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Glassnode just flagged $95K-97K as Bitcoin's next real resistance zone.
Not a guess. It's where mean MVRV price sits — $96,700.
Options positioning could speed things up to $92K.
Then slow everything down right before $95K.
The path up isn't a straight line. It has checkpoints. NYSE is exploring a partnership with Blockchain.com.
The goal: 24/7/365 tokenized trading of US stocks and ETFs.
Read that again.
The New York Stock Exchange — open every hour, every day.
If this happens, "market hours" stops being a real concept. First, a quick report: On the evening of September 26, BTC was around $84,118, up 0.38% in 24 hours. During the day, it briefly dipped below $84,000 but climbed back by evening. ETH was around $2,687, basically flat in 24 hours. On Wednesday, ETF net inflows sharply dropped to $347 million, a big cooldown compared to the billions seen in the previous two days. The amount of coins miners transferred to exchanges quietly increased. Spot net outflows have continued for three days, totaling $5.85 million. This snapshot is as of the time of writing. Keep steady and double-check your positions. Today's real big news isn't the price but that SEC commissioner Hester Peirce, known as Crypto Mom, officially announced she will step down on October 2. Over the past few years, she has been the most vocal insider in crypto regulation. Behind her are stances supporting stablecoins as collateral and 24/7 trading of commodities embracing tokenization. With her departure, the SEC will have only two commissioners left. The successor's stance—hawkish or dovish—is completely unknown now. It's like a relationship: the person who knows you best and has always spoken up for you suddenly says they're leaving. You haven't figured out the new person yet. Most likely, it's time to hold back and not rush to open up. The observation period is always wiser than the impulsive period. The market was startled during the day but quietly climbed back at night. Of the $160 million liquidations in 24 hours, 90% were long positions. Many leveraged up in the past few days and are now paying the price. This isn't a crash but a natural correction after an aggressive run-up. There isn't much real panic selling on exchanges, just people pulling back for now. Tomorrow, watch two lines closely: whether there is a successor and who it will be.🔻 $NEAR
My NEAR short was opened around $4.977 with high leverage and is currently in profit. I’m watching price action closely rather than assuming the move will continue. ₿ $BTC
BTC pulled back from around $87.3K toward the $85.2K area, with consecutive 4H bearish candles showing weaker short-term momentum. Key levels:
• $83K — important support
• Break below → $82K becomes the next area to watch ♦️ $ETH
ETH dropped from roughly $2,806 and has struggled to reclaim $2,700. Key downside levels:The Fed just drafted stablecoin rules under the GENIUS Act.
Not a proposal anymore. A draft.
The real question isn't whether stablecoins get regulated.
It's who gets to qualify as an issuer —
and who gets locked out before they even apply. $SNDK｜Missed the trade by 0.4 dollars, the real pain isn't the market, but my own mindset
The short order placed at 1905 missed execution by just 0.4 dollars.
What hurts the most is that I had actually shorted from 1800 all the way up to 1900, but my position was too small and I never dared to add more.
After waking up this morning, the price triggered a market forced liquidation around 1827, and I couldn't recover it afterward.
Looking back now, what really bothers me might not be missing this trade, but the feeling of "clearly seeing it, yet not holding on."
What's even more dangerous is that after trading, my gambling urge started to rise again.
A voice in my head tells me:
"Don't rush 100,000 RMB in to gamble, what if it blows up?"
But another voice keeps tempting me:
"What if 100,000 turns into 1,000,000?"
These two voices keep battling in my mind.
And now SNDK itself is in a position that's very easy to get hyped about—AI data center demand, rising NAND prices, and market expectations for the storage cycle are all continuously driving capital attention to this stock. The company recently announced Q4 revenue for fiscal year 2026 reached $8.965 billion, a significant year-over-year increase, with data center business revenue also showing clear growth.
But the more volatile and narrative-driven the market is, the easier it is to turn trading into gambling.
Now I'm annoyed by shorting, and annoyed by going long as well.
Maybe what I really need to do now isn't to judge whether the next candlestick will go up or down, but to stop first TRX has performed relatively steadily today, belonging to a category with stronger defensive attributes among mainstream coins. The market's focus remains on stablecoin settlements on the TRON chain, on-chain transfer demand, and ecosystem cash flow, especially after further discussions in the US about regulatory frameworks for payment stablecoins, making the value of stablecoin infrastructure more likely to be re-evaluated by capital. TRX's pace is usually not particularly aggressive, but its volatility resistance is relatively outstanding. If the scale and activity of on-chain stablecoins continue to grow, the narrative support will be more solid. $TRX The market is still moving through a volatile phase, but I’m keeping my focus on the larger structure rather than reacting to every short-term pullback. This position is currently sitting on around $21,400 in unrealized profit, and I’m not planning to rush the exit. A correction during a larger uptrend can happen at any time, but that doesn't automatically mean the entire trend has reversed. 🟣 $ETH ETH continues to show relative strength. After reclaiming the $2,650 area, the next zones I’m watHere’s a tighter, more reflective OKX-style rewrite focused on the psychology of breaking even: $SOL — Break-Even Is Not the Thesis Saw someone celebrate finally getting back to breakeven on $SOL . That moment can be a psychological trap. When you’re stuck, you tell yourself: “The second I get back to entry, I’m gone.” But when price finally reaches that level, stop and ask a better question: Why am I still holding this position? Being trapped often comes from entering too late or sizing too agETC has been relatively weak recently, indicating that capital currently has limited preference for POW and old mining coin narratives. Its market performance usually depends more on overall market risk appetite, changes in the miner ecosystem, and cyclical capital rotation, rather than rapid on-chain application growth. Although it may see catch-up gains when mainstream coins stabilize, the sustainability still depends on whether trading volume recovers and if new industry catalysts emerge. For ETC, the market cares more about whether capital is willing to stay continuously rather than single-day fluctuations. $ETCATOM has recently been more reflected as a valuation recovery of a veteran cross-chain asset. The technical influence of the Cosmos ecosystem remains, but there have always been disagreements in the market regarding its token value capture, ecosystem synergy, and application growth. The current capital inflow indicates increased attention at low levels, but to form a stronger trend, new catalysts are still needed from cross-chain demand, shared security, and ecosystem project activity. For ATOM, the key is not just the rebound magnitude, but whether it can reestablish sustained fundamental expectations. $ATOM$BTC $84k is not weak. It’s stuck.
$87.4k was the squeeze.
$83k–$85k is the decision box.
$ETH follows. Needs $2,700. Dies under $2,630.
$SOL is the tell.
It already broke $119. Hold that and $123 → $128 is next. Lose $116 and the relative strength is gone.
ETF bid is still green. Price isn’t. That’s absorption under resistance, not distribution.
The market doesn’t need more hopium.
It needs a daily close outside $83k–$85k.
Until then, range is the trade. Break is the story.$CORE — Sometimes the Market Has a Strange Sense of Humor 😂 Last night, after having a few drinks, my hands started shaking and I ended up selling my $CORE position that I’d been holding for years. I then jumped into a shitcoin, immediately got nervous about getting trapped, and tried to sell. But my shaky hands couldn't get the order through. A few minutes later, I checked the chart again—and the coin had doubled. This time I was calm, hit market sell, and got out. The funniest part? A randoThere’s a popular idea that traders with small accounts should forget about catching every major market cycle. When capital is limited, the priority is not trying to capture every huge move — it’s surviving, managing risk, and steadily building the account. I’m looking at my own journey from that perspective. My current account is around $14,280, including unrealized P&L. That’s still a long way from the $100K milestone, but the objective remains the same: grow the account without allowing one b$SNDK — Frustration Is Not a Trading Signal My $SNDK short around 1800–1900 was kept small, but I still managed to get caught on the wrong side. The 1905 order missed by just 0.4, which made the frustration even worse. This morning, the position was forced out at market price around 1827, and I didn’t manage to recover the loss. Now the dangerous thought is back: “Should I throw 100,000 RMB into the market and try to win it back?” Then another voice says: “What if it turns into 1,000,000?” Tha$MSFT
Why might the market welcome Microsoft's increased focus on enterprise AI?
The value of capital expenditure depends on whether it can enter enterprise subscriptions, cloud services, and productivity software revenue. Focusing on commercialization helps reduce ineffective investments and improve profit expectations.
If cloud growth slows and revenue cannot keep up with depreciation and costs, I would lower the valuation assessment. $BTC $ETH $SOL
Weekend tape: quiet. News: Not.
BTC ~$84k, still rejected from $87.4k. ETH ~$2,690, boxed. SOL ~$120–122, leading.
ETF bid is still there. BTC funds on a 7-day inflow streak (~$2.4B this week). ETH on 6 days. SOL ETFs took ~$85M Friday — huge vs. their size.
Price isn’t following. Yields + ~70% odds of an October hike are the ceiling. $85k is the level that matters.
$BTC $ETH $SOLStrategy proposes to distribute daily dividends for preferred shares
The money doesn't increase, but comes more frequently
The Strategy board has approved the proposal
To change the four preferred shares STRF, STRC, STRK, STRD
To accrue dividends daily
Including holidays, paid on the next business day
Shareholder vote on October 28
Dividend rate unchanged, total payment unchanged
Not giving more money
Just splitting the same amount into smaller parts
The intention is clear
Preferred shares are Strategy's fundraising tool for buying BTC
Shorten the reinvestment waiting time
Improve liquidity
This makes the tool easier to sell
So my judgment is
This is a refinement of the financing structure
Not a positive signal on the asset side
How much can be raised after approval
Will determine the subsequent coin buying pace
$BTC $ETH #Strategy #PreferredShares 600 tokens became 1000 tokens, and long-term holders have become even busier
At the peak in March 2024, the daily amount LTHs dumped into exchanges was 5 times the annual average.
Now, the inflow is still below the annual average line; analysts say this is called rationality.
The data looks like this: the annual average climbed from 600 tokens to 1000 tokens, with several days at the bottom far exceeding the average in a single day.
What is he betting on: those who bought at the high point admit losses, and only the old coins are moving.
From the market maker's perspective, this is not rationality, it's that no one is taking the orders.
One more question: is the cooling inflow due to holding back sales, or just laziness to place orders?
I guess it's the latter; if the price doesn't move, placing orders is just giving away fees for free.
To be honest, I don't care about rationality or not, I'm just waiting for the annual average line to be broken once more.
#BTC现货ETF连续6日吸金超28亿美元
#美债长端利率持续攀升，融资压力升温 #高利率下，黄金还能走多远？ $BTC $ONE — Take Profit, Protect the Win 🥩 Last night, $ONE bounced hard enough to make the short position look uncomfortable. But the rebound lacked strong follow-through, and the broader short structure remained intact. From 0.0042000 → 0.0024151, the move delivered a huge unrealized gain. If you caught it, this was a spot to manage the position—not get greedy. I’d take 80% profit, keep the remaining 20% protected around entry, and tighten the stop. Locking gains matters more than watching them 🔥 Saturday evening: BTC has been sideways all day, which of these four small coins is quietly working?
#BTC现货ETF连续6日吸金超28亿美元 #美债长端利率持续攀升，融资压力升温
$HYPE around 92.211, down 1.26%, Hyperliquid decentralized exchange. While BTC is sideways, it’s still grinding; 90 is the key level, break below and watch 88. #美债长端利率持续攀升，融资压力升温 Interest rate hike expectations are pressuring DeFi valuations, but real income supports it, so dips attract buyers 💪
$BICO around 0.02267, slightly down 0.66%, Biconomy account abstraction token. After a 7% rally the day before yesterday, it paused; 0.023 is short-term resistance, break above to target 0.025. #稳定币新规推进，支付结算加速落地 The account abstraction sector is now getting some capital attention 💻
$BEAT around 0.09164, down 2.90%, Audiera micro-exchange meme coin. Down 99% from the high, rose 5% yesterday to 0.09203, then fell back today; market cap 25 million, volatility over 100%. #美联储重启加息，BTC为何仍有韧性？ While BTC is sideways, meme coins are falling; avoid these—they pump hard but crash hard too, very small positions only 😅
$RE around 0.46933, slightly down 0.20%, DeFi insurance small RWA, 71 million market cap, daily volume 5 million. The smallest market cap; when BTC is sideways it rests, when BTC bounces it flies fastest 🚀Originally, I just wanted to grab a quick breakfast, but the market ended up handing me half a year's worth of dumplings. Last night at dawn, I was watching $BTC closely; the chart was grinding and making me sleepy. The BTC lower shadow line was never eaten away, the support just didn't break.
At that moment, I said one thing: someone is catching on the downside, don't scare yourself. Go long, and leave the rest to the market.
From 79,076.1 all the way up to 84,070.5, +631.59% gave the answer. This piece of profit was comfortable to eat, the wait was worth it.
The market is something you wait for, profits are something you hold onto. Better to miss a limit-up than to catch a flying knife and end up bleeding.
The action is simple: take profit on 70%, protect the remaining 30% at cost price, if it keeps going up let the profit run, if it falls back don't let the gains turn into pain.
For friends who haven't gotten on board yet, listen to me: now is not the time to rush in, chasing highs easily leaves you stuck at the peak. Wait for the next signal before moving.
$SOL $ZEC The Funeral of Leverage: I Died One Second Before Dawn
The red words "Forced Liquidation" on the screen were like a dull knife, cutting off my last breath on $ONE.
From 0.0018 to 0.0020, this narrow oscillation zone became my meat grinder. The flashing red and green candlesticks resembled traffic lights, and I was like a gambler with bloodshot eyes, panic selling at a loss and greedily bottom fishing. The densely packed B and S on the screen were a trail of bloody footprints. Fees and funding rates were like termites, nibbling away at my remaining margin bit by bit. My nerves, sleepless all night, finally snapped when the market maker mercilessly plunged down one last time.
0.0015181 became my tombstone.
The most ironic tragedy followed. Just as I was completely liquidated and my funds hit zero, 0.0015181 turned out to be the historical bottom. Then the market ran wild like a runaway horse, soaring all the way to 0.0027! I died perfectly one second before takeoff. I guessed the trend right but couldn’t survive the shakeout; I endured all the dark nights but fell at the moment dawn arrived.
Altcoin shakeouts remain cold and ruthless. In a liquidity-drained pool, retail traders’ leverage is the market maker’s perfect fuel.
The wheels of the market keep rolling forward; my liquidation was just an unnoticed fuel on the candlestick chart. In the graveyard of leverage, the smartest people are never lacking — those who "guess the direction right." #BTC现货ETF连续6日吸金超28亿美元 #美债长端利率持续攀升，融资压力升温 Here’s a cleaner, more natural OKX-style rewrite that keeps the emotional “dog whale” theme but makes the market structure clearer: $ONE — Even the Dog Whale Takes No Holiday 🐕 Mid-Autumn Festival is here, but the dog whale clearly didn’t come to share mooncakes. 😮💨 $ONE bounced from 0.00147 → 0.00240, looked like a reversal, then got rejected hard and fell back to 0.00179. My long was taken out for a 5.11U loss (-24.16%). Technically, the picture still looks weak: • MA structure remains b81% of all Bitcoin hasn’t moved in at least 6 months.
People seriously underestimate how little new demand it takes to move $BTC higher when holders simply refuse to sell.The market clearly seems to be stalling a bit in this wave; the bears continue to watch.
I was originally ready to take profit on my $NEAR short position, but after seeing the market trend, I decided to hold on a bit longer.
Entry price was 4.977, 50x full position, currently floating profit is about 80%, just a bit short of doubling.
The current plan is clear: if the market continues to weaken, NEAR still has room to drop further. I'll hold and see if I can extend this profit wave and maybe earn some extra budget for holiday travel.
——
$BTC's high in the past 24 hours is temporarily around 85200, having fallen from 87300 earlier. The 4-hour chart shows consecutive bearish closes, and the short-term bullish rebound is clearly not as strong as before.
Currently, the key level to watch is 83000.
If it breaks below effectively, the next target is around 82000; if it rebounds but fails to reclaim the key resistance zone, shorts can still be monitored.
——
$ETH fell from 2806 and the rebound has yet to firmly hold above 2700.
In the short term, resistance above is quite obvious.
2650 is the next key level to watch; if it breaks, attention can shift to the 2600 and 2500 areas.
No rush to bottom-fish now; wait for clearer price signals before deciding direction.
#BTCETF2.8BInflowStreak #USLongTermYieldsRise #Hormuz7DayPlanRejected After BTC Bitcoin broke through 83000, it surged to around 87000 at its highest, then fluctuated between 83000 and 87000. After hitting 87200 a couple of days ago, the market started to pull back. Yesterday during the day, it was weak again, first breaking below 84000, then briefly returning to around 83000. This level happens to be the previous breakout point and a support level I pay close attention to. In the past two days, both the US stock market and crypto have been in short-term consolidation. Looking at them together, although risk assets have fluctuated, overall they have not deteriorated. After Bitcoin pulled back from 87000, it has not yet fallen below 82000.
$ETH $SOL #BTCSpotETF has attracted over $2.8 billion in inflows for 6 consecutive days #US long-term Treasury yields continue to rise, increasing financing pressure #Trump reportedly rejected the 7-day plan, the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz is evolving again #BTC现货ETF连续6日吸金超28亿美元
Currently, the bearish expectations of interest rate hikes still hang overhead, causing market concerns. Therefore, funds are entering the market but are not rushing to push prices up.
On one hand, external macro news keeps disturbing; on the other hand, ETFs are continuously and genuinely buying, resulting in this frustrating sideways consolidation pattern.
Moreover, the market is affected by reduced liquidity over the weekend, and the daily inflow scale has already started to decline, indicating that a one-sided big move is unlikely in the short term. Institutions are slowly accumulating at low levels, washing out short-term holders who can't hold on, repeatedly oscillating back and forth to wear down patience.
#美债长端利率持续攀升，融资压力升温 #特朗普据悉拒绝7天方案，霍尔木兹重开再生变 $BTC $ETH $SOL "Buy new, not old" might be the biggest scam playing altcoins in the next bull market.
What truly deserves attention may not be new stories, but established projects that have undergone multiple cycles of bull and bear markets, with products and ecosystems continuously maturing.
The key this round is: whether the value accumulated over the past few years can truly be realized through tokens.
Personal focus:
AAVE - veteran DeFi lending, watch for buybacks;
NEAR - AI + Agent + cross-chain;
LINK - leading oracle, benefiting from RWA;
$SUI - high-performance public chain, focus on ecosystem growth;
ONDO - core player in RWA;
ENA - leading synthetic USD;
UNI - leading DEX, focus on value capture;
$ZEC - veteran project in privacy sector;
$ARB - Ethereum L2;
INJ - on-chain financial infrastructure;
RAY - core DEX on Solana
Being established doesn't mean no opportunity; the key is whether fundamentals can be re-priced.This week, BTC and ETH face important options expirations, and the market may experience more pronounced short-term price volatility than usual. 🟠 $BTC — Around $84K is a key observation point BTC is currently fluctuating near $84K–$85K, recently spiking above $87K before pulling back. The market is currently focused on whether buying support can continue around $84K. Approximately $474M nominal value of BTC options expiring around September 26 remain open; related data also shows total BTC options open interest is about $30.4B. 🔵 $ETH — Intense battle around $2.7K ETH is currently around $2.7K, recently breaking through the technical resistance at $2,661 but then entering a consolidation phase. ETH's current total options open interest is about $4.2B, with near-term contracts expiring on September 26 totaling about $95M. 📊 Why pay attention to shorts? If the price suddenly experiences a mild rise: → Shorts may start to cover → Open Interest (OI) may quickly decline → Liquidity thins → A small rebound could be amplified into a rapid move Conversely, if bulls fail to hold key areas, position adjustments after options settlement could also amplify downward volatility. ⚠️ But note: High OI alone does not determine whether the price will go up or down. What is truly worth observing is: Price + OI + Volume + Capital Flow #BTC spot ETF has attracted over $2.8 billion in inflows for 6 consecutive days BTC spot ETF has seen inflows for six straight days, accumulating $2.84 billion, which is indeed positive in normal times.
This wave of inflows has reversed BTC and ETF's year-to-date capital flow from a $5.8 billion deficit in mid-July to nearly $800 million net inflow.
Institutions are bottom-fishing, shorts are hedging, and the price is stuck at 84,000. If shorts start to close positions, the rebound could exceed expectations; if inflows continue to decline, Bitcoin is likely to face short-term pressure.
#Long-term US Treasury yields continue to rise, increasing financing pressure #Trump reportedly rejects 7-day plan, Hormuz reopening causes new changes $BTC $ETH $SOL Opening the US stock table on the weekend evening — Friday's close saw $CRCL drop nearly 5%, and crypto stocks followed suit with a soft trend.
Circle closed Friday around 88.64 (about -4.7%), Coinbase around 195 (about -2%), Strategy around 159 (about -1.6%). The main reason is still $BTC breaking below 84,000; US crypto stocks are more sensitive than spot.
On OKX, $CRCL perpetual is now around 87.7, with a 24h range roughly 94.2 / 86.4. The weekend market is thinner, so don't apply daytime strategies rigidly.
$BTC is about 84090, $ETH about 2682. First watch $CRCL at 87 / 86.4 against 90; $BTC watch if 83500 can hold above 84000.
$CRCL $BTC $ETH #CRCL #Circle #USStocks #Coinbase #WeekendMarket #RiskWarning
The above is personal observation only and does not constitute investment advice. Contracts carry risks; enter the market cautiously. $BTC $ETH $SOL
📊 The market is entering a critical compression phase
$BTC is currently around 83,912, having consolidated sideways all day.
$SOL is reported at 120.6, briefly dropping to 115 at midnight, then rebounding to 122 during the session, now back near 120.
The bulls seem to be losing momentum; although the price hasn't clearly broken down, the buying power hasn't formed a sustained push either.
In my view, the market now is like a spring being continuously compressed.
⚠️ Volatility may be brewing, and a directional choice might emerge soon.
Meanwhile, I am watching my $ETH short position:
🔻 Entry price: 2,694.5
💰 Current price: 2,686
📈 Floating profit: about 8U
📊 Current return: about 30%
💵 Principal: 26.86U
⚡ Leverage: 100x
🛑 Liquidation price: 2,847
The focus now is not on guessing direction, but on whether BTC can break the range and whether ETH shows confirmation signals.
Reaction first. Confirmation second. Position third.
#BTC #ETH #SOL #Crypto #Trading #OKX #DYOR #NFANow the whole screen is shouting that October is the strongest month in crypto history
In August and September this year, everyone said it would crash, but it didn't
People who carve a mark on the boat to seek the sword are always a step slow
Whether October rises or crashes
It only depends on whether the K-line breaks, the calendar is not a trading system
#BTC现货ETF连续6日吸金超28亿美元 #美债长端利率持续攀升，融资压力升温 #特朗普据悉拒绝7天方案，霍尔木兹重开再生变 $BTC $ETH There was a time when I was obsessively watching the intraday chart, checking every small fluctuation of $SOL. When it went up, I sat up straight; when it dropped, I wanted to take action. That period was when I performed the worst in trading.
Later, I realized something: the intraday chart is like a magnifying glass that amplifies emotions. Sometimes when a needle drops, the green on the screen turns red, and your mind is filled with panic, but if you look at the daily chart, that needle isn’t even worth a splash.
The more the market grinds you down, the more those who watch frequently tend to act impulsively. It feels like something is happening every second and you need to react every second. In reality, most fluctuations have little to do with you. The only thing you really need to watch is where SOL is heading and whether the structure is broken.
My approach is simple: turn off the intraday chart, check it at most twice a day, and only look at the daily chart. If you look at the daily K-line, SOL is just slowly climbing step by step, very steadily.
I’ve seen too many people who originally held well but insisted on constantly trading intraday for small profits, paying more in fees than they earned, thinning their core holdings, and missing out when the market actually moves.
Watching frequently doesn’t mean you care more; most of the time, it just creates anxiety for yourself. If the structure really breaks, it’s clearest on the daily chart—you don’t need to seek reassurance from the intraday chart.
Try turning off the intraday chart, and you’ll find there’s nothing that must be dealt with immediately.🔥 13 years ago, a BTC trend line drawn using Excel still attracts attention today.
On February 13, 2013, when $BTC was only about $25, Bitcointalk user dacoinminster input the available Bitcoin price data into Excel and let Excel automatically fit a power function trend line.
📐 The formula is:
Price = 4.42 × 10⁻¹⁷ × (Days since Genesis)^5.6
At that time, he was not establishing any "Bitcoin price theory" but discussing a simple question:
Was the 2011 surge a bubble? And was the 2013 price reasonable?
Interestingly, this line has since been used by the crypto market to observe BTC's long-term price structure.
But it should be noted: it is essentially just a model fitted based on historical price data and cannot prove that BTC will necessarily follow this curve in the future.
👀 So the question arises:
If this long-term trend line continues to exist, where will $BTC head in the coming years?
Or, with huge changes in market size, liquidity, and participants, will this 13-year-old model eventually become invalid?
Let price speak. 📊
#Bitcoin #BTC #Crypto #BitcoinHistory SUI surged 35% in three days: short positions liquidated $820,000, long positions $0. This is not a “public chain revival,” it’s a calculated squeeze.
From September 21 to 25, SUI rose from $0.81 to $1.12, a 35% increase in three days. Market cap surged to $4.25 billion, returning to the top 30.
But what really kept me silent staring at the screen wasn’t this bullish candle, it was the liquidation data: on Binance, Bybit, and OKX—the three major exchanges—short positions on SUI liquidated $820,000, long positions liquidated $0.
For every dollar liquidated, 100 cents came from shorts.
What you see is “SUI is finally back.” What I see is a textbook-level hunt fueled by ecosystem positives as the fuse, short-sellers’ liquidations as the fuel, and a BTC rebound as cover. Today, I won’t waste time on the technical debate about “Move language being better than EVM.” Let’s just talk about one thing: how this 35% gain happened, and who will pay the price next. $SUI $BTC $ETH #BTC现货ETF连续6日吸金超28亿美元 #美债长端利率持续攀升，融资压力升温 #特朗普据悉拒绝7天方案，霍尔木兹重开再生变 Speculating on altcoins is all about catching the "project team's moves" early 🔥 In a bull market playing altcoins, the hardest part isn't jumping on the hype after the price surges, but sensing the signal: the project team is starting to make moves. Market rallies always originate from two sources: unusual market activity and heated public opinion. There are two rhythm types: sometimes the price leads, with candlesticks quietly moving first, and news and discussions flood in days later; other times, market and public opinion ignite simultaneously, resonating in both directions, causing even more violent price surges. Reviewing this round's cases, the whole process is very clear. The initial pump of $ZEC didn't start with widespread trending topics. It began with institutional investors and early holders in the community quietly sharing views in private and sporadic tweets, gradually building the narrative. The market first broke out of the bottom consolidation zone, with small bullish candles slowly rising, which many mistook as a normal rebound. Once the narrative was polished, a group of KOLs collectively voiced support, topics spread widely, and ordinary retail investors saw ZEC being talked about everywhere. By then, the main upward wave was mostly over. Looking at the recent NEAR, ENA, and Plasma moves, the script is almost identical. Step one: the project team and backing capital start taking action. Whether advancing product iterations or connecting with institutional resources, they quietly lay the groundwork for public opinion. At this stage, retail investors barely hear anything; only a small group of investors and industry accounts discuss it. Step two: the market gives the first answer. It stops following the overall market trend; when the market falls, it refuses to create... #美债长端利率持续攀升，融资压力升温
Bitwise's move, can NEAR's ETF really get approved?
Bitwise just submitted NEAR's 8-A filing, NYSE Arca code NRR. This institution manages over $9 billion and more than seventy products, considered a veteran player. Will it pass? The filing is already effective, the process is moving quickly, but the final listing date is not set.
How much incremental inflow can it bring? Referencing its European NEAR ETP, the scale just passed $100 million, mainly driven by price appreciation, not new money inflow. If approved in the US, there will definitely be short-term sentiment premium, but don't expect tens of billions.
The new narrative is strong: NEAR is now not just a public chain; it is building a cross-chain transaction gateway, with Intents weekly trading volume of $1.3 billion, also working on privacy perpetuals and tokenized US stocks. Institutions buying NEAR are buying into this.
Market view: current price around 4.8, RSI nearly 80, overbought. Resistance at 5.21 is a hard wall, support at 4.14 is a short-term pullback level. Early profit-taking is happening; if funding rates turn negative, that signals a correction.
Direction: expect volatility before the ETF news is finalized, do not chase highs. #Strategy proposal to distribute daily dividends for preferred shares
Strategy has made a move again, this time targeting dividends for preferred shares.
The board approved a proposal to change the dividend payment for the four preferred shares STRF, STRC, STRK, and STRD from quarterly to daily recording and next-day payment. Weekends and holidays are included, with shareholder voting scheduled for October 28. The dividend rate remains unchanged, and the company is not spending extra money; it’s just speeding up the payment frequency.
The purpose is straightforward. Preferred shares are Strategy’s core tool for financing BTC purchases. Previously, they raised funds by issuing preferred shares and then used the proceeds to accumulate coins. Changing dividends to daily settlement shortens the reinvestment waiting time, improves liquidity and price stability—in other words, it makes preferred shares easier to sell and financing smoother.
For BTC, this has two sides. The positive side is that smoother financing channels mean Strategy has more ammunition to keep buying coins, maintaining long-term buying support.
Currently, Strategy holds over 840,000 BTC, a huge volume, and its every move affects market sentiment. Whether the daily dividend proposal passes will reflect its future financing and coin accumulation rhythm. Don’t rush in thinking it’s a short-term positive; wait for the shareholder vote results on October 28. This company is currently the biggest leverage player in BTC; if it’s stable, the market is a bit more stable; if it wobbles, everyone follows suit. $BTC $ETH $SOL On Saturday while watching the market, there was a subtle feeling: the market barely moved, but the sentiment was actually repricing. Have you noticed that this rebound is completely different from the previous "liquidity-driven broad rally"? BTC hovered around 84K, and after the 25bp rate hike was implemented, it surprisingly didn’t crash — that itself is information. The clear resistance zone is between 84.5K and 85K; whether it can break through with volume will determine if this move is a recovery or a fakeout. What concerns me more is that the price hasn’t dropped, but volume hasn’t obviously picked up either, indicating bulls are probing while bears aren’t rushing to sell their positions. ETH bounced from 2675 to above 2700, with 2650 as the short-term lifeline; the next target upward is 2750. Its current role is more like a sentiment thermometer, not an engine. SOL returned to 120, up 3%, chewing on a psychological barrier; once it truly breaks through, 125 will become the next magnet. OKB is also grinding near 120 alongside BTC, with the previous high of 142 still hanging there like an unfinished story. RE is quiet around 0.469, but its high beta nature remains; once BTC stabilizes, it often plays catch-up. The two key tags worth pondering this week are: rising long-term US Treasury yields, and continuous inflows of 2.8 billion into BTC ETFs. The former suppresses valuations, the latter supports prices. The market is no longer trading on "easing," but on "funds willing to keep buying BTC despite unfavorable interest rates." This expectation has already beenStrategy's BTC holdings have already exceeded 4% of the total supply, a figure that excites me but also makes me uneasy.
A publicly listed company continuously increasing its holdings can certainly provide stable buying pressure to the market and bring BTC onto more institutional balance sheets. However, when a single company owns about 846,000 BTC, it is no longer just a “steadfast holder” but a systemic participant that the market must seriously study. Financing pace, debt maturities, stock price premiums, and corporate governance will all indirectly affect BTC supply and demand expectations.
I do not agree with simply viewing Strategy as an unlimited ATM. The larger its scale, the more new purchases can support sentiment, but once the capital market is no longer willing to pay a high premium, adjustments will be more severe. This company is turning its corporate treasury into a quasi-sovereign BTC reserve; the story is grand enough, and the concentration risk is equally real. Faith can be strong, but risk control must not be weakened because of it.
#Strategy再度增持，财库同步加仓 $BTC $XAU ） Saturday Market!!!
Around 8 AM Beijing time, there was a sudden surge in crude oil prices. The core reason is not ordinary supply and demand, but the geopolitical risk in the Middle East + the re-pricing of supply risk in the Strait of Hormuz.
In recent days, oil prices have been fluctuating violently around a core variable:
US/Iran negotiations → Whether the Strait of Hormuz reopens → Whether Middle Eastern crude oil can be transported normally.
Yesterday, the market once lowered oil prices due to the possibility of US-Iran negotiations and reopening of the Strait of Hormuz; but then new military/geopolitical risks emerged, and the market again worried about disruptions to Middle Eastern supply. Previously, when the Houthi forces attacked targets related to Saudi Arabia, Brent crude briefly surged above $106.
Today, the latest news shows an important change: Iran proposed a 7-day plan hoping to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, but no definite agreement has been reached yet, and reports indicate the US side does not accept Iran's proposal.
So currently, the crude oil market is actually trading:
"Peace/Reopening of the Strait of Hormuz" vs "Conflict escalation/Supply disruption"
rather than simply looking at inventories.
2. Impact on BTC: slightly bearish,
Oil ↑ → Inflation expectations ↑ → US Treasury yields ↑ → Rate cut expectations ↓ / Rate hike expectations ↑ → BTC ↓
So if oil prices continue to surge today, along with:
US 10Y Treasury yield ↑
DXY ↑
Fed rate cut expectations ↓
then BTC and gold will face obvious pressure Evening Review
Market Smart Money Data
HYPEUSDT
Current price 91.708, down -1.96%
Total trader positions 223.02M, nominal long-short ratio 215.50%. 880 traders long, 378 traders short.
Long average entry price 83.281, still overall profitable, profit ratio 54.43%; short average entry price 82.148, currently at a loss, but short profit ratio has risen to 62.43%, indicating some shorts are making short-term defensive moves.
Price has pulled back, profits on paper have been given back, funding rate remains negative, shorts pay funding fees.
BICOUSDT
Current price 0.02251, slightly down -0.31%
Total trader positions 1.65M, nominal long-short ratio 144.02%. 240 longs, 150 shorts.
Still a long-short double kill pattern, long cost 0.02431, short cost 0.02248, both sides have unrealized losses, profit ratios are low, market is choppy and grinding, no clear one-sided direction in the short term.
Personal Positions
✅ $HYPE full position 20x long
Holding 150 units, entry price 73.897, current price 91.677, unrealized profit +2667.00 USDT, return +387.88%, margin ratio 4.04%.
Intraday pullback has eaten some profits, although unrealized gains remain substantial, full position with high leverage has very low error tolerance, if the market continues to dip, profits will shrink quickly. Continue to execute phased take-profit strategy to secure most profits.
❌ $BICO full position 8x long
Holding 100,925 units, entry price 0.03495, current price 0.0224887, unrealized loss -1254.37 USDT, return -442.13%, margin ratio 4.04%.
Still a choppy downward trend, most longs are deeply trapped, rebound strength is weak. Margin space is tight, need to plan exit properly, do not hold positions indefinitely.
Summary and Trading Strategy
$HYPE long base capital remains, but price has started to pull back, high leverage should not be greedy, prioritize locking in profits.
$BICO continues to fluctuate, both longs and shorts find it hard to profit, this is a consumption-type market, holding positions will only keep tying up capital.
Both positions have low margin ratios, overall risk is high, next priority is risk control, then look for market opportunities.
#BTC现货ETF连续6日吸金超28亿美元
#美债长端利率持续攀升，融资压力升温
#特朗普据悉拒绝7天方案，霍尔木兹重开再生变 $BTC and $ETH have both been oscillating at high levels recently, with short-term momentum cooling down
📊 【Key Observation Zones and Level Projections】
🟠 BTC: $83,000-$84,000 is the key observation zone.
🔵 ETH: If $2,650-$2,680 is broken, it may test $2,580-$2,620.
💡 【Capital Flow Has Not Fully Turned Bearish】
Although prices are under pressure, capital flow has not fully turned bearish yet:
The US spot BTC ETF saw a net inflow of about $190.7M in a single day, marking the 6th consecutive trading day of net inflows; the ETH ETF had about $66.1M net inflow on the same day, marking the 5th consecutive day of inflows.
This indicates that institutional funds are still continuously accumulating through ETFs and treasury strategies, and the underlying spot chips remain tight. The current pullback is more of an internal cleansing in the high-leverage market.
🎯 Amid the tug-of-war between institutional support and macro interest rate suppression, the market is brewing a sharp directional choice. The longer the consolidation, the stronger the explosive power after volatility expands.
(Source: OKX Planet 09/26 )
#BTC现货ETF连续6日吸金超28亿美元 #美债长端利率持续攀升，融资压力升温 #特朗普据悉拒绝7天方案，霍尔木兹重开再生变 This week's market action is textbook level. On Monday, it surged to 87,300, an 8-month high. The bears got crushed—$648 million worth of short positions liquidated in 24 hours, 86% of which were shorts. Global trading volume surged 39%. Then what? It slid down for three consecutive days to 83,000. The chat was full of "it's peaked," "time to run." But ETFs didn't run. They kept buying for 6 consecutive days, totaling $2.84 billion. Big players didn't run either. During the 96 hours from 87,400 down to 82,800, whales bought 32,069 BTC against the trend, worth $2.57 billion. Binance saw a single-day outflow of 13,800 BTC, the largest since 2023. Who's panicking? Leveraged traders. Who's buying? Long-term funds. Short-term view: 83,000–83,500 is support, 85,200–85,500 is resistance. Mid-term view: MVRV points to 96,700 as the next resistance. The key is the inflation data on September 30. Four words for operation: don't chase, don't short, wait for data. Position discipline: spare money, small amounts, no leverage.
#BitcoinTrading #BTCStrategy #MarketAnalysisNo operation, no analysis, just relying on luck, this performance is embarrassing to even say out loud. When the screen was full of green lights, $ZHIPU was still holding on hard. I glanced at the volume; the trading volume was low, and the resistance above was obvious. I just kept holding the short position. Panic comes from having no plan, losses come from overthinking.
This round of ZHIPU, I didn’t hype it up much, only said one sentence in the short position chat: bearish, don’t rush to catch the rebound. Looking back now, that sentence was quite valuable; the position and patience gave the answer.
From 117.96 to 81.43, +619.36% in hand, feeling good brothers, the wait wasn’t in vain.
First close 80%, keep the remaining 20% to protect the cost price. If it continues to drop, let the profit run; if it rebounds, don’t give back the profit. There’s still a chance, don’t be greedy for the last bite.
Being out of position is not a sin; opening positions recklessly is the mistake.
Wait for the next signal before moving. The market is not short of opportunities, it’s patience that’s lacking. Opportunities remain, don’t rush.
$SOL $ETH It’s what happened to leverage. BTC is holding around the $84K area while a large amount of derivatives exposure has been removed from the market. That raises an interesting question: Is this weakness — or a healthier reset? Less leverage can mean fewer forced liquidations. But it can also mean traders are becoming more cautious. So I’m watching what happens next between: → Spot demand → Open interest → Liquidity → Price structure The chart tells us where BTC is. Market positioning may tell us wBTC 84000, slight rise, holding steady.
ETH 2690, no movement, playing dead.
ZEC 1500, turned green, still pretending strong.😅
ZEC is the craziest.
Almost doubled in a month,
more than doubled this year.
Privacy, ETF, BTC repositioning,
rushed to 1680 then pulled back.
1500 shaking out floating chips?
I acknowledge its heat,
but definitely won’t chase highs.
Watching 1440-1550,
1700 is still far.
Regulation can pour cold water anytime,
its swings are fiercer than BTC.
In a word:
Watch if BTC holds,
put ETH aside for now,
short ZEC directly
Don’t get itchy when it’s green.
Weekend order book is thin,
watch the structure,
don’t make life harder for yourself.
$BTC $ETH $ZEC ##BTC现货ETF连续6日吸金超28亿美元 HYPE has a whale traffic jam near record highs.
One side: Hyperliquid Strategies bought another 494,200 HYPE ($45.8M), taking its month’s accumulation to $476M. The other: five whales started unstaking roughly $90.4M, while another $12.15M moved to institutional custody.
$HYPE is now $92.39 on OKX, just 5.8% below its ATH. Big money is moving in both directions at once.