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📊 Today's Key News Overview
· US Stock Market: Futures for the three major indices are all up pre-market (Nasdaq futures +0.36%), with overnight strong rebounds in tech stocks and the semiconductor sector (Philadelphia Semiconductor Index +3.14%, Intel +7.67%). However, today coincides with the quarterly "Triple Witching Day," with over $2 trillion in nominal options expiring simultaneously. Historical data shows that since 2012, the S&P 500 has closed lower on 12 out of 14 Triple Witching Days.
· SanDisk: Soared 6.21% overnight to close at $1614.39, continuing to rise slightly after hours and pre-market to the $1634-$1638 range. However, today it disclosed that director David Goeckeler plans to sell 33,841 shares, valued at approximately $51.43 million, and has sold another 33,838 shares in the past three months.
📉 US Stock Market: Triple Witching Day dominates, higher probability of downward volatility
Supporting factors: The drivers behind last night's rebound (oil price decline, US Treasury yields falling below the critical 5% threshold, strong employment data) continue pre-market today. The decline in Treasury yields eases the discounting pressure on high-valuation growth stocks, providing some bottom support for the market.
Core suppressing factor — Triple Witching Day: Today is the quarterly options expiration day, with stock index futures, stock index options, and single stock options all expiring simultaneously. Bluekurtic's historical statistics provide a fairly consistent signal: since 2012, the S&P 500 has closed lower on 12 of 14 Triple Witching Days.
#长端美债5%会成新常态吗？ If you can't hold spot positions, you can put them in a cold wallet and delete the app. But with contracts, even if you delete it, you'll reinstall it. Because the mindset is already off—you always feel the next market wave is coming, and this time you'll definitely catch it.
Losing U is a small matter; what you lose is your patience for a normal life. When you start to resent your salary being too slow, saving money too stupid, and everything that can't double overnight as meaningless, no matter if Bitcoin rises to 100,000 or 200,000, you've already lost.
Those who can stop are not because they've earned enough, but because at some moment they realize one thing: opening another position won't make yesterday better, it will only risk tomorrow too.
$BTC Brothers, I'm here to pay tuition again. This time it's a big tuition fee.
Last night I woke up in the middle of the night to check the market, my hands were shaking. I don't even dare to look at the account screenshot a second time. A $ZEC short opened at 909.48, now down to 1488.14. Floating loss -190.88%, 115.73U gone up in smoke. Available margin: 0 USDT. Liquidation price 1868.
This is all I have left.
Do you know what's going on with $ZEC now? This thing is not a coin, it's a rocket. BTC is falling, ETH is falling, the whole market is green like spring. But it’s alone, pole vaulting, stubborn as hell, completely ignoring gravity. What was I thinking back then? Why did I short this monster coin? I always thought "it’s gone up so much, it should pull back," but every time it slaps me hard with reality.
Honestly, after calming down and reviewing, I don’t feel this loss is undeserved.
The core of this $ZEC rally isn’t "it’s gone up too much and should fall," but a textbook short squeeze. The Grayscale Zcash spot ETF launched at the end of August, opening a compliant institutional entry channel, attracting over $34.4 million net inflow after launch. The SEC’s investigation into the Zcash Foundation officially ended, clearing regulatory clouds. More importantly, after $ZEC broke $1000, it triggered a chain of short liquidations—about $79.5 million in short positions were liquidated in just two trading sessions. Shorts were forced to buy to cover, pushing prices higher, triggering the next wave of liquidations, creating a fully self-reinforcing positive feedback loop.
Simply put, every liquidation is a market buy order, and retail shorts like me are just fuel in this.
Do you know there are whales shorting like me? One whale opened a 10x short at $1245 for 8120 $ZEC, position worth $10.11 million. Three hours later, ZEC rose to $1390, fully liquidated, losing $890,000. Even more brutal, a trader held 12,285 $ZEC shorts worth $18.31 million, floating loss $7.66 million, liquidation price $1550. This person had 26 consecutive winning trades with an 89% win rate, earning over $9 million, but lost it all on this trade.
Even pros got buried, what chance do I have as a small retail trader waking up at night to check the market against a short squeeze?
Now $ZEC has broken $1500, up 18% in 24 hours, with a yearly gain over 2500%. F2Pool co-founder Wang Chun said this rally is a "narrative-driven short squeeze," not fundamental improvement. But what good is knowing that? Shorts aren’t dead yet, the squeeze won’t stop. As long as short positions remain, every rally removes a layer of selling pressure.
I really have no bullets left. No adding to position, no closing, whatever happens, happens. The liquidation price at 1868 is hanging there, let the market makers decide if they want to give me a needle.
But I have to say a few things to the sisters still in the game:
First, don’t short $ZEC. BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes has long publicly warned that the risk of shorting $ZEC is beyond what most can bear. Those bullish on privacy might just miss profits, but those shorting could go broke.
Second, don’t stubbornly hold against the trend. I kept telling myself "it’s fallen so much, it should rebound," but every time the market taught me a lesson. In a short squeeze, price has nothing to do with "fair value," it’s about whether you can hold on.
Third, stop losses are always more important than pride. My 115U isn’t much, but it’s my hard-saved private money. If your position is bigger than mine, you must treat stop loss as discipline.
Finally, about the overall market. $BTC and $ETH have been falling recently, and the total crypto market cap has shrunk a lot since the start of the year. The probability of a Fed rate hike in October has surged to 55.4%, with only 44.6% chance of holding rates steady. The rising rate hike expectation is pressure on risk assets, and market sentiment is poor. But $ZEC standing out in this environment shows this isn’t a broad rally, it’s a precise squeeze.
This time I’ve completely accepted my fate. Not blaming the market, just myself for shorting a coin that’s being squeezed.
Sisters, take this as a warning.
$ZEC $BTC $ETH
#美联储10月再加息概率破55% $NEAR
This round of rally is mainly due to a chain of short liquidations, with about 2.32 million USD worth of short positions liquidated in 24 hours. A large number of low-position shorts were stopped out upwards, and forced short buy orders further pushed the price up.
Liquidity: Moderate, much better than ONE, but far weaker than BTC/ETH; stronger than ZEC. Daily volatility of 15~20% is normal, with sharp spikes causing strong impact.
Market attributes: A second-tier public chain with fundamental narratives, not a pure junk coin, but a thematic speculation, not a blue chip.
Liquidation risk level: Medium-high
BTC: Low volatility
ETH: Moderate volatility
NEAR: Medium-high volatility (AI thematic rotation, news-driven)
ZEC: High volatility (small-cap privacy narrative)
ONE: Extremely high volatility (pure speculative oversold junk coin)
Key differences: ZEC is a privacy ETF institutional narrative; NEAR is an AI Agent public chain narrative; ONE has no fundamentals, purely capital-driven pulses.
Core risk points
This rally is largely driven by speculative expectations of NEAR@3.33 rewards. If the price fails to hold above 3.33, the positive expectations will collapse, profit-taking will concentrate, and a rapid correction will occur.
The AI sector rotates quickly, with funds switching to other AI targets at any time, making it easy to see sharp rises followed by rapid pullbacks. Leveraged long positions at high levels are easily liquidated.
Token inflation and staking unlocks continuously pose long-term selling pressure.🔷 Limits: LINK and SOL in action
• LINK broke the spike at 11.69 and MA99 4h; above 12.17/12.80
• SOL: spot CVD plus (+1.9M) — Alpenglow is buying
🎣 Entries:
• $LINK pullback: 11.50-11.70 → 12.17/12.80, stop 11.25
• LINK breakout: 4h above 12.20 → 12.80/13.68, stop 11.70
• $SOL pullback: 102.0-103.5 → 108.9/110.6, stop 99.80
• SOL breakout: 4h above 106.70 → 110.6/116.0, stop 104.0
• Breakdown: 4h below 11.25/100.40
⚠️ Both +6% for the day with negative CVD: squeeze, longs half as much
❓ Breakout of LINK or spot SOL?👇 Aftershocks of the rate hike have not subsided! Expectations for a second tightening in October are heating up, with huge divergences hidden in the market🔥
The September rate hike dust has settled, but the market's tightening game is far from over.
This round's 25BP cut is just a short-term boot; funds have already priced in expectations for another rate hike in October.
According to the latest CME interest rate futures data, the probability of a 25 basis point hike in October has climbed to 55.4%.
The Fed's dot plot stance is even tougher: there is a high probability of at least one more tightening move within the year.
This directly overturns the market's previous optimistic expectation of "a single rate hike to close the chapter." Now the core of the market game is no longer whether to hike, but whether tightening will become normalized and sustained.
Many wonder: after the rate hike, US stocks and BTC clearly rebounded quickly, with Bitcoin closing up nearly 2% intraday, and market sentiment visibly warming—so why am I still cautious?
Because the stubborn roots of inflation have not loosened at all:
Energy prices continue to rise, tariff cost transmission, large-scale capital investment in AI infrastructure, multiple factors support inflation resilience.
Coupled with the 10-year US Treasury yield holding steady at 5% and the US 30-year mortgage rate soaring to 6.95%, the high interest rate environment has deeply penetrated the real economy, leaving the Fed no room to ease.
Currently, there is a clear divergence between market sentiment and fundamentals:
Funds are gambling on short-term easing fantasies, betting that the Fed will not continue aggressive rate hikes, so after bad news lands, they rush to buy the rebound for repair.
#非农前数据分化，9月加息预期升温
$BTC $ETH On September 17, the crypto market broadly rose, but ETFs told a completely different story.
BTC spot ETFs saw a net inflow of about $159 million; ETH rose 2% to around $2470, yet ETFs experienced an outflow of $39 million, marking the third consecutive day of losses.
The biggest contrast was with ZEC: its price increased 10% to about $1488, while US ZEC funds attracted nearly $47 million, with a cumulative inflow exceeding $230 million in September.
Therefore, current data supports the view that the market is not experiencing a "full capital return," but rather institutions are selectively reallocating assets.
ETH currently falls under "price recovery, ETF not confirmed," whereas ZEC shows price and capital flow confirming each other.
The next key point is sustainability: if ETH ETFs turn positive, the current divergence will begin to correct; if ZEC capital flows quickly disappear, its strength may only be a phase of concentrated trading rather than a long-term asset revaluation. $ARB hasn't shown any notable movement recently, just sideways trading.
On September 16, it dropped along with the broader market to the 0.29 to 0.30 range, and in the past few days, it has been oscillating around 0.30 with no independent trend.
When compared alongside ONE and UNI, it’s actually the most interesting. ONE is a price rise driven by liquidity abandonment, UNI is a price rise empowered by mechanisms, and ARB is an intermediate state lacking a catalyst.
The rejection of the CLARITY Act means the market had previously overestimated the impact on ARB. The bill was originally intended to resolve the CFTC’s primary jurisdiction over digital commodities, which is indeed useful for the compliance positioning of L2 tokens like ARB.
However, ARB’s value anchor is not in policy but on-chain. Stylus supports direct mainnet deployment in C, C++, and Rust languages, and this technical capability does not depend on Washington.
Arbitrum’s TVL once surged to $1.94 billion, reclaiming the top spot among L2s, but Stablecoin TVL has only increased by 2% in the past week, which is the real issue. The on-chain technical capability is strong but hasn’t translated into stable capital retention. The psychological level at 0.30 is the most critical position going forward; if it breaks, watch for 0.27.
The Q4 roadmap will be released next week, and then we can see how the team plans to monetize this technical advantage. On-chain certainty must be provided by oneself.Watch who leads the first green hour.
$BTC lead is healthier.
$ETH lead can be a short squeeze.
$DOGE lead is usually a liquidity grab.
$ZEC lead is momentum continuation until it is exhaustion. First hour is a clue, not a plan.
NFA. DYOR. The Fed raised rates… and stocks rallied. That sounds contradictory, but it actually makes sense. The market may not fear the extra 25 bps as much as it fears inflation getting out of control. If a rate hike strengthens confidence in the Fed, long-term yields can fall as inflation expectations stabilize. That’s exactly why the 10-year yield falling to 4.93% matters. For BTC, I’m watching one thing closely: Does the market continue to believe the Fed can control inflation? Because if that confide$DASH is starting to leave a zone that has held a price down for years.
for a long time, rallies kept getting sold back into the same liquidity area. Now, the structure is finally changing.
the levels I’m watching:
$134 → $281 → $476
above that, the chart enters a much different territory, with the larger projection reaching around $600+.
It's funny how a chart gets “interesting” only after everyone notices it. 📊🚨This move is ruthless! The "Garrett Jin whale entity" sold all 35,000 ETH it just withdrew, worth about $87.5 million, then immediately used the funds to add margin to its ZEC short position, which is already down about $30 million. 🐋💥
On September 18, according to on-chain analyst Yu Jin's monitoring, the whale entity withdrew 35,000 ETH from the exchange last night and then sold all of it at around $2,500 each. This wasn't a small test by selling a few thousand; it was a full liquidation of 35,000 ETH, totaling approximately $87.5 million based on the transaction price.
But the real highlight is yet to come.
After selling the ETH, the whale didn't just pocket the money but used part of the funds to add margin to its ZEC short position, which is currently down about $30 million. 😳
After adding margin, the liquidation price of the ZEC short position rose from the original $2,631 directly to $4,738.
In plain terms, his current move is like this: the ZEC short has already taken a big hit, but he hasn't given up and exited. Instead, he sold $87.5 million worth of ETH on the other side and then injected more funds to "heal" the short position.
Originally, if ZEC rose to around $2,631, his position might have faced a greater risk of forced liquidation; now, with the added margin, the liquidation price has been pushed up to $4,738, effectively giving himself a much larger buffer to hold the position.$ETH 100U Quantitative Trading Day 29 (19:55)｜Failed to switch in the oscillating box
In the morning, it was judged to switch the box towards 2400, but it pulled all the way to 2521, then returned to the previous box's high level. That was a slap.
Key levels
· Support: around 2500, near 2477, hard bottom before 2460
· Resistance: near 2526, around 2558
Trading suggestions
A long upper shadow was left after the surge, short-term outlook is for a pullback.
1. Short on rebound
· Entry: near 2520 at stagnation
· Stop loss: 2535
· Target: 2480 → 2460
2. Buy on pullback
· Entry: near 2477 at stop of decline
· Stop loss: 2455
· Target: 2520 → 2550
3. Breakout chase long (aggressive)
· Trigger: hold above 2525
· Entry: near 2525
· Stop loss: 2507
· Target: 2560 → 2600
It pulled from 2440 to 2521 without pause. It closed at 2503, leaving a long upper shadow, indicating sellers above. Short-term turned negative, one-hour overbought, big players are reducing longs and adding shorts. Four-hour momentum is still positive.
The bot performed well on longs today: bought at 2412 in the morning, sold between 2448 and 2520. But it also added shorts along the way and got caught in this squeeze, cutting some positions in the evening.
Be flexible at key levels, watch your position size, take profits and stop losses timely, and pay attention to data timeliness.
⚠️The above content is personal opinion only and does not constitute investment advice Everyone expected a rate hike to hurt risk assets.
But the opposite happened.
US stocks had their best day in six weeks, while the 10-year Treasury yield fell to 4.93%.
That tells us something:
Markets don’t only react to the rate decision.
They react to what the decision says about future inflation and Fed credibility.
For BTC, watch inflation expectations and long-term yields—not just the headline rate.
Is the market starting to trust the Fed again?$HYPE HYPE breaks 90, what's next?
HYPE stands above 90, the sideways movement between 85–87 wasn't inactivity, it was accumulation, now it's starting to release.
Why is breaking 90 significant?
The previous high between 85–88 is a dense chip area; holding above means selling pressure turns into floating profits, with no obvious resistance above. 95 is the next psychological barrier, 100 is the emotional threshold.
How far is 100?
From 90 to 100 is about 11%, which can sometimes happen with a single bullish candle in the crypto market. The key is the reaction at 95—if it only pauses briefly without volume expansion or stagnation, 100 becomes the next target. After breaking the previous high, there is no trapped position above; selling pressure mainly comes from profit-taking, so the market often moves faster than expected.
Chasing above 90 has a different risk-reward ratio compared to building positions at 85; sometimes a pullback confirmation is more stable than chasing directly.
Sideways movement is accumulation, breakout is release. 90 has been broken, now it's up to time. #美联储10月再加息概率破55% Rate hikes ≠ automatic collapse of BTC and risk assets. After the Fed delivered a 25 bps hike, US stocks rallied and the 10-year Treasury yield fell to 4.93%. Markets care about more than the current policy rate. They are pricing in: • Future inflation • Fiscal policy • Long-term borrowing costs • Central-bank credibility For Bitcoin, the biggest danger may not be higher rates. It may be a loss of confidence in inflation control. The question now is whether the Fed can maintain that credibility.$ZEC rising sevenfold does not mean it can still rise back to 5942
$ZEC rose from 200 to 1400, and some have started to take 5942 as the target.
How is this number calculated: 5942 was the previous high in the last cycle, when the circulating supply was only a few hundred coins.
Now the circulating $ZEC is far more than that number, and the same amount of money cannot push the price to the same level.
A common misunderstanding: price highs and lows are not related to the coin price itself, but to the market cap size.
When the market cap is small, a few million dollars can push the price to sky-high levels.
When the market cap is large, the same amount of money can only push the price a little.
So 5942 is not the ceiling, it was the ceiling of that era.
That era has passed, and this number remains there.
#ZEC再创新高，估值重估受关注 $ZEC #AI安全治理细化，算力预期再受关注
AI security governance is becoming more detailed, but expectations for computing power remain high, and these stocks are recovering.
AI security is moving from the question of "whether to slow down" to "how to regulate specifically." Anthropic released a cutting-edge AI monitoring framework that measures AI involvement in development, agent supervision effectiveness, and computing power allocation, also supporting third-party verification. However, Zuckerberg and Huang Renxun disagree, opposing coordinated slowdowns and preferring internal corporate security mechanisms plus independent assessments.
The market's biggest fear is a complete training halt, but so far, there hasn't been one.
Major AI labs have not signaled training stops, and big companies haven't announced capital expenditure cuts. Therefore, the previous pricing logic based on "model slowdown and reduced computing power demand" has been disproven, and hardware stocks are starting to recover.
Looking at some key stocks:
Anthropic is around 214 pre-market, valued at 2.14 trillion, slightly down. Nvidia at 220.25, up 0.55%. AMD at 546.83, up nearly 6%. Micron just showcased the world's first 512GB DDR5 module, with mass production in 2027, benefiting the storage supply chain.
AI security is currently about "adding rules" rather than "hitting the brakes." As long as big companies' capital expenditures don't decrease, the demand logic for GPUs and storage remains. Next, it depends on whether security governance will escalate to training scale limits—that will be the real variable. A rate hike doesn’t automatically mean risk assets must fall. The day after the Fed raised rates by 25 bps, US stocks posted their strongest performance in six weeks, while the 10-year Treasury yield dropped back to 4.93%. Why? The market may be more worried about uncontrolled inflation than the rate hike itself. For BTC, the same logic applies. The real risk isn’t another 25 bps. It’s losing confidence that inflation can be controlled. Yesterday’s rate hike followed by a risk-on rebound may sim$SNDK climbed steadily from 1503 to 1651, with an intraday increase of 5.5%.
Looking at the 1-hour chart, the bullish arrangement is very strong, currently experiencing slight consolidation around 1643. The short-term resistance just touched is at 1651 above, and the support zone just broken through is at 1600 below. Having risen over 100 points, there is definitely profit-taking demand in the short term, so don't blindly chase higher at 1643.
Trading idea: Lightly buy on a pullback to 1600-1620 if it stabilizes, set stop loss at 1570, target first at 1651, and if volume breaks through, continue to watch 1680-1700.
For those holding long positions, use a trailing stop to let profits run.
Just focus on the chart, don't overthink it, follow the bulls as long as the trend remains intact. #美联储10月再加息概率破55% #SEC与CFTC明确链上金融合规路径 $SOL
Short-term bias is bullish, having broken a downtrend lasting 10 months, with RWA narrative bringing capital support.
However, chasing highs after continuous rebounds has very low cost-effectiveness.
Observe the 105–120 confirmation range, wait for a pullback near 98–100 before considering light position entry.我和 ZEC 的故事，要从 1382 说起。 那一天，我看着 ZEC 的K线，心里只有一个想法： 机会来了。 1382。 在我看来，这是一个非常漂亮的位置。 涨了这么多，情绪也到了，市场上开始有人喊更高的价格。 按照我过去无数次在市场里的经验，这种时候，最危险的往往不是做空，而是所有人都相信它还能继续涨。 所以我进场了。 做空 ZEC。 当时的我甚至觉得，这可能会是一笔非常舒服的交易。 1382进去，等它回调。 赚一点，不贪。 计划很简单。 但市场有时候最喜欢做的一件事，就是专门教育那些“觉得自己计划得很好”的人。 我刚进去的时候，ZEC确实给了我一点面子。 它稍微跌了一下。 那一刻我甚至开始想： 果然。 市场还是那个市场。 但很快，我就发现事情不太对劲。 它不跌了。 然后开始涨。 1400。 我告诉自己： 正常反弹。 1450。 我告诉自己： 问题不大。 1500。 我开始认真看盘。 1537。 我开始重新研究 ZEC 的基本面。 到了后面，我甚至开始思考一个哲学问题： “隐私，可能真的是人类的刚需。” 一个做空的人，往往是最认真研究一个项目的人。 因为多头每天研究的是： “它还能涨The probability of a rate hike in October has broken 55%, don't chase the rally this time
The market is trading on whether the last rate hike will be in October or December. This BTC rebound is just a position repair after the rate hike landing, not a trend reversal.
Three key dates: 10/2 Nonfarm Payrolls, 10/14 CPI, 10/15 PPI. Before these, short-term moves are still dominated by technicals and liquidity.
Price action is very clear: the FOMC risk release is done, the 75000 level didn't break through to trigger short covering, price returned to the range, and the market switched from "event trading" back to "data trading."
The operation advice is simple: trade key levels with stop loss, avoid turning point dates, and don't overleverage.
$BTC
78000, pulled up 3000 points from 75000. Above 79000-80000 is a heavy trapped position zone, unlikely to break through in one go. It's stuck in the middle, no need to chase highs, and too early to short.
$ETH
2500 is shaky, weaker than BTC. Despite many positive factors, it can't rally, indicating funds are not here. When the market rises, it only gains half a percent; when the market falls, it leads the drop. Holding experience is poor.
$ZEC
Very volatile, surged from 1080 the day before yesterday to 1530 today, a 40% rise in two days. NU7 upgrade + Grayscale ETF + short squeeze from liquidations. If you're on board, hold tight; if not, don't chase, wait for a pullback to 1400 before considering. Absolutely no shorting, it punishes stubborn shorts.
All three coins are at the first resistance level; if they can't break through the first level, they remain in the range. Don't let one bullish candle change your belief. #全球高利率预期再升温
The whole world is raising interest rates, so why are BTC and gold actually rising?
The Fed raised rates, the ECB raised rates, and Japan is about to raise too. According to the script, BTC and gold should have crashed, right?
So what happened? BTC rose to 78,500, gold surged to 4,400, and ETH also hit 2,520. Despite such a big rate hike negative, the market actually went up.
Isn't that strange?
The normal logic is: rate hike → risk-free returns increase → risk assets fall. The 10-year US Treasury yield is already at 5%, isn't it better to just hold and earn? Why still hold BTC and gold?
But the market just moves like this. Why?
I think there are two reasons:
First, the rate hikes have long been priced in. The probability of a Fed hike in September was already 92% before the meeting. The market had already fully digested it. The ECB hike was also known with a 95% probability. Since everyone knew they would hike, once it's done, the negative impact is fully out.
Second, and more importantly: the market doesn't believe central banks dare to keep raising. The Bank of Japan says it will raise, but can Japan's economy handle it? UK inflation is 3.75%, but the economy is slowing down, do they really dare to keep raising? The Fed is even more obvious, with a government debt of 36 trillion and interest payments almost unaffordable, do they really dare to keep raising rates continuously?
So you see, although central banks say they will continue to raise, the market simply doesn't believe it. BTC and gold rising is a bet that central banks will stop after this round of hikes.
But I have to remind you: what if they really dare? If inflation can't be controlled and they keep raising, US Treasury yields might reach 6%, and the gains BTC and gold made today will have to be given back tomorrow.
Right now, the market is betting "central banks don't dare." If it wins, prices keep rising; if it loses, prices have to fall.
$BTC, $XAU, $ETH hype surged over 11%, altcoins crashed like dogs, so why does HYPE keep hitting new highs?
Brothers, this market is so divided. Most altcoins have dropped so much that even their mothers wouldn't recognize them, but HYPE has touched new highs again. You think it's just hype? Wrong, they're playing with real buyback and burn.
This exchange Hyperliquid takes most of the trading fees to buy HYPE on the market and then burns it. They buy back over 15,000 tokens in a single day, cumulatively burning nearly 5% of the supply. What is this called? Real money propping up the price, every trade adding fuel to the coin's value. What do altcoins have? Unlocks, selling pressure, and pump-and-dump schemes; if they fall, they just fall, no one cares.
Look at how smart money votes on-chain. Those historically profitable wallets hold over $600 million in longs, but only about $300 million in shorts. There's a whale holding over $100 million in long positions, enduring for 343 days, paying over $5 million in funding fees, refusing to run. Think about it, what kind of faith is that?
Simply put, most altcoins in crypto are pure emotional gambling, while HYPE is a platform that truly makes money. One relies on talk, the other relies on the books. Capital is very shrewd now; it prefers to crowd into a few places with cash flow rather than catch the falling knife of air coins. $HYPE The most unusual detail in today's market is that $RAY, after a 20.25% surge in 24 hours, still has its funding rate firmly stuck at +0.0000%, while AVAUSDT plunged 19.65% with a funding rate of -0.6670%. Within the same sector, one asset rises with the funding rate returning to zero and longs not adding leverage, while the other falls with shorts paying fees. This divergence usually indicates that RAY's rise is driven by spot buying rather than contract speculation volume — this is the most noteworthy structure in relative strength to track.
Comparatively: $ZEC has a trading volume of 534M, far larger than RAY's 13.0M, but its MA5 has crossed below MA20, and the MACD histogram is -9.768, indicating volume-increasing stagnation; AVA shows bearish moving averages and an RSI of only 51.6, lacking strength even in rebounds. RAY, however, has MA5=1.72444 crossing above MA20=1.57744, with a MACD histogram of +0.01272 maintaining bullish momentum, making it the only one among the three with trend and momentum aligned. The concern is that RSI=72.4 has entered the overbought zone, the upper Bollinger band at 1.8108 acts as resistance, and the fear and greed index at 56 leans greedy, so chasing the high carries considerable risk.
Strategically, it is preferable to buy on dips rather than chase the rally. After the fee switch was turned on, Uniswap has been steadily earning about $7.2 million per month. This is the first time it has made money without relying on governance narratives.
What the project team is most anxious about now is not the price, but whether this money can sustain the valuation. Market share rose from 21% to 31%, thanks to integrations like v4 and Robinhood.
But channel integration does not equal demand consolidation. What really needs to be monitored is whether protocol revenue is scaling in sync with trading volume, rather than relying solely on expectations like tokenized stocks.
I myself often treat narratives as cash flow, but this habit needs to change. If monthly income stays around $7.2 million for several consecutive weeks without rising, the rationale for this round of revaluation will be halved.
#ZEC再创新高，估值重估受关注 $ZEC Good news is here, after looking at this topic for a while, I actually feel a bit more grounded.
The probability of the Fed raising rates again in October has broken 55%, the 10-year US Treasury yield has hit 5%, and the 30-year mortgage rate is 6.95%—under such a macro environment, how long can this current rally last?
I used to doubt myself, wondering if I was on the wrong side and shouldn't stubbornly hold short positions. Now looking at the data, it turns out the crazier the market rallies now, the harder it will fall later. Everyone is betting "the Fed will stop this time," but the dot plot clearly shows most officials say there will be at least one more hike this year. The current optimism is essentially going against the Fed.
Thinking this way, holding these three short positions isn't so panic-inducing anymore. $CNPY is down 90%, but it’s a new coin driven by speculation; when rate hike expectations heat up again, this kind of purely sentiment-driven asset will be the first to fall; $FLOCK is the same, small caps are the most vulnerable in a macro tightening environment; CAP has actually gained 34%, which is a bit of early consolation.
Of course, I don’t dare to add more positions now, since market sentiment is high and no one can predict when it will turn. That said, at least from the macro big picture, I’m not on the wrong side. This rally feels more like the calm before the storm, and it depends on whether the October rate hike can extinguish this optimistic sentiment.
#美联储10月再加息概率破55% Goldman Sachs clings stubbornly to 5400 gold! Rate hikes can't stop it, how should retail investors escape?🪙
Goldman Sachs is firmly bullish on gold targeting 5400, but secretly added in the report: if the hawkish stance really kicks in, gold prices might first drop to 4070, then rebound to 4200. In other words, they know they'll take a short-term hit but don't want to lose their bullish image.
The crypto side is even tougher — with rate hikes implemented, $BTC holds strong at 76,000, and even after $450 million ETF outflows, it hasn't broken down.
Gold and crypto are betting on the same thing: fiat currency credit will collapse faster than interest rates.
Retail investors, don't rush, keep your eyes on BTC at 75,000:
✅ If it doesn't break = resilient, hold on
❌ If it breaks = wait until 70,000 to reassess
Don't get swept up by emotions; surviving is more important than quick profits.
$XAU $BTC #gold #crypto #ratehike #playstrategy FOUR TICKERS. ONE RISK.
Long $BTC .
Long $ETH .
Long $DOGE .
Long $ZEC .
Four different assets can still become one big risk position if they’re all reacting to the same macro and liquidity conditions.
That’s the part of diversification people often miss.
More tickers ≠ more diversification.
What matters is how independent your risk actually is.
When correlation rises, position sizing matters even more.
Diversify the risk, not just the portfolio.
NFA. DYOR.SoftBank Secures Another $6.5 Billion "Ammunition Stockpile": The AI Money-Burning Battle Is Far From Over
On September 18, SoftBank prepared another large "reserve ammunition" for its AI investments.
According to insiders, SoftBank Group obtained an additional $450 million credit line, expanding the original approximately $6.05 billion limit to $6.5 billion. Moreover, the credit arrangement originally set to expire this month has been extended, allowing SoftBank to access these funds as needed over the next year.
Note, this does not mean SoftBank has borrowed the full $6.5 billion at once to buy AI assets; rather, the banks have provided a larger pool of funds available on demand. It is currently unclear whether SoftBank has utilized the new credit line or when it plans to do so.
What is truly noteworthy is that more than 20 banks are involved in this deal. The financing rate under the new agreement is the benchmark secured overnight financing rate plus 210 basis points. In other words, this money is not free, but SoftBank’s willingness to expand its financing tools essentially increases financial flexibility for large future investments.
Why prepare such a large pool of funds now? The answer still revolves around AI.
The global AI competition is no longer just about a few companies comparing model parameters. Chips, data centers, electricity, cloud computing, model companies, and various AI infrastructures are all money-consuming beasts. Whoever wants to acquire more core assets in this industrial cycle must first solve the most practical problem: where the money comes from. 🎯 FOUR TICKETS. ONE RISK.
Long $BTC.
Long $ETH.
Long $DOGE.
Long $ZEC.
It may look diversified on the portfolio screen, but if all four respond to the same liquidity and macro conditions, they can behave like one large risk position.
Diversification is about different sources of risk, not simply owning more tickers.
When correlation rises, position sizing matters more.
NFA. DYOR.#NvidiaChipDoubleOutlook G is currently the most direct Alpha opportunity in the market. The current price is around 0.00838000, with two consecutive four-hour candlesticks showing lower shadows testing the 0.00825000 area without breaking it, indicating clear buying support. There is a previous volume peak of trapped chips near 0.00852000 above, so before breaking through, it is likely to shake out floating chips once more. The order book shows dense buy orders around 0.00830000, and the bearish selling momentum has been continuously shrinking according to volume bars, indicating a low-level accumulation structure.
Just looked down at my phone while riding through an intersection; the horn behind was honking loudly, but I ignored it and kept watching the market.
Therefore, the 0.00825000 level is an effective support as long as it holds. Entry range is between 0.00830000 and 0.00840000, with stop-loss moved down below 0.00815000. The first take-profit target is 0.00872000, and the second take-profit target is the round number 0.00900000. The risk-reward ratio is about two times or more, worth taking a shot.
$XAU
#长端美债5%会成新常态吗？
@OKX星球 $CHIP Watching the market obsessively is annoying; turning it off actually makes things clearer, and when my eyes aren't glued, my mind stays calm.
Last night before bed, CHIP showed strong bullish traps but lacked follow-through, with heavy selling pressure. I warned not to catch the dip; the rebound was just a shorting opportunity.
The short position opened at 0.04759 is now at 0.04202, +234.5%. The wait was worth it, really satisfying. Time to take profits: close 80% now, keep 20% at cost as protection, and let the rest run if the price drops further.
Don't get greedy with profits, don't despair on pullbacks. Being out of the market isn't a sin; reckless entries are the real mistake.
Now is not the time to rush; wait for the next move. Opportunities remain, so don't be impatient.
$LAB $ZEC #黄仁勋：英伟达明年芯片销量将翻倍
Old Huang is speaking out again, saying NVIDIA's chip sales will double next year.
But another piece of news is interesting—AI cloud provider Nebius directly notified customers that starting October 1, GPU computing power prices will increase, with instances like H100, H200, and B200 all rising between 17% and 21%.
This is contradictory. On one hand, they say they will double production, but on the other, computing power prices keep soaring.
Simply put, demand is growing faster than supply. You double production, but people want even more aggressively. With GPUs this expensive, how could miners and AI projects possibly reduce hardware costs? Don’t expect that in the short term; those AI tracks and DePIN projects in the crypto space still have to endure.
So what impact does this have on the crypto world? Let me break it down into two parts.
First, AI infrastructure is still pouring money in wildly. Whether chip sales double or computing power prices rise, it shows the whole sector is still expanding. For projects with real computing power backing, long-term certainty is getting stronger. But those AI concepts that only write white papers and paint big promises will only die faster. The giants are competing with real money and real computing power; without something real, you simply can’t survive.
Second, computing power costs are suppressing short-term sentiment. High computing power costs squeeze cloud providers’ profits and pass down to AI application layers. When tech stocks come under pressure and Nasdaq sentiment weakens, high-beta assets like Bitcoin also get affected in the short term. This is one reason Bitcoin has been stuck oscillating between 74,000 and 75,000 recently.
What do you think?
$BTC $ETH 🔥Far beyond expectations! The Bank of Japan raises interest rates, the US dollar index rebounds, and the crypto market surprisingly holds steady without falling!
$BTC last night retraced to 75975, then dipped to 76200 this morning before directly breaking through 77500!
Ethereum bottomed at 2430 and surged to 2484, then rebounded again after a pullback!
Last night in the US session, long positions at 76000 for BTC and 2430 for ETH were perfectly profitable✅
Key market outlook:
BTC faces resistance at 77500 on the 4-hour chart; a true breakout depends on a strong close with a real body, with daily resistance at 78000.
It's very difficult for the market to surge directly during the day session; most likely it will drop first then rise.
Trading reference:
👉Long low: BTC 76000‑76500 | ETH 2420‑2445
👉Short high: BTC 77800‑78400 | ETH 2505‑2530
Do you think BTC can hold above 77500 today? Share your thoughts in the comments!
⚠️ Market conditions change rapidly; for reference only, not investment advice #日银加息预期升温，日元空头平仓风险上升 #日本散户逆势做空，日元升值博弈加剧 #美联储10月再加息概率破55%
All prices went up after the rate hike? This market is really interesting.
Just glanced at my phone, wow, everything is in the green.
$BTC 78,015, up 1.64%; $ETH 2,507, up 1.53%; $SOL 105.74, up 4.46%; Sandisk 1,639, up 2.4%; even Trump Coin rose 4.1%. On the US stock side, Nvidia at 221, up 0.81%, Nasdaq futures also up 1 point.
The rate was only raised by 25 basis points at midnight, so why did everything go up?
After checking the news, it became clear. Although the rate was raised, among the 18 officials in the dot plot, 16 expect "at least one more" hike before the end of the year, rather than "many more" hikes. The market had already priced in the most hawkish scenario, but it turned out to be just this, so the bad news actually turned into good news. CME data also shows the probability of another rate hike in October is 55.4%, while the probability of holding steady is 44.6%, so it's not set in stone.
Plus, oil prices have dropped a bit these past two days, and although the 10-year US Treasury yield is still hovering around 5%, it hasn't continued to surge, easing some pressure.
In short, the market isn't afraid of the rate hike itself, but of "not knowing how many more hikes there will be." This time, the dot plot gave a rough boundary, so funds are willing to move.
Bad news settled, the market breathed a sigh of relief. Let's watch and see how far this rebound can go. Seeing this picture, the first familiar phrase that popped into my mind was: HYPE missed out, so buying a small coin in the ecosystem and waiting for a catch-up rally might be okay 😂
But I think this step is the easiest way to turn "being optimistic about a project" into "just buying something randomly to avoid missing out."
What makes me willing to research HYPE is that it has an account that can be verified: the protocol aid foundation automatically uses the allocated transaction fees to buy HYPE, and the official documentation clearly states the burn mechanism. Whether the trading can continue and whether the buyback strength can support the valuation are what really deserve further calculation.
This logic cannot be directly applied to the Memes in the ecosystem. Just because the platform business is doing well doesn't mean that all coins under the same ecosystem name can share this income. When I buy it, am I really understanding its own value, or simply thinking its price is low and it should be its turn to rise?
By the way, don't confuse the two PURRs in the picture. One is a Meme, the other is a stock of Hyperliquid Strategies, whose core business is accumulating HYPE. Although the code is the same, what you buy can be completely different.
I don't deny that ecosystem coins have trading opportunities, but I don't want to use the confidence gained from researching HYPE to boost a completely different trade.
Missing a rally is indeed frustrating, but the market doesn't owe me a catch-up rally. There's no need to risk real money on the hope that "it should also go up." #美联储10月再加息概率破55% "BTC OG insider whale agent Garrett Jin's related address is the largest Hyperliquid ZEC short, with a short position valued at 53 million USD, an opening price of 665.85 USD, and a liquidation price around 2631 USD."
Considering the entire network's reality, this round of ZEC short squeeze is extremely brutal, with the current price once soaring near 1500. Ninety percent of short sellers have become fuel, and retail investors who opened shorts at 909 are suffering floating losses exceeding 190%, with margin wiped out—a tragic scene still vivid. At the end of the last bear market, I was also bearish on ZEC and eventually closed my position after the token issuance event. Now, the main force's trading logic is completely different from the last VC coin cycle: back then, there was unlimited dumping and contract manipulation for harvesting; currently, ZEC leverages Grayscale's ZCSH spot listing and privacy narrative to raise the bottom long-term, creating artificial consensus.
The reflexivity of trading is evident here: the market is used to shorting altcoins, so the main force continuously pushes the price up strongly, using low circulation and contract stampedes to harvest. Currently, with the FOMC rate hike implemented, US Treasury yields breaking 5%, the CLARITY Act stalled, and BTC playing at 7.55 million, the macro tolerance is extremely low. The whale's 2631 liquidation price remains a looming sword, and short-term speculation is heating up intensely.
Avoid stubbornly holding against the trend; take small profits with light positions following the trend and run. Hold the base position to maintain the narrative—do not hold, do not add, do not fantasize. Cash is king. Wait for all the bad news to be out before deciding. Survival comes first; only by living can the privacy narrative truly be realized!
#美联储10月再加息概率破55% Rate hike landing instead triggers a rebound! The market's real risk logic has completely reversed📈
The day after the rate hike landing, the US stock market posted its best six-week performance, with the 10-year US Treasury yield falling from above 5% to 4.93%, a market reaction full of deep meaning.
The market has never feared the rate hike itself, but fears inflation rebound and central bank inaction. This 25 basis point rate hike landing made the market recognize the Federal Reserve's determination to control inflation, restoring policy credibility, and long-term interest rates cooled accordingly.
Many people have a deep misconception: do not equate rate hikes directly with risk asset declines. Short-term rates are controlled by the Federal Reserve, but long-term rates trade on long-term inflation and policy expectations. Decisive and credible rate hikes can actually lower long-term financing costs; hesitant and procrastinating policies trigger market panic selling.
This also applies to the $BTC track; the real risk is not a single rate hike, but the expectation of uncontrolled inflation.
Yesterday's rate hike and today's rebound do not mean the market has amnesia; it means funds temporarily recognize the Federal Reserve's credit, and macro pressure is easing in phases!
#美联储加息 #宏观逻辑 #币圈行情 #BTC财库优先股融资升温 #美联储10月再加息概率破55% $UNI The most unusual detail today is not that it rose 29.6%, but that the funding rate is only +0.0100%—against a 24h volatility exceeding 31% and the price approaching the upper Bollinger band at 9.28, the long leverage crowding is exactly the same as $ARB, which just rose 24%, and far below the typical funding rate level of a short squeeze. This indicates that spot buying is the main force during the rally, and the contract side is not overheated yet.
In a horizontal comparison within the same sector: $ARB 24h +24.45% looks strong, but the MACD histogram has turned negative (-7.402e-05), RSI is 61.5, indicating momentum is fading after the surge; while UNI's MACD histogram +0.04797 is still positive and expanding, RSI 70.5 has entered the overbought zone but without divergence, MA5=8.9178 has firmly stood above MA20=8.1916, showing a more complete trend structure. Trading volume is 213.5M versus 81.6M, UNI's capital absorption strength is 2.6 times that of ARB. The fear and greed index at 56 is in greed but not extreme, combined with only 0.01% funding rate, indicating there is still room for spot-driven upward momentum in this rally, rather than pure emotional bubble.
The directional bias is bullish. XRP didn't break through the 1.33 spike, and short positions are starting to probe again.
Yesterday's low was 1.2461, the high touched 1.3195 but didn't break through, closing at 1.3072. Today opened at 1.3072, the high was 1.3397, the low 1.2867, and the current price is about 1.3226. Volume has shrunk.
The 1.3397 level above is still resistance. If the 1.2867 level below breaks again, it will likely first revisit the 1.3072 opening price, and only then aggressively test yesterday's 1.2461 spike.
In the short term, watch if the 1.32 level can hold. If it can't hold, treat it as a high-level digestion and don't chase at the current price. For those already holding, watch if 1.2867 can support; if it can't, consider reducing positions. $XRP No vision, can't hold on, this wave of profit is as thin as paper, but I love it to death. While everyone else is still watching, I kept an eye on $TIA's support not breaking, felt the funds quietly entering, so I casually suggested a long position.
Being out of position is not a sin; opening positions recklessly is the mistake.
Funds quietly entering, the bottom consolidating without breaking, I suggested a long position targeting around 0.3614. It really took off, pushing from 0.3614 to 0.3953, a return of +467.62%, enough to have a good meal, really satisfying, not wasted the wait.
The premise of compounding is staying alive; the shortcut to getting rich quick often leads to zero.
Take profit at 70% first, protect the remaining 30% at cost price. Move the stop loss closer to the cost price; if it continues to rise, let the profit run, if it falls back, don't let the gains become uncomfortable. Take profits when you should, don't be greedy for the last bit, brother, watch your profits.
Now is not the time to rush; chasing highs easily leaves you stuck at the peak. Wait for a more comfortable position in the next round. Opportunities remain, don't rush, patiently await good news.
$SOL $LAB $ZEC Derivatives Game Under Macro Deleveraging, Avoid Blindly Trying to Top
Against the backdrop of global liquidity tightening, the crypto market is overall in a deleveraging cycle. As a highly volatile privacy sector, $ZEC has fallen from a high of 1536 to around 1460, which is the result of the resonance between macro sentiment and derivatives structure.
Analysis of the market and derivatives data:
1. Open interest and basis: Open interest has sharply declined (236 million → 226 million), indicating a large amount of leveraged funds are exiting; the contract basis is deeply discounted (green area), with futures prices below spot, reflecting strong bearish market expectations.
2. Funding rate and long-short ratio: The funding rate is extremely negative (-0.05%), and the long-short account ratio has dropped to 0.32. This means retail accounts are heavily crowded on the short side, shorts are paying a high cost to hold positions, and the main players are very likely to launch a "short squeeze" rally.
3. Volume and price performance: At 19:10, there was a huge peak in active sell volume, with the price hitting a low of 1452. hype surged over 11%, altcoins crashed like dogs, so why does HYPE keep hitting new highs?
Brothers, this market is so divided. Most altcoins have dropped so much that even their mothers wouldn't recognize them, but HYPE has touched new highs again. You think it's just hype? Wrong, they're playing with real buyback and burn.
This exchange Hyperliquid takes most of the trading fees to buy HYPE on the market and then burns it. They buy back over 15,000 tokens in a single day, cumulatively burning nearly 5% of the supply. What is this called? Real money propping up the price, every trade adding fuel to the coin's value. What do altcoins have? Unlocks, selling pressure, and pump-and-dump schemes; if they fall, they just fall, no one cares.
Look at how smart money votes on-chain. Those historically profitable wallets hold over $600 million in longs, but only about $300 million in shorts. There's a whale holding over $100 million in long positions, enduring for 343 days, paying over $5 million in funding fees, refusing to run. Think about it, what kind of faith is that?
Simply put, most altcoins in crypto are pure emotional gambling, while HYPE is a platform that truly makes money. One relies on talk, the other relies on the books. Capital is very shrewd now; it prefers to crowd into a few places with cash flow rather than catch the falling knife of air coins. $HYPE This is not a rebound; it's like CPR for my short account, right? Yesterday at dawn, when $UP was forcibly pulled up, I almost thought the short position was going to fail, but the volume didn't follow at all, and there were a bunch of sell orders pressing down above—a typical low-volume bull trap. I signaled to open a short around 0.4420 with one logic: the rebound is weak, no one is catching it on the way up.
During the intraday bottom consolidation, it surged again, but every push up was short of breath, with clearly insufficient support. I neither added nor panicked; the short position just stayed there, waiting for it to give its own answer.
Just now I refreshed and saw 0.3094 directly hit, locking in +300.67% floating profit. This gain feels great; the earlier hesitation was real, but the outcome is truly sweet.
The move is simple: first close 80%, keep the remaining 20% at cost price as protection; if it continues to drop, let the profit run, and if it rebounds, don't give the profit back. Don't be greedy for the last bit; pocket the big part first.
For friends who haven't entered yet, listen to me: now is not the time to chase shorts; the market can spike and rebound at any moment. The market is to be waited out, and profits are to be held onto. I'll notify you immediately when the next signal comes.
$BNB $SOL It's 1500 already, no hope left, sisters are doomed. Is this $ZEC riding a rocket??
Oh my god, look at this bloody account, can't even cry! Shorted at 909, current price is nearly 1500, floating loss over 190%, 115U gone up in smoke. Margin is zero, liquidation price 1868, just a needle away from liquidation! BTC and ETH are both falling, only ZEC is stubborn, completely ignoring gravity. Grayscale ETF (ZCSH) funds pouring in combined with short squeeze, 90% of short sellers become fuel, this is not trading crypto, it's a pure short squeeze slaughter!
Woke up in the middle of the night to check the market, put all my frugal private savings in. Always thought "after so much drop there will be a rebound," but always got slapped in the face. The whales don't treat retail investors as humans, won't stop until they squeeze out the last drop of blood! Macro-wise, FOMC rate hike is confirmed, US Treasury yield breaks 5%, CLARITY Act is blocked, BTC struggles at 75,500, tolerance is extremely low, going against the trend is a death sentence.
Sisters, never short ZEC! Going long you can still get some soup, shorting it is a deep pit hard to climb out of. This time I accept fate, no adding positions, no closing positions, whatever happens happens. Don't follow my stubbornness against the trend, definitely go with the flow and set good stop losses! Light positions, small bites, cash is king, no holding, no adding, no fantasies, staying alive is the only way to wait for the bull market, preserving principal is better than anything! 🤦♀️💀
#美联储10月再加息概率破55% #美国加密税收与BTC储备法案获推进 Trading Insight: The Bird on the Reef
Amid the rushing waters, a small bird stands on a reef.
A big fish is flipping and jumping right before its eyes, a huge temptation within reach—one gulp could satisfy it for a long time. But this fish is almost the same size as the bird, and the current is fierce. If it recklessly lunges, not only will it fail to catch the fish, but it will also be dragged into the rushing water by the big fish, risking its own life. Facing this big fish, the bird remains motionless and unmoved.
Until a small fish swims by, perfectly sized for its beak, a prey it can fully handle. The bird strikes instantly, firmly catching it in one bite, and enjoys it safely.
The same principle applies to the trading market.
Every day, the market is filled with tempting big opportunities—soaring assets, highly profitable trends right before your eyes. Watching others make a fortune easily can make you restless, eager to rush in and chase high returns. Like those who like to add to floating profits or heavily bet when big trends appear. When things go smoothly, the returns can be impressive, but once the market reverses beyond your tolerance, unable to withstand the drawdown, you get liquidated and forced out.
The opportunity itself is not wrong, and the market can indeed make money, but that doesn’t mean the money belongs to you. Some profits belong to the big fish beyond your cognition and position system. Even if it’s right in front of you, you can’t control it. Forcibly reaching out to grab it won’t let you take the profit; instead, the huge risk behind the profit will backfire on you. Give up those big fish that don’t belong to you. Only wait for opportunities that belong to you, only trade within your circle of competence, and only catch the small fish you can firmly hold."Your enemies feel relieved seeing you short $ZEC" 🥹
Hyperliquid's largest hardcore short seller of $ZEC, Garrett Bullish (previously liquidated for $230 million as the 1011 giant whale), sold 35,000 ETH spot (worth $87.5 million) half an hour ago, then added margin, raising the ZEC liquidation price to $4,737.7
$ZEC
His $55.89 million short position in ZEC is now at an unrealized loss of $30.75 million, with an average entry price as low as $665.84… #NvidiaChipDoubleOutlook Nvidia plans to sell more chips, yet AI compute is getting more expensive 👀
Jensen Huang expects chip sales to double over the next year, while Nebius is raising H100 to B300 instance prices by roughly 17%-21%.
What caught my attention is the contradiction: supply is scaling, but pricing power isn't fading.
If Nvidia doubles shipments and compute prices still stay high, the real story isn't scarcity. It's demand outrunning one of the fastest supply expansions in tech.