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$10,000 gone. And honestly, the money hurts less than what I learned about myself.
I stared at my account balance for a long time today. Didn’t know what to say.
I started trading contracts back in June. At first, I was just exploring, slowly learning how to go long and short. I started small—$1,000 at a time—and kept doing C2C, thinking I could eventually figure it out.
Every time I got liquidated, I reviewed the trade, told myself I had learned my lesson, and started again.
#DailyOrbit $BTC The emotional journey of retail investors at different price points
58000 — Still going to drop, aiming for 35000, then buy back hard
60000 — Just a rebound, will drop back soon
62000 — No trading volume anymore, just holding on
65000 — Fake move, stop pretending, drop quickly
71000 — Retail investors are off the ride, whales just creating FOMO
76000 — It will drop back sooner or later, no panic
80000 — Run fast, last chance to escape
90000 — Something feels off
100000 — Could it really be a bull market?
120000 — Eternal bull market, get on board or I’m out
130000 — See, I told you I’m a trading genius, only chase breakouts
1100000 — Run, still feels off
100000 — Bear returns, run
150000 — Huh, where’s my principal?Just woke up, where's my position?
Since that's the case, I can only wait for 【87,300 right side short】.
Shorted three times on 9.29, 9.30, and 10.3, broke even once, almost lost all the profits I made from over 76k.
【Is 82,800 really a very strong support?】
The longs at 83,000 wash me out and then start going up, is that interesting?
I hate you, manipulative whales. Just wait, 【October has only just begun】.
PS: On Friday, I should have gone long on low-level altcoins, altcoins are strong over the weekend.Brothers, today Ethereum still hasn't broken out of the 2700 consolidation range.
It can't fall further, nor can it rise, really slacking off during the National Day holiday, dragging on slowly, making people almost lose their patience.
But based on my past observations of Ethereum's market, the 15-day, 30-day, and 60-day marks often see more obvious trend changes.
So right now, I'm paying close attention to around the last day of the National Day holiday.
Currently, my approach is still quite clear: mainly consolidation, you can do high sell and low buy, but I only short at highs.
Take a look at my Ethereum short position:
ETHUSDT perpetual, 100x short, entry price 2688, latest trade price 2712.81, currently floating loss -89.96%.
Honestly, this position is a bit tough. If Ethereum doesn't fall, my short position just keeps holding.
But for now, I won't change my strategy and will keep waiting.
Of course, if something sudden happens and the market clearly turns strong, I will adjust anytime, even switch to long directly.
On the last day of National Day, will Ethereum choose to break through or continue slacking off?
Brothers, what do you think $ETH will do this time?
#9月非农今晚公布，加息预期成焦点 #Anthropic拟11月启动IPO，目标于感恩节前上市 #BTC、ETH现货ETF同步转流出，资金热度降温 I took a nap in the car and found that my short position on ETH at 2408 was down 40 points. I really want to cut my losses and add to the position, but recently all my profits have come from this move. I'm afraid it will rally again this time. With a 50u position, I'm not afraid of another rally and can cut losses anytime. If I add now, it would be dithering, so I didn't short ETH but went to short altcoins instead. The result was surprisingly good—I made money shorting altcoins, and ETH is about to break even soon.$ZEC rallies up, then chips immediately appear below and it drops again, back-and-forth shakeout before the non-farm payrollsMarketing genius TRUMP official is playing the old trick of exchanging holding rankings for a dinner again
As long as you hold TRUMP coins and rank within the top 185, you can dine with 3 superstars + Trump and other luxury guests
Essentially, it's forcing big holders to increase their positions to boost rankings
This was done once in April 2025, with a 71% surge that day
Then it steadily declined, crashing 88%
Now it's different, no one is buying
Using Trump's marketing neither brings token burn nor empowerment
Nor will there be any real crypto policy implementation
The core value is just a social gimmick for a dinner
If there really is capital rushing to be in the top 185, it can be confirmed that it's all short-term funds chasing the ticket, with no intention of long-term holding
The closer the ranking deadline on November 22, the weaker the buying pressure; that period is the best time to short at the top after the quota news is locked inMaji’s reported $161M portfolio is still centered on the majors.
₿ $BTC: 546 coins, 40x long
Ξ $ETH: 34K coins, 25x long
🔥 $HYPE: only a small side position
The strategy appears simple: majors carry the core exposure, while smaller coins stay on the sidelines.
But 40x and 25x are extreme leverage. A whale’s setup shouldn’t become a retail template.
$BTC $ETH
#USJobsDataToday
#AnthropicEyesNovIPO
#USIranOilTensions $BTC Small timeframes repeatedly show false breakouts; switch to analyzing the larger timeframe. Getting addicted to flipping trades on 15-minute and 1-hour charts, chasing rallies and panic selling, is essentially self-destructive.
The trading sequence must be correct:
First understand the overall trend on the large timeframe, then look at the direction of the long and medium-term moving averages, and stick to trading with the trend.
Just like the current market, as long as the key support is not effectively broken, the market favors bulls. Only taking long positions is much simpler and more reliable than constantly switching between longs and shorts. Don’t try to catch both sides and make every possible profit; in the end, you’ll get hit from both directions.
Adding macro validation: U.S. Treasury yields continue to rise, the external environment is unfriendly, but BTC doesn’t fall as expected, showing strong resilience. There’s an old market saying: "Not weak when supposed to be weak means strength." When the market is strong, respect the bullish judgment.
Don’t prematurely and subjectively predict a market top. If the key levels aren’t broken, don’t easily reject the existing logic. When support is finally lost, then cut losses and exit; it’s never too late to revise your view.
Pay less attention to noise on small timeframes, obey the large timeframe, hold with the trend, and reduce ineffective frequent trading.
DYOR, manage your risk well. #9月非农今晚公布，加息预期成焦点 #BTC、ETH现货ETF同步转流出，资金热度降温
⚠️This is only a sharing of trading ideas and does not constitute investment adviceUnderrated Identity: The Key Bridge Between BTC and Traditional Capital
When people talk about BTCFi, most only discuss LST and staking; yet few notice that CORE is quietly connecting the full chain from retail investors to miners to custodial institutions to the European compliant market.
- Europe Has Already Secured Entry
The yield-bearing BTC-ETP issued by Valour and listed on the Frankfurt Exchange uses CORE for its underlying staking solution; this means traditional asset managers don’t have to build technology from scratch and can directly access the Bitcoin yield market through compliant products. This is not just verbal cooperation—it’s a live, listed trading entry with real funds flowing in and out.
- Miners Are No Longer Just Selling Coins to Survive
After Bitcoin’s halving, miners face increased income pressure; CORE’s Satoshi-Plus consensus offers miners a second path: mining power can participate in network security and earn additional rewards, turning mining power into a long-term reusable asset rather than immediately selling what’s mined. Many established Bitcoin mining pools worldwide have been continuously building node ecosystems.
- Non-Custodial Is the Real Breakthrough
Many BTC yield solutions require handing coins over to third-party custody; CORE uses CLTV time-lock technology, so Bitcoin remains in the user’s own wallet address, only locked for a period to participate in consensus. For the Bitcoin-native community that highly values self-custody, this is a trust advantage that’s hard to replace. $MUBARAK Teachers, the MUBARAK meme coin continues to gain momentum.
There are a total of 238 whale accounts, with a nominal long-short ratio as high as 955.49%, with longs holding an absolute advantage. The average entry price for long whales is 0.0397, and the vast majority have already realized substantial floating profits; the average entry price for short whales is 0.0556, with most currently at a loss.
The price has been rising steadily, and the profits on the books for large long holders are already considerable. The meme market sentiment dominates; once concentrated profit-taking occurs, the pullback will come quickly. Do not be misled by the continuous rise and blindly chase the highs.
Offensive position: 0.0735, Defensive position: 0.0582Making a breakout, the risk-reward ratio is really high, but there is only one premise: stop loss must be set. The moment the breakout fails, your position is at the peak. Volume and price are key to judging true or false breakouts; a breakout with increased volume has a higher continuation probability, while a breakout with decreased volume often leads to consolidation. As for how far it can rise, a simple and straightforward anchor point: for large-cap coins that hold above integer levels, if volume, price, and popularity keep up, usually first look at 25% above the integer level, and if popularity continues, increase to 50%; for integer levels like 1, 10, 100 add 25%, and for key points like 200, 300, 400, 500 add 50%. Small-cap coins fluctuate more wildly and can be calculated directly as 50% above the integer level. There are no secrets with altcoins, just watch the volume and let the market play out on its own. $BTC$QUANT $CT $NEAR
QUANT has fallen steadily from the high of 313.9, sharply dropping before stabilizing with fluctuations at a low level.
From the 15-minute candlestick chart, there were consecutive large bearish candles earlier, hitting a low of 241.7. Currently, the price has climbed back above the 5/10/20 moving averages, MACD is turning upward, and KDJ has entered a high zone, signaling a short-term stop in the decline and a recovery.
Resistance above is gradually moving higher; to reverse, a volume breakout through multiple layers of resistance is needed.
A. Stabilize at the low level and continue to rebound and recover
B. Encounter resistance on the rebound, then retest the low point again
#9月非农今晚公布，加息预期成焦点 #Anthropic拟11月启动IPO，目标于感恩节前上市 #美伊升级风险再升，布油重回100美元 $RIVER continue holding without selling, the overall trend remains bearish. Don't try to catch the bottom.
The strong resistance above is $1.25-$1.30, and the short-term critical support is at $1.20; breaking below that targets $1.10 or even $1.00.
Long-short ratio: retail investors are frenzied, whales are restrained.
OKX retail long-short ratio is as high as 3.87, Binance retail is 2.88. Retail investors are crazily bottom-fishing.
For whales: the number of whales long-short ratio is 3.50, but the whale position long-short ratio is only 1.7748.
$BTC $ETH #9月非农今晚公布，加息预期成焦点 $SOL is around $123.10, up 3.96%, with $121.9M displayed volume. I’m watching $121–122 as the first retest zone after this push. If buyers defend it and reclaim $124 with stronger volume, I’d consider continuation. Entry: $121.50–123.50. SL: $118.80. TP1: $125, TP2: $128, TP3: $132, TP4: $138. R:R can reach roughly 1:5+. If $118.80 breaks and price accepts below it, I’m out. The momentum is useful, but I don’t want to chase nearly 4% higher. I need the pullback to confirm demand first.$USELESS Teachers, USELESS this meme coin is experiencing a strong rebound.
Looking at the whale data, there are a total of 268 whale accounts, with a nominal long-short ratio of 283.72%, clearly favoring the bulls. The average opening position of long whales is 0.2104, already accumulating considerable unrealized profits; the average opening position of short whales is 0.2308, currently in a slight loss.
After a significant drop from the previous high, it has entered a corrective rebound, but meme coin sentiment reverses quickly, and large long holders may take profits, so a rebound does not mean the trend immediately returns to a one-sided rise.
Offensive position: 0.2680, Defensive position: 0.2330Still optimistic about this round of the altcoin season in the bull market
In the past cycle, while BTC rose, Others/BTC continued to weaken, so altcoins struggled to truly take off.
Now the structure is starting to change, Others/BTC has broken through long-term resistance and formed a rare higher high on the weekly chart since 2022. If this trend continues, altcoins' performance relative to BTC may significantly improve.
The focus of funds in this bull market is also very clear: DeFi infrastructure.
If more USD liquidity, assets, and financial services gradually move on-chain in the future, infrastructure projects like $UNI, $AAVE, and $LINK will directly benefit from this trend.
Of course, this does not mean abandoning BTC and ETH. They remain my core holdings.
It's just that if Others/BTC truly completes a trend reversal, altcoins may usher in their own trend rally next.Challenge from $450 to $10,000 Day 8
Current balance 705, withdrawal 1200, total assets 1900, profit 1450
Last night before sleep, I closed a long position on $BTC at 83300, then opened a long on $ZEC at 1389, successfully missing the $BTC 3000-point surge, meanwhile $ZEC also successfully took a $180 loss
Woke up angry, almost gave up on myself, almost ended this challenge
Luckily, I quietly added to my $ZEC long position at a low point, eventually recovering the loss and making about $30 profit. Position size went from about 660 before sleep to 705
Review
1. Choice is more important than effort. In a bull market, you still need more BTC; the 82500 bottom is tougher than my life
2. Don't touch altcoins, they don't make sense
3. Stop-loss levels must be set carefully, otherwise like me, setting stop-loss and sleeping will get hit. If you don't re-buy at the bottom, this wave means price unchanged but position disappeared
4. Mindset is very important, still taking full losses and running on profits. This way you can't make money, need to change
Today's operation plan
Tonight is Nonfarm Payrolls, wait for data to land before chasing in. BTC is currently at a high level, expecting a pullback after breaking previous highs, planning to short between 88000–89000, target profit $300 【On-Chain Trading Update｜BTC】
Monitored address 0xaa53 opened a short position:
▪ Execution price: 86,308 USD
▪ Transaction amount this time: 172,616 USD
▪ Leverage: 20x
Note: This address has earned over 714,000 USD in the past 30 days, with a return rate of +45.32% Anthropic wants the market to price the AI buildout.
The Claude maker is reportedly aiming for a November IPO, with a pre-IPO investor day planned for October 14 and formal marketing possible as early as the week of November 9. The timeline can still move.
Investors are reportedly discussing a $1.8T to $2T valuation, making Anthropic one of the biggest tests yet for the AI trade.
But the real story is not just valuation. It is the cost of staying at the frontier.
· Anthropic reportedly generated nearly $4.6B in 2025 revenue, around 12x the prior year
· Operating loss widened to about $8.1B
· Reported net loss was about $42B, largely reflecting accounting charges tied to prior financing
· Compute and infrastructure spending reportedly reached about $7.33B in 2025
· Future cloud, compute and infrastructure commitments reportedly total at least $518B over the next decade
· Around 80% of those obligations are reportedly non-cancelable or payable regardless of usage
· Broadcom may provide up to $42B in compute-infrastructure financing
· About 47% of 2025 sales reportedly flowed through Amazon and Google cloud channels, which are also investors, partners, suppliers and competitors
This IPO matters beyond Silicon Valley.
AI revenue is scaling fast, but so are the bills for chips, power, data centers and cloud capacity. Public investors must decide whether frontier AI should be valued like software, infrastructure, or a capital cycle.
For crypto markets, the link is indirect but relevant. AI has become a major driver of risk appetite, chip demand and data-center investment. If investors begin questioning losses and compute commitments, high-beta assets could face broader volatility.
As the IPO narrative builds, will the market focus on AI’s growth potential, or the cost of the compute buildout?
#AnthropicEyesNovIPO Is $BTC being targeted by the big players? Currently at an unrealized loss of 100U, shorted at 85500 and then surged up, hitting resistance near 86500, fluctuating within a high-level range. Market sentiment is in the greed zone, with trading volume contracting. There is significant sell pressure with many sell orders above. Key focus is on the upcoming non-farm payroll data tonight, which could trigger a sharp spike.
Key price levels
- Strong resistance: 86500‑87000. Only a volume-backed close above this will open the way to test the strong resistance zone at 89000‑90000 🕌 $SUI Smart Money longs are dominating
Longs hold $53.73M vs $33.91M in shorts.
📈 Longs are sitting on +$7.61M, with an impressive 85.8% profitable, while shorts are down -$5.80M with only 10.4% profitable.
⚔️ Fresh flow is almost balanced: $615K selling vs $557K buying in the last 30 minutes.
Longs are clearly winning, but fresh selling is starting to push back. After the move higher, profit-taking is the main risk.$NMR faces heavy resistance in the $12-$13 range with trapped positions; contract large-cycle funds are fully withdrawing. Short-term bias is bearish, currently holding for now.
Strong resistance lies at $12.00-$12.50 above, and $11.00 is the short-term critical support line; breaking below that points to $10.50.
Long-short ratio: retail investors are bullish, large holders are cautious.
OKX retail long-short ratio is 1.54, Binance retail is 0.74.
Large holder count long-short ratio is 1.05, large holder position long-short ratio is 1.37. Large holders are slightly bullish.
Fundamentals (long-term advantages and critical weaknesses):
AI-driven: NMR is one of the few tokens whose value is directly linked to AI model performance. Data scientists stake NMR to submit predictions; good performance earns NMR, poor performance results in token burn.
Institutional backing: In November 2025, secured $30 million in Series C funding at a $500 million valuation, with investments from university endowments, Paul Tudor Jones, and others. JPMorgan committed $500 million capacity.
Buyback and burn: Accumulated $3.2 million NMR buybacks within one year; manages $700 million in assets.
Core weakness: Total supply is only 11 million tokens, with about 7 million circulating, liquidity is relatively limited, causing high volatility.
$BTC $ETH #9月非农今晚公布，加息预期成焦点 #Anthropic拟11月启动IPO，目标于感恩节前上市 A fairly perfect practical case of a grassroots coin, pocketing 6000u
SAPLING is a grassroots coin I've always favored and recommended, and today it surged 50 times.
But as shown in the comparison below, when it was at 0.00013 before, the tax rate was 0.25%. After the surge today, the tax rate was raised to 2%. First, the project team has a tax adjustment backdoor; second, the use of this tax is unclear and very likely ends up in the project team's pocket. Only 0.5% of the coin issued by its platform's trading volume is used for burning.
Therefore, I decisively cleared my position, leaving only 100,000 coins, planning to return them later. The total investment was 700, sold for 6800, with a real profit pocketed of 6000u.
Personally, I feel this operation was quite perfect.
$UNI has been analyzed, and I remain bullish.
#9月非农今晚公布，加息预期成焦点 NEAR Intents was hacked for about $3.8 million, closing down about 7% yesterday to around 4.92, and rebounding to about 5 today. I'm observing first and not chasing.
Here's what happened: On October 1, a vulnerability was found in the Omni deposit/withdrawal and Intents contract interaction, resulting in a loss of about $3.8 million. The team said the contract side has been patched and users will be fully compensated.
Today, the general manager announced that the hacker has been identified and given a 48-hour "responsible disclosure" window to return the funds; after that, the window will be closed.
The founder Illia emphasized that the mainnet and the NEAR token itself were not affected; the impact was mainly on USDT cross-chain deposits and withdrawals on BSC.
Simply put: this was a side-route cross-chain component failure, not a collapse of the mainnet consensus, but the narrative of fund security still took a hit.
I think short-term it's best not to chase this rebound; compensation and fund recovery are not yet finalized, and the price already optimistically factors in "possible compensation."
Whether the hacker returns the funds and when multi-chain deposits/withdrawals fully resume are the next risks.
My approach: just observe, no chasing.
If it breaks below the low around 4.74, expect further decline; or wait for a candle to firmly hold above about 5.31 before considering chasing.
Are you waiting for the 48-hour window and compensation to materialize before acting, or do you think the mainnet is fine and want to bottom-fish now?
$NEAR $BTC $ETH
#SeptemberNonFarmPayrolls announced tonight, interest rate hike expectations are the focus #USBondYields keep hitting new highs, long-term rate pressure remains unresolved$ZEC dropped but was pulled back within a second, while Bitcoin and Ethereum fell, this thing is still rising. Moreover, the short positions are currently worth three times the long positions, looks like they're going to crush the shorts again.Fixed Gas assumptions pose risks for legacy contracts facing Glamsterdam
Some smart contracts embed Gas balances, fixed subsidies, or historical prices of certain operations into their logic. After Glamsterdam adjusts the base costs for state access, creation, and transactions, the same business path may consume different amounts of Gas; if a contract assumes "there will definitely be this much Gas left at this point," failures, refund logic errors, or incomplete external calls may occur. Therefore, the official recommendation is for developers to test on Sepolia rather than just updating frontend Gas estimations. This risk does not mean Ethereum upgrades will universally break contracts; most applications may only need to adjust limits or estimations, but a few designs that treat resource prices as business constants require careful review. As a programmable settlement asset, $ETH's value comes not only from code immutability but also from the ability to expose compatibility issues in advance when fundamental rules change. Immutability does not mean never maintaining; truly reliable applications must know which protocol assumptions they depend on.
What application teams should do now is list key business paths and replay them one by one on Sepolia to compare results. Discovering after mainnet launch that withdrawals or liquidations rely on old Gas assumptions will be far more costly."5U Challenge 67000U · Day 9 Report"
Current assets: 30u
Starting principal: 5U
Cumulative profit and loss: 0
Still need to reach target 67000U: 66970
Today's operation:
Day 9, a pleasant surprise.
Participated in an event and got 19U. Together with the previous amount, the position suddenly got a bit heavier.
But problems also came — the contract is still holding the position.
The order from yesterday didn't close, still holding today. Honestly, with this 19U, the mindset became more complicated. Previously, the principal was small, so just held on, at worst it would go to zero. Now with an extra 19U, I started to feel conflicted.
Holding on, afraid of a pullback. Cutting losses, but unwilling.
In the end, still didn't act, continued to hold. 🔥🔥🔥Core trading logic in the crypto circle during the National Day holiday:
1. Domestic players are on vacation, market depth becomes shallow, and small amounts of capital can trigger violent fluctuations. The probability of flash crashes and liquidations increases, so it is recommended to proactively reduce leveraged positions.
2. Pricing power is completely handed over to US stocks, US bonds, and ETF funds. Focus on the release of overseas macroeconomic data.
3. BTC is still operating in a high-level range, with obvious selling pressure above and effective key support below. The overall trend is intact; however, if the support fails, a deep correction may be triggered.
4. Altcoins are increasingly differentiated. New coins and airdrop coins fluctuate wildly. Only participate in mature targets with clear patterns and avoid emotional, low-quality projects.
Holiday trading principle: Better to hold no position than to chase wrong trades.
Let go of the fantasy of getting rich quick; stable compound returns are the way to survive long-term. $BTC $ETH $ZEC
#9月非农今晚公布，加息预期成焦点 #Anthropic拟11月启动IPO，目标于感恩节前上市 #美伊升级风险再升，布油重回100美元
⚠️Not investment advice, profit and loss at your own risk $BTC $ETH $ZEC Today BTC experienced a strong surge, with a single bullish candle directly reactivating market sentiment. Could this be a sign of positive non-farm payroll data tonight?
Here, a reminder to everyone: a single-day surge should not be directly equated with the start of a new trend.
Part of this rally is due to short squeeze caused by stop-losses, and after leveraged funds enter the market en masse, volatility will significantly increase. After a sharp rise, a pullback and consolidation can come at any time, so chasing highs at this point carries considerable risk.
Next, focus on two key signals:
✅ First, whether the gains from today's surge can be maintained, and whether key support levels hold during any pullback without being effectively broken;
❌ Second, whether there is sustained buying momentum afterward. If the rally relies only on short-term leveraged funds, the price action is likely to be short-lived.
What do you think? Is this rebound just a short-term correction, or is it driven by the non-farm payroll data stimulus? Feel free to discuss.🔷 $BTC whales have awakened
• 8 addresses inactive for 12-15 years resumed activity
• 2184.3 BTC moved in September
• Total realized profit: ~$178M
• Largest: 1260.78 BTC ($100.63M), profit $99.64M (held for 10.2 years, cost basis $652)
• 09/22: 600 BTC ($51.9M), profit $48.71M (held for 14.2 years)
• 09/04: 6.78 BTC ($551k), profit $523k (held 15+ years, cost basis $4)
• In August: 800+ BTC moved
❓ Profit taking or just moving?👇Why short-term shorts? Simply put, for BTC and ETH, the adjustment from their highs is still missing a downward move on the one-hour level within the four-hour timeframe. ETH exchange rate is adjusting, and the rebound hasn't formed a higher high. Around 2750 is the short-term resistance. But the mid-term outlook is bullish, so just lightly position for a pullback.😄🔥 $ETH rose about 71% in Q3, setting a single-quarter record, but spot ETFs started net outflows above 2,700
⚡ Whales increased holdings by about 60,000 ETH in a week, $NIGHT rose over 80% in a week, while $LIT was hit by news dropping about 14%
⏰ Tonight at 20:30 is the non-farm payrolls release, can ETH hold above 2,800?
📍 Latest on ETH
· Price is between 2,700 and 2,720, about 45% below the all-time high of 4,954
· Q3 spot ETF net inflow was about $3.1 billion, but there was a single-day net outflow of about $60 million on Wednesday
· Key levels: support at 2,620, resistance between 2,775 and 2,800
📊 Non-farm payrolls scenario: if strong → yields rise, ETH retests 2,620; if weak → yields fall, chance to break above 2,775
[Movers] $NIGHT｜up about 22% in 24 hours, about 85% in a week｜Privacy sector capital rotation, smart contract launch progress, Cardano founder says it may surpass Zcash in the future｜Risks: large gains, quick pullback, upcoming token unlock pressure
[Movers] $LIT｜once dropped about 14%｜Robinhood launches perpetual contracts for US users, market fears increased competition｜Risks: high volatility from news, rapid liquidity changes
$ETH $ZEC $BTC This wave is a real breakout, not a fake move — on Monday, a bullish candle closed at $86,620, the highest close since January this year, directly breaking out of the $75,000–82,600 range that had suppressed it for over a month. During the eight days of the National Day holiday, the most likely rhythm is "a pullback confirmation followed by a challenge to the previous high," but there is a time bomb tonight.
First, let's look at the strong confidence. Institutional money is coming back: on October 1, the spot ETF had a single-day net inflow of $103 million, with BlackRock IBIT alone buying $196 million. Listed companies have not stopped either; Strategy added another 950 coins, pushing total holdings to 846,000 coins. Technically, after breaking through $84,000, $260 million worth of short positions were liquidated within an hour, triggering a short squeeze. Multiple institutions believe that as long as it stabilizes above $87,500, the next targets are $95,000 and even $99,000, with Citibank raising its one-year target price to $113,000. This NEAR pullback essentially washed out the uncertain chips. After news of the cross-chain bridge attack came out, NEAR dropped sharply from 5.54 to 4.70, a decline of over 14%. But looking closely, the problem was with the cross-chain protocol itself; the main chain was unaffected, and the team has promised full compensation and service restoration. Technically, 4.69–4.74 is a triple resonance of the Bollinger lower band, Murray channel, and yesterday's low, and the trend structure of more than doubling since September remains intact. The idea is simple: buy in batches on a pullback to stabilize between 4.70 and 4.99, target 5.52, then 5.87; if it breaks below 4.58, cut losses decisively and don't hold on; do not add positions before 4.37. This looks more like a shakeout rather than a trend reversal, just watch the support for reactions. $NEAROn the eve of the non-farm payrolls, the crypto circle collectively plays dead
The non-farm payrolls haven't been released yet, but the crypto circle has already laid low.
BTC is stuck at 84194, slightly up 1.36%, looking pretty strong. But once it surged to 85632, it immediately backed down. The 85000 barrier is like an ex's heart—no matter how hard you knock, it won't open. With US Treasury yields high, funds are just watching without entering, and trading volume is as cold as a group chat at dawn.
ETH is even more stubborn, barely holding at 2717, touched 2738 and then nothing more. From 2750 to 2800, it's all trapped longs standing guard. Volume? Nonexistent. Some hold short positions at 2671, floating losses as faith, just waiting for the non-farm payrolls to settle the score.
Market logic is straightforward: previous value was 162,000. If it beats expectations, BTC targets 82000, ETH 2600; if below expectations, there might be a spike, but 85000 still caps the top. Caught between a rock and a hard place, neither bulls nor bears dare to go heavy.
Strategy is simple too: no adding positions before the data, follow the trend after, don't bet on direction, wait for confirmation. On the night of the non-farm payrolls, either you become a legend or you close your position.
Just venting, don't get too hyped.
$BTC $ETH $ZEC
#9月非农今晚公布，加息预期成焦点
#BTC、ETH现货ETF同步转流出，资金热度降温
#交易之声：你的经验值得被听到 Markets are watching September jobs data closely.
Forecast:
• NFP: +90K
• Unemployment: 4.1%
Strong jobs → yields/USD could rise → more pressure on $BTC .
Weak jobs → Fed tightening expectations may cool → potentially supportive for crypto.
But the key isn’t just NFP — watch wages + unemployment too.
What would $BTC do first: breakout or fakeout?
What do you think?
#USJobsDataToday $PONS It's a pity not to have done T. Today, Bitcoin's rise is quite strong. The long-short ratio is very intense. Everyone is bullish.
Keep holding, no fear.
The resistance at $0.55-$0.58 is extremely heavy with trapped positions. $0.50 is the critical line between life and death.
Long-short ratio: big players and retail investors are frenzied.
OKX retail long-short ratio is as high as 3.2, Binance retail is 1.61. Retail investors are frantically bottom-fishing.
For big players: the number of big players' long-short ratio is 2.22, and their position long-short ratio is as high as 2.47.
$ETH $ZEC #9月非农今晚公布，加息预期成焦点 Brother Maji has once again quietly adjusted his positions, maintaining the overall total exposure at the 159 million level, without reversing to fully exit. He continues his usual strategy of slight position reductions and lowering the liquidation defense line.
BTC slightly decreased from 546 to 543 coins, still maintaining a 40x full-position long, with unrealized profit further expanding to 125,600 U. The liquidation price was pushed down to 74,610.29, further widening the account's tolerable volatility range.
ETH, the core ballast of the account, remained almost unchanged, holding 34,000 coins at 25x full-position long, with unrealized profit of 890,200 U. The forced liquidation line stands at 2,539.93, and the main position stance remains unwavering.
The sentiment speculation position HYPE was slightly reduced to 225,000 coins, with unrealized loss narrowing to 517,300 U. No stop-loss cut was chosen; the position is still held awaiting a rebound opportunity.
The closer it gets to the non-farm payroll data release, the more he refuses to drastically reverse direction, only optimizing the defensive boundary through rolling minor adjustments. This round of adjustments feels more like position reinforcement before a major battle: the bullish stance has not changed, only a slight chip reduction, continuing to move the liquidation safety buffer downward to resist the extreme spikes and sweeps that the market is prone to at the moment of data release.
Large position speculation has never been a one-shot win or lose, but a continuous retreat of the account's fatal risk points.Oil prices remaining high are changing the trading logic of gold. The latest precious metals outlook from Bank of America believes that, in the context of the Iran situation pushing up energy costs, U.S. inflation, and bond yields, crude oil has become the biggest short-term pressure source for gold at present. The bank expects the average gold price in Q4 2026 to be around $4000/oz and sees a risk of it falling to $3750 during that period, but still maintains a view of gold prices rising again in 2027. #美伊升级风险再升，布油重回100美元 #英伟达追加1500亿美元股票回购 🟣 $POL WILL RECEIVE MORE THAN DOUBLE THE STAKING REWARDS
From October 1 to December 1, the estimated gross staking yield of $POL will increase from about 3% to 7.7% annually
💰 Additional rewards are formed from 27.3 million $POL from network fees, which will be distributed to stakers
📈 Actual yield will vary among participants — some rewards are taken by validators, so the final payout depends on the specific staking$ZEC Multi-Timeframe Analysis
15 minutes (short-term)
A quick strong bullish candle pulled the price up from the 1305 low point, currently at 1393;
RSI6=76.8, already in the overbought zone, short-term bullish momentum has been released all at once, so a short-term pullback for digestion is needed;
Supertrend support at 1348, which is the first short-term support.
1 hour (swing)
MACD is turning upward from negative territory, RSI is at 73, indicating a corrective rebound after a decline, but it has not reversed into an uptrend yet;
SAR point at 1323, as long as this level is not broken, the current rebound structure remains intact;
First resistance above: 1440~1450 (24h high).
4 hours (medium-term)
MACD is still below the zero line, with the green bars shortening, indicating a rebound correction after a decline; the larger timeframe remains a downtrend;
SAR at 1421, this level is the 4-hour watershed; if the price holds above 1421, the rebound space will open; if it fails to break through, a further pullback is likely.
Daily (long-term trend)
Daily MACD shows a bearish crossover downward, red bars turning green, indicating a downtrend after peaking at a high of 1697; this rebound can only be defined as a correction within the downtrend, not a new major uptrend.
Summary
✅Short-term: There is a rebound correction, but the 15-minute chart is already overbought, so do not chase longs at the current price.
- Aggressive approach: Wait for a slight pullback near 1348, observe the strength of support before considering a long position; initial target is the 1440-1450 resistance zone.
- Conservative approach: Wait for the 4-hour candle to hold above 1421 to confirm continuation of the rebound before entering; if the rebound stalls near 1445 under resistance, it is an opportunity to short.
- Risk baseline: If the price breaks below the 1305 low again, this rebound fails and the price will continue to decline.
This is a rebound but a corrective one within a downtrend, not a reversal; resistance above is heavy, and chasing highs has a poor risk-reward ratio. DOGE is also starting to seriously develop applications 😂
DogeOS will open its public testnet on September 30. The project is developed by the MyDoge wallet team and is compatible with Ethereum development tools, aiming to bring trading, lending, stablecoins, and gaming to the DOGE ecosystem. It is still in the testing phase, and the specific applications depend on the launch progress of each team.
I think this line is worth watching. Many people recognize the name DOGE, so if a few useful products can be made, it does have some advantage in attracting users.
Of course, whether people holding DOGE waiting for its price to rise are willing to use it for lending or gaming is another matter.
What I most want to see later is: which application will make people want to use it a second time after the first use.High leverage isn’t just about being brave—it’s about what you’re leveraging.
Maji’s structure shows the difference:
₿ $BTC — 40x, deepest liquidity
Ξ $ETH — 25x, large-cap + ecosystem exposure
🔥 $HYPE — 10x, higher volatility
The lesson isn’t “use more leverage.” It’s that liquidity, volatility, and position size matter more than the leverage number itself.
For most traders, higher leverage simply leaves less room for error.
$BTC $ETH $HYPE
#USIranOilTensions
#StrategyBuys1665BTC
#OpenPositioning of the WLFI Token
Official clarification: WLFI cannot receive any profit distribution; its sole function is governance voting. Unlike some tokens, it does not share protocol profits or pay dividends.
💰 Project Revenue
Although the WLFI token does not distribute profits, the World Liberty Financial project earns real money through the USD1 stablecoin:
Interest income: USD1 reserves (such as U.S. Treasury bonds) generate interest, with expected annual revenue close to $150 million.
Revenue allocation: These revenues belong to the project company. Entities associated with the Trump family hold about 38%-40% equity and take 75% of the net proceeds from token sales.
⚠️ Key Misalignment
Moreover, Binance rewards USD1 holders monthly with 10% to 30% rewards paid in WLFI tokens.
USD1 holders can immediately liquidate the WLFI tokens they receive as rewards.
Therefore, this token does not have a promising future.
It merely makes WLFI holders pay the price.
This creates an awkward situation: you buy WLFI to vote, but the project's earnings mainly flow to shareholders (such as the Trump family), who fund USD1. Large holders of USD1 receive rewards paid in WLFI tokens.
Non-WLFI holders end up footing the bill.
So strictly speaking: WLFI tokens have no income rights, but the WLFI project does have revenue, which just keeps USD1 alive.ETH surges past 2700: $110 million in shorts "buried alive" in 10 minutes, but the real driver is a "testnet ticket"
On October 2nd, Ethereum broke through $2700, reaching a high of $2745.
If you hesitated at 2600, now you're looking at 2700. If you chased in at 2700, hold on a moment.
What’s really worth watching isn’t the candlestick chart. It’s the liquidation data: in the past 24 hours, $15.69 million in Ethereum shorts were liquidated, while longs only lost $11.03 million. And at one moment in the early morning, $110 million worth of short positions were forcibly closed within 10 minutes.
In every dollar of liquidation, shorts made up the majority.
What you see is "ETH rising again." What I see is a quadruple squeeze driven by Glamsterdam testnet expectations as the lead, 35% staking lockup causing supply contraction, whales accumulating at the bottom, and short-sellers’ liquidations fueling the move.
$ETH $BTC $ZEC #9月非农今晚公布，加息预期成焦点 #Anthropic拟11月启动IPO，目标于感恩节前上市 #美伊升级风险再升，布油重回100美元 $ACT IS +23.27% OVER 90D, YET STILL -1.09% ON 180D.
ACT/USDT trades at 0.011720, up 6.80% today, just under the 24h high of 0.011936. Longer timeframes keep me honest: strong recent gains haven't erased the 180D deficit.
Would you wait for the daily close before trusting this 6.80% push?$BTC cleared the $85K sell wall and tagged $85,266, but thin holiday liquidity makes the breakout harder to trust.
Key levels 👇
🔹 $85.2K–$85.65K: breakout zone
🔹 $84K–$84.2K: near-term support
🔹 $83.3K: next buffer
🔹 $82.5K: major structure level
With Treasury yields elevated and NFP ahead, confirmation matters more than the first pump.
$ETH $ZEC #BTC
#USIranOilTensions
#OKXNOW：SeeWhat'sNext
#TokenizedStocksOnAave Tonight's Nonfarm Payrolls: Don't guess the data, trade the price reaction after the data is released. Focus on four key points: ① Nonfarm significantly below expectations → cooling employment → rising rate cut expectations → BTC tends to be bullish; significantly above expectations → cooling rate cut expectations → BTC tends to be bearish. ② Rising unemployment rate → dovish decline → hawkish bias. ③ Wages: This is a very critical item tonight. Weak employment + weak wages → BTC tends to be strong; strong employment + strong wages → BTC under pressure; conflicting employment and wage data → likely to cause sharp volatility. ④ US Treasury yields: Key to watch after Nonfarm release: Nonfarm → US Treasury yields → USD → BTC. My trading logic: Before data release: do not chase trades. After data release: wait for the first spike to end, then determine direction. Bullish data ≠ immediately go long; bearish data ≠ immediately go short. The real confirmation signal is: break resistance and retest without breaking → consider long; break support and fail to rebound → consider short; price sweeps up and down without forming structure → no trade. In short: Nonfarm determines volatility, interest rates determine direction, BTC structure determines entry.
#9月非农今晚公布，加息预期成焦点 #Anthropic拟11月启动IPO，目标于感恩节前上市 $BTC $ETH $ZEC Upbit is going to list POD, with the KRW, BTC, and USDT markets opening simultaneously.
When I first saw this news, my initial reaction wasn’t to check what POD is, but rather a bit of frustration.
Opportunities like this basically have nothing to do with us.
When a Korean exchange launches a new listing, especially Upbit, local funds rush in, and the price soars within the first few minutes of trading. By the time we react here, it’s often already at a high level.
The most common mistake newcomers make is rushing in to chase at this moment.
Seeing the words “listed on a major exchange” makes them think it’s good news, and they buy impulsively.
And the result? The ones left holding the bag are usually these people.
To put it plainly, a major exchange listing is a victory for the project team, not for retail investors.
The ones who really profit are those who positioned themselves in advance, not those who act only after seeing the announcement.
This time, I’m taking a wait-and-see approach, not chasing.
Just want to ask, who in the circle hasn’t suffered losses from "seeing the news and it’s already too late"?
#BTC、ETH现货ETF同步转流出，资金热度降温
#Strategy再购BTC，多家财库同步增持 #OKXNOW：未来已至，重磅内容正在揭晓 $BTC