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$ETH
$ETH also rose, but slower than $BTC. This is the gap shown by OKX spot's 24-hour performance in the early session. Don't misinterpret the overall market rise as a full capital inflow: money is still picking the strongest assets first.
I tend to first watch whether ETH/BTC can stop falling. Without a rebound in the ratio, the standalone rebound of $ETH has limited value; only if both the ratio and spot trading strengthen together does it indicate that risk appetite is truly starting to spread.Last time, the non-farm payrolls tripled the composite expectations, so this time's non-farm payrolls won't be any worse. Based on current clues, the most likely outcome is close to expectations, neither strong nor weak. However, this time the institutional forecast range is very wide, and the possibility of a black swan event is not small. Even if the new jobs added meet expectations, if the hourly wage month-over-month soars above 0.4%, the market will still interpret it as an inflation risk and will still price towards rate hikes, putting risk assets under pressure.
Tonight there is a high probability of a sharp drop because the current prices are all built on the assumption that all bad news has been priced in. As long as more bad news comes out, the market will immediately collapse. Previously, bad news kept coming out, but the market kept rising, which was essentially a bet that no more bad news would follow. They have already completed building positions at the bottom. Once the probability of a second rate hike rises, funds will definitely be cashed out on the spot, rather than waiting another two months until December. $NEAR: Hacked, plunges 10% in a single day
NEAR was originally one of the strongest public chains recently — rising from under $2 at the end of August to over $5.5, but on October 1st it encountered a NEAR Intents security vulnerability, with a total loss of about $3.8 million, and services were suspended for 12 hours.
Once the news broke, NEAR plummeted from $5.34 to $4.86, a drop of about 10%. NEAR co-founder Illia Polosukhin stated that the vulnerability was isolated to USDT on BSC, and the team located and fixed the issue within an hour. The NEAR mainnet operation was unaffected. Notably, Bitwise's NEAR ETF (NRR) attracted over $50 million in inflows in two days, facing its first stress test right after launch.
$5.56 is the dividing line between bulls and bears. If NEAR can consolidate between $5.01 and $5.56 and then break through, it could rally back to $5.82; if it continues to fall below $4.73, further declines are possible.
$BTC $ZEC #英伟达追加1500亿美元股票回购 #比特币ETF连续9日流入，ETH转流出 #加息预期推迟，9月非农成下一关键 Tokenized stocks issued by Coinbase on the Base network have reached $1.5 billion in DEX trading volume over the past 30 days, a 313% increase compared to the previous 30 days.
About $1.4 billion of this occurred on Aerodrome, with approximately $83.8 million on Uniswap V4.
This curve indicates that the focus of tokenized stocks is shifting from "issuance" to "trading" — the underlying liquidity pools, rather than centralized exchanges, are meeting the on-chain demand for traditional stocks.$ZEC I am currently bearish for a month, expecting it to drop to 700. I don't think anyone is shorting at my price of 1692 with 50x leverage.
Sent it out, sisters, really sent it!
Finally, I got the direction right, holding from 1692 all the way to now.
The biggest regret is that I closed 85% of my position.
Now the support level has also been broken,
I estimate this drop will reach 11300.
Why do I say 1300 won't hold?
Because after breaking below 1300, the trend is completely changed.
Also, below is a vacuum zone, and above are all trapped longs who chased at high prices; in the short term, the manipulators definitely won't pump it up to let them break even.
Plus, the non-farm payroll data will be released on October 2, and there is a rate hike meeting at the end of October. These macro pressures are piling up step by step. For altcoins like ZEC, once funds withdraw, it's not something that can be resolved in a day or two.
So at this time, I will firmly hold my short position.
The main thing is not to overleverage and to set take-profit properly.
Finally, it's our short sellers' turn to hold our heads high. No milk tea tonight, just order hotpot to celebrate!
$BTC
$SOL #RateHikeExpectationsDelayed, SeptemberNonFarmPayrollsBecomeNextKey Honestly, what BRC-20 has never lacked is just launching another new coin.
The coins are on-chain, and trading can only be done through long-term limit orders and a few CEXs. If you want to trade the coins yourself, either the price gap is huge, or you simply can't find a counterparty. There are holders, but no order book that allows repeated in-and-out trading.
What UniHexa is doing now is basically this: order book limit orders, with funds still in addresses derived from your own wallet, and the final settlement happens on Bitcoin.
It's still early and the market depth is shallow, so don't expect it to instantly activate the entire BRC-20 market. But at least it provides these coins a place where, under self-custody, you can place orders, execute trades, and withdraw. This market layer really didn't exist before. #9月非农今晚公布，加息预期成焦点 $BTC Trump announced another crypto dinner event targeting $TRUMP whales.
This information itself is not very substantial, but it continues a noteworthy pattern: organizing offline events using a political figure's personal token to maintain token demand.
After the previous dinner, both the price and popularity of $TRUMP experienced significant fluctuations, indicating that the design of "holding amount determines entry" can indeed create real demand.
What is more worth pondering is its long-term impact on the industry: political figures issuing tokens and organizing events based on holding thresholds directly link "political participation" with "token price."
While this brings attention, it also makes crypto more prone to narratives of "celebrity effect + short-term speculation," moving further away from discussions about technology and applications.
When seeing such news, beyond the excitement, it’s worth asking: does it bring capital to the industry, or is it just noise. $BTC to 200,000, $ETH breaking 10,000, $SOL reaching 1,000, altcoins fully erupting. These targets set within a 6 to 12 month window require not only cyclical patterns but also liquidity, policy, and capital rotation working together.
Standard Chartered and Bernstein's long-term forecasts for ETH are indeed above 10,000, but the timeline is 2027 to 2029, not next year.
Glassnode's altcoin cycle signal has already lit up, but the altcoin season index is still between 60 and 64, some distance from the confirmed 75.
The direction can be trusted, but don't copy the timeline.⚖️ The SEC just proposed letting advisers and funds hold crypto themselves
Most people will read the headline and move on
The details are where it gets interesting — four specific changes:
1. Self-custody could be allowed under certain circumstances $BTC
2. State trust companies could act as custodians for client and fund crypto
3. Barriers stopping advisers from giving crypto advice would be removed
4. Regulated funds could offer a wider range of crypto strategies
$ETH $AAVE This trade is quite interesting. Recently, I've been making consecutive profits and feeling impatient. I placed a market order to short 10u at 171. The price quickly dropped to 170, so I added 50u to my short position to increase my floating profit. The market quickly reversed, pulling up to 175 within ten minutes, trapping me with an 80u loss. This pullback accounted for one-fifth of my total assets. Regretting it doesn't help. Soon, there was a correction, and I sold half of my position at 172, realizing a 25u loss. The logic was that the previous rise was too rapid, and if there was a second wave, the loss would be too big. But if I closed everything and the price dropped afterward, then rose again, I could do T+0 trading or add positions with the same size. At this point, I had already placed a 100u sell order at the previous high of 176.2 to see if the market would continue to fall or give me a chance to do T+0. Finally, the price rose to around 177, and the T+0 order was executed. Looking at the previous market moves, it was a fast rise followed by a quick drop. This time, adding to the floating loss was based on the guess that history would repeat itself. Sure enough, the price corrected to 174 and I closed all positions, with an overall loss of 17u. For a short position with 50x leverage and 60u margin, losing 17u after a 3% rise is already the best outcome. I'm also grateful to myself for daring to close the losing position while adding to the floating loss. But on the other hand, what makes you successful can also be your downfall. If the market had kept rising unilaterally, I might have blown up today. I wish everyone can T+0 trade to get the results they want $ETH miners should be cautious with defense; if the leader can firmly hold above 85500, it won't consolidate for so long. Something unusual is happening! Stay empty on Black Friday, take profits on long positions when appropriate.State growth is slower than transaction speed but may determine whether ordinary people can still run nodes
Each $ETH contract interaction may increase the state that needs to be stored long-term. After throughput improves, if invalid or expired data keeps accumulating, node hardware and synchronization costs will gradually rise, eventually leaving only resource-rich institutions willing to store the full history.
Therefore, scaling cannot just pursue transactions per second; it must also handle state expiration, historical data, and proof methods. If nodes can verify the current state without permanently carrying all old data, the participation threshold will not unilaterally increase over time. Short-term users do not feel this cost, but long-term decentralization depends on it.
Historical data and current state must also be handled separately. Old data can be stored by specialized services and proven on demand, while the state required for current consensus must remain verifiable. Deleting both indiscriminately or permanently burdening every node is not a sustainable solution.
If verification costs only rise and never fall, the larger the network grows, the fewer people may be able to independently verify it.
The network's ability to handle more transactions today is just speed; the endurance is whether ordinary computers can still verify it ten years from now.pengu Fat Penguin Buying some to see if I can take a chance, the daily chart price is currently at a low level. Buying now isn't ideal, but I plan to hold long-term without impact. Essentially, I'm betting on two things: first, whether the “Fat Penguin” brand can continue to grow (looking at toy sales, partnerships, IPO progress), and second, whether market sentiment is willing to assign a high premium to this brand story. Compared to other copycats, it has more tangible support, which is the underlying logic for buying it.Monday was slammed, Micron's earnings report came Wednesday night, and the Asian market rebounded first on Thursday. Why was Monday slammed? Over the weekend, Bloomberg reported that Solidigm, a subsidiary of SK Hynix, is considering going public in the U.S. as early as next year, with a valuation of up to $100 billion. During Monday's Seoul session, SK Hynix fell about 5%, major shareholder SK Square dropped over 8%, and U.S. storage stocks weakened accordingly, with Micron down 3% to 4% in early trading. The market's concern is not supply, but SK Group's already complex shareholding structure and the dilution of SK Hynix's equity in the NAND business after the spin-off. Micron's earnings: very good, but no rise. Revenue was $54.2 billion, up 379% year-over-year, gross margin 87%, next quarter guidance $60 billion to $63 billion, over 75% of 2027 fiscal year shipments already locked in, shortage expected to continue until 2028. After-hours stock price fluctuated within 1%, basically unchanged. My judgment: the market is not buying performance now, but certainty beyond performance. Mechanism: long-term supply agreements lock in prices and shipment volumes in advance, cyclical stocks are priced like growth stocks, valuations are more sensitive to marginal changes, so good news is only enough to prevent a drop, while equity structure news like Solidigm's can cause a drop of more than 5%. Who is catching up? On Thursday, KOSPI rose nearly 2% to 6,971, Samsung rose about 2.8%, SK Hynix rose about 3.2%. September South Korean chips $ETH current price is 2714.21, I am your master.
BTC keeps surging upward, but Ethereum clearly can't keep up the pace, a typical case of following the rise without leading it. Looking at the daily chart, the position isn't low, but trading volume continues to shrink. Bulls want to push higher, but without incremental funds to take over, it's hard to open up a large space.
The previous high of 2806 is a tough barrier; the two attempts to break above it were smashed down, with trapped positions accumulating around this area. As long as there is no volume breakout above 2806, it can't escape the pattern of oscillating within a high-level box.
When the market sentiment is hot, it rises slightly; when the market has slight fluctuations, its pullback is often more severe than BTC. ETH now relies more on market sentiment to drive it, and its own sector benefits are insufficiently stimulating.
The daily support below is at 2622; this level must not be effectively broken. Once lost, a short-term deep correction will start to digest previous profits. With inflation data looming overhead, no one in the market dares to act recklessly.
Don't blindly chase Ethereum just because BTC is strong; its elasticity is large, and the damage from pullbacks is also significant. Don't force BTC logic onto ETH.
#ETH lacks active buying in the follow-up rally
#Pay close attention to resistance at 2806 and support at 2622
#Beware of independent catch-up drop risk under strong market
This is only market observation and does not constitute investment advice$PEPE 📌 Positioning of the WLFI Token
Official clarification: WLFI cannot receive any profit distribution; its sole function is governance voting. Unlike some tokens, it does not share protocol profits or pay dividends.
💰 The project has revenue
Although the WLFI token does not distribute profits, the World Liberty Financial project earns real money through the USD1 stablecoin:
Interest income: USD1 reserves (such as U.S. Treasury bonds) generate interest, with expected annual revenue close to $150 million.
Income destination: This income belongs to the project company. Entities related to the Trump family hold about 38%-40% equity and take 75% of the net proceeds from token sales.
⚠️ Key misalignment
Moreover, Binance rewards USD1 holders every month with 10% to 30% rewards paid in WLFI tokens.
USD1 holders can immediately liquidate the WLFI tokens they receive as rewards.
Therefore, this token does not have a promising future.
It only makes WLFI holders pay the price.
This creates an awkward situation: you buy WLFI to vote, but the project's earnings mainly flow to shareholders (such as the Trump family), who fund USD1. Large holders of USD1 receive rewards paid in WLFI tokens, rather than WLFI holders bearing the cost.
So strictly speaking: WLFI tokens have no income rights, but the WLFI project has revenue, which is just used to fund USD1.$SKHYNIX 📌 Positioning of the WLFI Token
Official clarification: WLFI cannot receive any profit distribution; its sole function is governance voting. Unlike some tokens, it does not share protocol profits or pay dividends.
💰 Project Revenue
Although the WLFI token does not distribute profits, the World Liberty Financial project earns real money through the USD1 stablecoin:
Interest income: USD1 reserves (such as U.S. Treasury bonds) generate interest, with expected annual revenue close to $150 million.
Revenue allocation: These revenues belong to the project company. Entities related to the Trump family hold about 38%-40% equity and take 75% of the net proceeds from token sales.
⚠️ Key Misalignment
Moreover, Binance rewards USD1 holders monthly with 10%-30% rewards paid in WLFI tokens.
USD1 holders can immediately liquidate the WLFI tokens they receive as rewards.
Therefore, this token does not have a promising future.
It merely makes WLFI holders pay the price.
This creates an awkward situation: you buy WLFI to vote, but the project's earnings mainly flow to shareholders (such as the Trump family), who fund USD1. Large holders of USD1 receive rewards in WLFI tokens, which are not paid for by WLFI holders.
So strictly speaking: WLFI tokens have no income rights, but the WLFI project does have income, which is just used to fund USD1. The doubts grew louder when 1710 was smashed; some said my long position was over. A few hours later, SanDisk surged from 1708 straight up to 1802.
The message from the day before was still there: 1710 is the floor, hold it and it will recover. Today’s market action played out exactly as that phrase predicted.
Position: SNDK, long. Current price around 1787. Position still held, strategy changed to wait for a recovery to 1797.
Market action
Opened at 1735, first tricked people down to 1708, almost right at my marked 1710 defense line. A few hours later, it pulled up to 1802, closed at 1787, daily volatility 5.4%. This is not a reversal, it’s the lower boundary of the range being emotionally broken but not structurally broken.
1710 held firm. 1797 is still overhead; today’s high of 1802 just touched it but didn’t hold above. MA5 is still pressing down from above; a true confirmed recovery requires a daily close back above 1797. 1834 remains the next barrier.
Viewpoint
The place with the loudest doubts is often the cleanest structural point. NAND price increases are still ongoing, long-term contracts remain, and the October 29 earnings report is still pending. The short-term main battlefield remains 1710–1797: the lower boundary has been tested once, the upper boundary is still unresolved. I continue to hold long positions at the lower boundary of the range, waiting to take partial profits once the upper boundary is reclaimed.#9月非农今晚公布，加息预期成焦点 #闪迪MSCI调仓生效，NAND估值受关注 $ETH 📌 Positioning of the WLFI Token
Official clarification: WLFI cannot receive any profit distribution; its sole function is governance voting. Unlike some tokens, it does not share protocol profits or pay dividends.
💰 The project has revenue
Although the WLFI token does not distribute profits, the World Liberty Financial project earns real money through the USD1 stablecoin:
Interest income: USD1 reserves (such as U.S. Treasury bonds) generate interest, with expected annual revenue close to $150 million.
Revenue allocation: This income belongs to the project company. Entities related to the Trump family hold about 38%-40% equity and take 75% of the net proceeds from token sales.
⚠️ Key misalignment
Moreover, Binance rewards USD1 holders monthly with 10% to 30% rewards paid in WLFI tokens.
USD1 holders can immediately liquidate the WLFI tokens they receive as rewards.
Therefore, this token does not have a promising future.
It merely makes WLFI holders pay the price.
This creates an awkward situation: you buy WLFI to vote, but the project's earnings mainly flow to shareholders (such as the Trump family), who fund USD1. Large holders of USD1 receive rewards paid in WLFI tokens, rather than WLFI holders bearing the cost.
So strictly speaking: the WLFI token has no income rights, but the WLFI project does have income, which is just used to fund USD1.Conclusion first: $MEGA rose 22.6% in 24 hours, with OKX perpetual contracts trading about $44M — this is not a sentiment-driven peak, but a typical capital relay where volume leads and price follows.
Throughout September, MEGA stayed in the 0.034–0.044 range, with an average daily turnover under $2 million. At 20:00 on September 30, a 4-hour candle with an 18% amplitude wiped out the monthly high — price led the way.
On October 1 during the day, volume gradually expanded from 1.5 million contracts to 11.4 million contracts, with funding rate settled at 0% — no imbalance between longs and shorts, this was spot-like buying, not a leveraged liquidation.
The real volume explosion came in the early hours of October 2 with a 4-hour candle: 34.6 million contracts (170 times the daily average in September), pushing price from 0.0507 to 0.0556, a +9.7% gain.
Market context: BTC +2.1%, but more declines than gains — 114 up, 145 down. MEGA strengthened against the trend with sustained volume, indicating active capital selection rather than sector rotation.
The neckline is at 0.055; breaking it targets 0.065; a pullback to 0.050 without breaking structure is still healthy. The question is: what narrative is driving this $MEGA move? Do you think big capital is accumulating chips or pumping to dump?$TSLA 📌 Positioning of the WLFI Token
Official clarification: WLFI cannot receive any profit distribution; its sole function is governance voting. Unlike some tokens, it does not share protocol profits or pay dividends.
💰 The project has revenue
Although the WLFI token does not distribute profits, the World Liberty Financial project earns real money through the USD1 stablecoin:
Interest income: USD1 reserves (such as U.S. Treasury bonds) generate interest, with expected annual revenue close to $150 million.
Revenue allocation: These revenues belong to the project company. Entities associated with the Trump family hold about 38%-40% equity and take 75% of the net proceeds from token sales.
⚠️ Key misalignment
Moreover, Binance rewards USD1 holders monthly with 10%-30% rewards paid in WLFI tokens.
USD1 holders can immediately liquidate these WLFI tokens.
Therefore, this token does not have a promising future.
It merely makes WLFI holders pay the price.
This creates an awkward situation: you buy WLFI to vote, but the project's earnings mainly flow to shareholders (such as the Trump family), who fund USD1. Large holders of USD1 receive rewards paid in WLFI tokens, rather than WLFI holders bearing the cost.
So strictly speaking: WLFI tokens have no income rights, but the WLFI project has revenue, which is just used to fund USD1.Fiserv launches its digital asset platform on Solana, starting with Bank of North Dakota's Roughrider Coin, which lets 90+ banks and credit unions settle payments in seconds.
$BTC $ETH $SOL $STRK 📌 Positioning of the WLFI Token
Official clarification: WLFI cannot receive any profit distribution; its sole function is governance voting. Unlike some tokens, it does not share protocol profits or pay dividends.
💰 Project Revenue
Although the WLFI token does not distribute profits, the World Liberty Financial project earns real money through the USD1 stablecoin:
Interest income: USD1 reserves (such as U.S. Treasury bonds) generate interest, with expected annual revenue close to $150 million.
Revenue allocation: These revenues belong to the project company. Entities related to the Trump family hold about 38%-40% equity and take 75% of the net proceeds from token sales.
⚠️ Key Misalignment
Moreover, Binance rewards USD1 holders monthly with 10%-30% rewards paid in WLFI tokens.
USD1 holders can immediately liquidate the WLFI tokens they receive as rewards.
Therefore, this token does not have a promising future.
It merely makes WLFI holders pay the price.
This creates an awkward situation: you buy WLFI to vote, but the project's earnings mainly flow to shareholders (such as the Trump family), who fund USD1. Large holders of USD1 receive rewards paid in WLFI tokens, rather than WLFI holders bearing the cost.
So strictly speaking: WLFI tokens have no income rights, but the WLFI project has revenue, which is just used to fund USD1.Latest update on Brother Maji's account, frequent short-term trades. BTC and ETH are rising, but his account is continuously closing long positions, especially ETH, which has been reduced from 2720 to around 2725 with consecutive position cuts worth hundreds of thousands of dollars. BTC is also being realized repeatedly above 85000.
The real focus now is on BTC 85500-86000 and ETH 2730-2750. If these levels break and funds re-enter, it means the selling pressure above has been absorbed and the market can continue; if they don't break and Brother Maji keeps closing longs, then be cautious of a possible pullback after a spike.
Simply put: Brother Maji's current signal is not "bearish," but rather "cautious at high levels." The market isn't bad, but the cost-effectiveness of chasing longs at this position is no longer that high. $BTC $ETH $SOL 📌 Positioning of the WLFI Token
Official clarification: WLFI cannot receive any profit distribution; its sole function is governance voting. Unlike some tokens, it does not share protocol profits or pay dividends.
💰 The project has revenue
Although the WLFI token does not distribute profits, the World Liberty Financial project earns real money through the USD1 stablecoin:
Interest income: USD1 reserves (such as U.S. Treasury bonds) generate interest, with expected annual revenue close to $150 million.
Revenue allocation: This income belongs to the project company. Entities related to the Trump family hold about 38%-40% equity and take 75% of the net proceeds from token sales.
⚠️ Key misalignment
Moreover, Binance rewards USD1 holders monthly with 10% to 30% rewards, paid in WLFI tokens.
USD1 holders can immediately liquidate the WLFI tokens they receive as rewards.
Therefore, this token does not have a promising future.
It merely makes WLFI holders pay the price.
This creates an awkward situation: you buy WLFI to vote, but the project's earnings mainly flow to shareholders (such as the Trump family), who fund USD1. Large holders of USD1 receive rewards paid in WLFI tokens, effectively making non-WLFI holders pay on their behalf.
So strictly speaking: WLFI tokens have no income rights, but the WLFI project has revenue, which is just used to fund USD1.Sending a planet to some people who are panicking. I’m just expressing my own opinion. If you’re empty-handed, what are you even saying? At least those with positions come to argue. Otherwise, do you have the right to randomly bite?
$ETH $BTC Ethereum is about to have a big move, but I think the probability of a crash is much higher than a surge.
The price dropped from 2800, repeatedly testing 2750 but never breaking through.
Now there are only two paths: a big bullish breakout, or a direct waterfall drop. In a bear market environment, the 2700 level has a higher certainty of decline.
Trying to push up 10% directly to 3000 is very difficult.
I’ve already added shorts. Those who think otherwise can go long and show their trades. No real trades, no arguing.
#9月非农今晚公布，加息预期成焦点 #美伊升级风险再升，布油重回100美元 #比特币ETF连续9日流入，ETH转流出 $MEGA The most dangerous misconception right now is equating "strong trend" directly with "continuing to chase is safe."
Both the 1-hour and 4-hour charts are biased strong, with RSI reaching 65 and 84 respectively. The strength hasn't disappeared, but the sentiment is already crowded; at this point, what's truly important is not guessing the highest point, but seeing if the high-level support can quickly recover from the pullback.
Current price is 0.05414, about 18.73% away from the 1-hour support at 0.044, and about 3.73% from resistance at 0.05616. Looking at the distances on both sides together is closer to the real risk than just focusing on a single rising or falling candlestick.
My observation line is very clear: only by standing back above and holding 0.05616 can the short-term initiative be considered regained; if it breaks below 0.044, then attention should shift to the 4-hour support at 0.04047. If pressure continues above, the 4-hour resistance at 0.05616 is temporarily just a distant reference, not a preset target.
Do you think this is a normal overheating within a strong trend, or is the risk already greater than the remaining room?
The market is volatile; the above is only a market observation and does not constitute investment advice. This is from Crypto Bull Bull.#9月非农今晚公布，加息预期成焦点
Tonight's Nonfarm Payrolls release has 3 expected scenarios
1: Much better than expected >100,000 (strong)
Labor market warms up again, employment resilience exceeds expectations, if wages also ≥0.3%, inflation stickiness risk rises; Fed's October rate hike expectations rise again, rate cut expectations further delayed;
Dollar strengthens, US Treasury yields rise; $XAU gold under pressure; US tech growth stocks pressured, value stocks relatively favored.
2: Meets expectations 50,000-100,000 (neutral, the market's most desired range)
Employment cools moderately, no hard landing risk, nor overheating; Fed remains on hold, likely no change in October, keeping future rate hike options open; short-term volatility, no big directional moves, market continues to await CPI and PCE inflation data for guidance.
3: Significantly below expectations <50,000 (cold surprise, including negative values)
Hiring cools rapidly, labor market weakens significantly; Fed's October rate hike expectations cool sharply, trading focus shifts back to "when will rate cuts happen"; dollar weakens, US Treasury yields fall, $XAG gold rises; US growth stocks benefit from rate cut expectations rebound.So how can ordinary people enter the core leadership of CKB to change the entire public chain? What should be done? What are the requirements?
To be honest: ordinary people do not have a formal channel to "enter the core team," but there is a verified alternative path—accumulate influence through public contributions and then impact the protocol direction.
1. First clarify: the core team is not recruitment-based
The governance body of CKB is the Nervos Foundation, responsible for managing ecosystem funds, setting technical standards, and coordinating community development. The founding and core architecture roles are established: Nervos was co-founded in 2018 by Terry Tai, Kevin Wang, Cipher Wang, and Daniel Lv, with Jan Xie responsible for the overall blockchain architecture; Jan was a core Ethereum developer and co-developed Casper with Vitalik. These positions have no public application entry; essentially, they are formed through long-term collaboration relationships, not by submitting resumes.
2. The truly open entry is RFC
This is the most practical step. RFC stands for Request for Comments, established to provide an open, community-driven path for improving new protocols and best practices, similar to Ethereum's EIP and Bitcoin's BIP; Nervos aimed to establish a complete community proposal, discussion, and implementation process from the project's inception, with numerous Issues/PR discussions generated daily on GitHub.
Moreover, the official stance clearly welcomes external participation: besides the Nervos Foundation, any individual or organization is welcome to propose modifications and comments. There is precedent—CKB's economic model proposal was primarily authored by Kevin Wang, co-constructed with the team and economists and game theory scholars domestically and internationally; within two days of the proposal release, the community provided a large number of representative feedback, and the Foundation subsequently launched a reward program on the Talk forum to interpret the proposal. Ultimately, the proposal was merged into the RFC codebase on March 30, numbered RFC 0015.
3. Substantive conditions to meet
1. Technical ability is a hard threshold. If it involves underlying protocol development, expertise in blockchain, cryptography, distributed systems, and consensus algorithms is required, along with proficiency in C++, Rust, or Go; building the underlying architecture from scratch typically takes 12–24 months. Specifically for CKB, the CKB-VM is based on RISC-V, with contract-side libraries like ckb-std (Rust) and ckb-c-stdlib (C).
2. Proposals must be self-verifiable for feasibility. The community discussion standard is quite straightforward: the criteria are "Is this project worth doing (technically + economically)?" and "Can the team actually deliver?" Only after confirming feasibility can a public team selection process be initiated to improve governance and reduce moral hazard; it is also recommended that all proposals clearly state total person-months, single person-month cost, and whether pricing aligns with market conditions.
3. Influence relies on continuous verifiable contributions, not identity. The common logic in open source projects is: first understand the project culture and guiding principles, contribute code or documentation, actively participate in community discussions, and then gradually take on more responsibilities.
4. A reality that must be reminded
"Changing the entire public chain" and "proposing an adopted RFC" are two different scales. Changes to consensus or issuance rules ultimately depend on miners and nodes upgrading and activating. Governance disputes are common—for example, the Neo case in March 2026: a proposal requested relocating the foundation to the Cayman Islands, establishing a five-person board and independent supervisors, and imposing a 24-month term ban on two founders, but another founder explicitly opposed, arguing that the plan bases legitimacy on off-chain legal structures, leaving unverifiable spaces. This shows that even with proposals, implementation often involves long-term bargaining.
In short: the path exists, but the order cannot be reversed—first have verifiable public contributions, then talk about influence; directly wanting to "enter the core layer and then change rules" basically won't work.
The above is compiled from public information and does not constitute investment advice.
If you plan to proceed with RFC, I can help you organize the typical modules a proposal should include (background, motivation, technical solution, compatibility impact, economic impact assessment), making it easier to pass the initial screening upon submission. $ZEC 【$BICO｜Midday Review】
The early session rebounded from a low of 0.02191 to a high of 0.02258, with short-term moving averages in a bullish alignment, showing a wave of oversold recovery rebound.
Smart money perspective: The nominal long-short ratio is 166.48%, with a higher proportion of long traders, but large long holders have an average cost of 0.02318 and are still at a floating loss, creating potential selling pressure to break even; short positions are close to the current price, with most already profitable.
Individual holdings: 8× full long position opened at 0.03496, with a huge floating loss, margin ratio only 4.20%, position is highly risky.
The market is only a short-term rebound, no reversal signals seen, large room to recover losses, very low tolerance for errors. The key focus next is whether the rebound can hold above the 0.0226‑0.0232 resistance zone.
Respect leverage, manage risk well.
#9月非农今晚公布，加息预期成焦点
#美伊升级风险再升，布油重回100美元
#比特币ETF连续9日流入，ETH转流出 Whale's 180 million chip bottom cards exposed, the real killer moves are all embedded in the bones of BTC and ETH.
Retail investors always chase hot topics and fringe coins, but experts never lose their way—mainline heavy positions determine the outcome, gradient leverage bets on macro, and small amounts test emotions.
BTC 40X full position long, 516 coins, opened at 86200, liquidation line pressed down to 74800. The leverage seems crazy but actually reserves a buffer, designed specifically for extreme spikes around non-farm payroll or macro data, focusing on holding firm.
ETH 25X full position long, 32,000 coins, the heaviest and most core ballast of the entire portfolio, liquidation line lowered to 2480, allowing ample time for wide-range consolidation.
HYPE and other fringe targets are just embellishments, purely emotional positions, unable to shake the lifeline dominated by the dual core.
Those in the know understand: in big market windows, main force chips never dwell on the fringe. This layout entrusts the winning move to the two major mainstreams—BTC for elasticity, ETH for the base, with small amounts riding sector heat.
But be clear: 40X and 25X full positions are still licking the blade. The liquidation price looks far, but under extreme liquidity drought, anything is possible. The whale has backup replenishment and hedging; if you don't, do not blindly rush in to match.$ZEC is trading near $1,335 after falling more than 21% from its $1,698 peak
The move is interesting because the sell-off came alongside a $30.25M ZEC ETF outflow on Sep 30, while one whale withdrew 14,190 ZEC worth about $20M past month
Still, another whale cluster has been accumulating
I’m not rushing into a trade here. I want to see ZEC reclaim $1,400; otherwise, $1,300–$1,350 is the zone I’m watching. I’d rather wait for confirmation.UNI is busy taking on business, is DOGE still waiting for sentiment to pay off? $UNI On 9.16, Uniswap announced integration with Circle's Arc, with web, wallet, and API support synchronized. The official disclosure revealed that stablecoin exchange volume reached $43 billion in Q2. The market doesn't necessarily need continuous rallies; swapping and settlement themselves generate real demand. However, for trading volume to translate into token value, it depends on how fees are allocated and impThe most dangerous moment on the chessboard is not when you are in check, but when you think you've gained a pawn for free.
$FIL is currently standing on such a square. A 24-hour +4.11% looks like a smooth advance for White, but what I'm watching isn't this pawn, but the diagonal line left empty behind it. The short-term RSI is 66.5, just a step and a half away from overbought; the long-term RSI is 49.3—these two curves look like a pair of elephants forcibly pulled apart, one occupying the open line, the other still stuck on the baseline. I call this structure a false spatial advantage.
Looking at the Bollinger Bands, the short-term price is already at the 81% position, with only 0.8% room left above and 3.8% buffer below; the mid-term is even more extreme at 102%, completely beyond the upper band, with the upper band relative price at -0.1%, meaning the price is stepping outside the boundary. Chess theory offers only one explanation: your pawn has advanced too far, separated from the protection of other pieces, becoming an isolated pawn. An isolated pawn can win a game, but only if the opponent cooperates. The market never cooperates.
My suggested entry is 0.78, 4.1% above the current price. Some may ask: if you are bearish, why set the entry point higher? Because in the Sicilian Defense, the best counterattack never comes from a direct center clash, but by letting the opponent make that move first. Let the price push up one more step, make the longs pay the price, then we press down from there. This is a strategy of waiting for the opponent to err, not rushing to make mistakes ourselves.
Trading plan:
📉 Short:
Entry: 0.78 (current price +4.1%)
Take Profit 1: 0.70 (-6.8%)
Take Profit 2: 0.71 (-4.6%)
Stop Loss: 0.87 (+16.5%)
The stop loss is set at +16.5% because I won't concede defeat before the opponent truly opens the position. Above 0.87 means the mid-term upper band has been effectively broken and held, so my entire assessment must be reconsidered—but reconsideration does not mean stubborn defense; that is another game.
As for why target 1 is placed before target 2, taking 0.70 first then covering back at 0.71 is not a typo, but reversing the exchange order to capture: first take the deeper bite, then return to the shallower one, gaining an extra pawn while shortening the battle line. Opening looks at structure, midgame looks at exchanges, endgame looks at who breaks first.
White's king-side has already cracked. #storjchapter11ENA dropped 8% today, around 0.24
But this bearish candle is not the main point
The key date is October 5th
Ethena merged all remaining investor unlocks in August into a single release ahead of schedule
Originally, the unlock was supposed to be gradual until March 2028, but now it's all released at once
About 1.41 billion tokens, valued at roughly 340 million USD at the current price, accounting for about 14% of the circulating supply
Unlocking doesn't mean a dump, but it's not that simple either
The foundation said it has bought out most early investors' chips off-market, but the buyers, quantities, and prices have not been disclosed
One wallet refused to be bought out
So the supply pressure is eased, not gone
The largest holder, StablecoinX, holds about 3 billion tokens, and its lockup also ends on October 5th
But selling and transferring still require written approval from the foundation; it's not free to sell just because the lockup expires
What about buybacks? Governance passed, but the trigger threshold is USDe supply reaching 7.5 billion USD, currently about 4.9 billion
Not reached yet
Today's drop looks more like the market is preemptively digesting the pressure of the 5th
After the 5th, watch two things: whether large wallets transfer to exchanges, and whether USDe supply approaches 7.5 billion
The above is an event summary, not trading advice. DYOR
$ENA I am the mid-term intelligence brother!
Bringing you the current bullish and bearish news on $ETH.
Citibank sets a 12-month target of 3028, with ETF fund inflows, treasury repo, and SEC regulations acting as catalysts;
Vitalik promotes zkAPI, privacy payment AI/API implementation; Q3 rose 70.9%, outperforming BTC; some even predict 10,000 by year-end.
However, MetaMask has about 17,000 validators, 523,000 ETH exited due to security incidents, with withdrawals taking up to 45 days;
Spot ETF net outflow of 59.58 million on 9/30; exit queue of 773,000 ETH, social sentiment at a low, Ripple's market cap even surpasses ETH.
Currently, it is still a mix of bullish and bearish factors, so be sure to control your position!
$BTC
$ZEC
#比特币ETF连续9日流入，ETH转流出
#美伊升级风险再升，布油重回100美元 Active Trading Radar｜Last 15 Minutes
$BTC showed a buying bias in the first two segments, with buying and selling nearly balanced in the last segment: overall active buying was 60.7%, dropping to 42.4% in the last segment, with a 15-minute price change of +0.13%. The buyer's advantage did not continue until the end of the window, and the most recent segment showed no clear one-sided transaction dominance.$LIT 10x leverage to secure a profit of 200 points
I observed that since early September
open interest has been declining, while the price was still at its peak
The whales have been pulling a bit to sell off some positions midway
The current contract open interest has dropped by 50% compared to the beginning of the month
Currently, the circulating supply is about 1 billion USD worth of tokens
There are still 3 billion USD worth of tokens to be unlocked later
Holding the short position will yield profitsBTC trading strategy for October 2:
Before the 20:30 data release, the price oscillates between 84,300 and 85,200; it is recommended to stay on the sidelines.
After the data release, a volume-backed breakout above 85,200 with a stable hold allows for light long positions;
If it falls below 84,000 and rebounds weakly, it is advisable to lightly short following the trend.
Take profit and stop loss:
Set stop loss for long positions below 84,000, with the first target at 85,800–86,000 and the second target at 86,500.
Set stop loss for short positions above 85,500, with the first target at 83,500 and the second target at 82,500.
Tonight's nonfarm payrolls are expected to add 84,000–90,000 jobs (previous value 162,000), with a very wide forecast range and high uncertainty.
The 1-hour chart shows price consolidating narrowly between 84,300 and 85,200;
The sell wall in the 85,000–85,500 range has tripled since September 24, forming strong resistance;
84,000 is the short-term dividing line between bulls and bears. The probability of a Fed rate hike in October has dropped to about 25%, and the data's strength will directly affect rate hike expectations. BTC ETH #9月非农今晚公布，加息预期成焦点 【On-Chain Trading Update｜BTC】
Monitored address 0xc30c opened a short position:
▪ Execution price: 85,278.83 USD
▪ Transaction amount this time: 981,534.62 USD
▪ Leverage: 20xI've seen too many projects where the sales office is built as a landmark, but the foundation is as fragile as tofu. $ETC's current structure is a typical case of "facade rushing the schedule, load-bearing walls not inspected."
It surged 5.92% in 24 hours, seemingly adding three more floors, but looking at its mechanical report: the short-term RSI has climbed to 65.6, just a breath away from the overbought red line; the long-term RSI is still stuck at 51.1 on the midline, barely moving. This is not "resonance at the same frequency," but the upper framework is drifting while the base foundation is asleep — a glance at the blueprint shows the load path is broken. A truly stable building transmits stress synchronously in both short and long cycles; this misalignment indicates that the driving force behind this rally is not structural load but wind.
Next, look at the Bollinger Bands. In the short term, the price is already at 80% of the range height, with only 1.4% clearance above and a 6.0% drop to the lower boundary; the mid-term is even more extreme, at 86%, just 1.2% from the upper band and 7.4% from the lower. Translated into construction terms: the suspended basket has already hit the scaffold beam; lifting it further will break the suspension cables before the building. Any slight retracement or wind load will cause it to free-fall and fill those uncast voids.
So my construction plan is clear — no additional floors at the top, instead short at the high level, and wait for it to fall back to floors with load-bearing support before reassessing.
📉 Short:
Entry: 7.38 (current price +6.0%)
Take Profit 1: 6.27 (-10.0%)
Take Profit 2: 6.48 (-6.9%)
Stop Loss: 8.10 (+16.3%)
This stop loss is not drawn casually. 8.10 means raising the price 16.3% above the current level — a complete breakout above the upper band that requires real volume to grout the load-bearing walls to hold. If it can truly complete this layer with volume, my blueprint is worthless, and I will accept the loss and dismantle. But before that, +6.0% is where I'm willing to place orders to enter, because building a position above 80% of the Bollinger Band range is like stacking rebar on an uninspected slab.
Take Profit 1 at -10.0% corresponds to a full retracement of this rally and the thickest structural slab below; Take Profit 2 at -6.9% is to secure half the gains first and let the rest follow the structure. Exiting in two stages is like topping out the main structure, first inspecting the core tube, then the curtain wall, not risking all chips on one inspection.
$ETC's old blueprint itself is not problematic — the base protocol is stable, and the operating lifespan is long enough, belonging to a solid old-style frame structure. But solid does not mean it's worth entering at the current price. What it lacks now is not the design but new builders and fresh concrete capital. No matter how beautiful the whitepaper is, without tower cranes delivering materials, the building will forever remain a shell.
A bullish candle without load-bearing wall support can collapse with just one wind load.Missed the boat, missed the boat, I haven't gotten on this rally yet! Can only wait for a pullback! The hourly W bottom for Bitcoin has formed because it broke through the neckline at 84332. The hourly W bottom formation led to a rebound. However, the rebound did not break above the resistance at 85280 indicated by the red arrow; it was blocked at 85280 resistance and fell back, pulling back below the support at 84332 indicated by the red arrow. After confirming the support was effective, it started to rise again. Now it depends on whether Bitcoin can break through the 85280 resistance. Only if it breaks 85280 resistance can the rebound continue upward to the positions marked by the red box at 85600 and 86368. What if you missed this rally? You can only wait for Bitcoin to pull back to 83800-84300 to see if a bottom signal appears at these two positions before going long. Right now, I honestly don't dare chase longs because it's too close to the previous high at 87000. Whether it can reach 87000, I won't say, but there's no risk-reward ratio! Many people missed this rally. From a hindsight perspective: look at the positions circled in the red box below; only here is the opportunity to get on board, but I think few dare to enter here. Because the cluster of candlesticks circled in the red box are all small fragmented bullish candles, or candles with upper and lower shadows without effective bodies—who would dare to enter? So I missed out too. The ideal maximum position is to wait for Bitcoin to pull back to 83100 and show a signal before going long, but I don't know if it will reach that. If it does, then go for it; if not, just watch. Bitcoin broke through 85086 with volume; aggressive traders entered on the right side, 84497 with volume.Dogecoin $DOGE: DogeOS testnet launched, but price shows no reaction
DOGE is currently quoted at about $0.094. After the DogeOS testnet officially opened on September 30, the price remained almost unchanged.
DogeOS essentially equips Dogecoin with a "smart contract engine"—this is a ZK Rollup layer 2 network that supports the Ethereum Virtual Machine. Developers can pay fees in DOGE to run smart contract applications. The first projects launched include the liquidity engine Barkswap, the perpetual trading platform Derps, and the prediction market aggregator Snag. However, the reason the price hasn't risen is simple: DOGE on the testnet is freely distributed and has no real value, and the mainnet launch date has not yet been announced.
In the short term, $0.10 is a strong resistance level. Long positions are already overcrowded. If the price cannot effectively break through $0.10 within the next 48 to 72 hours, it may fall back to the $0.09 support level; if the breakout succeeds, the 7-day target is $0.11, and the 30-day target is between $0.12 and $0.13.
$BTC $ZEC #美伊升级风险再升，布油重回100美元 #比特币ETF连续9日流入，ETH转流出 #特朗普签署行政令将AI更名为SI A friend sent me a message saying ZEC has dropped again, how's your long position?
$ZEC current price is 1336, I'm watching my OKX account, the long position is floating at a loss of over 20%, I really forgot the pain after the last wound 🥲
I opened the position at 1471, at that time I saw it drop from 1697 and thought it should rebound after falling more than 200, right? But this crazy knife is totally unreasonable, it broke 1438, reached 1336, sliding all the way down without even a decent rebound. I glanced at the order book, there are scattered buy orders around 1300-1320, but very thin, while sell orders are piling up. The volume isn't large, but the price just won't rise, indicating the bulls have completely lost their strength.
Key levels I'll mark:
Support: 1300-1320, if it breaks below I'll cut half, stop loss set below 1280, no catching falling knives.
Resistance: 1380-1420, if the rebound can't break through, it's weak, if given a chance I'll exit first.
My plan: if it breaks below 1300 I'll accept the loss and leave, keep a small base position to watch. If it can stop falling with shrinking volume near 1320, I might hold a bit more and wait to exit near the 1380 rebound. ZEC is tough to trade both long and short, this time I chased longs on impulse, I admit it.Brothers, $ETH, is it going to fight me to the death?
Ethereum has been oscillating around 2700 recently, neither up nor down, grinding on people's nerves. In the past few trading days, it has repeatedly touched above 2700 at the highs, but has never shown a clear direction.
My plan is simple:
As long as $ETH breaks above 2700, I will short immediately!
Let's see who wears who down.
If the bulls want to push for a breakout, I'll wait above; if the bears want to smash the market, I'm not in a hurry either. After such a long sideways movement, the market has to give an answer.
But brothers, a choppy market is the most tormenting, so don't get carried away. Before the direction comes out, chasing highs and cutting losses is the easiest way to get hit from both sides.
Ethereum, what exactly do you want to do?
Keep grinding around 2700, or choose a direction directly?
My short position has been waiting for almost a week now; this time, let's see who breaks first. 😅
Brothers, do you think ETH will next surge to 3000 or fall back to 2500? Let's chat in the comments.
#加息预期推迟，9月非农成下一关键 #比特币ETF连续9日流入，ETH转流出 #Strategy再购BTC，多家财库同步增持 #比特币ETF连续9日流入，ETH转流出 On the surface, the market looks quite festive today, with SOL leading the gains, and BTC and ETH turning green. But if you dig into the underlying capital flows, this market actually hides dangers.
Although BTC and ETH are both rising today, the underlying capital logic is completely fractured. The Bitcoin $BTC spot ETF has seen inflows for nine consecutive days, but the critical point is that the inflow speed has sharply slowed down; institutions clearly don’t want to keep pushing aggressively at this level. On the ETH $ETH side, it’s even more disappointing: after several days of inflows, it has now turned into net outflows. The price rebound in ETH today is purely short-term funds chasing the positive market sentiment, not driven by spot buying. This is what we call "strong outside, weak inside."
Looking at the whole sector, SOL $SOL is the strongest gainer, indicating funds are shifting into high-elasticity mainstream assets, while gold has slightly dipped as safe-haven funds temporarily retreat. On the macro front, the cooling PCE gave a brief breather, but ADP employment exceeded expectations, and tonight’s nonfarm payrolls still hang like a sword over the market. The current rally is just sentiment running ahead of the data release.
So I don’t recommend you blindly chase longs right now, especially avoid short-term longs on ETH; institutions are withdrawing, and if you rush in, you’ll be left holding the bag. Hold your spot positions firmly without moving, and lock in profits on short-term gains quickly. Tonight’s nonfarm payrolls could cause sharp spikes and wipes out all high leverage. Control your hands, wait for the data to truly settle before finding direction. Protect your principal and don’t eat the last bite of meat. @OKX星球 Honestly, BRC-20 has been stuck for so long, not because there aren't enough coins. The coins are all on-chain, but when you really want to sell, you often can only post orders in groups or go to a few CEXs. Holding onto them yourself to trade either results in scary price gaps or no takers at all. There are holders, but none can repeatedly enter and exit the market. UniHexa is now filling this layer: order book listings, with the money still in addresses derived from your own wallet, and the final settlement happens on Bitcoin. It's still early, and the market isn't deep, so don't expect it to instantly activate the entire BRC-20. But at least for the first time, these coins have a self-custody place where you can list, trade, and withdraw them.
#9月非农今晚公布，加息预期成焦点 74% of Chinese households cannot put together 100,000 in savings
Households with savings over 300,000 account for only about 6%
This data comes from Southwestern University of Finance and Economics and China Merchants Bank, and it is echoed in Li Keqiang's speech
So, stop recklessly swinging the knife in crypto; the current state of crypto is not the norm, a single stop loss would exceed 74% of householdsBig Brother Maji's latest position data
Total position value is about 154 million USD
$BTC increased position to about 525 coins
Opening average price 84548.6
Position value about 44.7258 million USD
Unrealized profit about 337,800 USD
$ETH reduced position to about 33,000 coins
Opening average price 2678.32
Position value 89.5252 million USD
Unrealized profit about 1.4754 million USD (funding fee paid 1.1695 million USD)
Funding fees are almost equal to unrealized profit
$HYPE position basically unchanged
It can be seen that Big Brother Maji is also waiting for tonight's non-farm payroll data
And all his positions are long, probably expecting tonight's non-farm payroll to exceed expectations
Big Brother Maji's popularity is not without reason, with such a large capital scale and such high leverage, if ETH drops 4%, he would be liquidated
Previously, Big Brother Maji has been liquidated about 8 times
Currently overall loss is 30 million USD
Is his direction right this time? Trump is going to hold the third TRUMP coin dinner. As soon as the news came out, the coin price rose from 2.05 to 2.25, only a 10% increase. Looking back at the first two times, the pattern was almost the same: the first time the news pushed it up 60%, the second time it shrank to 40%, and it couldn't hold even on the day of the dinner. Trading volume crashed from 12.9 billion to 1.4 billion, shrinking by nearly 90%. The pattern is very clear: news pumps the price, the event peaks, whales sell off, and the price retreats. A meme with no cash flow, its value is entirely dependent on attention. The dinner is precisely the peak of attention, which is the best window to sell. $TRUMP