were clearly explained in the previous article
Trading strategy
Place a long order at 4042, stop loss below 3980. If 3980 is effectively broken, it means support has failed, exit unconditionally. The first target is 4130 to 4150, with a breakout target of 4200. Position size controlled between 10% to 15%, leverage no more than 3x. Nonfarm data is a short-term variable; keep a light position before data release, and decide whether to add based on direction after the data lands.
4042 is not the current price but the position to wait for. The advantage of a pending order is no chasing; the downside is it might not be triggered. If the price rebounds before reaching 4042, this order is void, do not force entry by looking for another position. #9月非农今晚公布，加息预期成焦点 $BTC $XAUT $XAU $ZRO Teachers, ZRO continues its strong upward trend.
There are a total of 294 whale accounts, with a nominal long-short ratio of 194.33%, favoring the bulls. The average entry price for bullish whales is 1.465, with the vast majority of positions having accumulated considerable unrealized profits; the average entry price for bearish whales is 1.661, with almost all in a loss position.
After a sustained rally, the bulls have substantial paper profits. Continuous sharp rises do not mean it will only keep going up; be cautious of rapid pullbacks caused by large holders taking phased profits, and avoid chasing high in one-sided market bets.
Offensive position: 2.040, Defensive position: 1.730
⚠️ Teachers must control their positions carefully, be cautious NVIDIA’s fundamentals remain strong, with Data Center driving record revenue growth.
But institutional risk is shifting from demand to valuation.
For NVDAUSDT, $228 is the key support. $240.9 is the major resistance.
A clean break above $240.9 with stronger volume would confirm renewed momentum. Losing $228 would weaken the short-term structure.
Strong fundamentals don’t remove valuation risk.
Watch price, volume and capital flows.
#BTCETHETFOutflows
$NVDA Currently held altcoins are as follows
ENA
AVAX
and also WLD and HBAR
Among them, I have the least confidence in ENA.
The reason for the lack of confidence is that after 12 o'clock yesterday, it entered the list of biggest decliners and the rebound was weak. More importantly, ENA's adjustment time is insufficient, and the 4H level is still in a bottom-finding process of oscillating decline.
Therefore: after the macro settles, even if everything moves upward uniformly, I will prefer to increase positions and attack with structurally clear targets like WLD and AVAX.$ETH has printed nearly 10 days of small doji candles, alternating between bulls and bears, while volume continues to fade. High-level sideways action + shrinking volume can signal that momentum is weakening. Yesterday’s heavy selling also showed that sellers are becoming more active, while BTC’s rebound looked relatively weak. My view: the next 5 days could be important. If buyers fail to bring back volume and capital, a sharper downside move could develop. $BTC $ETH $ZEC Are we seeing accumETF funds are flowing out, yet the crypto world saw a sharp rise today—a divergence worth watching.
Data shows that the US spot BTC ETF ended its previous 9-day net inflow, with a single-day outflow of about $149 million; ETH spot ETFs also saw outflows of about $59.6 million. (theblock.co)
On the surface, institutional funds seem to be cooling down.
But from another perspective, this does not necessarily mean the market is over.
Because BTC ETFs had cumulatively inflowed about $3.1 billion over the previous nine days, single-day outflows were more like temporary capital adjustments rather than trend reversal confirmations. (theblock.co)
The core driving force behind today's crypto rally mainly comes from improved macro expectations:
PCE cools → rate hike expectations decline → risk appetite rebounds→ capital returns to high-beta assets.
So now an interesting combination has emerged in the market:
ETF short-term outflows, but BTC prices strengthened.
This indicates that short-term capital drivers may be shifting from ETFs to spot markets, derivatives, and risk-preference trading.
Next, let's focus on two signals:
First, whether ETF outflows continue to expand;
Second, can BTC's rise be accompanied by new capital inflows?
If the ETF only adjusts briefly and BTC holds key positions, it indicates that institutional demand remains healthy;
If there are consecutive days of outflows and the price starts to break below support, it is necessary to reassess the capital trend.
My view: single-day ETF outflows are not the issue; sustainability is key.
Today's rise indicates the market is in motionEthereum rose 70.9% in Q3, this time not just following Bitcoin.
At the end of Q3, Ethereum delivered a strong performance: a quarterly increase of about 70.9%, rising from around $1570 at the beginning of July to about $2680 by the end of the quarter, marking its strongest quarterly performance since Q1 2021.
During the same period, Bitcoin rose about 44%, with Ethereum clearly outperforming.
The capital flow also supported this, as the US spot Ethereum ETF returned to significant net inflows in Q3, totaling about $3.1 billion, with multiple single-day inflows exceeding $100 million in late September.
In this rally, ETF capital inflows, warming institutional demand, and Ethereum's own usage in stablecoins, DeFi, and on-chain finance all contributed simultaneously.
Citibank also raised its 12-month target price for ETH this week, citing renewed ETF inflows and increased crypto market activity.
However, challenges have increased in Q4, with the US 10-year Treasury yield rising to around 5%, making capital costs noticeably higher.
ETH has risen 70% in three months; whether it can continue to strengthen depends on whether ETF inflows can be sustained and if there is new buying interest above $2700. $10,000 gone. And honestly, the money hurts less than what I learned about myself.
I stared at my account balance for a long time today. Didn’t know what to say.
I started trading contracts back in June. At first, I was just exploring, slowly learning how to go long and short. I started small—$1,000 at a time—and kept doing C2C, thinking I could eventually figure it out.
Every time I got liquidated, I reviewed the trade, told myself I had learned my lesson, and started again.
#DailyOrbit $BTC The emotional journey of retail investors at different price points
58000 — Still going to drop, aiming for 35000, then buy back hard
60000 — Just a rebound, will drop back soon
62000 — No trading volume anymore, just holding on
65000 — Fake move, stop pretending, drop quickly
71000 — Retail investors are off the ride, whales just creating FOMO
76000 — It will drop back sooner or later, no panic
80000 — Run fast, last chance to escape
90000 — Something feels off
100000 — Could it really be a bull market?
120000 — Eternal bull market, get on board or I’m out
130000 — See, I told you I’m a trading genius, only chase breakouts
1100000 — Run, still feels off
100000 — Bear returns, run
150000 — Huh, where’s my principal?Just woke up, where's my position?
Since that's the case, I can only wait for 【87,300 right side short】.
Shorted three times on 9.29, 9.30, and 10.3, broke even once, almost lost all the profits I made from over 76k.
【Is 82,800 really a very strong support?】
The longs at 83,000 wash me out and then start going up, is that interesting?
I hate you, manipulative whales. Just wait, 【October has only just begun】.
PS: On Friday, I should have gone long on low-level altcoins, altcoins are strong over the weekend.Brothers, today Ethereum still hasn't broken out of the 2700 consolidation range.
It can't fall further, nor can it rise, really slacking off during the National Day holiday, dragging on slowly, making people almost lose their patience.
But based on my past observations of Ethereum's market, the 15-day, 30-day, and 60-day marks often see more obvious trend changes.
So right now, I'm paying close attention to around the last day of the National Day holiday.
Currently, my approach is still quite clear: mainly consolidation, you can do high sell and low buy, but I only short at highs.
Take a look at my Ethereum short position:
ETHUSDT perpetual, 100x short, entry price 2688, latest trade price 2712.81, currently floating loss -89.96%.
Honestly, this position is a bit tough. If Ethereum doesn't fall, my short position just keeps holding.
But for now, I won't change my strategy and will keep waiting.
Of course, if something sudden happens and the market clearly turns strong, I will adjust anytime, even switch to long directly.
On the last day of National Day, will Ethereum choose to break through or continue slacking off?
Brothers, what do you think $ETH will do this time?
#9月非农今晚公布，加息预期成焦点 #Anthropic拟11月启动IPO，目标于感恩节前上市 #BTC、ETH现货ETF同步转流出，资金热度降温 I took a nap in the car and found that my short position on ETH at 2408 was down 40 points. I really want to cut my losses and add to the position, but recently all my profits have come from this move. I'm afraid it will rally again this time. With a 50u position, I'm not afraid of another rally and can cut losses anytime. If I add now, it would be dithering, so I didn't short ETH but went to short altcoins instead. The result was surprisingly good—I made money shorting altcoins, and ETH is about to break even soon.$ZEC rallies up, then chips immediately appear below and it drops again, back-and-forth shakeout before the non-farm payrollsMarketing genius TRUMP official is playing the old trick of exchanging holding rankings for a dinner again
As long as you hold TRUMP coins and rank within the top 185, you can dine with 3 superstars + Trump and other luxury guests
Essentially, it's forcing big holders to increase their positions to boost rankings
This was done once in April 2025, with a 71% surge that day
Then it steadily declined, crashing 88%
Now it's different, no one is buying
Using Trump's marketing neither brings token burn nor empowerment
Nor will there be any real crypto policy implementation
The core value is just a social gimmick for a dinner
If there really is capital rushing to be in the top 185, it can be confirmed that it's all short-term funds chasing the ticket, with no intention of long-term holding
The closer the ranking deadline on November 22, the weaker the buying pressure; that period is the best time to short at the top after the quota news is locked inMaji’s reported $161M portfolio is still centered on the majors.
₿ $BTC: 546 coins, 40x long
Ξ $ETH: 34K coins, 25x long
🔥 $HYPE: only a small side position
The strategy appears simple: majors carry the core exposure, while smaller coins stay on the sidelines.
But 40x and 25x are extreme leverage. A whale’s setup shouldn’t become a retail template.
$BTC $ETH
#USJobsDataToday
#AnthropicEyesNovIPO
#USIranOilTensions $BTC Small timeframes repeatedly show false breakouts; switch to analyzing the larger timeframe. Getting addicted to flipping trades on 15-minute and 1-hour charts, chasing rallies and panic selling, is essentially self-destructive.
The trading sequence must be correct:
First understand the overall trend on the large timeframe, then look at the direction of the long and medium-term moving averages, and stick to trading with the trend.
Just like the current market, as long as the key support is not effectively broken, the market favors bulls. Only taking long positions is much simpler and more reliable than constantly switching between longs and shorts. Don’t try to catch both sides and make every possible profit; in the end, you’ll get hit from both directions.
Adding macro validation: U.S. Treasury yields continue to rise, the external environment is unfriendly, but BTC doesn’t fall as expected, showing strong resilience. There’s an old market saying: "Not weak when supposed to be weak means strength." When the market is strong, respect the bullish judgment.
Don’t prematurely and subjectively predict a market top. If the key levels aren’t broken, don’t easily reject the existing logic. When support is finally lost, then cut losses and exit; it’s never too late to revise your view.
Pay less attention to noise on small timeframes, obey the large timeframe, hold with the trend, and reduce ineffective frequent trading.
DYOR, manage your risk well. #9月非农今晚公布，加息预期成焦点 #BTC、ETH现货ETF同步转流出，资金热度降温
⚠️This is only a sharing of trading ideas and does not constitute investment adviceUnderrated Identity: The Key Bridge Between BTC and Traditional Capital
When people talk about BTCFi, most only discuss LST and staking; yet few notice that CORE is quietly connecting the full chain from retail investors to miners to custodial institutions to the European compliant market.
- Europe Has Already Secured Entry
The yield-bearing BTC-ETP issued by Valour and listed on the Frankfurt Exchange uses CORE for its underlying staking solution; this means traditional asset managers don’t have to build technology from scratch and can directly access the Bitcoin yield market through compliant products. This is not just verbal cooperation—it’s a live, listed trading entry with real funds flowing in and out.
- Miners Are No Longer Just Selling Coins to Survive
After Bitcoin’s halving, miners face increased income pressure; CORE’s Satoshi-Plus consensus offers miners a second path: mining power can participate in network security and earn additional rewards, turning mining power into a long-term reusable asset rather than immediately selling what’s mined. Many established Bitcoin mining pools worldwide have been continuously building node ecosystems.
- Non-Custodial Is the Real Breakthrough
Many BTC yield solutions require handing coins over to third-party custody; CORE uses CLTV time-lock technology, so Bitcoin remains in the user’s own wallet address, only locked for a period to participate in consensus. For the Bitcoin-native community that highly values self-custody, this is a trust advantage that’s hard to replace. $MUBARAK Teachers, the MUBARAK meme coin continues to gain momentum.
There are a total of 238 whale accounts, with a nominal long-short ratio as high as 955.49%, with longs holding an absolute advantage. The average entry price for long whales is 0.0397, and the vast majority have already realized substantial floating profits; the average entry price for short whales is 0.0556, with most currently at a loss.
The price has been rising steadily, and the profits on the books for large long holders are already considerable. The meme market sentiment dominates; once concentrated profit-taking occurs, the pullback will come quickly. Do not be misled by the continuous rise and blindly chase the highs.
Offensive position: 0.0735, Defensive position: 0.0582Making a breakout, the risk-reward ratio is really high, but there is only one premise: stop loss must be set. The moment the breakout fails, your position is at the peak. Volume and price are key to judging true or false breakouts; a breakout with increased volume has a higher continuation probability, while a breakout with decreased volume often leads to consolidation. As for how far it can rise, a simple and straightforward anchor point: for large-cap coins that hold above integer levels, if volume, price, and popularity keep up, usually first look at 25% above the integer level, and if popularity continues, increase to 50%; for integer levels like 1, 10, 100 add 25%, and for key points like 200, 300, 400, 500 add 50%. Small-cap coins fluctuate more wildly and can be calculated directly as 50% above the integer level. There are no secrets with altcoins, just watch the volume and let the market play out on its own. $BTC$QUANT $CT $NEAR
QUANT has fallen steadily from the high of 313.9, sharply dropping before stabilizing with fluctuations at a low level.
From the 15-minute candlestick chart, there were consecutive large bearish candles earlier, hitting a low of 241.7. Currently, the price has climbed back above the 5/10/20 moving averages, MACD is turning upward, and KDJ has entered a high zone, signaling a short-term stop in the decline and a recovery.
Resistance above is gradually moving higher; to reverse, a volume breakout through multiple layers of resistance is needed.
A. Stabilize at the low level and continue to rebound and recover
B. Encounter resistance on the rebound, then retest the low point again
#9月非农今晚公布，加息预期成焦点 #Anthropic拟11月启动IPO，目标于感恩节前上市 #美伊升级风险再升，布油重回100美元 $RIVER continue holding without selling, the overall trend remains bearish. Don't try to catch the bottom.
The strong resistance above is $1.25-$1.30, and the short-term critical support is at $1.20; breaking below that targets $1.10 or even $1.00.
Long-short ratio: retail investors are frenzied, whales are restrained.
OKX retail long-short ratio is as high as 3.87, Binance retail is 2.88. Retail investors are crazily bottom-fishing.
For whales: the number of whales long-short ratio is 3.50, but the whale position long-short ratio is only 1.7748.
$BTC $ETH #9月非农今晚公布，加息预期成焦点 $SOL is around $123.10, up 3.96%, with $121.9M displayed volume. I’m watching $121–122 as the first retest zone after this push. If buyers defend it and reclaim $124 with stronger volume, I’d consider continuation. Entry: $121.50–123.50. SL: $118.80. TP1: $125, TP2: $128, TP3: $132, TP4: $138. R:R can reach roughly 1:5+. If $118.80 breaks and price accepts below it, I’m out. The momentum is useful, but I don’t want to chase nearly 4% higher. I need the pullback to confirm demand first.$USELESS Teachers, USELESS this meme coin is experiencing a strong rebound.
Looking at the whale data, there are a total of 268 whale accounts, with a nominal long-short ratio of 283.72%, clearly favoring the bulls. The average opening position of long whales is 0.2104, already accumulating considerable unrealized profits; the average opening position of short whales is 0.2308, currently in a slight loss.
After a significant drop from the previous high, it has entered a corrective rebound, but meme coin sentiment reverses quickly, and large long holders may take profits, so a rebound does not mean the trend immediately returns to a one-sided rise.
Offensive position: 0.2680, Defensive position: 0.2330Still optimistic about this round of the altcoin season in the bull market
In the past cycle, while BTC rose, Others/BTC continued to weaken, so altcoins struggled to truly take off.
Now the structure is starting to change, Others/BTC has broken through long-term resistance and formed a rare higher high on the weekly chart since 2022. If this trend continues, altcoins' performance relative to BTC may significantly improve.
The focus of funds in this bull market is also very clear: DeFi infrastructure.
If more USD liquidity, assets, and financial services gradually move on-chain in the future, infrastructure projects like $UNI, $AAVE, and $LINK will directly benefit from this trend.
Of course, this does not mean abandoning BTC and ETH. They remain my core holdings.
It's just that if Others/BTC truly completes a trend reversal, altcoins may usher in their own trend rally next.Challenge from $450 to $10,000 Day 8
Current balance 705, withdrawal 1200, total assets 1900, profit 1450
Last night before sleep, I closed a long position on $BTC at 83300, then opened a long on $ZEC at 1389, successfully missing the $BTC 3000-point surge, meanwhile $ZEC also successfully took a $180 loss
Woke up angry, almost gave up on myself, almost ended this challenge
Luckily, I quietly added to my $ZEC long position at a low point, eventually recovering the loss and making about $30 profit. Position size went from about 660 before sleep to 705
Review
1. Choice is more important than effort. In a bull market, you still need more BTC; the 82500 bottom is tougher than my life
2. Don't touch altcoins, they don't make sense
3. Stop-loss levels must be set carefully, otherwise like me, setting stop-loss and sleeping will get hit. If you don't re-buy at the bottom, this wave means price unchanged but position disappeared
4. Mindset is very important, still taking full losses and running on profits. This way you can't make money, need to change
Today's operation plan
Tonight is Nonfarm Payrolls, wait for data to land before chasing in. BTC is currently at a high level, expecting a pullback after breaking previous highs, planning to short between 88000–89000, target profit $300 【On-Chain Trading Update｜BTC】
Monitored address 0xaa53 opened a short position:
▪ Execution price: 86,308 USD
▪ Transaction amount this time: 172,616 USD
▪ Leverage: 20x
Note: This address has earned over 714,000 USD in the past 30 days, with a return rate of +45.32% Anthropic wants the market to price the AI buildout.
The Claude maker is reportedly aiming for a November IPO, with a pre-IPO investor day planned for October 14 and formal marketing possible as early as the week of November 9. The timeline can still move.
Investors are reportedly discussing a $1.8T to $2T valuation, making Anthropic one of the biggest tests yet for the AI trade.
But the real story is not just valuation. It is the cost of staying at the frontier.
· Anthropic reportedly generated nearly $4.6B in 2025 revenue, around 12x the prior year
· Operating loss widened to about $8.1B
· Reported net loss was about $42B, largely reflecting accounting charges tied to prior financing
· Compute and infrastructure spending reportedly reached about $7.33B in 2025
· Future cloud, compute and infrastructure commitments reportedly total at least $518B over the next decade
· Around 80% of those obligations are reportedly non-cancelable or payable regardless of usage
· Broadcom may provide up to $42B in compute-infrastructure financing
· About 47% of 2025 sales reportedly flowed through Amazon and Google cloud channels, which are also investors, partners, suppliers and competitors
This IPO matters beyond Silicon Valley.
AI revenue is scaling fast, but so are the bills for chips, power, data centers and cloud capacity. Public investors must decide whether frontier AI should be valued like software, infrastructure, or a capital cycle.
For crypto markets, the link is indirect but relevant. AI has become a major driver of risk appetite, chip demand and data-center investment. If investors begin questioning losses and compute commitments, high-beta assets could face broader volatility.
As the IPO narrative builds, will the market focus on AI’s growth potential, or the cost of the compute buildout?
#AnthropicEyesNovIPO Is $BTC being targeted by the big players? Currently at an unrealized loss of 100U, shorted at 85500 and then surged up, hitting resistance near 86500, fluctuating within a high-level range. Market sentiment is in the greed zone, with trading volume contracting. There is significant sell pressure with many sell orders above. Key focus is on the upcoming non-farm payroll data tonight, which could trigger a sharp spike.
Key price levels
- Strong resistance: 86500‑87000. Only a volume-backed close above this will open the way to test the strong resistance zone at 89000‑90000 🕌 $SUI Smart Money longs are dominating
Longs hold $53.73M vs $33.91M in shorts.
📈 Longs are sitting on +$7.61M, with an impressive 85.8% profitable, while shorts are down -$5.80M with only 10.4% profitable.
⚔️ Fresh flow is almost balanced: $615K selling vs $557K buying in the last 30 minutes.
Longs are clearly winning, but fresh selling is starting to push back. After the move higher, profit-taking is the main risk.$NMR faces heavy resistance in the $12-$13 range with trapped positions; contract large-cycle funds are fully withdrawing. Short-term bias is bearish, currently holding for now.
Strong resistance lies at $12.00-$12.50 above, and $11.00 is the short-term critical support line; breaking below that points to $10.50.
Long-short ratio: retail investors are bullish, large holders are cautious.
OKX retail long-short ratio is 1.54, Binance retail is 0.74.
Large holder count long-short ratio is 1.05, large holder position long-short ratio is 1.37. Large holders are slightly bullish.
Fundamentals (long-term advantages and critical weaknesses):
AI-driven: NMR is one of the few tokens whose value is directly linked to AI model performance. Data scientists stake NMR to submit predictions; good performance earns NMR, poor performance results in token burn.
Institutional backing: In November 2025, secured $30 million in Series C funding at a $500 million valuation, with investments from university endowments, Paul Tudor Jones, and others. JPMorgan committed $500 million capacity.
Buyback and burn: Accumulated $3.2 million NMR buybacks within one year; manages $700 million in assets.
Core weakness: Total supply is only 11 million tokens, with about 7 million circulating, liquidity is relatively limited, causing high volatility.
$BTC $ETH #9月非农今晚公布，加息预期成焦点 #Anthropic拟11月启动IPO，目标于感恩节前上市 A fairly perfect practical case of a grassroots coin, pocketing 6000u
SAPLING is a grassroots coin I've always favored and recommended, and today it surged 50 times.
But as shown in the comparison below, when it was at 0.00013 before, the tax rate was 0.25%. After the surge today, the tax rate was raised to 2%. First, the project team has a tax adjustment backdoor; second, the use of this tax is unclear and very likely ends up in the project team's pocket. Only 0.5% of the coin issued by its platform's trading volume is used for burning.
Therefore, I decisively cleared my position, leaving only 100,000 coins, planning to return them later. The total investment was 700, sold for 6800, with a real profit pocketed of 6000u.
Personally, I feel this operation was quite perfect.
$UNI has been analyzed, and I remain bullish.
#9月非农今晚公布，加息预期成焦点 NEAR Intents was hacked for about $3.8 million, closing down about 7% yesterday to around 4.92, and rebounding to about 5 today. I'm observing first and not chasing.
Here's what happened: On October 1, a vulnerability was found in the Omni deposit/withdrawal and Intents contract interaction, resulting in a loss of about $3.8 million. The team said the contract side has been patched and users will be fully compensated.
Today, the general manager announced that the hacker has been identified and given a 48-hour "responsible disclosure" window to return the funds; after that, the window will be closed.
The founder Illia emphasized that the mainnet and the NEAR token itself were not affected; the impact was mainly on USDT cross-chain deposits and withdrawals on BSC.
Simply put: this was a side-route cross-chain component failure, not a collapse of the mainnet consensus, but the narrative of fund security still took a hit.
I think short-term it's best not to chase this rebound; compensation and fund recovery are not yet finalized, and the price already optimistically factors in "possible compensation."
Whether the hacker returns the funds and when multi-chain deposits/withdrawals fully resume are the next risks.
My approach: just observe, no chasing.
If it breaks below the low around 4.74, expect further decline; or wait for a candle to firmly hold above about 5.31 before considering chasing.
Are you waiting for the 48-hour window and compensation to materialize before acting, or do you think the mainnet is fine and want to bottom-fish now?
$NEAR $BTC $ETH
#SeptemberNonFarmPayrolls announced tonight, interest rate hike expectations are the focus #USBondYields keep hitting new highs, long-term rate pressure remains unresolved$ZEC 跌一天一秒就拉回去了，大饼以太跌这玩意还在涨。而且现在空军仓位价值是多军的三倍，又要杀空军了Fixed Gas assumptions pose risks for legacy contracts facing Glamsterdam
Some smart contracts embed Gas balances, fixed subsidies, or historical prices of certain operations into their logic. After Glamsterdam adjusts the base costs for state access, creation, and transactions, the same business path may consume different amounts of Gas; if a contract assumes "there will definitely be this much Gas left at this point," failures, refund logic errors, or incomplete external calls may occur. Therefore, the official recommendation is for developers to test on Sepolia rather than just updating frontend Gas estimations. This risk does not mean Ethereum upgrades will universally break contracts; most applications may only need to adjust limits or estimations, but a few designs that treat resource prices as business constants require careful review. As a programmable settlement asset, $ETH's value comes not only from code immutability but also from the ability to expose compatibility issues in advance when fundamental rules change. Immutability does not mean never maintaining; truly reliable applications must know which protocol assumptions they depend on.
What application teams should do now is list key business paths and replay them one by one on Sepolia to compare results. Discovering after mainnet launch that withdrawals or liquidations rely on old Gas assumptions will be far more costly."5U Challenge 67000U · Day 9 Report"
Current assets: 30u
Starting principal: 5U
Cumulative profit and loss: 0
Still need to reach target 67000U: 66970
Today's operation:
Day 9, a pleasant surprise.
Participated in an event and got 19U. Together with the previous amount, the position suddenly got a bit heavier.
But problems also came — the contract is still holding the position.
The order from yesterday didn't close, still holding today. Honestly, with this 19U, the mindset became more complicated. Previously, the principal was small, so just held on, at worst it would go to zero. Now with an extra 19U, I started to feel conflicted.
Holding on, afraid of a pullback. Cutting losses, but unwilling.
In the end, still didn't act, continued to hold. 🔥🔥🔥Core trading logic in the crypto circle during the National Day holiday:
1. Domestic players are on vacation, market depth becomes shallow, and small amounts of capital can trigger violent fluctuations. The probability of flash crashes and liquidations increases, so it is recommended to proactively reduce leveraged positions.
2. Pricing power is completely handed over to US stocks, US bonds, and ETF funds. Focus on the release of overseas macroeconomic data.
3. BTC is still operating in a high-level range, with obvious selling pressure above and effective key support below. The overall trend is intact; however, if the support fails, a deep correction may be triggered.
4. Altcoins are increasingly differentiated. New coins and airdrop coins fluctuate wildly. Only participate in mature targets with clear patterns and avoid emotional, low-quality projects.
Holiday trading principle: Better to hold no position than to chase wrong trades.
Let go of the fantasy of getting rich quick; stable compound returns are the way to survive long-term. $BTC $ETH $ZEC
#9月非农今晚公布，加息预期成焦点 #Anthropic拟11月启动IPO，目标于感恩节前上市 #美伊升级风险再升，布油重回100美元
⚠️Not investment advice, profit and loss at your own risk $BTC $ETH $ZEC Today BTC experienced a strong surge, with a single bullish candle directly reactivating market sentiment. Could this be a sign of positive non-farm payroll data tonight?
Here, a reminder to everyone: a single-day surge should not be directly equated with the start of a new trend.
Part of this rally is due to short squeeze caused by stop-losses, and after leveraged funds enter the market en masse, volatility will significantly increase. After a sharp rise, a pullback and consolidation can come at any time, so chasing highs at this point carries considerable risk.
Next, focus on two key signals:
✅ First, whether the gains from today's surge can be maintained, and whether key support levels hold during any pullback without being effectively broken;
❌ Second, whether there is sustained buying momentum afterward. If the rally relies only on short-term leveraged funds, the price action is likely to be short-lived.
What do you think? Is this rebound just a short-term correction, or is it driven by the non-farm payroll data stimulus? Feel free to discuss.🔷 $BTC whales have awakened
• 8 addresses inactive for 12-15 years resumed activity
• 2184.3 BTC moved in September
• Total realized profit: ~$178M
• Largest: 1260.78 BTC ($100.63M), profit $99.64M (held for 10.2 years, cost basis $652)
• 09/22: 600 BTC ($51.9M), profit $48.71M (held for 14.2 years)
• 09/04: 6.78 BTC ($551k), profit $523k (held 15+ years, cost basis $4)
• In August: 800+ BTC moved
❓ Profit taking or just moving?👇Why short-term shorts? Simply put, for BTC and ETH, the adjustment from their highs is still missing a downward move on the one-hour level within the four-hour timeframe. ETH exchange rate is adjusting, and the rebound hasn't formed a higher high. Around 2750 is the short-term resistance. But the mid-term outlook is bullish, so just lightly position for a pullback.😄🔥 $ETH rose about 71% in Q3, setting a single-quarter record, but spot ETFs started net outflows above 2,700
⚡ Whales increased holdings by about 60,000 ETH in a week, $NIGHT rose over 80% in a week, while $LIT was hit by news dropping about 14%
⏰ Tonight at 20:30 is the non-farm payrolls release, can ETH hold above 2,800?
📍 Latest on ETH
· Price is between 2,700 and 2,720, about 45% below the all-time high of 4,954
· Q3 spot ETF net inflow was about $3.1 billion, but there was a single-day net outflow of about $60 million on Wednesday
· Key levels: support at 2,620, resistance between 2,775 and 2,800
📊 Non-farm payrolls scenario: if strong → yields rise, ETH retests 2,620; if weak → yields fall, chance to break above 2,775
[Movers] $NIGHT｜up about 22% in 24 hours, about 85% in a week｜Privacy sector capital rotation, smart contract launch progress, Cardano founder says it may surpass Zcash in the future｜Risks: large gains, quick pullback, upcoming token unlock pressure
[Movers] $LIT｜once dropped about 14%｜Robinhood launches perpetual contracts for US users, market fears increased competition｜Risks: high volatility from news, rapid liquidity changes
$ETH $ZEC $BTC This wave is a real breakout, not a fake move — on Monday, a bullish candle closed at $86,620, the highest close since January this year, directly breaking out of the $75,000–82,600 range that had suppressed it for over a month. During the eight days of the National Day holiday, the most likely rhythm is "a pullback confirmation followed by a challenge to the previous high," but there is a time bomb tonight.
First, let's look at the strong confidence. Institutional money is coming back: on October 1, the spot ETF had a single-day net inflow of $103 million, with BlackRock IBIT alone buying $196 million. Listed companies have not stopped either; Strategy added another 950 coins, pushing total holdings to 846,000 coins. Technically, after breaking through $84,000, $260 million worth of short positions were liquidated within an hour, triggering a short squeeze. Multiple institutions believe that as long as it stabilizes above $87,500, the next targets are $95,000 and even $99,000, with Citibank raising its one-year target price to $113,000.