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Bought about 550,000, with a cumulative profit of about 7.24 million, this is Andrew Tate's HYPE bill.
Lookonchain (ChainCatcher/PANews 10/3) monitoring: Today he deposited about 20,950 HYPE to Binance, equivalent to about 1.87 million USD; about two years ago, he bought about 122,827 HYPE at an average price of about 4.48 USD (about 550,000 USD at that time), currently still holding about 63,550 HYPE, equivalent to about 5.62 million USD; HYPE cumulative profit is about 7.24 million USD, with a return rate of about 1317%. Deposited does not equal fully sold, monitoring marks do not equal entity confirmation, market value fluctuates with the order book. At the time of writing, OKX HYPE is about 88.36. Not investment advice.CT at $0.53, are you willing to bet?
Binance just launched the contract with 20x leverage, and within 24 hours it surged from 0.41 to 0.64 then dropped back to 0.53, with a trading volume of 200 million but open interest only a few million — is this the rise of a new institutional DeFi king, or just a pump-and-dump script peaking at launch?
Let's look at the surface first: new contract launch, spike then pullback, 0.53 stuck at the midpoint.
On October 1, Binance launched the perpetual contract with up to 20x leverage. Spot price was 0.41 before launch, then surged directly to 0.64 after launch, then dropped to 0.48, now hovering around 0.53. The 24-hour trading volume reached 200 million USD, but open interest is only a few million — what does this indicate? Most are short-term passing funds, not long-term holdings. The daily chart has only two or three candles, moving averages are not meaningful, the 4-hour chart shows oscillation after the spike and pullback, and volume has contracted compared to launch day. 0.53 is not a low, but the midpoint of this pulse.
First: The news is only about the contract listing, no new lockups, no revenue sharing, no confirmed bank purchases.
Concrete positions itself as a full-stack institutional on-chain finance operating system, covering asset issuance, treasury, accounting, and working capital. This year it cooperated with Euler on institutional lending track, narrating "bringing compliant infrastructure on-chain."
Sounds sexy? But the only hard news is the contract listing.
Buying at 0.53 is buying into the "institutional DeFi operating system" story, not realized cash flow. The typical path after a new contract launch in the first week is spike, retracement, then retesting the upper range. If you jump in now, you are betting on a second wave after listing, not value investing.
Second: Small market cap, new story, supply capped at 1 billion, but token capture is not yet included in revenue sharing.
If the institutional treasury and lending track really scale, the governance token would have option value. Conversely:
Perpetual open interest is small relative to volume, mostly short-term passing funds.
Token capture is not yet included in verifiable revenue sharing; governance rights do not equal income rights.
After new coin contracts launch, market making and leveraged liquidations amplify spikes; the 0.48 to 0.64 range can be covered in one day.
20x leverage cap is high, but open interest is thin; liquidity is good when rising, but dumps are harsher.
In short: the story is sexy, but your stop loss needs to be sexier.
Third: Technical key level — 0.50 is the lifeline.
The path is short: spot was 0.41 before contract launch, surged to 0.64 after launch, then retreated to 0.48-0.53. You see 0.53 stuck at the midpoint of this pulse.
Key levels:
Above: 0.54-0.56 is recent rebound supply; 0.60-0.64 is the post-listing high band. Without volume to break 0.56, don't talk about 0.64.
Below: 0.50 is a round number and multiple retest support after launch; 0.48-0.49 is the 24-hour low band; further down is the pre-launch platform at 0.41-0.45.
0.53 is not a low. Holding 0.50 keeps the box intact; daily close below 0.48 means short-term clearing at listing premium.
Don't use high leverage to bet on a second wave at the midpoint; staying alive until 0.50 breaks or 0.56 holds is more important than anything.
Bull vs. Bear, you decide:
On one side:
Binance perpetual launched, liquidity channel opened
Institutional on-chain finance narrative, compliant infrastructure on-chain
Spot trading already on Binance, Coinbase, OKX
Total supply capped at 1 billion, small cap with high elasticity
On the other side:
Only contract listing news, no new lockups/revenue sharing
Small perpetual open interest, mostly short-term passing funds
Token capture not included in revenue sharing
0.53 is not a low, but the pulse midpoint
If BTC breaks 82,600, new contracts get hit by leverage first
Trading strategy (no nonsense):
Positioning: You can trade the box, don't use high leverage expecting a return to 0.64. New contracts often spike at round numbers.
Aggressive: Light long positions near 0.53, stop loss at 0.488. First target 0.56, second target 0.60. Reduce half at 0.56.
Conservative: Wait for 0.49-0.50 to consider long, stop loss at 0.472. Better entry near 0.45. If not reached, stay out and watch 0.56.
Breakout: Only consider chasing if volume breaks and holds above 0.56 and pullback doesn't break 0.53, target 0.60-0.64. Fake breakouts should be abandoned.
Short: Light short on weak rallies at 0.56-0.60, stop loss 0.62, target 0.50. Avoid heavy shorts near 0.48.
Position size: Single trade risk no more than 1.5% of total capital, leverage recommended no more than 3x. 20x is exchange max, not recommended.
Risk management priority:
If price breaks below 0.48 with volume, next supports at 0.45, 0.41, reduce positions.
If BTC breaks 82,600, reduce leverage on new contracts like CT first.
If open interest continues shrinking with only volume but no net inflow, treat rebounds as selling opportunities.
CT now is like every new contract on launch day —
You think you are bottom fishing, but you are catching the bag. You think you are betting on a second wave, but you are paying market makers' fees.
At 0.53, what you can do is defend the 0.50-0.56 range, not all-in aiming for 0.64.
Staying alive until 0.48 breaks or 0.56 holds is more important than high leverage betting on a second wave at the midpoint.
Watch two things: whether 0.50 holds, and whether there is supplementary disclosure on revenue sharing.
$BTC $ETH $CT #SEC加密资产托管新规，拟放宽机构自托管限制
Many people don't realize how significant the news on October 1st is:
The SEC officially proposed a plan——
Registered investment advisers and regulated funds can hold private keys and self-custody crypto assets under certain conditions.
What was it like before?
To comply when dealing with BTC/ETH/on-chain assets → you had to find a qualified custodian → banks/large custodians/few licensed institutions → high costs, fewer assets, slow listing.
What about now?
If there’s no suitable third-party custodian → institutions can self-custody
State-chartered trust companies can also act as compliant custodians
Dual authorization, private key isolation, quarterly reassessment, audits, and internal controls all in place
60 days of public comment, the direction is clear: regulators no longer want to force institutions to all crowd into traditional custody
Wall Street wants to enter Crypto, no longer stuck at the step where money can be bought but can’t be stored compliantly.
What does this mean for the market?
1️⃣ Wider entry channels for institutions
2️⃣ Better issuance of multi-asset funds / active management / RWA products
3️⃣ Exchange custody is no longer the only answer
4️⃣ Self-custody wallets, MPC, multisig, hardware wallets—these become more competitive and valuable
But note:
It’s not about casually storing mnemonic phrases yourself; it’s professional institutions + processes + responsibility + audits for self-custody.
Retail investors should not misinterpret this as the SEC saying it’s compliant to randomly store coins yourself. It’s not.
I think this sentence is the most accurate:
It’s not that Crypto has become decentralized, but that traditional finance is starting to learn on-chain asset custody.Sacrifice! My best move on the chessboard is to withdraw the heaviest pieces from the center just when the opponent thinks I'm going to launch a strong attack.
$PEPE surged 9.45% in 24 hours, pushing the price to 0.0(5)2941. The 1H RSI has already latched onto the overbought line at 67.19, and the 1D RSI stands at 60.71. Most players get excited seeing such continuous attacks, thinking Wang Yi is about to break through. But my eyes are on something else: the upper Bollinger Band on 1H is at 0.0(5)3035, and on 4H it's at 0.0(5)2954—the price is already close to the upper edge, and the 4H upper band has even been touched. This is a compressed pawn chain with almost no room left to expand.
Now look at my formation. The entry is set at 0.0(5)3154, about 7.2% above the current price. What does this mean? It means I'm not chasing longs here at all; I'm waiting for the opponent to rush up and deliver themselves to be captured. The first target is 0.0(5)2547, about 13.4% below the current price, just below the 4H Bollinger lower band at 0.0(5)2617—this is a deep water square, only reachable if the price truly collapses. The second target, 0.0(5)2617, is right at the 4H lower band, the first zone for midline recovery. The stop loss is at 0.0(5)3527, about 19.9% above the current price and also about 18.7% above the 4H upper band—this position is no longer defense but a surrender line. I set the boundary for checkmate here because once the price crosses and holds above the 4H upper band, the nature of the entire endgame changes, and the value of the pieces is completely re-evaluated.
So this is not a simple short; this is a **sacrifice to lure away**. Using a short position as bait, betting that the 9.45% 24-hour rise has already drained the last liquidity. Overbought is not the end, but the start of the opponent's time pressure.
📉 Short:
Entry: 0.0(5)3154 (current price +7.2%)
Take Profit 1: 0.0(5)2547 (-13.4%)
Take Profit 2: 0.0(5)2617 (-11.1%)
Stop Loss: 0.0(5)3527 (+19.9%)
First rule of the endgame: don't clash head-on with fast pawns; let them become pawns behind where you can't reach. $PEPE In this game, I play quietly. #coinmovealertStaring blankly at the market in the early morning, this kind of low-volume sideways trading really tests patience. There's a devil in my mind constantly urging me, always thinking that grabbing a short-term rebound at this position should be fine, right? I close the interface but can't help opening it again—typical restlessness mixed with anxiety. Everyone understands, making a move at this time is purely seeking discomfort, but the urge to open the trading panel is even harder to resist than quitting smoking. Forget it, I force myself to throw away the phone. Losses aren't really scary; what's scary is messing around at the wrong time just to prove you're still involved—that's when you truly lose badly.
$TAO $RENDER $NEAR The latest H.4.1 data from the Federal Reserve released a signal worth noting:
Bank reserves rose to about $2.95 trillion, an increase of about $17.9 billion in a single week; meanwhile, the TGA dropped by about $28.4 billion in the same week.
Simply put: the Treasury is injecting liquidity, and liquidity in the banking system is recovering.
Although the RRP increased to absorb some funds, bank reserves still saw a net increase in the end.
The focus is not on "whether this will make BTC rise immediately," but rather that the underlying dollar liquidity in the market is marginally improving.
For BTC, a risk asset highly dependent on global liquidity, short-term prices can be influenced by sentiment and leverage, but what really matters in the medium term is whether money is flowing back into the market.
Liquidity moves first; prices often react later.
If you mainly use this data to observe BTC/ETH, I actually suggest you focus on these four indicators going forward:
Fed balance sheet + bank reserves + TGA + RRP
Looking at them combined is much more meaningful than looking at the H.4.1 report alone.
You can even create a very intuitive metric:
"US net liquidity = Fed assets − TGA − RRP"
Then overlay the US net liquidity curve with BTC price, and you can visually see when the two move together and when they start to diverge. $BTC Reinforcement bars aren't even tied yet, but they're already rushing to pour concrete; a building like this will collapse without any warning.
I've reviewed the $NMR blueprints three times. It only rose 2.41% in 24 hours, but the short-term RSI has surged to 65.3, just 0.4% shy of the upper Bollinger Band — this isn't a capped top, it's a cantilever beam without support; this unsupported work will have to be paid for sooner or later. The daily RSI is stuck at 45.5, showing a severe disconnect between short-term and long-term load-bearing systems; such structural contradictions are a danger sign in any project.
More critically, the positional relationship: the current price is stuck at 112% of the short-term Bollinger Band, with a 4.2% gap to the lower band. It looks like it's in a high zone, but the ground ring beam has long left the ground. The mid-term Bollinger Band only reaches 71%, meaning the main structure hasn't stabilized; the height propped up by a few temporary scaffolds doesn't count.
Anyone in construction knows that no matter how fancy the facade drawings are, how long a building stands depends on the foundation, load-bearing walls, and construction quality. $NMR's conceptual design is beautiful, but the white paper is just a blueprint; what really needs inspection are development pace, ecological carrying capacity, and long-term scalability — none of these three currently provide a qualified load-bearing report. This rally looks more like a renovation crew rushing work, not the main structure topping out.
So I choose to short against the trend: I set a trigger point 1.5% above the current price, entering before this layer of inflated concrete solidifies. The first target is a 3.9% drop, the second target is a 5.9% main decline. Stop loss is set 10.7% above; if breached, it means I misjudged the load distribution, and I'll exit immediately without fighting.
📉 Short:
Entry: 9.31 (current price +1.5%)
Take Profit 1: 8.82 (-3.9%)
Take Profit 2: 8.63 (-5.9%)
Stop Loss: 10.16 (+10.7%)
No matter how shiny the building's exterior decoration is, if a load-bearing column breaks, not even one floor slab can hold up.XRPN surged about 68% in one day to receive $39.42, hitting a high of 53 and a low of 27. I'll observe this first and not chase it.
On Friday, about 9.3 million shares were traded. Armada II shareholders have approved the merger with Evernorth.
The delivery is expected on October 7, and XRPN will be officially listed on October 8. After delivery, it will hold about 473 million XRP, claiming to be the largest pure XRP treasury listed company.
The trust only has about $48 million left. About 80% of SPAC shareholders have redeemed and exited, so the circulating supply is very thin and easily driven by sentiment.
Private placements entered at $10, and the current price is about 4 times their cost. The selling pressure after listing registration is also a ticking time bomb.
I think this is an emotional wave stirred up by thin chips stacking the XRP treasury narrative, not a fundamental overnight strengthening.
XRP spot on OKX is about 1.48, and the treasury market value follows the coin price, with the premium likely to compress at any time.
The market is closed over the weekend, so don't take Friday's closing as a confirmed trend.
Observe and don't chase. Invalid ≈27 (Friday's low), stable ≈40. The chip structure will change before and after delivery, so don't take the closing sentiment as the base position.
Are you waiting to see after the October 8 listing, or do you think this premium wave has already been fully priced in?
$XRPN $XRP $BTC
#US September nonfarm payrolls increased by only 29,000, unemployment rate rose to 4.2% #BTC, ETH spot ETFs simultaneously turned to outflows, cooling capital enthusiasmThe biggest shortage in the early stage of a bull market is not money, but people still on the ship
$BTC spot ETFs are flowing out.
Capital heat is cooling down, but the base positions haven't left yet.
Where does this money come from:
The original post calls the main position the ballast stone, and the flexible position the net cast.
Simply put, most stay still, a small part sells high and buys low.
How is this number calculated:
The realized part is not spent, kept for a sharp drop.
Don't cut losses on drops, don't chase on rises, base positions are the staple, swings are the seasoning.
In the past, sharp drops were caused by panic selling.
Now with ETF outflows, what's being sold off is the allocation positions.
Allocation positions exit slowly and return slowly.
Stop-loss orders placed in sharp drop zones have already been triggered.
#BTC、ETH现货ETF同步转流出，资金热度降温
#Strategy再购BTC，多家财库同步增持 #SEC加密资产托管新规，拟放宽机构自托管限制 $BTC After BTC broke above the $85,000 selling pressure, it surged to the $87,000 area but failed to hold, currently retreating back near $84,600. The current focus is on two key levels: 🔴 Resistance: $87,400 🟢 Support: $82,500 If BTC rebounds to retest the $85,000–$85,600 area and shows clear pressure, a pullback opportunity can be considered. 📌 Short Setup Entry: 85,000 – 85,600 TP1: 83,800 TP2: 82,500 TP3: 81,500 TP4: 80,500 SL: 86,350 ⚠️ Market volatility is high, pay attention to position management and stop losses, do not blindly chase orders. $BTC #Bitcoin #BTC$BTC 873 was also taken, the 125th hit ✅
As mentioned before, "873... the probability is very low unless the macro environment improves." Last night the macro was basically a tailwind: non-farm payrolls, US stocks at ATH, oil prices falling, US bond yields and exchange rates dropping... BTC quickly surged, but it was just hunting for liquidity at 873 in the future. The main force stopped at 873 during the three attempts to break 90k, and there were multiple obvious fake breakout moves. Clearly, the market doesn't have enough funds to break this strong 90k resistance, which is a bad sign, obviously showing liquidity is insufficient to support it.
Next, watch 822 to see if the main force will try to take this range. If it breaks, down to around 80k, I will complete my October position building. Currently, it looks like the main force is motivated to break 822.
To elaborate, insufficient liquidity means no overflow liquidity. When BTC oscillates, the premise for altcoins to fly doesn't exist. At this time, the biggest risk is altcoins! The main force would prefer to use this momentum to shake out positions. $BTC surged last night but then pulled back
Mainly for two reasons
Non-farm payrolls missed expectations
Combined with spot ETF outflows
The crypto market is inherently a game of speculation
When funds flow out
Others will flow in
MicroStrategy-led treasury companies
Are still continuously buying
Falling from 87239 to 84600
Just giving those who haven't entered a chance to buy the dip
The impact from macro data
Is ultimately only a short-term disturbance
BTC has its own market cycle
With nearly two trillion in market cap
It can't be shaken by outflows of just tens of billions
Current strategy remains unchanged
Bullish on BTC below 85000
Boldly buy the dip on opportunities for $ETH $ZEC #SEC加密资产托管新规，拟放宽机构自托管限制
The U.S. SEC has released a proposal for crypto custody rules, allowing registered investment advisers and regulated funds to implement institutional self-custody of client crypto assets under strict conditions.
The premise is that no qualified third-party custodian is available in the market. Institutions must have key security management capabilities, independent audits, asset address segregation, and reassess custody feasibility quarterly. Once a compliant custodian becomes available, assets must be transferred out. The proposal opens a 60-day public comment period and has not yet been formally enacted.
This is an important positive signal for U.S. crypto regulation. One of the biggest bottlenecks for institutional capital entry has been custody challenges; many emerging tokens lack compliant custodians, limiting fund deployment. The new rules provide institutions with an additional compliance path, which is beneficial for more traditional asset management funds entering the crypto market in the medium to long term.
However, it should be clear: this is only a proposal, not a formal law. The short-term benefits are mostly sentiment-driven and should not be seen as an immediate catalyst for a breakout. Moreover, self-custody comes with stringent risk control requirements and is not an unrestricted relaxation; institutional thresholds remain high.
From a market perspective, improved regulatory expectations will provide medium- to long-term valuation support for BTC and ETH, but short-term trends will still be subject to macro factors like U.S. Treasury yields and inflation. Do not heavily chase price increases based solely on regulatory news in derivatives trading; maintain leverage control and proper stop-loss measures. Going forward, focus on public feedback and the SEC's final voting results.Big Brother Maji is betting on the non-farm payrolls
Currently, all 4 long positions are at a loss
$BTC long position quantity is about 290 coins
Opening average price 84726.3
Position value 24.5328 million USD
Current floating loss 37,800 USD
$ETH long position quantity is about 37,000 coins
Opening average price 2688.97
Position value about 99.5096 million USD
Current floating loss about 251,300 USD
Big Brother Maji might want to catch a big wave. Last night $ETH's highest profit was over 3 million, but it didn't move
He thinks it will break through; such a small profit is not worth looking at
Because he is still losing nearly 30 million USD
To break even, he must catch a big waveWeekend review and thoughts. BTC current price 845, ETH 2680. Yesterday's short order was closed by a limit order in the middle of the night. Short-term bias is bullish. The market after the holiday is very chaotic. Rough judgment is that 838 is a major resistance, with a trend of resistance turning into support. 825 is also reasonable as a short-term bottom. For ETH, the bottom is rising, previous lows were 2626, 2634, last night’s lowest was 2647 (BN price). So the key to being bullish is position control. You can enter at the current price. The current trading structure is difficult, another oscillating rise, most of the time is oscillation. That’s it. I opened a long ETH position with light exposure. over$BTC 873 was also taken, the 125th hit ✅
As mentioned before, "873... the probability is very low unless the macro environment improves." Last night the macro was basically a tailwind: non-farm payrolls, US stocks at ATH, oil prices falling, US bond yields and exchange rates dropping... BTC quickly surged, but it was just hunting for liquidity at 873 in the future. The main force stopped at 873 during the three attempts to break 90k, and there were multiple obvious fake breakout moves. Clearly, the market doesn't have enough funds to break this strong 90k resistance, which is a bad sign, obviously showing liquidity is insufficient to support it.
Next, watch 822 to see if the main force will try to take this range. If it breaks, down to around 80k, I will complete my October position building. Currently, it looks like the main force is motivated to break 822.
To elaborate, insufficient liquidity means no overflow liquidity. When BTC oscillates, the premise for altcoins to fly doesn't exist. At this time, the biggest risk is altcoins! The main force would prefer to use this momentum to shake out positions. Non-farm payrolls fell far short of expectations, triggering a strong wave of buying
$BTC surged from around 84,800 to now stand at 86,780 on the 4-hour chart, effectively breaking through the long-standing strong resistance at 85,640, which has now turned into support.
343 coins rose, only 56 fell, with many tokens gaining between +2% and +8%
The profit-making effect is fully activated, while the loss-making effect is weak; it's not just BTC pulling the market, funds are willing to spread U.S. nonfarm payrolls increased by only around 29,000, far below expectations. With rate-cut expectations heating up, BTC briefly pushed toward $87,000, but BTC and ETH spot ETF flows then weakened, and prices pulled back. Why are funds selling when the news looks bullish? 1️⃣ Positive news gets priced in Traders who positioned ahead of the data may choose to take profits after the initial spike rather than chase the final leg higher. 2️⃣ Recession concerns are emerging Weak employment data isn'I see many friends saying they regret "spending a lot of time" on Abstract, but I think there's no need to regret: ❶ At that time, the cohesion of the "Fat Penguin" community made that decision reasonable. ❷ It's just that the public chain narrative has passed, there's really no way around it. Next time, be sure to pay attention to some other tracks as well, don't put all your eggs in one basket. Back then, "actively participating @AbstractChain"Bearish: If BTC loses $84K decisively, a pullback toward $82.5K becomes an important area to watch. A break below that could weaken the current daily structure.
⚠️ Since the screenshot shows 10× leverage, even relatively small BTC moves can produce large gains or losses. Use risk management rather than relying only on the direction of the chart.$ZEC
Does a high unit price mean a stronger trend?
The 24-hour price range observed this morning was 1271.4—1412.45, with a trading volume of about 60.83 million USDT.
The price per coin does not determine strength. The distance from the range high and the percentage retracement better express the pressure borne by those chasing the highs.
I will observe whether the volume subsequently increases to break above 1412.45 and then retests and holds; if this structure appears, it will increase the judgment of continuation. The opposing risk is insufficient support and failed rebound; if it falls below 1271.4 and the pullback cannot recover, the judgment will be downgraded. The above boundaries come from the morning window, and subsequent market changes need to be rechecked.【Can BTC still return to 87000-89000? Taking profit on 50% at the high, ETH exit at 2716, SOL exit at 121 for profit-taking, next opportunity waiting for 81000-82300】
Yesterday, BTC surged again, reaching a high near 87200, hitting the resistance zone we mentioned earlier.
Today’s low was around 83888.
I actually took defensive action in advance this time, selling 50% of the position at the high directly with the community yesterday, taking profit on ETH at 2716 and SOL at 121. 【❤️As shown in images two and three】
Why sell?
Not because of bearishness, but because at this level, the profits are already considerable. As a veteran trader who entered the crypto space in 2017, my biggest experience now is: eat the meat when it’s time to eat meat, don’t hesitate to run when it’s time to run.
Next, I’m actually not in a hurry to buy back.
Short-term BTC still needs a pullback, focusing on the 81000–82300 area.
If the pullback is in place and the structure stabilizes again, then buy back the previously taken profit positions and wait for the next rebound.
My current plan is still quite clear:
First pull back to 81000–82300, then look for a rebound to 87000–89000 【❤️As shown in image one】
Of course, the market won’t follow the script exactly, but with the position reduced, the initiative is in my own hands.
Take profit at the high, buy back at the low, and the rest is patience.
#BTC、ETH现货ETF同步转流出，资金热度降温 $SOL I’m not acting on impulse… but $USELESS really tested my patience 😂📉
After watching $USELESS pull back for a few days, I figured a rebound was probably coming. So when it dropped to around $0.249, I couldn’t resist—I bought more.
Well… it kept falling. 😭
At that point, I knew I was fighting the trend, so I cut it and ran. No point stubbornly holding while there’s still plenty of room for another drop.
#DailyOrbit Why do you always make small profits but suffer big losses? Because you simply don't know how much to lose on each trade. Many people only think about how much they can earn before opening a position, never considering how much they can lose. The result is they take profits quickly but stubbornly hold onto losses, causing their accounts to shrink over time. I'm recovering from a 200,000 U loss. I used to be like this too, until one time I lost 30% on a single trade and finally realized that the core of position management is not about how much you earn, but how much you lose. Now, I limit each trade's loss to a maximum of 2% of total capital, use 10x leverage, full position mode, and set a maximum drawdown warning line at 15%. When reached, I stop trading. BTC current price is 84616.0, resistance at 85000, support at 84000, opening position with 5000 U, stop loss at 83900, this trade risks at most 100 U. You have to be able to afford the loss to hold on. Remember, think about losses first, then profits. Staying alive is more important than anything. $BTC #美国9月非农仅增2.9万，失业率升至4.2% #US September Nonfarm Payrolls Increase by Only 29,000, Unemployment Rate Rises to 4.2%
The poor nonfarm data really caught people off guard! 😮 Bitcoin surged but was quickly hammered back down.
Only 29,000 jobs were added for the whole month, while the market had originally estimated about 90,000, a big miss. The unemployment rate also rose from 4.1% to 4.2%, higher than expected.
This shows that the initial reaction was just a reflex to the news release; the real money willing to take the risk didn’t follow through.
Moreover, the previous two months were revised downward: August was revised from 162,000 to 133,000, and July from a gain of 21,000 to a loss of 10,000, totaling 60,000 fewer jobs than initially reported. September wages rose only 0.1% for the month!
$BTC was affected by the weak nonfarm data, weakening the case for rate hikes, and indeed surged to around 87,238, but failed to hold that level and fell back to 84,600 a few hours later. The price increase driven by this sentiment has basically played out.
$ETH was even weaker, touching around 2,760 when the data came out, then dropping faster than Bitcoin to around 2,680. It now needs to reclaim the lost ground between 2,800 and 2,900 before it can look toward 3,000.
$SOL followed down to about 122 at the time, then slid back to around 119, nearly erasing its gains. The macro news is back and forth, causing significant volatility.
If you want Bitcoin to have a grand, sweeping rally, you still have to watch the Federal Reserve, interest rates, and the US dollar’s performance! 🔥 "$BTC Interview, $ETH Review, $SOL Taking a Number at the Service Hall"
Today the three major players are busy like at a government service center, each doing their own thing:
🟠 $BTC is here for an interview. Sitting at 84,500 dollars, back straight, answering HR's questions with "I'll think about it." Not rushing to sign the offer, nor leaving, just making you wait outside. The more you wait, the more anxious you get, but it stays steady—it's a seasoned pro.
🔵 $ETH is here for a review. At 2,670 dollars, the report says "No big surge, occasional pullbacks, recommended to watch the market less and rest more." The doctor asks if it's been tired lately, it says "Drained by L2." It exudes a kind of fatigue like "Not seriously ill but the sick leave is fully used."
🟣 $SOL is the busiest, taking a number at the service hall: number 119, currently serving 118. It paces back and forth, occasionally jumps, the screen flashes, you think it's your turn, but looking closer—still 118. Fees have been paid over and over, nothing has been processed, but the atmosphere is very lively, like it's really handling business.
Summary: Bitcoin is negotiating terms, Ethereum is recuperating, SOL treats queuing as project progress. On days like this, don't ask where the bottom or top is, first ask yourself—what's a solid lunch to have.$BTC $AAVE Regarding where Bitcoin can go, I don't know either, just hold on. Originally, I was going to profit from both long and short positions, but yesterday I closed the long position too early and held the short position. Here at 84500, I am sure this is not the point to get people on board; at least look around 82800 and observe market sentiment.
I feel this wave might not reach 76000; it will first go a bit above 80000 because I feel Bitcoin at 87000 is not enough to make retail investors go crazy, and the big players can't sell all their holdings; they must wait for the next wave to go up again. Maybe by then, everyone will believe the bull market has arrived, going above 90000 and then dropping below 75000, which will be the harshest move. #DailyOrbit Fourth Killer: Bulls Get Wiped Out
ZEC broke below 1,333, triggering $76.59M in long liquidations, while shorts lost just $29.98M. Positive funding showed longs were still crowded, turning the sell-off into a liquidation cascade.
$BTC $ZEC $ETH
#USNFPDataCools #BTCETHETFOutflows #G7OilReserveRelease AXS intraday volatility remains at 13.7%, but the 24-hour increase has dropped to about 2.1%.
As of 16:05 Beijing time, OKEx spot price is around $1.2456, with a 24-hour high of $1.3083 and a low of $1.151, and a trading volume of approximately $2.25 million; the median trading volume over the past 7 full trading days is about $484,000, currently amplified about 4.6 times.
My judgment is that this looks more like a directional re-selection after high turnover rather than a confirmed one-sided continuation. The price has fallen about 4.8% from the high, and the volume increase has not firmly pushed it past the high point, indicating that chasing funds and high-level sell orders are still digesting each other.
The easiest misjudgment is to directly interpret "volume increase" as stronger buying; increased volume only proves increased divergence and turnover. If the price continues to stay below the high, the volume increase may also correspond to distribution. If it reclaims and maintains above $1.3083, the current judgment will be overturned.
Next, watch $1.3083 and $1.20. The former determines whether the breakout is accepted; if it falls below $1.20 with high volume, the risk of a pullback will significantly increase. $AXS $PONS Why did pons crash so badly? Its P/E ratio is as low as 0.76, yet it keeps falling. It's understandable that the market thinks the revenue is unsustainable, but it has already lost 32% of its share. Who exactly is dumping it?Regarding "$TRUMP" being "awesome," these two are not even in the same league right now—PEPE is still the top meme leader at the table, while TRUMP has dropped to a tiny fraction and is a politically fading coin continuously drained by its own team. The data makes it clear.
First, look at the scale. PEPE's current price is $0.00000418, with a market cap of $1.76 billion, ranking 59th on the platform; TRUMP's current price is $2.1, with a market cap under $600 million, ranking beyond 100. PEPE's scale is three times that of TRUMP. Also, PEPE has 420 trillion coins fully circulating with no unlocking risk; TRUMP's circulation rate is only 28%, meaning 70% of coins are still locked, posing potential selling pressure in the future.
Next, look at who is selling. TRUMP team's wallets have repeatedly been caught transferring large amounts on-chain in recent months—just in the past two weeks, over $70 million was transferred to BitGo, and previously, coins were moved piece by piece to exchanges. Senators have requested the SEC to investigate it for "rug pull," with nearly a million buyers collectively losing three to four billion dollars. From a high of $73.43 to now, it has dropped 97%, far beyond a knee-jerk cut. Its only catalyst is a dinner for the top 185 holders on November 22, but this event has been criticized as a "White House entry ticket," with much less appeal.
On the other hand, PEPE has a new story: Canary has revised PEPE's ETF application for the second time, and Bloomberg ETF analysts directly say this may signal the end of the crypto winter. Pure meme leader + full circulation + ETF expectations, the narrative is clearly much cleaner. $CHIP is bearish, the rebound has not yet arrived. 4h RSI 45.9, relatively low; 1h RSI 42.5, relatively low; MACD is heading down.
If looking for an opportunity, wait for the rebound near 0.0436–0.044.
Timing: Lower range is relatively low, wait for the rebound to confirm.
Window: About 4–12 hours (1–3 4h candles); ends when the bottom is reached or invalidated, do not hold stubbornly.
Downside target is 0.0411; if it breaks above 0.0443, it means this wave's logic is invalid.
After invalidation, do not force trades; wait to fall back to EMA55 before reconsidering.
Summary: Bearish bias, wait for rebound, not recommended to chase shorts.
$ZEC is bearish, the rebound has not yet arrived. 4h RSI 38.4, relatively low; 1h RSI 40.9, relatively low; MACD is heading down.
If looking for an opportunity, wait for the rebound near 1327–1337.
Timing: Lower range is relatively low, wait for the rebound to confirm.
Window: About 4–12 hours (1–3 4h candles); ends when the bottom is reached or invalidated, do not hold stubbornly.
Downside target is 1271; if it breaks above 1426, it means this wave's logic is invalid.
After invalidation, do not force trades; wait to fall back to EMA55 before reconsidering.
Summary: Bearish bias, wait for rebound, not recommended to chase shorts.
For analysis only, not advice, not an order instruction.$BTC
The recent trend of BTC is pretty much what I predicted before. It formed a double top and then dropped sharply. However, the support during this drop was very weak, falling below expectations.
The two shaded areas in the middle of the chart should have been support levels, but they were directly broken through and didn't hold. Last night, the US stock market actually performed quite well, so BTC's reaction clearly shows that the 87,000 resistance is very strong.
Overall, it's still within a large consolidation range. I currently remain bearish on 82,000. And this time, I think it is very likely to break below because this move is weaker than expected. The key levels are all marked on the chart. The support to watch first is 82,000, then 80,000.$BTC is slightly bullish, the pullback is somewhat interesting. 4h RSI 51, relatively low; 1h RSI 42.4, relatively low; MACD is moving upward.
The pullback zone is between 84610–84779, and the current price is already within this range.
Timing: Within the pullback zone, suitable for reference (do not chase the rally).
Window: About 4 to 12 hours (1 to 3 bars of 4h); ends when reaching the upper target or invalidation, do not hold stubbornly.
Upper target is 87222; breaking below 83806 indicates this wave's logic is invalid.
After invalidation, do not force trades; wait to re-establish above EMA55 before reconsidering.
Summary: Slightly bullish, the pullback zone can be used for reference; whether to trade depends on invalidation.⚠️ Major Countdown! HYPE $920 Million Massive Unlock Incoming! Short-term Risks Must Be Taken Seriously
$HYPE 4-Hour Key Alert!
Current price 92–93, surged to 95.97 on 10/2 then faced resistance and pulled back, now consolidating in the 90–96 range.
The biggest risk point is in 3 days: Large unlock landing on October 6!
Core contributors will unlock 9.92 million tokens, equivalent to about $920 million market value, accounting for nearly 4.5% of circulating supply.
Compared to the same batch unlock on September 6:
Last time only 4.4% was claimed, market digested easily;
But this time the capital volume is larger, with extremely high network attention, the selling pressure risk is on a completely different level!
Fundamentals remain strong:
HYPE protocol daily revenue is stable at $820,000, continuously buying back and burning, revenue strength ranks first across the entire chain, long-term bottom support logic unchanged.
But positive fundamentals can't stop short-term unlock selling pressure!
Technical support is clear:
• Short-term support: 90–92 (light position speculative zone)
• Mid-term lifeline: 87 (breakdown means complete weakness)
Trading strategy is very clear:
✅ Be cautious and observe before unlock landing
✅ Selling pressure is controllable, 90–92 is the safe low-buy zone
✅ In panic sell-offs, firmly defend the 87 structural line
Intraday range: 90–96
Intraday stop-loss point: 88
Real market sentiment
HYPE is a strong fundamental asset, but this is the biggest certain negative event this month!
Don't hold positions blindly based on faith, the unlock landing on the 6th is the real directional choice!
$HYPE $UNI is slightly bullish, but the pullback hasn't reached the proper level yet. 4h RSI is 52.7, somewhat high; 1h RSI is 56.2, also somewhat high; MACD is trending down.
If looking for an opportunity, it's not recommended to chase now. Wait for the pullback around 8.98–9.04 before considering.
Timing: The zone is somewhat high; wait for the pullback to be in place before comparing.
Window: About 4–12 hours (1–3 4h candles); ends once the level is reached or invalidated, do not hold stubbornly.
Upper target is 9.31; breaking below 8.98 means this wave's logic is invalid.
After invalidation, do not force trades; wait to stand above EMA55 again before reconsidering.
Summary: Slightly bullish, wait for pullback, not recommended to chase.
$SOL is slightly bullish, the pullback zone has been reached. 4h RSI is 50.6, somewhat low; 1h RSI is 48.9, somewhat low; MACD is trending up.
Pullback zone is 118.92–119.35, current price is already within this range.
Timing: Within the pullback zone, suitable for comparison (do not chase the rise).
Window: About 4–12 hours (1–3 4h candles); ends once the level is reached or invalidated, do not hold stubbornly.
Upper target is 123.74; breaking below 117.9 means this wave's logic is invalid.
After invalidation, do not force trades; wait to stand above EMA55 again before reconsidering.
Summary: Slightly bullish, within pullback zone, suitable for comparison.
For analysis only, not a recommendation or order instruction.$SAND is continuing to consolidate without joining the pump-and-dump.
SAND is now consolidating. It neither pumps nor drops, stuck oscillating in the middle with decreasing volume, while the pump-and-dump operators are collecting funding fees. If you hold a position without a clear direction, you get worn down daily, losing both time and opportunity costs. This kind of choppy consolidation is the worst—it neither lets you profit nor lets you exit easily, just draining your patience.
Currently, the price is stuck neither up nor down; bullish momentum is fading, bears can't push it down, and the direction is completely unclear. Holding on now is just gambling on which way the pump-and-dump operators will flip the table next, but the problem is you never know when they'll move—it could be another three to five days of grinding. There's no need to drain your mindset and capital for a possible profit.
Everyone knows the background of SAND—it has a history of abnormal token issuance, highly controlled chips, and pumps and dumps depend entirely on the operators' mood. In such a market, the worst thing for short-term trading is to get emotionally attached. Take profits when you can, exit if you don't understand, preserving gains is more important than anything. At this point, I choose to exit and watch, waiting for volume to pick up and a clear direction to emerge, or for a pullback to a key support level to stabilize before looking for an entry opportunity.
Trading is not about having a position every day, but about betting at the right time. #波动雷达：币种异动观察 @OKX星球 The key point of the SEC matter is not about "allowing self-custody," but how traditional funds can legally hold crypto assets in the future.
Currently, it is only a proposal. If officially implemented, registered investment advisors and funds will have an additional compliant custody channel for crypto assets, and state trust companies will also become a new entry point.
In the past, institutions entering the market were most concerned about "who to entrust custody to." Now, regulators are beginning to directly address the challenge of compliant custody. #SEC拟修订加密资产托管规则 $BTC $ETH #SEC拟更新转让代理规则，证券上链受关注 #SEC提出《加密资产监管》草案，CLARITY法案9月审议
⚠️The above is only a market opinion and does not constitute investment advice. $SAND SAND has surged with a massive bullish candlestick, rising over 30% in 24 hours, with trading volume sharply expanding, igniting short-term sentiment completely.
Looking at the whale sample data: 139 long positions with an average entry price of 0.06565, 83.45% are profitable, many chips have accumulated considerable floating profits, indicating profit-taking demand; 134 short positions with an average entry price of 0.07163, only 27.61% of accounts are profitable, a large portion are underwater, funding rate is negative, showing clear squeeze effects.
A sharp rise does not guarantee a smooth path ahead; floating profits may escape at any time, and the cost of chasing the high is not low. $HYPE vs. ZEC, which has a better future in this bull market?
Many friends are torn between choosing HYPE and ZEC. These two assets belong to completely different sectors and follow vastly different market logics. HYPE is the leading on-chain derivatives platform, relying on perpetual contract trading fees for continuous buybacks, with solid protocol revenue and institutional ETF narratives supporting it, earning high capital recognition. As long as the derivatives market remains active, it has strong short-term explosive potential and is a value-capturing asset favored by capital during bull markets.
ZEC is a veteran leader in the privacy sector, with its core appeal being the essential demand for private transactions, combined with expectations for a privacy ETF. Under the tightening regulatory environment, the privacy narrative inherently carries a hedging attribute. However, privacy coins face hard regulatory risks, and their market performance heavily depends on news stimuli, resulting in more extreme volatility.
In summary: during the main rising phase of the bull market, HYPE’s real business income makes it more sustainable; if the privacy sector later gains momentum, ZEC could experience an independent major rally. Both are highly volatile coins and should not be heavily concentrated in a single position. It is recommended to diversify holdings, take profits in batches when the market is high, and be cautious with leverage. If the new tax bill ADAPT proposed by the US Senate is implemented, DeFi tokens may face a reassessment of compliance costs. The short-term sentiment for UNI is cautious, and I tend to think there will still be pressure to retest after a rebound. The current quote is 9.138, up only 0.4% in 24h, with a trading volume of 14.77 million. The funding rate of 0.01% shows mild payment by the bulls, but the open interest of 5.62 million tokens shows no obvious increase in positions. Buy orders are only 0.53 times the sell orders. 9.293 is recent resistance, and 8.568 is key support. The 1-hour distance from the high is -1.53%, distance from the low is 5.3%, and the 4-hour distance from the low is 36.25%, indicating weak willingness to chase prices. It is recommended to lightly short near 9.276 on the rebound, with a stop loss at 9.412 and a target of 8.615; if it retests 8.597 and stabilizes, a short-term long position can be taken, with a stop loss at 8.463 and a target of 9.245. Position size should be controlled within 5%. Due to high volatility from ADAPT news, strict stop loss is advised.
——This is only a personal opinion and does not constitute investment advice. Wish you smooth trading.——
$UNI#美参议院提出新加密税收法案ADAPT
#美参议院提出新加密税收法案ADAPT $UNI The market doesn't fall without reason; smart money has quietly exited early.
On the ZEC side, the Grayscale ETF recorded its largest single-day net outflow since inception, with a daily outflow of $30.25 million. The stolen funds from Bitget were laundered and transferred using ZEC's anonymity pool, and regulatory scrutiny continues to focus on the risks associated with this coin. The price has dropped from 1698 to 1325, and the downward potential has not been fully exhausted.
The US stock storage company SNDK also faces significant risks. The CEO cashed out a large amount, and the Chief Legal Officer further reduced holdings by 600 shares on October 1, totaling over ten million in cash-outs. Toshiba invested 60 billion yen to expand storage capacity, which directly dragged down the entire sector. Seagate plummeted 13%, Western Digital dropped 9%, supply expansion is squeezing industry profits, and internal executives are scrambling to exit, facing pressure from both sides.
The negative news for both targets has fully materialized, and the trend has emerged.
Waiting to short after it breaks below 1200 essentially means catching a market that others have already taken a big chunk from.
A message to traders still holding positions: when the trend is downward, stubbornly holding on is not perseverance; it only amplifies your losses. The more you hold on, the deeper the wound.
$BTC $ZEC $SNDKIf the new tax bill ADAPT proposed by the US Senate is implemented, it will increase compliance costs and suppress the sentiment of mid-to-small cap coins like SKHYNIX in the short term. I tend to remain bearish after a rebound. Weakness over four hours, current price 1364.5, down 3.29% from the high; buy orders 202 vs sell orders 274, ratio 0.74, sellers dominant; funding rate is zero, open interest 30,000, sentiment cautious. Light short positions can be taken on a rebound to 1377.8, stop loss at 1391.5, target 1348.2; if it holds steady after a pullback to 1352.6, short-term long positions can be taken, stop loss at 1341.3, target 1375.4. Single position size controlled within 5%, exit immediately if broken, no resistance to orders.
— For personal reference only, not investment advice, wish you successful trading. —
$SKHYNIX#美参议院提出新加密税收法案ADAPT
#美参议院提出新加密税收法案ADAPT $SKHYNIX 🔥"$BTC acts like an old veteran, $ETH plays the loyal sidekick, and $SOL is dancing on the sidelines"
Today, the three big players are in these states:
🟠 $BTC: The old veteran strolling around near 84,000 dollars, hands behind back, unbothered by anyone. If you're anxious, you're out of place.
🔵 $ETH: The faithful little sidekick, moves half a step when the big coin moves, gets tired first when the big coin rests. At 2,680 dollars, it’s like waiting for takeout—smelling the aroma but can’t eat it.
🟣 $SOL: While other coins are oscillating, it’s dancing. Buy at 119 dollars, sell at 119 dollars, performing a heart rate monitor graph in between, maxed out heart rate with zero profit. Netizens summed it up well: "SOL’s candlestick isn’t walking, it’s parkouring."
Overall: Big coin $BTC controls the scene, $ETH is bleeding, and $SOL contributes its fees to blockchain environmental efforts. This market is best for zoning out, not for adding positions—if you get excited, it flatlines, and you two just stare at each other all day.
Remember this: Sideways trading is the silent cost in crypto; smile, at least your mindset is breaking even first. How to get funds flowing to generate income?
Besides dual currency, assembling US stock LPs is a relatively good choice!
The on-chain DeFi summer for US stocks has arrived!
The advantage of assembling US stock LPs is that the underlying assets are relatively high quality, such as the US stock seven sisters $NVDA $QQQ. If there is a decline, it effectively means buying and holding US stocks.
As long as it remains within the range, you can earn extra fees while holding.
If you assemble crypto assets, apart from a few mainstream coins, other altcoins actually carry significant risk.
However, on-chain US stocks have a small drawback: outside of market hours, trading volume is generally low!The US-Iran situation has been tense, and oil prices can easily be driven up by conflict at any time. Now the G7 has directly intervened, planning to release up to 100 million barrels of oil reserves, focusing on diesel in the first 20 days, with continuous releases over four months.
As soon as the news came out, oil prices dropped sharply during intraday trading. But everyone needs to understand, this move can only suppress oil prices in the short term; it does not completely resolve the conflict. The reserves will eventually run out, and if US-Iran tensions continue to escalate and the conflict expands, oil prices can still surge.
The oil price issue indirectly affects the crypto space. Persistently high oil prices push inflation to remain elevated, making it harder for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates, which puts pressure on the crypto market. $BTC $ETH
This release of reserves is equivalent to temporarily stepping on the global inflation brake. In the short term, it can slightly ease market panic. But don’t mistake it for a complete positive; the root risk of geopolitical conflict remains.
Currently, ETF funds in the crypto space are already flowing out, internal buying is weak, and externally there is this geopolitical time bomb. Don’t blindly turn bullish just because oil prices drop a bit.
Geopolitical news comes fast and reverses fast. Such external events are only suitable for risk reference and should not be used as a reason for heavy positions. $CL
#美国9月非农仅增2.9万，失业率升至4.2% #BTC、ETH现货ETF同步转流出，资金热度降温 #美伊局势持续紧张，G7将释放最多1亿桶储备 The 10-year US Treasury yield has risen above 5.2%, changing the test for Dogecoin.
In late September, the 10-year yield climbed from 5.17% to 5.29%, the 30-year hit 5.64%, and the federal funds rate remained at 3.88%. With long-term rates rising above policy rates, the market has abandoned hopes for rate cuts. Treasury bonds yield 5% passively, so money chasing hot spots naturally shrinks: Dogecoin consolidates below the $0.10 mark, inflows into the US stock Dogecoin ETF have stalled, and Bitwise has shut down its fund.
But on-chain activity is underway.
On September 30, DogeOS testnet launched, connecting Dogecoin to smart contract access; the community voted on a halving proposal, which, if passed, will reduce the inflation rate from 3.2% to 0.3% the year after next; the regulated platform Kalshi launched regulated perpetual contracts; whale addresses accumulated over 200 million coins in a week. Elon Musk still holds two cards: the potential integration of X Pay, and the repeatedly delayed but not canceled DOGE-1 lunar mission.
High interest rates act like a sieve, filtering out money driven only by sentiment. Whether $DOGE can get through this tightening phase depends not on a tweet, but on whether the ecosystem can turn the $0.10 level from resistance into support. 🔥Positive news lands but no rally! SOL and OKB enter consolidation waiting for direction
After the positive news is realized, both assets are stuck in sideways trading with no independent trend.
$SOL 4H
OKX current price 119.5, flat in 24h. Alpenglow upgrade implemented, all positive news out, price movement follows BTC β correlation.
4H consolidating narrowly between 117–124, EMA50 provides dynamic support at 115, holding above the $100 mark.
Fundamentals are decent: SOL ETF weekly net inflow, on-chain DEX trading volume ranks first across the chain.
If risk appetite holds, it may challenge 126–130; BTC pullback makes 117 the short-term lifeline.
Intraday range 117–124, stop loss at 115.
$OKB 4H
OKX current price 121.1, down slightly 1% in 24h.
122–126 is previous double top resistance, unable to break for a week. 30-day gain +13.5%, sideways in last 7 days.
Quarterly burn provides long-term support, but short-term lacks new catalysts, 4H MACD near zero line, unclear bullish or bearish direction.
Short-term follows platform coin sector consolidation, low probability of independent rally. Support 118–119, resistance 124–126.
Intraday range 119–124, stop loss at 117.
Market sentiment summary
Positive news realized, entering grinding phase. SOL has capital and ecosystem support but depends on BTC’s mood; OKB fundamentals solid but unlikely to explode short-term. Avoid chasing highs in consolidation, wait for volume breakout before acting.
$SOL $OKB$ATH$ATH
Damn it! This ATH chart is giving me a blood pressure spike. At the 0.0067 level, the manipulative whales keep stabbing repeatedly, clearly shaking out retail investors to the point of doubting their own sanity. Pure capital game here, the candlestick chart looks like an ECG; if you don't have some resolve, you'll be thrown off early.
I've been watching for a while, and the support below this level is still solid, so there's short-term rebound potential. Around 0.0067, you can lightly go long, but stop loss must be set at 0.0062. If it breaks, accept it and don't hold on!
If you want to follow, check the token market card below for the order book. Don't chase highs; be steady in your positioning. Whether you can make a profit this round depends on how fast your hands are.
👇👇👇
This content is only my personal review and does not constitute investment advice. Control your position size and always set stop losses. #美联储副主席：AI建设正带来新的通胀压力, which may delay the pace of interest rate cuts, exerting macro pressure on the commodity attribute of CL, but the short-term market is still dominated by capital and structure. My overall judgment is that the rebound is not over, but there is great divergence at the top.
There is a clear contradiction between the 1-hour uptrend and the 4-hour downtrend: 24h up 1.3% to 91.19, highest 91.97, lowest 88.3, turnover 15.322 million, funding rate 0.0000%, open interest 364,000, order book buy/sell ratio 0.79, sellers dominate the top 10 levels, and the momentum to chase highs is weak.
Strategy: lightly buy on a pullback to 89.65, stop loss at 88.15, target 91.85; if it rises to around 91.55 and is resisted, short for a quick trade, stop loss at 92.35, target 89.85. Position size should not exceed 20%, exit immediately if broken, avoid holding losing positions.
— For personal opinion only, not investment advice, wish you smooth trading. —
$CL#美联储副主席：AI建设正带来新的通胀压力
#美联储副主席：AI建设正带来新的通胀压力 $CL