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#Anthropic拟11月启动IPO，目标于感恩节前上市
🔥 Anthropic is going public! The goal is to ring the bell before Thanksgiving, that's pretty fast.
But what does this have to do with the coins we hold? In one sentence: Giants are raising funds crazily, and the crypto space continues to be short on liquidity.
AI giants are now not only attracting money in the primary market but also raising funds in the secondary market. There is already so much hot money globally, and when these giants siphon it off, the liquidity flowing into the crypto space naturally becomes even less. Those coins purely riding the "AI concept" will only have a harder time ahead.
However, in the short term, this news can bring some emotional stimulus to the crypto AI sector, after all, the market likes to hear stories about "AI commercialization landing." But don't get carried away.
Looking back at the broader market, BTC just experienced a rally near 86,000, but ETF funds are starting to cool down, plus tonight's non-farm payroll data is looming overhead, the macro environment (US Treasury yield at 5.6%) remains tight.
In terms of operations:
Don't get led by the news, don't chase high on AI concept coins.
Hold your spot positions firmly, and be sure to control your contract trades.
Hold your USDT tight, wait until all macro risk zones are cleared and the market really dips to a bottom, then go pick up bargains.
The giants are feasting, we retail investors should first protect our principal. ⚡️
Do you think Anthropic going public will have a driving effect on the crypto AI sector? 👇#SEC Chairman Atkins says will advance clarity on on-chain fundraising rules
SEC pushed nine crypto rules in eight weeks, but only four are really usable now.
▪️ Since 8/18, SEC and CFTC have taken nine actions covering almost every step from fundraising to custody
▪️ The four currently usable ones: tokenized stock innovation exemption, passive software no-action, record-keeping FAQ, clearinghouse registration
▪️ Three still awaiting final rules, Regulation Crypto Assets comments due 10/20, final rules expected in Q1 2027
▪️ One still under White House review, RIN 3038-AF80, content not yet disclosed
The disagreement isn’t about the number of actions, but that only four of these nine are actually implementable now.
Atkins said custody rules were written before the internet. The 10/1 version offers two paths: state-chartered trust companies as default, advisor self-custody as exception, with quarterly re-certification required.
Bitwise’s Hougan calls this round "trading long-term certainty for faster rules." It’s fast, but few can really take off. Rules aren’t legislation; a new administration can overturn them.
Among these nine actions, which do you think will be implemented first? BTC shows a new key price level change: the $84,000 support has been briefly broken.
At around 01:58 on October 3rd Beijing time, two recent market queries both returned about $84,150, with an intraday low of $83,923. This is about a 0.6% drop from the previous $84,664 and about a 3.4% decline from the intraday high of $87,071.
Bearish judgment: all gains after the non-farm payrolls have been mostly retraced, indicating obvious selling pressure near $87,000; meanwhile, US Treasury yields remain high, limiting BTC's rebound. However, the market source did not provide the exchange or precise timestamp, so eight-platform synchronization confirmation is not yet complete.
Next observations:
* Whether it can quickly recover and hold above $84,000–$84,100; if so, the break may be false.
* If it continues below $84,000, the next significant support is seen at $82,500.
* It must retake $85,000–$85,700 for the short-term structure to be considered improved. $BTC Account Position Divergence Radar｜Last 15 Minutes
$XRP top accounts are more bullish, but position size is more bearish: account long-short ratio is 1.36, position ratio is 0.88; the difference in the proportion of the two types of long positions has expanded by 1.12 percentage points. There are more bullish accounts, but a long position size advantage has not yet formed.$BTC 📉 $BTC is seeing sellers regain local control. Ahead of the NY Open, we got a pump outside the local range. However, the rally was showing signs of weakness near the end: 🔴 Bearish divergences in both Spot CVD and RSI indicated that the move was losing momentum. 🔴 Aggressive longs entered into strength and got trapped above us, eventually triggering a liquidation cascade as those positions were forced to close. 📊 Current Order Flow Sellers remain firmly in control for now. Volume is pus$BTC This is not looking good at all. While price is currently testing a crucial support level, spot keeps selling aggressively into the move. At the same time, open interest has started to build up significantly again, showing that a lot of excessive leverage is entering the market. Usually, when price is testing a level like this, I’d want to see buyers step in and start absorbing some of that selling pressure. But so far, that doesn’t seem to be the case. If buyers don’t step back in soon, th"The Real Market Action is in Q3: Closing in the Red in September"
September closed in the red. BTC rose about 7% monthly, marking the best September in recent years; the real breakout was in Q3: BTC rose over 40%, ETH about 70%. This rebound was not driven by sentiment alone.
ETF fund flows halted at the end of the month: On September 30, BTC saw a net outflow of $149 million, ETH $60 million, SOL $11 million; on Monday, the outflow rate slowed by about 80%, but some funds still entered. The Fear & Greed Index is 72, total market cap around $2.9–3.0 trillion, greed remains.
Ecosystem: SOL's Open USD is operational and has committed $1 billion liquidity; ETH experienced staking withdrawals due to a MetaMask incident, but no funds were lost.
Macro remains a variable. Friday's employment data is a catalyst, interest rate pressure persists. In the short term, don't just watch the open; the close reveals the real story. The hotter the market, the calmer Brother Maji becomes. The total position still reaches $153 million, but the strategy has shifted from offense to defense: taking profits at highs, reducing leverage, and raising the safety margin.
BTC cools down first. Holdings shrink from 546 to 460 coins, locking in profits on 86 coins; margin drops to 980,000, and the liquidation price retreats to 69,500. Earning a bit less in exchange for a more stable defense line.
ETH continues to carry the banner. Holding 35,000 coins at an average price of 2682, with unrealized gains of 1.495 million. The daily funding fee of 1.17 million is indeed painful, but with such substantial profits, he remains unshaken.
HYPE completes a reversal. From unrealized loss to unrealized gain, he uses the momentum to reduce positions, pushing the liquidation price down from 64 to 49, significantly releasing risk.
PUMP is still at a small loss, with little presence, so it’s skipped.
The whole operation is very clear: pull and withdraw simultaneously, secure profits first, actively reduce leverage, and lower the liquidation line. Whales are already closing nets at highs; retail investors should hold their hands tighter. The hotter the market, the more you shouldn’t impulsively catch the falling knife. Protecting profits is the way to go. $BTC $ETH $HYPE #美国9月非农仅增2.9万，失业率升至4.2% #BTC、ETH现货ETF同步转流出，资金热度降温 A one-cent spread makes trading smooth but can't control slippage for you
At 17:40 on October 2, OKX spot $ETH had a best bid around $2750.85 and best ask around $2750.86, with an optimal quote difference of just one cent. This spread is friendly for small spot orders but doesn't mean any size can be filled at the screen price. Large market orders will consume multiple order levels consecutively, and the actual average price depends on order book depth; when the market suddenly accelerates, market makers may also cancel orders or widen quotes, so the liquidity seen moments ago can change rapidly. Limit orders can control the highest buy price or lowest sell price but may not get filled; market orders guarantee priority execution but not the final price. Long-term valuation of $ETH and order execution are two different matters—correct directional calls can still see returns reduced by slippage, fees, and chasing prices. True liquidity cannot be judged by just a snapshot of the top bid and ask for one second but requires observing multiple order levels, different time periods, and recovery ability under stress conditions.
Check the estimated average execution price before placing an order; it is closer to the real cost than just looking at the latest price. Even assets with good liquidity can suddenly thin out during stress moments. Splitting orders can reduce one-time impact but also increases the risk of price fluctuations and repeated fees. $CT is really impressive, dumped to 0.5025 and cleared the position all at once, then pulled back in 3 minutes. Looks like Dog Brother still wants to pump the price. Interesting🚨 Breaking: A 16-year-old ancient whale just liquidated everything, $450 million worth of $BTC, not a single coin left.
This guy has seen every kind of market scene. Mt.Gox hacker incident, COVID crash, LUNA zeroing out, FTX collapse, and the flash crash in October 2025 — he endured them all without moving. But today, he sold everything.
Honestly, seeing this news sent a chill down my neck. This isn’t an ordinary retail investor cutting losses; it’s an old money that has survived all cycles and witnessed the industry evolve from wilderness to institutionalization, choosing to exit completely at this point. You might say it’s just personal financial management, but someone who has held for 16 years wouldn’t sell casually due to lack of funds. Either he saw something, or simply believes this cycle has ended.
What’s more concerning is the timing. He chose to act right before the non-farm payrolls, when the market is stuck below 85,000. When a whale of this caliber moves, it’s rarely an isolated event. Ancient addresses have been waking up one after another, and now a full liquidation — the signal isn’t good.
Of course, one person selling $450 million won’t crash the market. But sentiment will be affected, especially with volume already weak. I’m not guessing if he really foresaw a crash, but I know when the most steadfast holders start running, retail investors better not rush to catch the falling knife.
$BTC is now around 84,000, resistance remains above, and the data hasn’t settled yet. At times like this, controlling your impulses is better than anything else. What do you think about this whale exit? Coincidence or a signal?If ten years ago, you took 10,000 RMB to buy BTC, it would now be worth 1.3 million RMB.
In October 2016, BTC was about a little over 4,000 RMB each, so 10,000 RMB could buy roughly 2.3 $BTC.
If you did nothing but left it there to sleep.
Today, those 2.3 BTC are worth about more than 1.3 million RMB.
What does this mean? Choice is more important than effort.
I probably entered the circle around 2017, but unfortunately never thought about hoarding BTC, liked playing with altcoins, and have been wasting time until now.
Many people are like me, not because they never bought BTC, but because they sold when it doubled, cut losses when it halved. They made money chasing altcoins, lost money chasing memes, busy for ten years, and in the end, looking back, might be worse off than doing nothing at all.
Choice determines direction, time is responsible for compounding.
Value investing, the hardest thing left is: controlling your hands. I increasingly feel like I'm not cut out to make money. The profit-loss ratio is very unreasonable. I can't hold onto profits, but I keep holding onto losses. From now on, I'll set take-profit and stop-loss points properly. I won't watch anymore. After analysis, I'll always include take-profit and stop-loss. If I lose, I'll accept it when it bounces back later. In the future, I definitely won't hold altcoins against the trend. I can hold onto Bitcoin and tech stocks a bit.CORE's plunge this time mainly hit the following pitfalls:
· Market drag: The macro positive news (non-farm payrolls below expectations) failed to support the market, BTC subsequently fell below $85,000, and CORE, as a highly volatile asset, followed the market down.
· Exchange risk warning: South Korean exchange Bithumb extended its "trading warning" to October 26-30 for reassessment, triggering panic selling among investors.
· Token unlock selling pressure: Around October 15, about 401 million CORE tokens (about 19% of total supply) will be unlocked in a concentrated manner, and the expected selling pressure from free tokens directly suppressed buying willingness.
· Technical breakdown: The 1-minute chart dropped from 0.02355 to 0.02129, a nearly 10% decline, with MA5/10/20 moving averages all breached, breaking the short-term bullish pattern.
$BTC $CORE #BTC、ETH现货ETF同步转流出，资金热度降温 $2Z 24h -18.4%, I lean bullish: focus tightly on 0.05216 and 0.03882
$2Z currently at 0.0459, 24h -18.4%, I am directly bullish at this level, no hesitation.
Market phase is offensive; the dip is where the chips are, with three reasons:
First, daily RSI at 50.6 is neutral, MACD golden cross above zero line has held for 13 days, MA7 above MA30 for 7 days, bullish alignment intact;
Second, funding rate is -0.0013258, shorts are paying, OI archived on this account +4.17%, positions are entering, not exiting;
Third, 24h volume is 7,336,271 USDT, volume ratio 4.583 showing increased volume, this bearish candle is panic selling where real chips are dumped.
Resistance above: 0.05216 (15m SAR has flipped upward)
Support below: 0.03882 (Bollinger lower band, bandwidth 58.1%)
Fear and greed index at 72, full greed, but breadth only 26/68 rising — index greed, individual fear, this divergence is a window to pick up chips.
This trade follows only one path — hold 0.03882 and look back to 0.05216, enter at current price 0.0459, cut losses if it breaks below 0.03882, if not broken, aim for 0.05216.
Follow me, don’t get lost in the next wave.
$2Z $BTC🍎 $AAPL new CEO John Ternus may be changing how Apple moves.
Ternus is reportedly considering a major overhaul — including faster product releases, a stronger engineering focus, and a leaner organization.
That matters because Apple is entering a critical AI race while also rolling out its new Siri AI.
The real story for investors isn’t just the CEO change. It’s whether Ternus can make Apple innovate faster without sacrificing the ecosystem that makes $AAPL so powerful.
That’s the shift worth watching. 👀 $390 million spot trading volume, today the price level is more important than the numbers
As of 17:40 on October 2, OKX's $ETH spot 24-hour trading volume was approximately $390.7 million, with a volume of about 144,000 ETH. Active trading combined with price increases indicates that the market has indeed completed a large amount of turnover, but the trading volume still cannot be directly equated with new funds, because every buy has a corresponding sell. More informative is where the price remains after the turnover: currently near the upper half, indicating that chips sold at low levels have temporarily been taken over at higher prices; if the volume then shrinks and the price moves sideways, it could mean selling pressure has eased or that the chase for price is retreating, which requires judging in combination with the depth of pullback; if volume expands and the price falls back below the opening price, it indicates that high-level transactions have not formed a stable cost. What $ETH bulls truly want to see is not that the daily trading volume is as large as possible, but that after volume expands, the market is willing to continue trading at higher levels. Volume is the process; cost migration is the result.
If the same trading volume can only push a smaller price increase, it may mean supply above has increased; if volume shrinks but the high level holds, it indicates sellers are not in a hurry to exit for now. The volume-price relationship needs continuous comparison; single-day numbers can easily be distorted by a large order.September payrolls came in at just 29K, well below expectations. Previous months were also revised lower, while unemployment rose to 4.2%. The market immediately repriced rate-cut expectations, pressuring the dollar and Treasury yields and giving risk assets room to rally. 📈 BTC & ETH surged with strong momentum Price broke out of recent consolidation ranges Volume increased alongside the move Shorts were forced to cover, adding fuel to the rally Rising open interest showed aggressive positioniEthereum surged to $2,770 after the U.S. payrolls data, but the move quickly lost momentum. Here are the 4 key reasons: 1️⃣ Priced in early — Traders bought ahead of the data, triggering “buy the rumor, sell the news” profit-taking. 2️⃣ $2,770 resistance — Multiple tests near this level + weak volume made the breakout vulnerable. 3️⃣ Leverage flush — Short stop-losses were triggered during the initial pump, followed by profit-taking from longs. 4️⃣ Macro uncertainty — Wage growth, Treasury yieldReviewing this wave of short positions, you can refer to the previous post. Despite the positive non-farm payrolls, I went short, and Saudi Arabia helped me crash the market.
Last night, the non-farm payrolls unexpectedly increased by only 29,000, and the market immediately surged. BTC jumped to 87,000, and ETH also rose to 2,800. How many people chased the long positions? I chose to open shorts at that time, why?
Because I have always said, the non-farm payrolls are just an appetizer; the real risks lie in regional conflicts and oil prices. Once the positive non-farm data is fully priced in, it becomes negative. When the market gets excited, the risk arrives.
What happened next? Saudi Arabia took direct action, launching 94 airstrikes against the Houthi forces in Yemen within 24 hours, escalating the Middle East situation. Coupled with the G7 meeting suppressing oil prices, WTI crude oil plummeted over 4.5%.
As risk aversion intensified, $BTC plunged directly from 87,000 to 83,000, and $ETH dropped from 2,770 to 2,650.
My short position on ETH at 2,745 gained significantly. Unfortunately, I took profits at 2,690, missing the lowest point and not maximizing gains. But it doesn't matter; a profit is a profit. Securing gains is better than riding a roller coaster.
Summary of this operation: Don't be fooled by surface data. No matter how poor the non-farm payrolls are, as long as geopolitical risks exist, the market won't trend unilaterally. When negative factors are fully priced in, it becomes positive; when positive factors are fully priced in, it becomes negative. Always watch those overlooked risks. When they explode, you'll already be on board.
Where is the next opportunity? Keep watching oil prices and the Middle East situation, as well as next month's CPI. Opportunities are always waited for, not chased.
#美国9月非农仅增2.9万，失业率升至4.2% I entered the circle on October 8, 2023, just turned 18 that day, deposited 100 yuan, which was pocket money from my mom. At that time, I was full of ambition and wanted to succeed to give my family a better life, but things didn’t go as planned. Once, I turned 100 yuan into tens of thousands, but that was just luck. I withdrew over 2,500 yuan then, gave 500 yuan each to my two older sisters, bought a set of clothes for my mom, and two packs of cigarettes for my dad. I was so happy back then. $PENGU You know? It was in April 2024 that I went long on you and made a fortune. My first order was around 0.00386, with over 600U invested, earning over 100U in profit before taking profit. Later, I opened another position with over 2,300U at 0.0376 and took profit. I really thank you then, and the market makers behind you. After that, I developed feelings for this coin. Every time I made some money from other coins, I went long on you, but every position I opened ended in a stop loss. From then until now, I haven’t made a single cent from you. Up to today, I’ve opened over 1,500 orders and lost nearly 10,000U on you. You know? My monthly salary is just over 4,000 yuan, and I deposit 500 yuan every month. All the money I earned was lost on you. Today, I even thought about buying some merchandise of yours, but you messed me up again. From today on, I won’t trade your orders anymore. I, a trader, actually developed feelings for a coin—how ridiculous I really am. Sometimes I think I’m really an idiot: bad at studying, can’t make money, and the person I like ran off with someone else. Sigh, a failed life.
$BTC SAND current price is 0.0608. After a four-hour level rally, it has shown signs of fatigue, with MACD bearish crossover suppressing momentum, and RSI falling back from the overbought zone, indicating a clear short-term decline in momentum. On the chart, the area around 0.0708 is a concentrated zone of long liquidation, forming strong resistance, while the area around 0.0607 below is a dense zone of long position liquidations. The price is currently skimming this dangerous edge.
Just finished delivering an office building; the elevator was broken, so I climbed eleven floors, my legs are still shaky, and the debt collection calls on my phone haven't stopped.
If the 0.0607 level is effectively broken down, the accumulated long positions below will trigger a chain liquidation, and the price could be quickly pulled down. The current structure is not suitable for chasing longs; instead, focus on shorting opportunities after a rebound. Entry range is set between 0.0635 and 0.0650, which is a retest of the previous breakdown level and close to the upper resistance radiation zone. The first take profit target is at 0.0575, and the second take profit target is near 0.0540. The stop loss must be set above 0.0710, which is beyond the upper edge of the liquidation zone, to prevent being blown out by a sudden spike. The risk-reward ratio is sufficient, risk is controllable; if wrong, accept the loss, if right, enjoy a smooth ride.
$SNDK
#财报观察员：美光上调指引，存储需求继续走强
@OKX星球 Family, who understands this? 🤣 Big brother BTC really nailed the "pretending to be steady like an old dog, but secretly slipping away" move this time!
A few days ago, it was still hovering around 84,000 as the anchor, making all the altcoins dizzy. But today it quietly dropped 1.62%, directly down to 83,945, even breaking through the previously strong horizontal support zone. The main strategy seems to be "I won’t crash hard, I’ll just drop a little every day, slowly grinding your mindset."
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Look at these moving averages, even funnier: MA5 and MA10 were originally supporting below the price, now they’ve been smashed and turned downward. MA20 is still holding on hard. The whole candlestick pattern is like "big brother pretending not to fall, retail investors pretending not to see it." The trading volume hasn’t exploded, so everyone’s playing dead, no one dares to run first, afraid that if they run, it will rise, and if they buy the dip, it will keep falling.
Looking at the cycle data made me laugh: 7-day is almost flat, 30-day only up 3%, 90-day up 33%, and 180-day only up 20%—so basically, after rising in the first half of the year, big brother has switched to "slacking mode." While others go out to enjoy the National Day holiday, friends holding BTC are accompanying big brother on the candlestick chart practicing "slow downhill walking," with the main theme being "everyone else celebrates, you endure mindset."Tonight’s NFP came in around 31K vs. 88K expected, sending rate-hike expectations lower and triggering a sharp risk-on move. BTC briefly pushed toward $86.8K, while ETH climbed back above $2.7K. But I’m not chasing the pump yet. The bigger risks have simply shifted. $BTC BTC jumped more than 3% and reclaimed the $86K area, but $87K–$89K remains a heavy supply zone from previous failed breakouts. If the rally is driven mainly by the NFP surprise, some of that optimism could fade after the initialRegarding $MOVR, I’d rather first ask a somewhat uncomfortable question: Are we seeing a trend now, or a trend that has already been prematurely priced in?
Both the 1-hour and 4-hour charts are weak, with RSI at 27 and 57 respectively. Oversold conditions can explain the demand for a rebound but cannot alone prove a trend reversal; price stopping new lows is more convincing than any statement like "it can’t fall further."
Current price is 2.001, about 3.05% above the 1-hour support at 1.94, and about 59.37% below the resistance at 3.189. Here, what’s lacking is not directional speculation but sustained price movement beyond these boundaries.
$MOVR has entered the oversold zone, but "it should rebound" and "it has bottomed" are completely different things.
My conclusion is temporarily written only as conditional statements. My observation line is clear: only by reclaiming and holding above 3.189 can the short-term initiative be considered regained; breaking below 1.94 shifts focus to the 4-hour support at 0.932. If pressure continues above, the 4-hour resistance at 3.34 is for now just a distant reference, not a preset target.
To continuously track this phase, just remember 3.189 and 1.94. I will return in the next round to check if the market has overturned this judgment.
Is this phase more like the starting point of emotional repair, or just a breather before a continuation of the decline?
The market is volatile; the above is only an observation of the market and does not constitute investment advice. This is from Coin Circle Bull.Long and Short Crowding List｜Last 15 Minutes
$SAND short positions have a relatively high unit holding cost: current 4-hour rate -0.234%, price -3.21%, position volume -7.24%. The decline is accompanied by position reduction, with new positions not yet matching; holding shorts past settlement at the current rate will cause funding fees to lower the breakeven price.SPCX surged from 148 to nearly 158, likely boosted by the Dragon launch. But it remains highly sensitive to launch-related news—any setback could trigger a sharp drop. Glad I sold at 130; otherwise, I’d be down $5K 🤣
#美债收益率频创新高，长期利率压力未缓解
#OpenAI$1.4TFunding #USTreasuryYieldsSurge Look at these two orders: SAND and TRUTH, both are short positions with full 10x leverage. The SAND position is the most fatal, opened at average price 0.0549, now mark price is 0.06009. It doesn't seem to have risen much, but with 10x leverage return rate directly hits -93.55%, and 1600U margin is almost wiped out. This is terror of full margin mode. Many people think 10x is not high, but recklessly opening shorts in volatile market is just giving money to market makers. Don't always try to catPrice crash is not the cause, but a symptom—just like chest pain is never the heart disease itself, but a cry for help from myocardial ischemia. On $AAVE's current ECG, ST segment elevation has already appeared.
A 24-hour fluctuation of 4.68% is just the surface temperature. What really alerts me is the short-term RSI shooting up to 70.4, which is typical tachycardia—an overbought zone means the ventricles are pumping under overload, the upper Bollinger Band has only a 1.1% buffer left, the vessel walls are stretched to the limit, and an aortic dissection rupture could happen at any moment. Looking at the mid-term RSI of 55.9, the sinus rhythm is still relatively stable, but there is a clear divergence between short and mid-term, which is a precursor signal of arrhythmia.
The short-term Bollinger Band position is 132%, and the price is already 4.9% above the lower band—murmurs can be heard through the stethoscope.
Entry is set at 97.99, which is 2.9% above the current price. This is not bottom fishing; it’s waiting for the heart to complete its last ineffective contraction before performing puncture localization. Rushing to cut will only damage normal myocardium.
📉 Short:
Entry: 97.99 (current price +2.9%)
Take Profit 1: 87.10 (-8.5%)
Take Profit 2: 90.03 (-5.5%)
Stop Loss: 109.29 (+14.8%)
The first take profit at 87.10 corresponds to an 8.5% downside space, which is the natural blood pressure drop after lesion removal. The second take profit at 90.03 has a 5.5% buffer, representing the first hemostasis point during surgery—first suture the main bleeding vessels, then decide whether to expand the resection range.
Stop loss at 109.29 with a 14.8% tolerance is the insurance fuse for extracorporeal circulation. Once breached, it means the preoperative diagnosis was wrong, and the chest must be closed immediately without hesitation. The iron rule of surgeons: the speed of admitting misjudgment determines the patient's survival rate.
The ejection fraction of this heart is deteriorating; don’t wait until ventricular fibrillation to think about the defibrillator.💾 SanDisk CEO David Goeckeler just laid out a bigger AI-storage strategy for $SNDK
SanDisk says it now has long-term agreements covering roughly 50% of its FY2027 bits and about two-thirds of FY2028 — giving the company much more visibility than the traditional boom-and-bust memory cycle.
The bigger story is AI inference. As AI models handle more data and context, data centers are becoming increasingly storage-intensive.
For $SNDK, the question now isn't simply whether AI needs more memory — it's how much of that growing storage demand SanDisk can actually capture. 👀 #BTC、ETH spot ETFs are simultaneously seeing outflows, cooling down capital heat
Just came across some interesting data: both BTC and ETH spot ETFs have turned to net outflows, and the capital heat is visibly cooling down.📉
Actually, this is not surprising at all.
Think about it, just a couple of days ago, Bitcoin was ruthlessly pushed up to 86,000, relying entirely on on-exchange short squeezes and leveraged funds pushing hard. Now, with tonight's crucial non-farm payrolls approaching, the first reaction of big money is definitely to run first and secure profits. This is called risk avoidance.
Looking deeper, the macro environment hasn't improved at all. The 30-year US Treasury yield is stuck stubbornly at a high 5.6%, with the temptation of risk-free easy gains right there. Institutions were previously focused solely on buying Bitcoin, but now even Bitcoin is seeing outflows, indicating that short-term risk appetite is truly contracting, and on-exchange it's again a zero-sum game of leveraged funds taking from each other's pockets.
So facing this cooling of capital, really don't bet.
If you hold spot positions as your base, hold steady—that's your trump card, don't get shaken out before the data release. Futures traders must control their hands today; the spikes around non-farm payrolls are extremely brutal, staying flat is the safest strategy. Hold your USDT in hand, wait for the data to fully land and market sentiment to vent. If a big dip really happens, that's when we pick up the bloodied chips.
When the tide of capital recedes, don't be the one caught naked swimming. Keep a close eye on the market tonight, we'll chat anytime!⚡️
Where do you think tonight's non-farm payroll data will take Bitcoin?👇$ZEC has clearly been in a downtrend, with profit-taking starting to gradually exit. Every pullback is also a sideways distribution, and each fluctuation continues to hit new lows. In the afternoon, there was a surge to around 1400, so I decisively entered a short position. I believe I just saw the trend clearly and followed it. However, I think this mainly applies to coins with relatively large capital; for those controlled by a small number of manipulators, it's much harder to predict the trend. This morning, I hastily shorted $CT before I was fully awake, and as a result, $CT surged sharply in a short time. I didn't even have time to set a stop loss and got liquidated immediately, which was really frustrating. So, I also reflected on my own mistakes and realized I should trade only when I'm in a good state going forward. $2Z trades new financial products with Edge.
Phoenix perpetual contracts, Kalshi prediction markets, Hyperliquid native perpetual contracts, and HIP-3 perpetual contracts, as well as Solana fragments, are currently available. A building never collapses on the day it’s completed; it’s already dead on that rainy night when you pull out the first structural column.
$VINE’s facade looks beautiful now: a 7.02% rise in 24 hours, the red board hanging there like a tower crown just finished topping out, with lights on, making everyone think it can add two more floors. But what I’m always watching isn’t the facade, it’s the structure.
First, look at the vertical load-bearing. The 1-hour RSI has already hit 70.6, solidly stepping into the overbought zone, while the long-term RSI is only 47.7, still hovering near the neutral line without lifting. This mismatch is called "misalignment of upper and lower column grids" in our industry—the upper floors are pushing hard, the lower floors aren’t keeping up, and the shear wall in the middle is the first to crack.
Next, look at the Bollinger Bands. The short-term price has already reached 112% of the range, effectively breaking above the upper band by 0.8%, like a cantilever beam extending beyond the red line, held up only by the single rebar of sentiment; the mid-term position is 62%, with 8.3% clearance from the lower band but only 4.8% from the upper band—the upper space is compressed to the limit, and the formwork can no longer be supported.
As for the white paper, that’s just the blueprint. No geological survey done, no pile foundation laid; if the drawings show thirty floors, it will settle like thirty floors. $VINE’s narrative is about facade decoration, but I still haven’t received any actual test report on the reinforcement ratio of the underlying code.
So my approach is clear: don’t dismantle the scaffolding on a rainy day; wait for it to push up one more level, hand over the last cantilevered load to the latecomers chasing the high, and I’ll short from above.
📉 Short:
Entry: 0.01 (current price +1.0%)
Take Profit 1: 0.01 (-9.2%)
Take Profit 2: 0.01 (-7.6%)
Stop Loss: 0.01 (+11.5%)
The stop loss at +11.5% isn’t because I trust it, but to leave a margin for seismic resistance—if the price can still push up 11.5% from here, it means the "misalignment of upper and lower column grids" judgment itself is wrong, the entire structural model must be rebuilt, and then I’ll admit defeat and leave.
Entry is set 1.0% above the current price, effectively building the scaffolding on a resistance level; the two take profits recover 9.2% and 7.6%, both closing within the 8.3% range from the lower band, which is a compliant dismantling sequence—first unload live load, then dismantle load-bearing walls, never the other way around.
Right now, this building is putting on its last facade light show. The brighter the lights, the more it shows it hasn’t passed inspection inside yet.Big Brother Maji's moves these days are amazing! He always manages to precisely exit at the top and boldly enter at the bottom. His position size fluctuates repeatedly between 141 million and 165 million, making this swing rhythm quite valuable for reference. Let's review it.
BTC: Initially holding 536 coins with a slight loss, then decisively reduced to 369 coins to successfully exit at the top; after the market rose, aggressively added back to 546 coins, then reduced again to 405 coins to lock in profits; currently holding 390 coins at an average price of 84,700, liquidation price 71,600. The timing is very precise.
ETH: Position fluctuates between 32,000 and 38,000 coins. Previously, he precisely reduced holdings at a high point after making a huge profit of 2.18 million, but recently added back 37,000 coins, resulting in a floating loss of 380,000 after giving back profits. Daily funding cost is 1.18 million, liquidation price 2,540.
HYPE: Increased from 200,000 coins to 226,000, reduced at a high to 179,000 to successfully turn losses into gains, latest down to 169,000 coins with a floating loss of 230,000, liquidation price 57.
PUMP: Currently a small loss of 230,000, just a minor loss in mainstream positions, can be skipped directly.
Watching the whale closely is about sensing the real market sentiment through his position changes. His profit-taking at highs indicates big money is managing risk; his counter-trend buying shows funds are probing the bottom. Don't blindly copy trades; see where the money flows and trade with the trend. Capital safety is the most important.
$BTC $HYPE $ETH Went on a trip a couple of days ago, still haven't adjusted to the time difference.
My thoughts came out a bit late; considering the midday period has already risen to a high level, the only option for Silk Road is to wait for a pullback before adding more.
Including early yesterday morning, Achen also said you could lightly enter long positions at low levels directly.
The 10.2 point error (based on market movement after posting): $BTC's first target should be 865, $ZEC failed to pull back to 1330, with a lowest pullback around 1360.
Currently, the plan B for BTC and ZEC has also been fulfilled; the bros on the car have long been short. BTC has reached the target, $ETH target is 2670, considering the cycle issue, will exit early between 2670-2685.
Just to mention, it's not that I want to travel on a workday, but the key is that friends only have time during the National Day holiday, so it was arranged. No matter how big the position, it's still a 996 workhorse.
Happy National Day, get on the car, starting from 1000 USD
#美国9月非农仅增2.9万，失业率升至4.2%
#BTC、ETH现货ETF同步转流出，资金热度降温
#美债收益率频创新高，长期利率压力未缓解 最脆弱的一环从来不是价格，而是杠杆堆出来的乐观。 这波反弹里，谁在裸泳？ 早上刷盘时我盯着SOL那根突然竖起来的针，第一反应不是兴奋，是警惕。过去一小时内约770万美元空头被强制平仓，这种挤空式拉升很漂亮，但也很脆。BTC回到86000附近，24小时涨约2.2%；ETH在2700上方窄幅磨蹭，涨约1.78%；ZEC却从9月底1698的高点回撤约21%，现价1333附近，单日跌约7.3%，是主流里最刺眼的那一个。 真正被交易的不是"复苏"，是Citibank一次性把BTC十二个月目标从82000抬到113000，ETH从2240修到3028。机构用ETF净流入和稳定需求给叙事背书，美债收益率回落、美联储官员偏谨慎的表态，又给了风险偏好一个台阶。问题是，这些利好有多少已经被提前计价？目标价本身不是现金流，它只是把情绪折现。 偏多路径很清楚：现货买盘持续，空头回补完成，ETH站稳3000后补涨，资金从BTC外溢到SOL这类高beta。偏空风险也摆在明面：SOL的急拉靠清算驱动，缺少现货承接就容易回吐；ZEC暴涨253%后的技术性修正还没走完，说明山寨的获利盘并不温柔；一旦美债收益率重新抬头，🟢 $NVDA is taking the AI boom to Wall Street.
Jensen Huang, NVIDIA’s founder and CEO, is backing a plan designed to mobilize more than $500 billion in third-party capital for AI infrastructure.
The interesting part isn’t just the $500B headline. NVIDIA is trying to turn its GPUs and AI infrastructure into financeable assets, giving AI companies another way to fund massive data-center expansion.
But Wall Street is already asking the key question: how long will these expensive GPUs actually retain their value?
That debate could become just as important as AI chip demand itself. 👀 Feeling better, this time babala didn't just watch the profits slip away from my hands! $ETH $BTC
#BTC、ETH现货ETF同步转流出，资金热度降温
I opened a short position on ETH at 2740, and as the price dropped to around 2677, I have already taken partial profits, continuing to watch the remaining position.
Last night's non-farm payrolls were only 29,000, unemployment rose to 4.2%, and wage growth clearly slowed down.
This data was originally somewhat positive for risk assets because it lowered the market's expectations for further rate hikes. But after ETH surged, it not only failed to hold above 2780–2800, but instead fell through 2740 and 2700.
The positive news did not push the price higher; instead, the market used it to sell off, which is more noteworthy than a simple decline.
Now 2670–2680 is the first support level and the reason I chose to take partial profits here. This is close to the 24-hour low; if it breaks further, we can watch 2640, and beyond that, the key 2600 level.
The remaining position mainly depends on the rebound between 2700–2720.
If ETH rebounds here but faces resistance again, it means 2700 has turned from support into resistance, and the bearish structure remains intact; but if the price recovers above 2720 and further holds above 2740, I will reassess the remaining short positions.
This time, I can't just assume it will directly fall to 2600 because the direction was temporarily right.
First, take some profits in hand, then let the remaining position see whether ETH, which even weak non-farm data can't save, can still hold 2670.Employment headwinds weigh on the dollar, crypto receives a strong boost
September nonfarm payrolls increased by only 29,000, expected 90,000, previous 162,000; unemployment rate at 4.2%, expected 4.1%. Both data points resonate, showing a clear weakening in the labor market, the dollar takes a heavy hit, and risk assets benefit.
The market will continue to bet on delayed rate hikes, with US Treasury yields and the dollar declining, creating strong tailwinds for the crypto space. BTC has ETF base support as a floor, making its rebound foundation more solid and prioritizing upward potential; although ETH saw slight ETF outflows earlier, it is more resilient under favorable macro conditions, with gains expected to surpass BTC, and outflow pressure may be offset.
The only variable is average hourly earnings: if wages are hot, it may partially offset the positive effects from employment and unemployment rates. But current data is solidly on the positive side.
$BTC $ETH $ZEC
#美国9月非农仅增2.9万，失业率升至4.2%
#BTC、ETH现货ETF同步转流出，资金热度降温 $USELESS Air Force brothers, after a whole day of torment, unexpectedly, a turning point came at dawn. The battle to break the iron bottom at 0.22 has officially begun. Once this iron bottom is broken, the next step will be to challenge 0.1888. Victory belongs to the Air Force Look at these two orders: $SAND and $TRUTH, both are short positions with full 10x leverage. The SAND position is the most fatal, opened at an average price of 0.0549, now the mark price is 0.06009. It doesn't seem to have risen much, but with 10x leverage, the return rate directly hits -93.55%, and the 1600U margin is almost wiped out. This is the terror of full margin mode; a single fluctuation not only eats up profits but also devours the principal. Many people think 10x is not high, but reckToday's top three gainers, each crazier than the last
$TRUMP 2.191, up 7.19%, leading the board. Policy coins thrive on macro factors; once the non-farm payroll data of 29,000 came out, rate hike expectations collapsed, and risk appetite surged. 2.1 lingered for a week without breaking through, but today it jumped straight to 2.19. When a coin like this rises 7%, don't chase it—you'll see from its history that it usually gives back half the gains the next day.
$BOME 0.0010406, up 7.54%, the madman among small caps. Its market cap is just tens of millions; when the big market moves, a few people can push it up 7%. But this kind of rise has no reference value—the 7% gain is due to the light market cap, not fundamental changes. With Friday night’s liquidity, if you chase in today, you might get stuck by Monday.
$SOL 122.58, up 4.43%, the strongest among the mainstream. This rise has a solid foundation—on-chain NFT and DeFi inflows, ETF inflows, not just pure sentiment. It reclaimed 120, and if it holds above 125, look for 128. Among the three, SOL is the only one you can confidently hold over the weekend.
#BTC、ETH现货ETF同步转流出，资金热度降温 The gainers list looks lively, but the 7% on TRUMP and BOME is sentiment-driven, while SOL’s 4% is real money. Hold SOL over the weekend, not TRUMP.Triple signals intertwine as capital searches for narrative anchors in the cracks
The market is mildly rebounding, but behind BTC, ETH, and ZEC lie three distinctly different logic lines.
$BTC: The covert push of sovereign compliance. The IMF approved a $139 million grant to El Salvador, despite the country previously violating the agreement to increase Bitcoin holdings. This signal is far more complex than it appears on the surface—international financial institutions are passively adapting to the reality of sovereign nations holding BTC. Macro pressures remain, but the legitimacy of the underlying asset is being reinforced step by step. This is a structural long-term support.
$ETH: Ecological friction suppresses short-term buying. A vulnerability in the Aave V3 module caused a loss of about 114 ETH, a small amount, but it once again exposed the fragility of DeFi composability. The upgrade expectations have yet to be fulfilled, and security flaws have become a ceiling for buying. ETH can only passively follow the market, lacking the fuel for an independent breakout.
$ZEC: Institutional calls ignite the privacy narrative. Variant Fund's investment partner publicly stated that the market bottom may have appeared in July, and the institutional-level "bottom confirmation" has given capital the confidence to go long on the privacy sector. As the leader, ZEC, with its independent narrative, is absorbing safe-haven funds in a volatile market and leading the rally against the trend.
The three logics are clear: BTC is supported by compliance, ETH is dragged down by security frictions, and ZEC benefits from institutional expectations and privacy premiums. The market lacks systemic momentum, so capital can only engage in guerrilla tactics within the structure. Heavy positions are unwise at this time; waiting for a macro breakthrough is safer.Nonfarm payroll night, the wind direction shifts sharply.
Expected 90,000, actual 29,000; previous value revised down to 133,000, July flipped from +21,000 to -10,000. Two months down by 60,000, employment nearly stalled. Unemployment rate 4.2%, higher than 4.1%. This is not a cooling down, it's a stall warning.
October action bets about 70% a week ago, dropped to 25% before data; after data, probability of no action soared to 85%. The Fed temporarily puts away the knife.
Crypto market ignites: BTC touches 87,000, ETH rises above 2,750; 24-hour ETH up 2.82%, BTC up over 2%.
More crucial off the charts. Bitcoin ETF's nine consecutive inflows end, $3.1 billion withdrawn before nonfarm; ETF outflows, but coin price rises — funds are betting on easing. ETH staking queue at 1.68 million coins, withdrawals only 154,000, about 11:1 ratio. BitMine holds 6 million coins, accounting for 4.9% of supply, with 5.06 million staked, annualized $358 million.
Weak data, pause in tightening, staking lock-up, institutional accumulation, all resonate the same night.
Strategy:
BTC: 87,000 resistance, do not chase; on pullback to 84,500 confirm, if stable above 85,000 target 89,000-90,000.
ETH: 2,750 resistance, 2,700 support; 2,600-2,650 whale cost. Hold long above 2,700, reduce position below 2,600.
29,000 nonfarm is not the start of a recession, but the prelude to the Fed being forced to ease. Don't chase the top, but don't be absent either. $BTC & $ETH ETFs are seeing outflows…
but $BTC is still holding near $87K.
Normally, weaker institutional demand should pressure price.
Yet weak NFP is pushing yields lower and reducing Fed hike expectations.
So now we have a battle:
ETF outflows 📉 vs easier macro conditions 📈
If BTC keeps holding despite ETF selling, is that hidden strength?
Or are ETF flows warning us before the market reacts?
#BTCETHETFOutflows 📊 Nonfarm Night: Three Scenarios for $ETH and $ZEC
The market is anchored on about 90,000 new jobs and a 4.1% unemployment rate, with October interest rate uncertainty still evenly split. The nonfarm payrolls will determine which side short-term funds will favor.
Scenario 1: Overheated Employment (>125,000)
Tightening expectations rise, the US dollar and US Treasury yields strengthen, and risk appetite cools. ETH may break below 2,680, further testing 2,620 and 2,500; ZEC is unlikely to remain unaffected, with the 1,233 support line under pressure.
Scenario 2: Cooler Employment (<80,000)
Interest rate pressure eases, the US dollar falls back, and risk assets get a breather. ETH is expected to challenge 2,800 and 2,825; although ZEC can rebound, its own weakness limits the height, with 1,410 still a strong resistance.
Scenario 3: Meets Expectations (about 90,000)
Uncertainty shifts forward, volatility contracts. ETH oscillates between 2,680 and 2,800; ZEC continues to digest outflows based on technicals.
⚠️ Key Reminder
ZEC’s core contradiction is not in the nonfarm payrolls but in the deep pullback after a surge and the $30.25 million net outflow from the Grayscale Zcash ETF; if the broader market weakens, it will only accelerate its adjustment. ETH is consolidating with shrinking volume near 2,700, and the nonfarm payrolls are more likely to be the catalyst to break the balance. #美国9月非农仅增2.9万，失业率升至4.2% #BTC、ETH现货ETF同步转流出，资金热度降温 #BTC、ETH spot ETFs simultaneously see outflows, cooling capital heat
BTC and ETH ETFs both experienced outflows, but on October 1, BTC saw an inflow of 102.7 million.
▪️ On September 30, BTC spot ETFs had an outflow of 148.7 million, ending a 9-day streak of net inflows totaling 3.1 billion.
▪️ Ethereum had another outflow of 55.4 million on October 1, totaling about 118 million over three consecutive days.
▪️ Cooling indicators: Spot demand over 30 days shows a contraction of about 170,000 BTC; speculative futures demand dropped from 164,000 to 16,000 over 15 days.
▪️ Profit-taking hit a new high this year: on September 22, 25,700 BTC were cashed out in a single day.
The disagreement isn’t whether capital is cooling, but which data period is used to measure the "cooling." ETFs measure one day, while the demand line measures the past 30 days—which includes the hottest days in mid-September.
So on the same day, two numbers can move in opposite directions: BTC ETFs turn positive, but the demand line still contracts.
To reflect the true state of late September, we need data covering only those specific days.
Which time window do you trust more? Late night review of selected coins: three underrated tokens, each with different underlying trends
$SNDK 1742, +1.62%. Storage cycles are heating up, AI servers are driving NAND demand, and SanDisk's share is not small. 1742 has risen from 1700, with volume becoming active. If Micron's earnings report tomorrow night exceeds expectations, the storage chain may resonate collectively; if it's average, watch for a pullback to support first.
$SLX 0.06429, -0.28%. While the market mostly rose, it alone fell; the issue is not logic but depth. Equipment is leased to wafer fabs with long-term contracts locking in cash flow, so the leasing model still holds. 0.065 is the short-term defense line: if it holds after earnings verification, there's rebound potential; if broken, don't cling to the fight.
$RE 0.49028, +0.41%. The thinnest and slowest, yet the most stable. DeFi insurance plus small RWA, 0.45 hasn't been broken for a month. No hype, but the base is solid. The wind hasn't come yet, so endure; when it comes, then watch the height.
#加息预期推迟，9月非农成下一关键 The ultimate result of $ZEC being strongly controlled by a few is zeroing out.
Stop recharging your faith and fantasizing about the privacy coin leader.
In the future, positive news stories can push the coin up,
but let's look back and see who holds the chips.
Unless Grayscale is Satoshi Nakamoto and disappears now without ever repurchasing,
then the story can make sense.
If not, it's very simple: there will definitely be a sell-off!
Institutions sell on good news, while retail investors pay the price for the good news.