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$ETH has taken off! This wave's direction is right on target, aiming straight for 3000. What price do you see?
$BTC also surged to new highs, but only ZEC buried me 💩
Live trading record 📝
ETH: 20x full position long, opened at 2690, marked at 2753, floating profit 47%. 15-minute moving averages diverging, MACD red bars expanding, bullish momentum is building.
ZEC: also 20x full position long, opened at 1430, current price 1378, floating loss 72%. Short it and it rises, long it and it falls, completely opposite moves.
Tonight's non-farm payrolls and rate hike expectations are the focus. ETF funds are flowing out, US Treasury yields remain high, macro pressure hasn't eased. ETH is strong short-term but watch out for data reversals. ZEC is a typical weak altcoin, all funds are moving to mainstream, no one supports privacy coins, rebound is difficult.
Market is fragmented; picking the right coin is more important than predicting the overall market. Altcoins have far more uncertainty than mainstream ones.
#10月加息预期回落，今晚PCE成关键
#BTC、ETH现货ETF同步转流出，资金热度降温
#美债收益率频创新高，长期利率压力未缓解 On October 1st, while others were stuck in traffic watching the crowds, I was repeatedly rubbed down by the dog whales in ZEC, playing a 30x leverage roller coaster!
At 22:01, ZEC opened long at 1393.8 with 30x leverage, unexpectedly dropping all the way to 1363.26, a -67.52% move, single trade loss of 3199U, 49 minutes left me completely stunned.
At 22:50, I tearfully closed the position, waiting for a rebound near 1382, then decisively reversed to 30x short.
ZEC once dropped to 1330 then pulled back, taking profit at 1368.5 in the early morning and exiting, but unexpectedly after closing it continued to drop towards 1300.
After all these operations, the final daily profit was +2800U.
Now it’s back to sideways around 1380...
This wave really is: can’t play anymore, can’t play anymore! Today’s bullish candle looks more like a combination of softer rate-hike expectations + short covering rather than a fully confirmed trend reversal. BTC has reclaimed the $85K area and is now trading around $85.8K–$86.3K, with roughly a 2%–3% daily gain. The macro backdrop is also helping: 🏦 Fed officials have indicated that there is still room to wait for more economic data before making another rate move. 📉 The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield has eased from around 5.3% toward 5.2%, taking some pI think the WLD coin is no longer reliable for investment..! From a realistic perspective, it always follows the speculative value of AI..! When placing a Buy order, it drops, falling 10% to 14%, then recovers only 4% to 7% before dropping again; switching to a Sell order is the opposite, dropping 4% to 6%..! When it rises, it goes up 12% to 18%..! The timeline stretches over more than a week, making it suffocating..! I think WLD has no main mechanism to stabilize the market..!🚨 NONFARM JUST DROPPED — AND THE NUMBER IS UGLY.
Expected: 90K
Actual: 29K 😳
And it gets worse.
The previous reading was revised from 162K → 133K, while July was revised from +21K → -10K. That’s roughly 60K of downward revisions across two months.
Unemployment also came in at 4.2%, above the 4.1% expected.
This isn’t the kind of labor-market report the Fed wanted to see.
#DailyOrbit Is this non-farm data really accurate? August exceeded expectations, September was far below expectations. The market really gets whatever information it needs. #美国9月非农仅增2.9万，失业率升至4.2%
I placed a stop loss on an #eth long at 2655 to see if it can hold!🚨 NON-FARM IS OUT — AND I’M SHORTING BTC! 📉🔥
Great news, great news! 😮💨
September Non-Farm Payrolls came in below expectations, rate-hike expectations are cooling, and rate-cut hopes are picking up.
Sounds bullish, right?
But I still want to short. 👀
BTC has been climbing since the morning session, with ETF net inflows reportedly topping $1B. But after the data dropped, BTC still couldn’t cleanly break the previous high.
#DailyOrbit The whales were moving the price like a yo-yo, and I was sitting there trying to guess every move. 🕙 21:48 – 22:35 | The first disaster ZEC was hovering around $1,425, and I thought the support was holding. So I jumped into a leveraged long. Bad decision. Within roughly 45 minutes, ZEC slipped toward $1,390, and my position took a serious hit. One impulsive entry and suddenly several thousand dollars of unrealized loss was staring back at me. 💀 That was the moment I realized I wasn't reading t$WLD surged 17% today, returning to $0.57.
When emphasizing WLD repeatedly around $0.43 earlier, the core logic was that this level was already low enough, and World’s real product expansion was just beginning.
Recently, World Money has officially launched in over 150 countries, integrating stablecoin payments, trading, earnings, and World ID all into one app.
Now the price has risen from $0.43 to $0.57, increasing by more than 30% in a short time.
More importantly, $0.57 has once again hit the Day 43 Starting capital: 7U Ultimate target: 100M Current account: 4,250U Protected capital: 2,750U Available balance: 1,500U+ The holiday has made the market noticeably quieter. A lot of major players appear to be less active, liquidity feels thinner, and some of the bigger moves may only become clearer once normal market activity returns. Here’s what I’m watching: 1. $BTC Bitcoin finally pushed out of the recent triangle structure. The breakout looks interesting, but I’m still watching whetherThe September employment report came in noticeably weaker than the market was expecting: 🇺🇸 Payroll growth: +31K vs roughly +95K forecast 📉 Unemployment: 4.3% vs 4.1% previously 🔻 Previous payrolls: prior months were revised lower by around 55K combined 🏦 Fed expectations: Markets pulled back further on the possibility of another October rate hike 📈 BTC: pushed through the $86K area and briefly tested around $88K after the release The market reaction is pretty straightforward: Weak jobs → Bitcoin surged wildly from 83,200 to 87,239, almost touching 88,000, then suddenly took a heavy hit, dropping back near 85,150. This rollercoaster ride left contract traders dizzy.📉 A breaking news popped up below: Absa became the first bank on the African continent to offer digital asset custody services. This is a solid institutional-level positive, but why did the market fall instead? Simply put, the short-term price has long been hijacked by leverage. The recent rally was all short-squeeze;[Old Chive Observation] #Seize the GameFi sector rotation opportunity
If this wave of GameFi is not over yet, $MAGIC is actually worth keeping an eye on. The reason is not because it rose today, but because the upcoming timeline is quite dense:
On October 6, Treasure officially enters the Arbitrum sidechain, followed by the continuous launches of Genesis Mine, Legions, Marketplace, and the first game play Beta from October 6 to 9.
MAGIC has now risen to around $0.059, up nearly 20% in 7 days. More cautious investors can wait for a pullback.
Entry: $0.055–$0.059
Take profit: $0.063 / $0.068 / $0.074 / $0.082 / $0.092
Stop loss: $0.052
If this round of GameFi continues to rotate, MAGIC belongs to the category that has already been discovered by capital but whose core events have not yet fully materialized. $ETH stop pretending, Ethereum, is it fun to keep luring bulls?
Hurry up and crash, it's been oscillating all the time, can't even get above 2730 this time, the highs keep going down
The strange thing is the lows are also rising, staying around 2680, now it's compressing the oscillation range, at this time a big move is very likely
If at this time it breaks below 2650, then there will be a show, most likely directly back to 2500, tastes great$BTC and $ETH are facing the same problem: ETF money is leaving.
But their charts are telling slightly
different stories.
$BTC already pushed through the old $85K wall and tested $87K.
$ETH is still fighting the $2,750–$2,800 zone.
If ETF outflows continue:
BTC may absorb it better.
ETH may need fresh institutional demand to catch up.
Which would you rather hold right now:
BTC or ETH — and why?
#BTCETHETFOutflows Today I was chatting with friends in the group on the planet
Suddenly, from his 40℃ mouth came a very classic phrase
At first, he said the upcoming market is most likely bullish, which is normally fine
I started my usual howling
After all, in this past year plus
My first liquidation
It's really been a long time since I got liquidated
So $ZEC is definitely my primary target to complain and curse every day
After hearing this, he surprisingly exclaimed that the imperial treasury is so abundant, able to hold from 500 to 1600?
I was about to say something
He said that with such experience, even if the trader gives him a chance, he won't leave, and every high point he thinks is actually the start of a new beginning. I really empathize.
It reminded me of my $BTC before, holding from 60000 to 67000 thinking it was a low point, but it made me hold all the way to 120000. Honestly, who didn't think 67000 and 73000 were highs?
It's just that $ETH is a bit hard to evaluate; surprisingly, it didn't go straight to 5000 back then, but dropped from 4000, so I rushed in
It ran away
Looking at my forgetful self
It's really getting harder to evaluate
I'm Kuang Kuang
That's all for today as I feel inspired
I feel the distance to $ZEC's breakeven point
Is really getting farther and farther
Regarding this #美国9月非农仅增2.9万，失业率升至4.2% I am overall still bullish
Hope my position is still there
Let me continue to share how I reach the finish line
@你的爱播Misa @小确幸(Bch是世界上最有价值的币) @bilibili交易姬 @毓鑫YuXin A way to easily earn 12 points a day is essentially a fee subsidy
Recently, trading tasks to accumulate points have become popular: completing a daily trading volume of 1000 USDT can earn 12 points — 4 points for 1K spot trading, 6 points for 1K tokenized stock trading, and an additional 2 points if the daily trading volume reaches 10 USDT. These three tiers are cumulative, not mutually exclusive, and the minimum tier only requires 10 USDT.
Points have multiple uses: financial experience funds, fee rebate coupons, and merchandise are all on the list.
My view: these points are essentially fee subsidies. Short-term traders who frequently enter and exit benefit most from the rebates, while those who hold long-term gain little. The real focus should be on the activity period and the points cap — marketing points usually have an expiration date, so accumulating them without use is essentially pointless. $NVDABSeptember payroll growth came in at just 29K, versus expectations near 90K, while the unemployment rate moved up from 4.1% to 4.2%. At first glance, that looks bullish for risk assets because weaker employment can reduce pressure for further Fed tightening. But there’s an important catch. Treasury yields are still elevated, the dollar hasn’t collapsed, and inflation is still part of the Fed’s equation. So weak jobs data alone doesn’t automatically mean an immediate rate cut. The market reaction Conclusion first: The 4H candle for $MEGA last night was a textbook example of "volume surge with a sharp rise followed by a quick pullback" — it surged from 0.041 to 0.056 in 16 hours, then dropped back to 0.0478, a -14.6% pullback from the high.
Data: On 10-02 at 08:00, that 4H candle traded 22.2 million contracts, 3.4 times the previous 6.5 million; the price jumped from 0.0501 straight up to 0.056. But the next two 4H candles failed to make new highs, with volume decreasing each time and increasingly long upper shadows. At 20:00, the candle surged again to 0.0498 but only had 4.38 million contracts, less than 1/5 of the peak volume, and closed with a bearish candle at 0.0478.
Interpretation: High-level sideways trading + volume contraction + lengthening upper shadows is a textbook distribution signal — that huge volume of 22.2 million was not a real breakout but a transfer of holdings from one hand to another. Comparing with $SAND during the same period, which climbed steadily from 0.042 to 0.063 with volume and price moving in the same direction; $MEGA shows volume and price divergence. The difference lies in "position holding direction" — $SAND has buyers continuing to support, while $MEGA's buying momentum died out by 08:00.
For meme coins, the second 4H candle on the first day basically determines life or death: if it doesn't continue to surge with volume, but instead shrinks volume and shows a long upper shadow, don't wait for a pullback, just exit. Can you handle $MEGA's rhythm like this? Before the data dropped, $BTC had already pushed through the $79K area, and after U.S. equities opened, $SPCX also jumped sharply by roughly 3.5%. Meanwhile, $SNDK is still struggling to move much beyond its previous range. The key takeaway from the employment data is that expectations for another Fed hike in October have cooled noticeably. I’m seeing plenty of people immediately talking about a potential rate cut, but I wouldn’t jump that far yet. The current change is mainly this: 📉 Hike expe$BTC Resistance Rejection Bearish Pressure Building.
Leverage: 10x Max
Trade Setup: Short
Entry: 84,700–85,000
SL: 86,150
TP1: 84,000
TP2: 83,500
TP3: 83,200
BTC is facing strong rejection from the 87,238 resistance, with consecutive bearish candles showing sellers taking control; the 84,700–84,500 area is the key level to watch for continuation. If the entry zone fails to reclaim and holds below resistance, downside targets become increasingly
Sell and Trade#USNFPDataCools
$BTC 全仓20倍空进去那一刻，我手心其实有点凉。 你有没有过这种体验：明知道在赌，却还是想看看对手能撑多久？ $CT这波真的太会演了。前面在0.40附近磨了好久，慢慢拱到0.48，横了一段，然后突然一根大阳线拉到0.5588，24小时涨了14个点。30分钟图看着确实强，强到让人产生一种"不上车就错过"的错觉。但越是这样，我越不想追多，反而在0.5443附近开了空，20倍，全仓。标记价0.546，刚进去小亏几个点，不慌。 我真正在意的不是它还能不能拉，而是0.55这个位置能不能守住。如果这里丢了，那今天这根突破大概率就是情绪冲高，不是趋势启动。回到0.52，追多的人会立刻难受，而新币的情绪盘从来不讲情面，上去没顶，下来也不跟你商量。所以我的节奏是等，让它拉，让它演，看0.56上方还有多少人敢接。偏多的路径当然有：如果放量站稳0.56，空头会被逼着回补，可能还有一段。但风险也很直白，新币深度薄，一根针就能让全仓杠杆归零，方向对不代表能活着看到结果。 $ZEC那边就舒服多了。1643附近开空，现在跌到接近1370，50倍，利润已经超过800%。前面最高1695的时候，所有人都觉得还能飞，结果从顶部Trading is a practice of cultivation
Many people may not know what I have recently experienced. From earning 5000, to liquidation and losing everything, then slowly climbing back step by step. This process is extremely painful but also extremely valuable.
Today, the account increased by +1111 in a single day, and the total assets returned to 3800. I paid off the most anxiety-inducing overdue bill from before, and for the first time truly felt: money only belongs to you when you withdraw it.
My current operation is extremely conservative: margin of a few dozen U, very small positions, stop loss immediately if losses exceed expectations, and close positions at target points. No fantasies of getting rich quick, no greed for rolling positions. I would rather miss a hundred big bullish candles than let one liquidation end my principal.
I am still holding short positions on ETH and BTC, with half of the profits already locked in. Next, I will continue to take profits and keep respecting the market.Is the loss of $CORE $CORE CORE nodes and decentralization a case of a golden cicada shedding its shell?
Specifically, the reduction in the number of CORE nodes, the huge drop in coin price, and many staked users being deeply trapped are the real difficulties CORE is facing right now, which cannot be denied. Investors' losses are real.
But one point needs to be distinguished: the core of decentralization is that the project team gradually hands over network control, entrusting block production to independent community validators.
Node loss is often due to node operators' revenues not covering costs, which is a market-level issue; it cannot be directly equated with the project team deliberately shirking responsibility or preparing to run away like a golden cicada shedding its shell.
Handing over block production rights means entrusting network operation to the community. Conversely, if the project team intended to run away, they would not actively hand over block production rights.
Of course, the project still faces significant risks: few new nodes, slow ecological implementation, and ongoing unlocking pressure remain issues. Whether it can attract new nodes and achieve ecological results in the future is the key. For now, it can only be said to be in a transition phase and cannot be directly judged as the project team preparing to withdraw.
⚠️Just a personal opinion shared And guess what? I made a mistake almost immediately. I was setting up a trade and accidentally selected the wrong margin mode. A few minutes later, the position was gone. 💀 Honestly, that one was completely avoidable. I rushed the order instead of checking everything properly, so I can only blame myself. For now, I’m stepping back and watching $ETH instead of trying to win the money back immediately. ETH is still sitting around the key support/resistance area, and with BTC holding relatively hi[Pharaoh's Market Watch] Why did BTC and ETH ETFs suddenly reverse together? Is money about to withdraw? Pharaoh says directly, don't panic, not mass exodus; funds just stepped outside for smoke and check wind direction. BTC ETF ended 9-day consecutive inflow, ETH also turned outflow. First synchronized cooldown since rebound, indicating short-term profit-taking and institutions waiting for next word from nonfarm and Fed. Why cooldown? Three things together. US Treasury yields still pressing ~5.The low point of $2673 provides a reference, not a permanent safety cushion
In the past 24 hours, $ETH dropped to a low of $2673.43, then rebounded to around $2750, making $2673 the clearest defense reference for today. However, the intraday low is just the result of a specific period's supply and demand balance, not a market-signed long-term bottom line. If subsequent pullbacks find support at higher levels, it indicates buyers are willing to raise their cost; if the price approaches $2673 again with increased volume but weaker rebounds, this low point may instead be consumed. Many people treat the price of the first successful rebound as absolute support and increase their positions on the second touch, ignoring that each test changes the order book and position structure. $ETH's support must be continuously proven by subsequent trading. A more prudent observation is to compare lows, rebound heights, and pullback speeds, rather than just drawing a line on the chart. Reference points help set invalidation conditions but do not guarantee that invalidation will never occur.
The more a support is repeatedly tested, the more one must observe whether the supporting funds are still present, rather than assuming that more tests mean stronger support. The role of reference points is to assist action, not to comfort positions. The strength of the rebound after a breakdown can also test whether the original buying pressure has already withdrawn.This non-farm payroll report: rate cuts are the candy, recession is the knife
September non-farm payrolls increased by only 29,000, far below the 45,000 monthly average over the past 12 months; healthcare is still holding but growth is slowing, finance lost another 7,000 jobs, with a cumulative decline of 129,000 since the May peak. Even more painful is the combined downward revision of 60,000 for July and August, with July directly revised from +21,000 to -10,000.
For the crypto market, this report is somewhat "sweet first, then bitter": the sweet part is that weak employment strengthens rate cut expectations, and once liquidity warms up, BTC and ETH are likely to rally first; the bitter part is that if this is not a soft landing but a real decline in momentum, the profits and risk appetite for risk assets will sooner or later have to be revised downward.
Rate cut expectations are the candy, recession worries are the knife. The real watershed is whether the upcoming data can stop the downward revisions. $BTC $ETHAround $310M in short positions have been wiped out over the past 24 hours. I checked my own short positions again… Well, at least I know I’m not the only one donating liquidity to the market. 😂 BTC is still holding above $86K, while short sellers continue getting squeezed as momentum stays strong. The funny part? The gains I made from previous longs have slowly been handed back by these shorts. Crypto really has a sense of humor. When the trend is moving my way, I feel like a genius. The momen$ONE Damn, BTC finally let me run this trade 😂
Short at 85.3K,
Closed around 84.5K,
Didn't make much money.
Forget it,
Don't want to watch it late at night.
Right after closing,
I went to check ONE again...
Am I crazy? 😂
At this position, I really don't feel much,
But if it drops to 0.0018,
I might not be able to resist adding more.
Don't ask me why then,
I won't even know myself.
$BTC
#美国9月非农仅增2.9万，失业率升至4.2% $BTC ● Retracement to 84,000–83,000 without breaking: small position long attempt;
● Volume breakout above 87,360 and retracement confirmation: add more positions;
● Break below 82,500: short-term longs should be cautious, reduce risk first.
#美国9月非农仅增2.9万，失业率升至4.2% 🔥 October 3rd $BTC: Nonfarm payrolls surprise, a bullish candle pushes to 87,000
OKEx currently reports around $87,000, +3% in 24h. Last night, September nonfarm payrolls increased by only 29,000 (expected 90,000), unemployment rate rose to 4.2%, with July and August revised down by a total of 60,000; hourly wages rose only +0.1% month-over-month (expected 0.3%). The triple cooling effect hit simultaneously, BTC instantly surged over a thousand dollars to touch 87,250, then pulled back—shorts were liquidated in a stepped manner, with 32.51 million liquidated across the network in 24h, of which BTC accounted for 20.5 million.
Macro has completely turned: the probability of a rate hike in October collapsed from 68.6% a week ago to 25%–30%, CME shows the probability of no change rising to 74%–86%. But don’t get too excited—the 10-year US Treasury yield is still at 5.34% (highest since 2002), RSI has reached 66, just one step away from overbought.
The fundamentals are strong too: spot ETFs had a net inflow of 6.34 billion in Q3, 2.65 billion in September, total assets 107.9 billion; Citibank raised the 12-month target from 82,000 to 113,000.
Key levels
Support: 86,000 → 85,274 → 84,433
Resistance: 87,360–87,500 (September high) → 90,000
In short: 87,500 is the critical point, thin weekend market prone to spikes
$ETH $ZEC To be honest, with $ZEC, I don't want to take eight hundred directions a day either, but the problem is with its kind of volatility, if I short it, as long as it pulls back, it definitely means I'll take a loss!
That's also why this time, when it really started to weaken and probably won't strengthen again, I actually chickened out and didn't dare to short it!
No wonder people say only newcomers in crypto dare to make big moves. I used to be like that too. The longer your experience, the more afraid you get, and fear leads to more losses, creating a seemingly unsolvable vicious cycle! $ZEC
#美国9月非农仅增2.9万，失业率升至4.2% #BTC、ETH现货ETF同步转流出，资金热度降温 Yesterday, $NIGHT needed permission. Today, it doesn’t.
Midnight has enabled permissionless smart-contract deployment on mainnet. Builders can now deploy directly, and contracts can even deploy other contracts.
$NIGHT hit $0.0451 today from a ~$0.0397 open.
The gate is open. Now the real test is adoption.
#USNFPDataCools #USTreasuryYieldsSurge $BTC just pushed into the $87K area, but I’m watching the reaction here more than the breakout itself
Bitcoin is up roughly 14.6% from the Sept. 15 low near $75K, while short liquidations have topped $120M over the past 24H
The next major resistance sits around $87.4K. A clean break could put $90K in focus, but rejection here would make $84K–$82.5K the important downside zone
For me, this is a decision area — not a place to chase blindlyThe biggest regret with $SNDK? I didn’t have the guts to go heavy below $1,000. 😭📉
Looking back, it’s easy to say “I should’ve bought.” But when $SNDK was crashing that hard, almost everyone thought something was seriously wrong with storage prices. People were panicking, dumping their positions, and running for the exits.
And me? I was watching from the sidelines… but I didn’t dare catch the falling knife. 😂
#DailyOrbit $ETH spiked to $2,770 after NFP, then quickly pulled back.
The move was likely priced in early, triggering profit-taking on the news. $2,770 remains a key resistance, and the spike lacked strong volume.
Until ETH breaks and holds above it, a pullback remains likely.
#USTreasuryYieldsSurge #USNFPDataCools $BTC returns to 85000: corrective rebound, not yet reversed
$BTC quickly pulled up from the low of 83123, with volume recovering the 84000 consolidation platform, reaching a high of 85236, temporarily stabilizing at 85000. The 24-hour trading volume is 7.081 billion USDT, significantly expanding compared to the previous low-volume phase, with incremental funds being absorbed, showing short-term strength better than expected.
On the indicator side, SKDJ shows a low-level golden cross emerging: the K value rises to 51.2, crossing above the D value of 46.7, indicating that bearish momentum has been digested and bullish recovery has started. However, the large structure is still within the correction channel since the previous high of 87374.3; without breaking the previous high, this can only be defined as a rebound repair, not a new main upward wave.
Key levels: 86000 is short-term resistance; 87374.3 is strong resistance, and only a volume-supported stabilization above it would mean the adjustment is over. The 84000 level has turned from resistance to support, and 83100 is the rebound starting point; if broken, the rebound logic will weaken.
Looking ahead to the non-farm payrolls: weak data may raise rate cut expectations, potentially pushing 86000-87000; if data exceeds expectations and benefits are realized, it may fall back below 84000 and retest 83000. Short-term bias is bullish, but since the previous high is not broken, chasing highs still requires caution. #美国9月非农仅增2.9万，失业率升至4.2% #BTC、ETH现货ETF同步转流出，资金热度降温 $BTC just pushed into the $87K area, but I’m watching the reaction here more than the breakout itself
Bitcoin is up roughly 14.6% from the Sept. 15 low near $75K, while short liquidations have topped $120M over the past 24H
The next major resistance sits around $87.4K. A clean break could put $90K in focus, but rejection here would make $84K–$82.5K the important downside zone
For me, this is a decision area — not a place to chase blindly#英伟达追加1500亿美元股票回购
NVIDIA approved the largest buyback in its history, but it is also issuing new shares at the same time.
▪️ Added $150 billion in authorization, raising the remaining quota to $235 billion — a figure larger than the market cap of about 84% of the companies in the S&P 500.
▪️ In the first half of the year, buybacks plus dividends totaled $40 billion, which is 60% of free cash flow for the same period; the company's long-term target is at least 50%.
▪️ During the same period, its equity incentives amounted to $6.4 billion annually, and the diluted share count only decreased from 25.28 billion shares to 24.51 billion shares.
The disagreement is not about whether it can afford it, but whether this money actually benefits each share. On one hand, it buys back $40 billion, but on the other, newly issued shares partially replenish the denominator. Shorts are watching this closely: the focus is on net reduction, not gross authorization.
What’s even more puzzling is the valuation. The forward P/E ratio is 16.5, the lowest since January 2015, while the 15-year average is about 30. Revenue doubled in one year, yet the price is discounted.
Moreover, in these three months, the overall market buyback volume dropped by about half, but NVIDIA is moving against the trend.
Being able to afford it doesn’t mean the shares will benefit — how many shares this buyback will ultimately reduce, which side do you believe?Nonfarm missed, market first rose then fell - old pattern, long chasers about to be trapped at peak. Two data tonight: Sep nonfarm +29K only, far below 90K expectation; Aug revised down from 162K to 133K. Unemployment rose 4.1% -> 4.2%, higher than expected 4.1%. $QQQ Nasdaq broke previous high resistance making new highs; trend very strong. Broke 746 resistance to historic high 754, but now topped and pulled back. Next see if 740 holds to push higher. $BTC old pattern: as soon as data released,Nonfarm Payrolls: Don't Be Misled by the First Spike
Friday 8:30, US September Nonfarm Payrolls release. New job additions expected around 90,000, unemployment rate 4.1%, but the real focus should be on wage growth and revisions to previous data—these two often move the market more than the headline.
Recently, market bets on an October rate hike have clearly cooled. One nonfarm report alone won't determine the Fed's path but can cause short-term volatility.
Base scenario: If data is close to expectations, scan the market first, then watch the dollar and US Treasury yields for direction. If both employment and wages are strong, rate hike concerns return, and risk assets will come under pressure; if employment cools moderately and unemployment doesn't worsen, the market may interpret it as "economic slowdown but not a shutdown," and Bitcoin is likely to stabilize.
Looking at the chart, Bitcoin surged near 86,900, showing short-term overheating. On the upside, watch if 86,900–87,400 can hold; a breakout targets 88,000. On the downside, watch 85,800–85,500; if broken, look near 85,000.
Before the data, don't bet fully on a direction; after the data, don't chase the first spike. Watch the combination, then wait for confirmation. The market can move fast, but don't get carried away with your position.
$BTC $ETH $ZEC #10月加息预期回落，今晚PCE成关键 6000 people compete for 150,000 U, the average share is quite attractive
A wallet sharing event, as of today only 6122 people have participated, 750 more than the previous round. Although it looks crowded, the pool is still enough to share: the first place gets 10,000 U exclusively, 4th to 10th place share 12,000 U, 1001st to 10,000th place share 35,000 U, and the top 100,000 share another 36,000 U.
The key point is: the threshold is only 100 U. If the number of participants doesn't surge, the last two pools alone have 71,000 U to be shared among more than 6000 people.
But don't just watch the excitement: this kind of event is essentially a subsidy for active users, rewards and points mostly have an expiration date, so hoarding them without use is like getting nothing. It's more important to understand the rules clearly before participating than to rush in blindly. $USDT$CORE coin price is under pressure, don't blame "decentralization" as a scapegoat
Price decline and decentralization are two separate evaluation systems. Price depends on capital flow, sentiment, unlocking pace, and liquidity; decentralization depends on whether the ledger can be rewritten by a few, whether nodes and validation rights are dispersed, and whether rules are publicly verifiable. The former fluctuates, the latter is a fundamental attribute.
Therefore, if $CORE weakens due to large unlocks, a cold ecosystem, or capital withdrawal in a bear market, this is a market risk and construction progress issue; but it does not mean the network can be arbitrarily tampered with, nor that decentralization is just a slogan. Conversely, even if the chain is sufficiently decentralized, it does not guarantee the coin price will only rise or that retail investors won't lose. Bitcoin also fell sharply in bear markets, yet no one denies its ledger security because of that.
When discussing CORE, three things should be separated: whether the ecosystem is improving, how the selling pressure on tokens is, and whether the underlying network is more decentralized. Mixing them only causes criticism to lose focus. Risks that should be warned about must be warned, and construction that should be advanced must be advanced, but decentralization should not be sentenced to death based solely on market performance.
⚠️ Risk reminder: This article is only a personal opinion sharing and does not constitute any investment advice #美国9月非农仅增2.9万，失业率升至4.2% #BTC、ETH现货ETF同步转流出，资金热度降温 #美债收益率频创新高，长期利率压力未缓解 $AVAX is back around $11.1 after recently pushing toward $12, and the weekly structure is getting interesting
The bigger story isn’t just the chart: Avalanche’s RWA ecosystem has grown strongly, while the Helicon upgrade is designed to improve network economics and performance
After a ~58% monthly move, I’m not chasing the breakout
For me, $12 is the key resistance. A clean reclaim could open $15 next, while losing the $10.6–$10.75 area would weaken the setup
The old cycle is worth watch$NIGHT is a solid privacy play, but it’s already run 3x+ since July’s spike, so the short-term entry feels overheated.
The narrative is similar to $ZEC, but NIGHT feels more aligned with the AI era and potentially more regulation-friendly. If it pulls back toward $0.40, I’d be interested in adding.
Privacy remains a track worth watching.
#USNFPDataCools #BTCETHETFOutflows $ETH What exactly are you trying to do, trying to destroy the shorts?
I originally thought with the non-farm payroll data coming out, either there would be a liquidation or the shorts would be relieved, maybe even get a bite.
But now, it's still hovering around 2750, with no sign of dropping at all.
These shorts are really something to see, shaking my head, anyone can step on them.
I originally thought opening shorts around 2700 was already high, but then there was an afternoon surge.
$ETH Bitcoin has reached 87,000, is your account really making money?
$BTC 86868, once the non-farm payrolls hit 29,000, it took off directly, pulling from 85,000 straight to the doorstep of 87,000. It looks great, but check your own holdings—are only Bitcoin rising while everything else is in the red? Funds are now all flowing into the mainstream, and altcoins are being heavily drained.
$ENA 0.24654, the market rose 3% but it fell 1.19%. Those who chased the 7% rise a few days ago are now fully stuck. The yield protocol logic is sound, but it can't withstand funds fleeing to chase Bitcoin. If the 0.25 level breaks, the next support is at 0.23, so don't rush to add positions and average down.
$RE 0.50662, also falling by 1.31%. DeFi insurance small RWA, 0.5 has held for a month but almost broke today. The higher the market rises, the more it falls—this is the siphon effect: the total funds are limited, Bitcoin absorbs them, and no one picks up the small coins. 0.48 is the bottom line; if it breaks, the logic needs to be reconsidered.
#BTC、ETH现货ETF同步转流出，资金热度降温 Interestingly, ETFs are all flowing out while Bitcoin keeps rising. This shows this wave is not institutions buying, but retail sentiment rushing in. This kind of market tests your discipline the most—don't chase Bitcoin, and don't panic sell small coins when they fall.
$BEAT 0.09091, down 1.26%, micro-cap meme coins continue to be drained. With a market cap of just over 20 million, people in this market are running faster than anyone else. Stay away.【Pre-Nonfarm Payroll Eve $BTC Sharp Midday Surge to 86800, Real Breakout or Just a Fakeout?】
🔥 At midday, BTC surged straight from around 84000 to 86888, approaching the 87,000 resistance. Nonfarm Payrolls tonight, let's break it down.
📌 Why the surge?
1️⃣ Cooling rate hike expectations: Probability of another rate hike in October dropped from 70% to 25%, BTC is most sensitive to interest rates
2️⃣ Independent strength: Asian stock markets are weak, but BTC rallies against the trend, indicating crypto funds are pushing it
3️⃣ Institutional support: ETF funds flowing back, Citibank raised target to 113,000
📊 Nonfarm Payrolls at 20:30 tonight
Expected new jobs around 84,000, unemployment rate 4.1%, previous 162,000, wide forecast range, volatility likely.
🟢 Softer: Break 87,000, target 90,000
⚪ In line: 85,000–87,000 range
🔴 Much higher plus accelerating wages: rate hike bets rebound, US Treasuries and dollar strengthen, sharp rise may be profit-taking
🎯 Key levels: Above 87,000; below 85,000 can it flip from resistance to support, if broken look to 83,000
Data spikes can amplify instantly, avoid chasing highs, don’t go full position, keep leverage low.
💬 Poll:
A. Break 87,000 🚀 B. Sideways consolidation 😴 C. Spike then fall 📉
Are you holding positions through Nonfarm?
For personal opinion only, not investment advice #9月非农今晚公布，加息预期成焦点#美国9月非农仅增2.9万，失业率升至4.2% Brothers, this market just now was like a performance.
First, BTC suddenly surged, jumping 2000 points directly, ETH was even crazier, rising 70 points in a short time. When I saw my ARB short position, I felt half my heart drop; 50x leverage is really intense.
$ARB perpetual 50x, opening average price 0.22025, latest transaction price 0.20269, position showing -398.64%.
That big market rally just now really messed up my ARB short positions. One wrong direction and all the hard-earned profits could be wiped out instantly, truly a return to square one overnight.
But who would have thought, not long after BTC and ETH surged, they both fell back down.
The bulls were celebrating just moments ago, and in the blink of an eye, it turned into a fight between bulls and bears—a total market farce.
I had no choice; after my short positions were shaken out, I had to jump back in.
Opened short ARB again around 0.2076.
The price hit a low near 0.206 just now, then stopped falling.
Now I'm just watching it.
I don't believe this rally will keep going; if it can't break through, then give me a pullback!
ARB, the bears are going to battle you today. 😭
#美国9月非农仅增2.9万，失业率升至4.2% #BTC、ETH现货ETF同步转流出，资金热度降温