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🚨 A whale just dropped nearly $7 MILLION on $ETHFI… and the timing is raising eyebrows. 👀
Wallet 0xd282…c1e7 has accumulated a total of $6.99M worth of $ETHFI since yesterday.
Here’s what caught my attention:
• 2.61M ETHFI withdrawn yesterday
• Another 6.91M ETHFI withdrawn just 1 hour ago
• Total: 9.52M ETHFI
• Average withdrawal price: $0.734
• Unrealized profit already: ~$217K 💰
#DailyOrbit Originally thought that both PCE and APD were good and that both the US stock and crypto markets could recover, but didn't expect the Fed to still be able to change things, really has.CT This newly launched coin is interesting! Almost all major platforms launched it simultaneously, and OKX launched both spot and futures together. At the same time, they also launched a spot trading event. Based on my previous experience, usually when a new coin launches, there is a spot trading event, many of which are for the team to cash out and run. Only with a trading event is there enough buying support to prevent the price from crashing, so I am relatively bearish. I guess you all have forgotten what happened to $BTC during last year's National Day!
But I remember it clearly because I shorted Bitcoin at that time, and from the 1st to the end of the National Day holiday, Bitcoin's price hit new highs every day.
Although each price breakthrough was only slightly higher than the previous high, for me who was deeply trapped, the entire National Day holiday was very hard to endure!
I just don't know if today's market will replicate last year's National Day rally, letting the bulls continue their celebration.
I currently hold a small long position; although the position is not large, I still hope the price will rise so I can have a happy National Day.
Judging by the current trend, the market is still bullish, and it's quite possible to replicate last year's Bitcoin rally.
The recent local high is around 87,500.
That's only $3,000 away from the current price; the price only needs to rise less than 4% to reach it.
In my opinion, this is not a difficult task.
However, I must emphasize again that there are too many profit-taking long positions.
Before the long positions are sufficiently rotated, I will not add to my long position; instead, I am always prepared to short.
Considering Bitcoin's trend:
Support: 82,800.
Resistance: 85,500.
The above is just my personal opinion for reference only! $ONE ONE dropped again.
I just added a bit more 😂
But this time I want to say something that many people might not agree with:
I actually quite like its current AI video direction.
I've already seen several comments saying,
this AI path is unreliable,
and telling me not to take it too seriously.
I actually find it quite interesting.
Because I really wasn’t interested in ONE before.
An old L1, with a story told for so many years,
then security issues came up,
and now even the original chain is preparing to exit.
But precisely because of this,
I started to look at it again.
Harmony’s current direction is very thorough:
ONE moves to Ethereum,
the original L1 exits,
and then resources are shifted to AI video.
And I myself am quite optimistic about the AI video path.
Not because I think "just touching AI will make it rise,"
but because I believe in the next few years,
AI-generated video, content creation, humans working with AI on content,
could be a very big market.
Whether Harmony can actually pull it off in the end,
that’s another matter.
I just feel:
An old coin that has already dropped this much and just happened to change its story,
is actually worth me betting on this change.
So the more it falls,
the more I want to watch it now.
Of course, if it turns out I’m wrong in the end,
that’s simple too 😂
I admit it.
ONE,
are you really changing your path,
or just changing your story?
#10月加息预期回落，今晚PCE成关键 "BTC and ETH: Volatility Is the Main Theme"
BTC and ETH, the two giants, are caught in a prolonged tug-of-war. BTC failed to break through 87,000, retreating to 82,000 and fluctuating; ETH is moving back and forth between 2600-2700, with repeated unsuccessful attempts to surpass 2800. Prices seem paused, direction unclear.
Capital flow shows clear divergence. JPMorgan data: BTC spot ETF has replenished about two-thirds of previous outflows, while ETH has only replenished one-third, indicating larger funds favor BTC. More caution is needed as ETH's long-short ratio rises to 1.32, with over $900 million potential liquidations stacked below; crowded leveraged longs could trigger a deep correction and a possible cascade.
The macro environment is also unfavorable. The 10-year US Treasury yield hits the highest since 2007, with rising rate hike expectations putting pressure on risk assets. VanEck's 2026 outlook suggests the market is more likely to consolidate rather than surge or crash, recommending a 1%-3% position for dollar-cost averaging into BTC, trading time for space.
The interplay of capital divergence, crowded leverage, and macro pressure makes a one-sided market a luxury. Rather than guessing breakout directions, it's better to accept reality: prolonged volatility may be the most certain trend ahead. Tonight's PCE is key.
#10月加息预期回落，今晚PCE成关键 This manipulation is crazy.
$BTC pumped from $82,900 to $85,600 this morning liquidating $210M shorts!
Then, $BTC immediately dumped back to $83,000 liquidating another $100M!!!
And now, $85,500 - $87,500 above has sizable liquidity that could be swept next.
However, $79,500 - $82,500 below has almost 3x more liquidation clusters stacked up, making this the 'higher probability' zone to visit next.
Bulls and Bears just got wiped out!$BTC
#OctoberRateHikeOdds #BTCTreasuryFundingRise The data released tonight is milder than the market initially expected: Core PCE month-over-month is about +0.2%, lower than the previous expectation of about +0.3%; year-over-year is about +3.0%, also below the market expectation of about +3.3%. Meanwhile, the BEA's revision of previous data also makes the overall inflation trajectory appear more moderate than before. This is a somewhat positive signal for risk assets: Inflation cooling → market bets on further tightening weaken → the dollar and U.S. Treasury yields may come under pressure → liquidity expectations improve → risk assets like BTC and ETH get some breathing room. 📊 Short-term key levels: $BTC: watch if it can firmly hold 84,500–85,200, then further target 86,000–87,000 $ETH: watch the 2,700–2,730 range; if it breaks out with volume, then look near 2,780 $SOL: after reclaiming 120, the market may further focus on 122–125 However, the most important thing now is not to chase just because of good news. The PCE was just released, and the market still needs time to digest it. Especially watch whether the 10-year Treasury yield and the dollar index weaken simultaneously. If inflation data clearly cools but Treasury yields remain high or even continue to rise, it indicates the market may still be trading other macro risks, so this rally could also be a "good news priced in" scenario. ⚠️ Therefore, what deserves more attention is: the first wave of surge after data release → pullback → whether it canBig reversal! US August core PCE shows a "roller coaster" trend
Initial release: Core PCE annual rate 3.0%, expected 3.3%, significantly below expectations, US stocks quickly surged in the short term, market started trading on rate cut expectations.
Data revision after midnight: previous value revised down from 3.30% to 3.0%.
In other words, the actual core PCE for August is 3.0%, equal to the revised previous value, changing from "below expectations" to meeting expectations, indicating that inflation has not been alleviated and the positive outlook turns negative.After the PCE data was released, BTC first experienced a surge, reaching a high of $85,639. However, what really matters now is whether this rally can continue, rather than just focusing on the momentary spike.
The U.S. announced on September 30 that August's PCE year-over-year was 3.4%, and core PCE year-over-year was 3.0%, both below prior market expectations. But consumer spending is not weak: month-over-month spending grew 0.9%, and the savings rate fell to 4.1%. Therefore, cooling inflation does not mean that interest rate pressure has been lifted.
After the announcement, BTC strengthened briefly, but there has been a clear pullback on the 15-minute chart, with the price oscillating around 84,300, below the SuperTrend line (84,865.8).
From my observation, there are two key levels:
🟢 Around 85,600 above: holding above this level means buying momentum continues. In the short term, resistance at 84,441.9 and the SuperTrend line at 84,865.8 must be broken first.
🟢 Around 83,000 below: if broken with weak rebound, be cautious of gains being wiped out (short-term support at 83,959.9).
Tonight, don’t treat “below expectations” as the whole signal. Whether it can hold after the spike is the market’s true response to the PCE.
$ETH $ZEC $BTC
#10月加息预期回落，今晚PCE成关键 On-chain data anomalies have already indicated the issue: BTC short positions increased by 4.2 million in a single day, while long positions were cut by 639,000. This capital structure near 84100 does not suggest a direct breakout. OKX cold wallets received 502 BTC, which is just a change in custody accounting, but Binance hot wallets withdrew 8200 BTC, opening a short-term selling pressure channel.
Just parked the car under the shade and flipped the chart; the follow-up call to urge orders is still buzzing.
Technically, the 85000 level faces heavy short pressure, and above 86184 is a dense liquidation zone. A rapid surge is very likely to trigger a chain of liquidations. MACD is running a death cross, RSI is near overbought, and bullish momentum is clearly exhausted. The current price of 84130 does not support chasing longs.
Operationally, short in batches on rebounds from 84600 to 85100, with a stop loss at 85620, first take profit at 82300, and after breaking, target around 81500. Only take this trade, no holding positions.
$BTC
#财报观察员：美光财报临近，AI存储需求成焦点
@OKX星球 📰 【OUSD circulation exceeded $470 million within 2 hours of launch, with Tempo chain accounting for over 90%】
According to Block Beat news, on October 1st, the open standard dollar stablecoin OUSD had a total supply of approximately 477.3 million tokens across the entire chain within 2 hours of launch, with reserve assets totaling $477.3 million, achieving a 100% asset reserve coverage. Among the reserve assets, U.S. Treasury bonds accounted for about $211.2 million, or 44.25%; U.S. dollar cash was about $266.1 million, or 55.75%. The circulating supply of OUSD on the Tempo network was 434.2 million tokens, with cumulative transfer amounts reaching $533.9 million.
Nearly 480 million across the entire chain in just two hours, with 90% still concentrated on Tempo — this level of concentration is quite interesting. Whether this new stablecoin's initial volume supported by a single chain reflects real demand or is driven by subsidies will depend on retention after seven days. What do you think, can Tempo sustain this wave? 👇👇👇
$BTC $ETH $XRP The crowd outside the window, the K-line on the screen
People rush by outside, days pass, but money becomes harder to spend. Don't just watch the CPI; tonight's PCE is the key—it’s the last crucial inflation data before the October rate decision. The market expects core PCE to rise about 0.3% month-over-month and remain around 3.3% year-over-year.
If it's low, the tightening hand might withdraw first; if it's high, the rate hike blade will be raised again at the end of October. BTC has been sideways these days—not without temper, but waiting for this thunder to strike.
Looking at ZEC, it’s indeed a bit wild. The US already has its first privacy coin spot ETF, and Europe’s Valour also launched an ETP; about 30% of coins on-chain have entered shielded pools, reducing immediately sellable chips outside. NU7 voting passed, aiming to reduce block time from 75 seconds to 25 seconds by November 5, making private transfers faster. But it has pulled back from highs, and short-term still can’t escape macro sentiment.
Data hasn’t come out yet; bulls and bears are both gambling. Rather than being a gambling dog, better wait for the PCE to land and then see which side the market takes. The outside remains noisy, but don’t rush to pull the trigger in front of the screen.
#财报观察员：美光财报临近，AI存储需求成焦点
#美债30年期收益率突破5.6%，创2002年来新高 Family, I have a margin of 52.36 USDT, and tonight my owner is completely hyped. He directly opened a 50x leverage contract on $ZEC, fully loaded, then stared at the K-line with a smile that said "It's steady, it's steady." But I feel really anxious inside. Because I know very well—at this position size, if $ZEC suddenly pulls back a few points, I might not even see tomorrow's sun. Look at the 15-minute K-line: $ZEC just quickly surged from around $1412 to $1506, then fell all the way back to around $1440. The owner is still excitedly shouting beside me: "It's going to break through! It's about to break through!" But the problem is, there's still the SuperTrend resistance line above, around $1485. It's like a hand pressing down on ZEC's head: "Don't get excited yet, wait until it breaks through." What's even more ridiculous is that the owner saw the funding rate is about +0.012% and immediately started comforting himself: "The funding rate is positive, the bulls are strong!" Bro... A positive funding rate only means the bulls are willing to pay the bears; it doesn't mean the price is about to take off. True strength still depends on whether the price can firmly stand above the key resistance again. Then he saw that on-chain whales previously accumulated around $1160, and instantly got more confident: "Whales have bought, what am I afraid of?" Wait... Their cost is about $1160, and you're chasing at around $1440. The whales are already sitting at the foot of the mountain drinking tea, but you are bringing$XAU 9.30 Gold Market Tracking
The short-term oscillation range given in the evening view is 4155‑4205. After the current gold price pullback, it has just reached the key support near the lower boundary of the range at 4155. The market has also entered a sideways consolidation battle.
Currently, gold is caught in a tug-of-war between bulls and bears, waiting for a decisive directional choice. Long-term debt issues and currency depreciation factors provide bottom support; short-term liquidity tightening brings selling pressure. These two forces counterbalance each other, keeping the market in a range-bound oscillation.
From a technical perspective, the gold price has rebounded from the low of 4110. The current bullish momentum is still insufficient, and the indicators are weak, so a strong reversal rally has not yet emerged. The price is repeatedly tugging at the support level.
The oscillating market has considerable uncertainty, and with major data releases approaching tonight, the market could break the current range at any time. All entries must strictly use stop-loss orders and carefully manage position sizes.6. GRASSUSDT｜Current price 0.7285, +2.22%
Overall assessment: Small-cap hash rate themed coin, leading intraday gains, short-term capital speculation.
- Resistance: 0.78~0.82
- Support: 0.68, strong support at 0.64
- Short term: Impulse market, short-term capital pull-up, uncertain sustainability of heat. Profitable positions are abundant, rapid pullbacks can occur anytime, strictly avoid chasing highs, holdings can take profits in batches at resistance levels.
7. CTUSDT｜Current price 0.3895, -0.84%
Overall assessment: Small altcoin, slight pullback, weak trading volume, no independent trend.
- Resistance: 0.42~0.44
- Support: 0.37, strong support at 0.34
- Short term: Weak sideways movement, lack of capital attention, market fully tied to the main market, follows rises and falls, low cost-performance, prioritize reducing positions.
Overall market summary
Currently, mainstream coins are consolidating sideways, small-cap coins show significant divergence: privacy sector ZEC is relatively strong; SOON and CT are weak; GRASS is under short-term capital speculation.
$BTC $ETH $CT
#10月加息预期回落，今晚PCE成关键
#财报观察员：美光财报临近，AI存储需求成焦点
#美债30年期收益率突破5.6%，创2002年来新高 Am I really trading every day, or just contributing fees to the exchange? 😂 Let's first look at the $ETH above. 100x leverage, fully short. When opening the position, I told myself: "This time I must be steady, wait for the market to develop." But after almost an hour, staring at the screen until my eyes hurt and my palms were sweaty, whenever ETH slightly rebounded, I started to get nervous. In the end? Realized P&L: +0.02U. No mistake, almost nothing. An hour of intense tension, resulting not in profit, but a fee and a free heart workout. Now look at the $ZEC below. 50x full short. Opened at 22:31:47, closed at 22:31:50. 3 seconds. From entry to exit, the candlestick probably didn't even refresh, and I had already completed a full "open—panic—close" cycle. Final profit: +2.13U, return about 41.6%. What kind of trading is this? This is clearly grabbing red envelopes. 🤣 What's even more ridiculous is that I finally understand why it's getting harder and harder for me. Before it was: afraid to miss out when it rises, afraid to get stuck when it falls. Now it’s: afraid of a drop when going long, afraid of a rise when going short; finally muster the courage to open a position, and the market shakes a bit, then immediately run. Before it was "small wins, big losses." Now it’s upgraded to: run when winning, run when losing. As soon as a position opens, my fingers automatically enter "close position mode." Tossing and turning all night, opening and closing, in and out, my mind is full of price jumps. $ZEC 🚨 $ZEC: Everyone is screaming “BULL MARKET” — but smart money is quietly doing the opposite.
Forget the noise for a second. Watch what the big players are actually doing with their money.
In my last update, there were 1,316 smart-money longs. Today? Only 921.
That’s nearly 400 bulls gone, taking roughly $70M in long exposure off the table.
And here’s the interesting part 👀
While longs are disappearing, shorts are actually increasing — from 558 to 663$ZEC Tonight the PCE data is about to be released. There are quite a few people on both sides in the group now, so I'll objectively discuss the logic from both sides at this point without taking sides.
The bullish logic is actually straightforward: recent employment data hasn't been strong, and the market has already lowered the expectations for a rate hike in October. As long as tonight's PCE doesn't exceed expectations, this easing expectation can continue to support BTC and related risk assets moving upward. After all, the previous adjustment was mainly due to trading on rising rate hike expectations; with expectations falling back, the corresponding valuation pressure will also ease.
But on the flip side, let's look at the bearish logic: BTC's price has already priced in the "no rate hike" expectation in advance. If the PCE data is a bit higher than expected, the gains accumulated before might fall back in a day. After all, interest rates are still high, and the pressure on asset valuations remains; it won't be completely resolved by just one expectation retreat.
My own view is that both sides have valid points at this stage. I don't have the ability to bet on which side is right, so I keep my position balanced, taking it step by step. It's not too late to react after the data comes out.
Everyone should pay close attention to tonight's actual PCE value and avoid rushing to heavily buy in as soon as the data is released. What do you think about whether the market will rise or fall after this PCE release? Let's discuss in the comments.
$BTC
#10月加息预期回落，今晚PCE成关键 Going all in short on $PUMP!!
Dog whales, don't you like to pump?
Why aren't you pumping now? Come on! Keep pumping!!
My position is right here!
Please blow me up with a pump!!
Just took another look at $PUMP
It really made me laugh
It hovered around 0.0055 for a long time
Then suddenly
It shot straight above 0.006
The highest even touched 0.006032
Not bad
Really can pump!
I opened this short around 0.005846
50x leverage
Now the price is still around 0.00595
The short position is still at a floating loss
About -85%
But I haven't moved
Why?
Because I just want to see
Whether you can hold at 0.006!
It pumped all the way back from around 0.0035
Barely any pause in this stretch
0.004
0.0045
0.005
Kept pushing up
Now it even retouched the previous high
What is the easiest thing at this position?
The easiest thing is to make people think
It broke through!
New high!
About to take off again!
But I just don't buy it
If you're really strong
Then don't just touch 0.006 once
Hold it firmly!
Better yet, push up some more
Wash out all the shorts
My position is right here
Let's see how long you can keep pumping!!
And although $PUMP is still up today
After the high of 0.006032
It has now fallen back to around 0.00596
Which means there are still sellers above
What I want to see most now
Is the area around 0.0058
If it falls back there again
Then this so-called "breakthrough"
Starts to feel off
If it goes further down
And 0.0055 is lost again
Then those who chased the high today
Will probably start to panic immediately
So I'm not in a hurry with this trade
Let it perform first
Don't you like to pump?
Go on!
I won't stop you!
Looking at $SOON now
This one is even crazier
I opened a short around 0.3165
But it pumped all the way above 0.5
The highest even reached 0.5619
This trade is really ugly in loss now
I won't pretend otherwise
20x short
Already got hammered hard
But $SOON's movement also confirms one thing for me
The altcoin sentiment is really crazy now
20%+ moves in a day
Over 150% in seven days
Everyone is chasing the strongest few
So at times like this
I actually don't want to chase the pump
The hotter it gets
The more you have to watch for when people start to run
Same with $NEAR
Now around 5.36
Up about 10% today
Pumped from around 1.5 to over 5
Nearly 180% in 30 days
This market looks like opportunity everywhere
But after chasing in
One big red candle can teach you a lesson
So today my focus is still on $PUMP
Around 0.006
I just want to see if you can hold it
If you hold
I admit you're strong
If you don't
Then I'll wait for you to dump!!
Dog whales, don't you like to pump?
Don't stop!
Keep pumping!!
My position is right here
Today I'll just fight it out with you!!
Continuing to hold the $PUMP short!!
#财报观察员：美光财报临近，AI存储需求成焦点
#10月加息预期回落，今晚PCE成关键 $HYPE is too strong
Big bro Maji's long positions have started to profit
Keep in mind, his long entry price was at $90.36
Checked the whale leaderboard, the top five are all short positions
Their average entry price is around 66
Now they're trapped underwater, and one got liquidated at 110
A short position worth $24 million
Entry price 65
At this pace, it’s estimated to be liquidated in two days
There's an even worse one with a short opened at $29 😂
Worth $37 million
Currently floating a loss of $25 million
But luckily, still quite far from the liquidation price
$HYPE whales are really strugglingAt 2:30 PM, the market was unusually quiet, with only Maji's positions moving. A huge whale keeps buying more as prices fall—is it bottom fishing or digging a hole for themselves? I've been watching this position for a long time. For BTC, he added about 233 coins, bringing the total to 455 coins, with a notional value of $37.78 million, an average entry price of 83,748, an unrealized loss of about 310,000, and a liquidation price near 77,184. For ETH, the position is heavier—he added 3,000 coins, totaling 36,000 coins, valued at $91.69 million, with an average entry price of 2,674, an unrealized loss of about 348,000, and a liquidation price of 2,590. HYPE, however, is being reduced—cut by 25,000 coins, with the average price dropping from 92.17 to 90.85, and an unrealized loss of about 1.06 million. On the surface, it looks like faith, but what I see is emotion. The market is not trading direction now, but endurance. The fact that he dares to add more while in unrealized loss shows bullish sentiment hasn't collapsed yet, but that doesn't mean safety—only that fragility has been postponed. The bullish logic here is that large funds continuously absorb supply, effectively pinning down the buy orders below. As long as BTC doesn't break below his liquidation zone, the fuel for short squeeze accumulates, and the sentiment for ETH and altcoins will also warm up. The risk lies here: his ETH position is too heavy, and the liquidation price is not far from the current price. Once triggered, a chain reaction of position reductions will amplify panic. More importantly, many only focus on his unrealized loss and ignore the reduction in HYPE positions—that is the real signal; even the most steadfast are starting to pull back in some sectors. So now, it's not about who shouts the loudest, but who can hold on. Sentiment is bullish, but the structure is fragile $BTC really dropped right after the news pulled it up; I knew it wouldn't be that easy to go up, especially with good news.
There's a higher chance of a pull-up when good news comes out, but the probability of breaking through the resistance level is very low because too many people know about the good news and have already gone long, so it can't push up. Only after a few days of going down can there be a violent rebound to push it up and break through. I feel it might be around Friday.
#10月加息预期回落，今晚PCE成关键 🔥 $BTC Short Trade Update | Profit Secured
The stronger $BTC rallies, the more carefully I watch for potential short setups. This time, I closed two BTC short positions in profit — but the market never makes any trade risk-free.
📊 Trade Results
$BTC Short: 85,380 → 84,170 | 30x leverage
$BTC Short: 85,100 → 84,250 | 20x leverage
Both positions reached my preset take-profit zones. After closing, my hands were still shaking. 😮💨
#DailyOrbit PONS's current trend looks more like a slow net closing.
Every rebound doesn't last, and once the volume breaks, it gets pushed back down.
The market maker's tactics aren't aggressive; they pull up for a while, then pause, making people mistakenly think a reversal is coming.
But the two attempts to test the 55 and 56 levels above both failed, and those chasing longs have already paved the way for the shorts.
The on-chain hotspots have long shifted, Robinson Chain has no new stories, and PONS can't expect incremental funds.
Without narrative support, what's left is valuation reversion and sentiment fading.
The approach is simple: don't chase shorts, wait for rebounds to short in batches, defend above previous highs, and target stepped new lows.
It may not crash quickly, but time is not on the bulls' side.
$ZEC $XDP $PONS
#本周迎非农与PCE关键数据
#财报观察员：美光财报临近，AI存储需求成焦点
#美债收益率创2007年来新高，黄金跌超3% 🔥 October rate hike expectations cool down, tonight's PCE data could be the key catalyst!👀 PCE is more like an important "thermometer" for observing inflation trends; it can influence the market's pricing of the Fed's rate path but does not solely determine policy direction. 📊 If PCE is below expectations: Inflation pressure eases → October rate hike expectations may cool further → BTC has a chance to retest $85K+ 🚀 📉 If PCE is above expectations: Rate concerns may heat up again → Risk assets under pressure → BTC key support zones to watch: $83K → $82K → $81K. 🎯 Core logic: PCE changes macro expectations, BTC reflects market reaction. What’s truly worth watching next is not just the data itself, but the synchronized reaction of US Treasury yields, the dollar, and BTC after the data release. $BTC $ZEC #DailyOrbit #BTC #ZEC #PCE #Fed #Crypto$PENGU price is moving, but the trading volume hasn't shown a corresponding signal, which is more worth watching than the 24-hour +3.69% change.
Currently, the 1-hour trading volume is only 0.07 times the average volume of the previous 20 bars, with both 1-hour and 4-hour charts showing strength. The direction seems consistent, but participation is low; a breakout without volume support usually requires confirmation from the next candlestick.
The current price is 0.010006, about 4.02% above the 1-hour support at 0.009604, and about 6.06% below the resistance at 0.010612. The space is not determined by sentiment; ultimately, it depends on which of these two boundaries is effectively broken first.
My observation line is clear: only by standing back above and holding 0.010612 can the short-term initiative be regained; if it falls below 0.009604, attention should shift to the 4-hour support at 0.008992. If pressure continues above, the 4-hour resistance at 0.010921 is temporarily just a distant reference, not a preset target.
Do you trust the current direction more, or do you think the low volume will cause this move to be quickly reversed?
The market is volatile; the above is only a market observation and does not constitute investment advice. This is Crypto Bull speaking.Yushu closed his position, too bad he didn't send a holiday red envelope 😂. Next, I'll focus more on short positions. For the $TEM long positions I hold that aren't weakening, I'll continue to keep them.
I'll also look for suitable entry points to open short positions on $SKHYNIX and crude oil.
Tonight probably won't be calm. Let's watch the show; if there are upper and lower wicks, it’s still okay to open a short position.
Starting from 8:30, there will be wicks, and at midnight, another earnings report will cause some volatility. Let's see if it will consolidate or prepare to retest the previous high.
#财报观察员：美光财报临近，AI存储需求成焦点 $ETH's current market has been consolidating, very much like the same time last year. Before the war broke out, it was also moving up and down like this, giving you false breakouts and false breakdowns, and then finally there was a big crash followed by a surge, kicking off a bull market. Will it be the same this year? I don't know, but I do know that if shorting at 2550 gets trapped, then those who shorted below 2000 must be trapped for years, right? But I feel that if it rises like this, there must be a correction, yet I haven't seen any significant pullback at all. It's been rising continuously, with just sideways consolidation and accumulation. But at this price, if you're accumulating, going up, you can't make much money. Wouldn't it be better to push it down to trigger a short squeeze, then pick up some chips and push it up again?🚨 I’m 30X SHORT on ETH — and I’m NOT exiting yet.
Real account. Real position. No paper trading.
I shorted ETH at $2,677. Price is now around $2,715, putting me roughly 38 points underwater. At 30X leverage, that’s already about 42% floating margin loss.
And yes — I’m still holding.
Why?
Because right now, the market is giving me a setup I’m willing to bet against.
📊 Retail: 73.6% long
🐋 Top traders: 61.4% long
📉 1H buy/sell ratio:
#DailyOrbit Yesterday, the market focused on the news of Bitwise launching the NEAR fund, and today it received more direct data. According to reports, the fund recorded a net inflow of about $35.5 million on its first day, while the trading volume during the same period was about $15.1 million, showing a clear increase in capital attention. Meanwhile, $NEAR on OKX once reached $5.47, and the NEAR/USDT trading pair also saw new large buy activities. 🔥 The listing news only ignited market expectations; the first-day capital flow truly provided quantifiable validation. What to watch next is whether the capital flow can continue and whether $NEAR can hold key price levels. #NEAR #NEARETF #Bitwise #Crypto #Altcoins #DeFiLong and Short Crowding List｜Last 15 Minutes
$BERA Short side unit holding cost is relatively high: current 4-hour rate -0.0515%, price +0.5%, open interest -0.87%. The price increase is accompanied by a contraction in total positions; short positions face both adverse price movements and funding fee expenses during settlement.
$SOON Long side unit holding cost is relatively high: current 4-hour rate +0.039%, price +1.43%, open interest basically unchanged. The price increase is not accompanied by a significant increase in positions; at the current rate, holding long positions beyond settlement, funding fees will raise the breakeven price.Live Trading Record｜This market is really tricky, I can't figure it out
The market has been fluctuating back and forth these days, the direction is very unclear, so I've been holding back and haven't opened any new positions.
I originally planned to go long on $BTC on a pullback, but the price never dropped to the level I wanted. The entry point wasn't ideal, so I simply didn't enter and avoided forcing trades.
Currently holding a long position on $SUI, entry price 1.12, current price 1.19, profit already over 60%, continuing to hold and observe.
Still holding a long-term base position in $OKB spot, this is a long-term layout, not trading back and forth with short-term price fluctuations.
My strategy is still mainly to buy on dips. In a choppy market, the biggest risk is chasing highs and selling lows. I patiently wait for satisfactory price levels. The market is currently tugged between bulls and bears, making it difficult to have a strong one-sided trend in the short term.
In a volatile market, don't rush to act; better to have fewer but better trades. Wait for the right entry points before making moves. Good opportunities come from waiting, not forcing trades. Continuing to stay patient FIL Filecoin official statement says that once the affiliation between Protocol Labs and Filecoin Foundation ends this October, the new supply of FIL is expected to decrease by 75%. After that, block rewards will become the only source of new supply, with burning and staking lockups determining the subsequent situation. As a long-time holder, I look forward to FIL returning to its spotlight moments again
$FIL
#OctoberRateHikeOdds "Positioning is more important than equal rises and falls"
The market has entered a tug-of-war phase. $BTC at 83390, after probing 82500, consolidates sideways; RSI is 45, MACD is below zero, 84500–85000 is the resistance cap, 82500 is the floor. No one-sided trend, rushing is useless. Consider scaling in between 82000–82500, take profits near 85000, retreat if it breaks below 82000.
$ETH at 2668, rhythm follows BTC, RSI 42 is weak. Resistance at 2748, support at 2633. Observe in batches between 2630–2650, do not chase longs; BTC lacks direction, ETH is hard to be independent.
ZEC at 1413, after an 18% pullback, temporarily stopped falling; RSI 39, MACD below zero. ETF benefits are only emotional support, trend has not reversed. Light position trial between 1355–1400, exit if it breaks 1355.
In a choppy market, the most costly thing is not judgment but impatience. Patience is not idle waiting but treating time as an ally: wait for range, wait for confirmation, wait for risk-reward ratio. Capture fewer fluctuations, move only when the position is right. Only those who can endure have the right to talk about profits.
#BTC现货ETF周流入创近一年新高
#美债30年期收益率突破5.6%，创2002年来新高
#财报观察员：美光财报临近，AI存储需求成焦点 $CT This newly launched coin is interesting! Almost all major platforms launched it simultaneously, and OKX launched both spot and futures together. At the same time, they also launched a spot trading event. Based on my previous experience, usually when a new coin launches, there is a spot trading event, many of which are for the team to cash out and run. Only with a trading event is there enough buying support to prevent the price from crashing, so I am relatively bearish. Another point is that $CT's market cap is not low now, nearly $400 million. Its narrative is not enough to support such a high market cap, plus its airdrops are not hard to get. This part will be sold off without cost consideration. If I were to operate, my first choice would be to short.Brothers, actually right now I think the best altcoin to short on OKX is this one.
Why is $USELESS good to short?
First, its historical high is at 0.35.
When did it break through 0.35?
It broke through after $BTC hit a new high.
But before Bitcoin hit a new high, it had already risen close to 0.33.
That means after Bitcoin broke the new high, it only rose a little bit more and never developed towards 0.4.
This indicates that its current top is very likely around 0.35, and it will be hard to break 0.35 later on.
Unless Bitcoin breaks 90,000 or even 95,000, it might follow the big trend and push up a bit more.
Also, look at the candlesticks; from the K-line perspective, each rebound high is lower, the moving averages are all pressing down, the trend is weak, so shorting this coin is relatively safe.
My short position was taken at 0.33372 and now at 0.25, the floating profit is already +123%, I will keep holding on this wave!
$ETH
#美债30年期收益率突破5.6%，创2002年来新高 Brothers, it's a short!
Look at the current market, $ETH is now at 2692.72, I opened a short at 2715.69, with a floating profit already at 2.53%, this profit is basically secured.
$SOL is also shorted simultaneously, entered at 120.95, current price 119.71, both short positions are currently profitable.
Why continue to be bearish?
ETH has repeatedly tried to break above 2750 but failed to hold, ETF funds are continuously flowing out, and market support is clearly weak. Looking at the broader market, $BTC is hovering around 82900, with no significant new capital inflow, and macro interest rate hike expectations are still weighing on risk assets.
Technically also weak, ETH MACD shows a death cross, RSI keeps declining, bullish momentum is fading.
Currently focusing on two key levels:
Upside: 2750 resistance
Downside: 2650 → 2600
If 2650 breaks, the short space may further open up.
$BTC $ZEC
#OctoberRateHikeExpectationsFall #PCE #ETH #SOL#Anthropic披露845亿美元SpaceX算力协议
Brothers, there's another big deal in the AI computing power circle. On September 29, Anthropic disclosed in its confidential IPO prospectus that it signed a computing power contract with SpaceX's xAI with a potential spending cap of $84.5 billion, nearly double the approximately $45 billion disclosed in May, with the agreement lasting until 2029. Most terms include a 90-day cancellation right.
Anthropic expects total AI infrastructure spending of at least $518 billion over the next decade, with the SpaceX agreement being just a part of it. About 80% of the spending corresponds to non-cancellable contracts. SpaceX's computing power clients also include Google, which pays $920 million monthly to rent about 110,000 Nvidia GPUs.
The logic behind this deal is clear: Anthropic needs computing power to seize the commercialization window, and SpaceX needs a third revenue engine beyond rockets and Starlink. But since most agreements can be canceled within 90 days, actual revenue still depends on the pace of computing power delivery.
BTC is currently priced around 83,500-85,000, with resistance at 85,500-86,000 and support at 83,000. Those with positions should set stop losses below 83,000; those without should wait for a pullback to 83,000-83,500 to stabilize before entering. The AI computing power expansion cycle supports tech risk appetite but should not be seen as a direct catalyst for the big coin.
What do you think about this computing power deal? Let's chat in the comments. $BTC $ETH $ZEC Brothers, tonight this market really broke my defense.
$BTC is still holding up somewhat; after the PCE data came out, it didn’t plunge immediately, and the price is temporarily stable above 80,000. I can’t say it’s about to take off yet, let’s see if it can hold this position. If BTC stays steady, at least I won’t be so anxious.
The most annoying is still $AKE.
For the same coin, I’m short on one side and long on the other, basically locking myself in. If it drops, the short position feels good but the long position suffers; if it rallies, the long position recovers but the short position starts losing profits. Going back and forth, in the end, it’s not some big player messing with me, it’s me playing myself.
The movement of AKE is really ridiculous—sometimes it pumps, sometimes it dumps, giving no time to react. Now I just hope it picks a direction soon and stops grinding sideways, or else it’s really going to drive me crazy.
Summary for tonight: BTC is still holding, AKE is still going crazy, and I’m still stuck locked in my positions.When $DOGE Grows Bones
Once upon a time, Dogecoin was the loudest joke in the crypto world. Now, the joke is turning into a fable.
Elon Musk's social empire has quietly opened the payment gates, and hundreds of millions of users are about to reach DOGE at their fingertips. The years when we joked about "buying coffee with Dogecoin" suddenly are no longer just a meme, but a track being laid out.
The on-chain world is also stirring beneath the surface. Whales swallowed 200 million coins in a week, community wallets have been upgraded, developer tools will launch by the end of the year—gaming, finance, and AI applications are about to take root on this old chain. More importantly, if the proposal to cut block rewards by 90% passes, annual inflation will drop to 0.3%. The label of "infinite issuance" is finally about to be removed.
And that satellite. Fully paid in DOGE, queued for launch. When "To the Moon" turns from a slogan into a contract clause, who can still say this is just a joke?
Payments, technology, supply—three curves are rarely all trending upward simultaneously. Yet the market's gaze still lingers in the meme era.
This is probably the last time you can view it with old eyes. The bones are formed, the flesh is growing. I stand bullish, not because it was once funny, but because it has finally gotten serious. $DOGE Black Swan Event on October 11, 2025
Trump suddenly announced a 100% tariff increase on China.
The crypto market instantly crashed:
• $19.1 billion liquidated across the network, over 1.6 million people forcibly liquidated (the largest in history)
• BTC plunged directly from around 120K to 102K
• Altcoins generally halved or even dropped to zero
• USDe, wBETH, BNSOL on Binance severely depegged, making things worse
A year has passed, and BTC is now back near 85K Once the data came out tonight, the sideways trading finally had something to watch.
$BTC is around 85000, during the day it was still hovering around 83500, but after the data came out, it directly pushed up, indicating that this range is not unwanted, but funds have been waiting for a catalyst. Now 85000 has become a key level again; if it holds, look to 86000, and if volume continues to increase, it may test the previous high; if it falls back below 84000, this wave is still a rebound within the range.
$SOL is around 118.8, basically stuck between 118 and 122 these days. Yesterday the high was 121.6, today volume shrank and it continued to hover, indicating that the sell orders above 120 have not been fully absorbed. If BTC holds above 85000, SOL will quickly reclaim 120; the real level to watch is 122, a breakthrough there will open the chance to test 125. On the downside, as long as it doesn't break around 116, the structure is stable.
$HYPE is still centered around 90. After breaking down earlier, it hasn't experienced continuous sharp declines, indicating that there are indeed buyers between 85 and 88. If the market continues to warm up tonight, first watch if HYPE can reclaim 90; only after holding above that will it have the chance to test 95 again; conversely, if it breaks below 85, short-term funds are truly withdrawing.
Don't rush to chase the first move tonight. Watch BTC at 85000, SOL at 122, and HYPE at 90. Whoever first turns resistance into support is the real strength.Interest rate hike expectations dropped from 70% to 50%, meaning bulls and bears are evenly matched. Williams says there's no rush to raise rates, Barr says more hikes are needed, and even the Fed itself hasn't reached a consensus. The market is now waiting for one thing: Friday's non-farm payrolls. If non-farm payrolls come in below expectations, rate hike expectations will cool further, and BTC will dare to move. If non-farm payrolls explode, prices will fall back again. $BTC Before the data comes out, 84000 is the ceiling, 83000 is the floor. #10月加息预期回落，今晚PCE成关键 #BTC现货ETF周流入创近一年新高 #10月加息预期回落，今晚PCE成关键 pce超预期，我的感觉就是非农应该也是会平稳过关了。10月加息预期低于50%那么10月到中期选举前就是一波上涨了 Binance Alpha is launching another airdrop today at 4 PM, this time for ConcreteXYZ's $CT, 200 tokens per share, with a threshold of 223 points, first come, first served. The score drops by 5 points every 5 minutes, so early grabbers save points, but claiming costs 15 points. Don't rush blindly just because you see an airdrop. My habit is to closely watch the first few minutes of the launch and act when the threshold drops to a reasonable level; if you're late, either you won't have enough points or the airdrop will be gone. Points are your ammo; think carefully before spending them. Small gains aren't worth it; only spend points on projects you truly value. This is just a sharing of my approach; proceed at your own risk. $CTBrothers! From today's $BTC 1-hour candlestick chart, the bullish and bearish trend has become clear.
Since the drop on September 28, the price has been fluctuating between 82800 and 84000.
It has never touched the lower Bollinger Band, which shows that the bulls' defensive strength is still present.
Also, 82800 seems to be the bottom of this market phase.
The candlestick status is still within a bullish structure. Even though there was a rapid big rise and fall today, the structure hasn't changed, so the probability of a bullish trend is higher.
Although I think the short-term market will still be dominated by bulls, I don't believe it will rise very high.
Because recently, Bitcoin's capital inflow has started to slow down.
Bitcoin's price has risen quite a bit recently, and there has been a lack of deeper pullbacks for consolidation, resulting in more and more profit-taking positions. Relevant data shows that currently, the positions with floating profits have reached a new high in 21 months.
This means most bullish positions are still profitable. With the price rising, the risk from bulls taking profits should not be underestimated.
To put it this way, although I currently lean towards bullish, given the current situation, if you open a long position, you must be prepared for a battle between bulls and bears.
You need to prevent a large influx of bears and also prevent bulls from taking profits.
The worse outcome is that bulls taking profits could cause a drop, followed by a short squeeze that causes another drop.
Therefore, I think now is not a very good time to go long. At least, before a large amount of bulls take profits, avoid heavy long positions.
The above is just my personal opinion for reference only! Here’s a more natural, punchy version for a crypto/social post:
Trading Lesson
$AKE Honestly, I was so scared I almost peed myself. 😂
It was the first time I actually cut my losses, and I ended up losing over $200.
Then I completely lost my head and went all in. 🤦♂️
Luckily, the market makers gave me a chance to escape with my life. 😭
After that experience, I never dared to touch $AKE again.
Sometimes, surviving the trade is already a win. 🫠#DailyOrbit $AKE
So no pig's trotter rice, huh?
Then I can only put up my fiancée who hasn't officially married yet, adding to the floating loss.
Originally planned to stop loss at 0.03236, but seeing it can't be pushed down around 0.03260. If so, then I'll add a bit at 0.0325. Since I'm already planning to stop loss, if no chance is given, then I'll go against the trend. Looks like I might be able to get that pig's trotter rice after all. On September 29, the US spot BTC ETF recorded a net inflow of approximately $66.19 million, an increase of $35.12 million compared to the previous trading day's net inflow of about $31.07 million, more than doubling the daily inflow scale. The continuous net inflow of BTC ETFs has also extended to the 9th trading day. Meanwhile, the Solana spot ETF attracted about $5.44 million in funds, but this was a decrease of about $2.26 million compared to the inflow of approximately $7.7 million on September 28. Ethereum showed the opposite trend. The ETH spot ETF had a net outflow of about $2.81 million that day, ending a streak of 7 consecutive trading days of net inflows, which cumulatively attracted about $851 million during that period. 💰 Overall, institutional funds have not completely withdrawn from the crypto market but are reallocating among different assets. BTC continues to be the main recipient of funds, SOL still maintains positive inflows, while ETH shows signs of weakening with short-term capital outflows. Funds are still flowing in, but it is no longer a "full buy-in"; rather, there is a more obvious rotation among different assets.